Wednesday 7/26/17 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DAVE COKIN

ROYALS VS. TIGERS
PLAY: ROYALS +105

Two teams heading in very opposite directions and with what I suspect are two very different mindsets here. The Royals are on fire and with their win on Tuesday, the team jumped into the second wild card spot in the American League. The Tigers are dead in the water and appear poised to start selling off pieces as the trade deadline approaches.

As for this matchup, Ian Kennedy got roughed up last tine out for KC. But I’ll give him a partial pass as this was a day game in very hot and humid conditions. Not exactly a picnic for any pitcher. The Royals righty had been pitching pretty well prior to that glitch and I can see him having a reasonably good outing tonight.

Anibal Sanchez will throw for the Tigers. Sanchez has been mostly okay since coming back to the big club. But the old pro is also pretty much only good for a couple trips through the batting order. That means a good likelihood of at least four innings of work for the shaky Detroit bullpen.

The one little fly in the ointment is that Salvy Perez might be out tonight for KC due to a rib issue. It’s apparently pretty minor. But Perez can certainly use an extra day off considering his enormous workload and he’s actually got some pretty lousy career numbers against Sanchez to boot.

I can’t see KC as the underdog here. The Tigers are anything but go with right now and the road team is blazing hot. At any plus price, I’ve got to side with the Royals.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Carmine Bianco

Jamaica vs. USA
Play: USA -1

It's the Gold Cup Final on Wednesday night at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara as tournament co favourites look for their first final win in four years and will take on surprise finalists Jamaica. This Jamaican side came through Group B finishing 2nd before a 2-1 Quarterfinal win over Canada and on Sunday surprised tournament co favourites Mexico with a 86th goal off a free kick to win 1-0. The US men's team finished in top spot in Group B before a Quarterfinal 2-0 win over El Salvador and a 2-0 Semi Final win over Costa Rica. Breaking down this Final and our selection on the US Men's team will come down to execution of midfield and strikers. The Jamaican team have progresssed in this tournament via a defense first mentality and coiuld be found regularly defending their 6 yard box with 9 men. It's a defensive formation that Mexico in two games (Group stage 0-0 and Semi 0-1 final scores) were unable to solve. As impressive as those results were we need to consider that Mexico did struggle offensively this tournament and were minus many of their key players after their National team were involved in last months Confederation Cup with many going back to their domestic clubs for preseason. Jamaica did get broken down defensively allowing goals against physical sides in El Salvador and Canada. They'll now face a US men's side that took advantage of the roster change rule and added team regulars and stars into their playoff roster and it led to a couple 2-0 wins. They faced a similar defensive first mined side in Costa Rica and were able to eventually break through. The rhythm and pace and organization of this USA side with the added changes will be a step up in class for Jamaica to face with Bradley controlling midfield and Dempsey and Altidore up front and Altidores physical play should create space in a tight 6 yard box for Dempsey. Not expecting much attack from Jamaica until they get down a goal and that should provide the US team with the ability to strike again soon after. It's a strong lean on the USMNT -1 on Wednesday night.

 

[pablo5599]

Do any of these paid handicappers even win longterm?? I'm confused

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

David Hess

MLB MIAMI/TEXAS ‑110 u10.5

 

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Monster Sports Picks

MLB TAMPA BAY ‑145

 

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Assassin Sports Betting

MLB NY YANKEES ‑1.5 ‑115

 

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Mr Profits Picks

MLB BOSTON ‑190

 

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AASI Wins

MLB HOUSTON ASTROS ‑120

 

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Line Mover Sports

MLB RAYS ‑165

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hunter Price
Jul 26 '17, 3:40 PM
MLB | Red Sox vs Mariners
Play on: Red Sox -198 at betonline

1* Free Pick on Red Sox -198

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ray Monohan
Jul 26 '17, 8:05 PM
MLB | MIA vs TEX
Play on: UNDER 10½ -102

Marlins vs. Rangers Under 10

This play just missed out on our premium card. The Miami Marlins and the Texas Rangers face off on Wednesday night, and with such a high total, the under has a ton of value. On the mound for the Marlins is Jose Urena who has pitched well this season. He comes into this game with an 8-4 record and an ERA of 3.74. In his last game he pitched really well. He went six innings against the Reds giving up three hits and only one run.

On the mound for the Rangers is Yu Darvish, who is hot commodity this trade season and he has pitched pretty well this season. When he goes out to the mound you know he is probably going to give up two or three runs, but that is usually it. Some trends to note. Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 road games. Under is 10-2 in Darvishs last 12 interleague starts.

Back the Under. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Wednesday 5* FREE MLB Play

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Teddy Davis
Jul 26 '17, 7:05 PM
MLB | A's vs Blue Jays
Play on: A's +155 at 5Dimes

I know the A's are nothing special at all and have lost the first two games of this series, but right now Estrada isn't better than Blackburn.

Estrada has failed to pitch a quality starts his last three games and has recorded a terrible 10.38 ERA in those starts. He is also 0-2 against the A's in his career with a 8.38 ERA.

