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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Trends - Detroit at Kansas City


W/L Trends


Detroit
•Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
• Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
• Tigers are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.
• Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
• Tigers are 8-20 in their last 28 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Tigers are 2-5 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
• Tigers are 0-4 in their last 4 Wednesday games.
• Tigers are 16-6 in Verlanders last 22 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Tigers are 15-6 in Verlanders last 21 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Tigers are 7-3 in Verlanders last 10 Wednesday starts.
• Tigers are 1-4 in Verlanders last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
• Tigers are 1-4 in Verlanders last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
• Tigers are 1-4 in Verlanders last 5 starts.
• Tigers are 1-4 in Verlanders last 5 starts on grass.
• Tigers are 1-8 in Verlanders last 9 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
• Tigers are 0-6 in Verlanders last 6 road starts.
• Tigers are 0-6 in Verlanders last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.



Kansas City
•Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 Wednesday games.
• Royals are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Royals are 13-27 in their last 40 vs. American League Central.
• Royals are 3-8 in their last 11 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.
• Royals are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
• Royals are 1-4 in their last 5 home games.
• Royals are 1-5 in their last 6 games following a loss.
• Royals are 1-7 in their last 8 overall.
• Royals are 1-7 in their last 8 games on grass.
• Royals are 0-5 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Royals are 0-5 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
• Royals are 0-5 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Royals are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
• Royals are 1-4 in Hammels last 5 home starts.
• Royals are 1-6 in Hammels last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
• Royals are 1-6 in Hammels last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
• Royals are 1-7 in Hammels last 8 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Royals are 0-5 in Hammels last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
• Royals are 0-4 in Hammels last 4 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
• Royals are 0-4 in Hammels last 4 starts.
• Royals are 0-4 in Hammels last 4 starts on grass.
• Royals are 0-7 in Hammels last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.


OU Trends


Detroit
•Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 overall.
• Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 on grass.
• Over is 5-0-1 in Tigers last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Over is 5-1-1 in Tigers last 7 road games.
• Over is 5-1-1 in Tigers last 7 during game 3 of a series.
• Over is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Over is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games following a win.
• Over is 4-1-1 in Tigers last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
• Under is 7-3-1 in Tigers last 11 Wednesday games.
• Over is 33-16-4 in Tigers last 53 vs. American League Central.
• Under is 16-5-1 in Verlanders last 22 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Under is 3-1-1 in Verlanders last 5 Wednesday starts.
• Under is 8-3 in Verlanders last 11 starts during game 3 of a series.
• Under is 18-7-1 in Verlanders last 26 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Over is 5-2 in Verlanders last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
• Over is 7-3 in Verlanders last 10 road starts.
• Under is 11-5-2 in Verlanders last 18 starts vs. a team with a losing record.



Kansas City
•Over is 6-0 in Royals last 6 Wednesday games.
• Over is 7-1 in Royals last 8 vs. American League Central.
• Under is 5-1-1 in Royals last 7 games following a loss.
• Under is 5-1 in Royals last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Over is 4-1 in Royals last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Over is 7-2-1 in Royals last 10 during game 3 of a series.
• Under is 11-4-1 in Royals last 16 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
• Under is 5-2-1 in Royals last 8 overall.
• Under is 5-2-1 in Royals last 8 on grass.
• Under is 5-2 in Royals last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Over is 5-2 in Royals last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
• Over is 19-8-1 in Royals last 28 vs. a team with a losing record.
• Over is 4-1 in Hammels last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
• Over is 4-1-1 in Hammels last 6 starts vs. American League Central.
• Under is 4-1 in Hammels last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Over is 3-1-1 in Hammels last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.


Head to Head


•Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
• Under is 3-0-1 in Verlanders last 4 starts vs. Royals.
• Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Kansas City.
• Tigers are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Kansas City.
• Tigers are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
• Tigers are 5-2 in Verlanders last 7 starts vs. Royals.



Umpire Trends - Victor Carapazza


•Under is 7-1 in Carapazzas last 8 games behind home plate vs. Detroit.
• Road team is 7-1 in Carapazzas last 8 games behind home plate vs. Detroit.
• Home team is 4-1 in Carapazzas last 5 Wednesday games behind home plate.
• Over is 8-2-2 in Carapazzas last 12 Wednesday games behind home plate.
• Under is 4-1 in Carapazzas last 5 games behind home plate.
• Under is 4-1 in Carapazzas last 5 games behind home plate vs. Kansas City.
• Road team is 8-2 in Carapazzas last 10 games behind home plate vs. Kansas City.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Trends - Washington at LA Angels


W/L Trends


Washington
•Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 road games.
• Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Nationals are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a win.
• Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
• Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games on grass.
• Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
• Nationals are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
• Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
• Nationals are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Nationals are 8-1 in their last 9 during game 2 of a series.
• Nationals are 21-8 in their last 29 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Nationals are 5-2 in their last 7 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
• Nationals are 96-45 in their last 141 Wednesday games.
• Nationals are 5-1 in Gonzalezs last 6 road starts.
• Nationals are 4-1 in Gonzalezs last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
• Nationals are 19-5 in Gonzalezs last 24 Wednesday starts.
• Nationals are 13-6 in Gonzalezs last 19 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
• Nationals are 1-5 in Gonzalezs last 6 interleague starts.