Blackburn has only made 4 starts this season, but has a 2.88 ERA during those showing he is more than a capable starter especially at this big of underdog.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bobby Conn
Jul 26 '17, 3:45 PM
MLB | Pirates vs Giants
Play on: Pirates +134 at GTBets

1* Bonus Play on Pirates +134

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Totals Guru
Jul 26 '17, 3:40 PM
MLB | BOS vs SEA
Play on: UNDER 8 -105

Free Total Annihilator On Red Sox vs Mariners under 8 -105

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sal Michaels
Jul 26 '17, 3:40 PM
MLB | Red Sox vs Mariners
Play on: Red Sox -1½ -137 at betonline

Bonus Play on Red Sox -1½ -137

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Price
Jul 26 '17, 7:05 PM
MLB | Astros vs Phillies
Play on: Astros -118 at GTBets

Dave's Wednesday Bonus Play:

1* on Houston Astros -118

The Key: We're getting one of the best teams in baseball in the Houston Astros (67-33) against the worst team in baseball in the Philadelphia Phillies (34-64) as only -118 favorites today. The Astros have the best road record in baseball at 37-12 and +23.2 units of profit. Starter Mike Fiers has been flying under the radar at 6-2 with a 2.36 ERA in his last 10 starts. I think a big reason why this line is so low is because Aaron Nola has also been hot of late. But he has done most of his damage against weak NL lineups, and now he has to face an Astros lineup that is hitting .304 and scoring 7.2 RPG on the road this season. The Astros are 9-0 against NL East teams this season. Take Houston.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Larry Ness

Kansas City vs. Detroit
Pick: Detroit -120

The KC Royals made it seven straight wins with their 3-1 victory over the Tigers last night. KC now holds down the final wild card spot in the AL at 52-47 and has closed to within 1 1/2 games of the Indians in the AL Central. The Tigers have now lost five of seven and at 45-54, are eight back of Cleveland in the division (seven back in the AL wild card hunt, as owners of the AL's third-worst record).

Ian Kennedy (3-6, 4.61 ERA) takes the mound for KC and Anibal Sanchez (2-0, 5.95 ERA) for the Tigers, as the Royals look to complete a second straight series sweep (swept the White Sox this past weekend in KC). Kennedy lost his first six decisions to open the 2017 season (Royals were 3-8 in those 11 starts) and didn't pick up his first win until June 16. However, that 3-1 win at the LAA, has sparked a run of seven unbeaten starts in which Kennedy is 3-0 and the Royals are 6-1. Kennedy won at Detroit on June 28 with seven innings of two-run ball but that left him just 2-4 with a 4.34 ERA against the Tigers in eight career starts (teams are 2-6).

The Tigers brought Sanchez back in mid-June (after a stint in the minors and the bullpen) and in six starts since June 19, he's 2-0 and the Tigers are 4-2. Detroit has won Sanchez's last four starts. Sanchez is 6-4 with a 2.38 ERA in 13 career starts versus the Royals (teams are 8-5).

Sanchez has been (and still can be) an effective major-league pitcher. I'll back him here.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Will Rogers

Colorado vs. St. Louis
Pick: St. Louis -152

The set-up: Paul DeJong's two-run HR led the way for the Cards' 3-2 win Tuesday over the Rockies. The 23-year-old has created quite the buzz during his two months in the majors (13 HRs and 29 RBI in 48 games) and he's helping the St. Louis Cardinals remain in contention in the NL Central. The 49-51 Cards are four games out of first-place in the division. The Rockies, despite losses in 15 of their last 18 road games, are still holding down the NL's second wild card spot, 4 1/2 games clear of the Cubs. The Cardinals go for a three-game sweep of the visiting Rockies on Wednesday night.

The pitching matchup: Jeff Hoffman (6-2 & 5.10 ERA) will start for Colorado and Carlos Martinez (6-8 & 3.34 ERA) for St. Louis. Hoffman allowed seven runs and career-high totals in hits (nine) and walks (four) in a season-low three innings against Pittsburgh last Friday in a 13-5 loss. It marked his first since June 21. The good news here is, Hoffman has pitched considerably better, on the road, posting a 4-0 mark with a 2.45 ERA while allowing opposing batters to hit just .197 against him. That's opposed to a 2-2 record with a 7.79 ERA and .316 BAA at Coors Field! This is his first start vs. the Cards. Martinez saw his win-less stretch extend to six outings this past Friday, when he took a no-decision St. Louis' 11-4 win at Chicago. Martinez is 0-3 in his last six starts with the Cards going 1-5. Martinez is 2-1 with a 4.56 ERA in four career starts vs. Colorado, including losing 10-0 to them back in May (note: allowed just three runs on six hits in 7 1/3 innings).

The pick: Right now, the MAJOR factor in this contest has to be Colorado's 15 losses in its last 18 road games. Take St. Louis to complete the sweep.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ANDRE RAMIREZ

Angels vs. Indians
Play: Indians -1½

The Indians have looked great recently, and I think they’ll continue to play well. The Tribe has won seven of their last eight games in Cleveland. Carlos Carrasco has been phenomenal against the Angels over the past few years. Carrasco has faced the Angels four times in the last three seasons. He has a terrific 1.35 ERA in 20 innings. LA’s lineup has hit just .162 against Carrasco in those games.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Rob Vinciletti

Astros vs. Phillies
Play: Astros -118

The Astros continue to kill it on the road as they average over 7 runs per game on the season and they are in a solid spot tonight as they are 10-as a road favorite off a 5+ road win vs a team that scored 2 or less runs dating back to 2009. They have won 9 straight vs N.L. Teams and are 9-0 as a road favorite when Fiers is on the mound. We get solid line value here as the Phillies have their Ace A. Nola going. Nola is 1-5 as a home dog and the Phillies are on a 1-9 home dog run and have lost 12 of 15 on hump day. The Astros have scored 5+ runs in 13 of 16 road game. Look for the Astros to take another from the Phils.