LA Angels
•Angels are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
• Angels are 8-3 in their last 11 interleague home games.
• Angels are 14-6 in their last 20 games following a loss.
• Angels are 4-9 in their last 13 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
• Angels are 2-5 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
• Angels are 3-8 in their last 11 overall.
• Angels are 3-8 in their last 11 games on grass.
• Angels are 3-8 in their last 11 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
• Angels are 1-4 in their last 5 home games.
• Angels are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
• Angels are 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
• Angels are 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
• Angels are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
• Angels are 2-6 in Meyers last 8 starts.
• Angels are 2-6 in Meyers last 8 starts on grass.
• Angels are 1-4 in Meyers last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.


OU Trends


Washington
•Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
• Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 interleague games.
• Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 vs. American League West.
• Over is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Over is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 interleague road games.
• Over is 7-2 in Nationals last 9 during game 2 of a series.
• Under is 9-3-1 in Nationals last 13 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
• Under is 5-2 in Nationals last 7 Wednesday games.
• Over is 15-6 in Nationals last 21 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
• Under is 4-0 in Gonzalezs last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
• Under is 4-0 in Gonzalezs last 4 starts on grass.
• Under is 4-0 in Gonzalezs last 4 starts overall.
• Over is 11-4 in Gonzalezs last 15 Wednesday starts.
• Over is 8-3 in Gonzalezs last 11 starts with 4 days of rest.
• Under is 5-2 in Gonzalezs last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
• Over is 9-4 in Gonzalezs last 13 road starts.



LA Angels
•Under is 5-0-1 in Angels last 6 home games.
• Under is 5-0-1 in Angels last 6 games following a loss.
• Under is 9-1-1 in Angels last 11 during game 2 of a series.
• Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
• Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
• Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 interleague games.
• Under is 14-3-2 in Angels last 19 on grass.
• Under is 14-3-2 in Angels last 19 overall.
• Under is 4-1 in Angels last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
• Over is 3-1-1 in Angels last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
• Under is 5-2 in Angels last 7 Wednesday games.
• Under is 6-0 in Meyers last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
• Under is 4-0-1 in Meyers last 5 home starts.
• Over is 5-2-1 in Meyers last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game.


Head to Head


•Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles.
• Nationals are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings.



Umpire Trends - Cory Blaser


•Under is 13-2-1 in Blasers last 16 interleague games behind home plate.
• Under is 6-1 in Blasers last 7 games behind home plate vs. Los Angeles.
• Road team is 4-1 in Blasers last 5 interleague games behind home plate.
• Road team is 4-1 in Blasers last 5 interleague games behind home plate vs. Los Angeles.
• Road team is 5-2 in Blasers last 7 games behind home plate.
• Angels are 5-2 in their last 7 games with Blaser behind home plate.
• Under is 5-2-1 in Blasers last 8 games behind home plate vs. Washington.
• Nationals are 0-4 in their last 4 games with Blaser behind home plate.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB Daily Line Drive: Wednesday's picks, betting odds and analysis

Double-Play Picks

Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros (-125, 8.5)

What a blow for the Astros. Houston has lost their All-Star shortstop Carlos Correa, for six to eight weeks while he recovers from surgery on his left thumb to repair a torn ligament.

While Correa was having a career year (he leads all shortstops in hits, home runs, RBI, OPS and WAR), luckily the Astros have arguably the deepest roster in MLB and a ho-hum 16.5 game lead in the AL west. Chances are, they’ll be fine.

The team that sits 16.5 back is the Seattle Mariners, who will try to take advantage of the Correa-less Astros and win the rubber match of their three-game series in Houston Wednesday afternoon.

Houston lost the opener 9-7 on Monday, before bouncing back on Tuesday with a 6-2 victory. The Astros send right-hander Charlie Morton to the mound for Game 3, while Mariners will counter with left James Paxton.

Morton has been up and down for the ‘Stros this season. He has a 7-3 record, despite a 4.06 ERA and a 1.354 WHIP. Luckily for Houston, Morton has been much stronger at Minute Maid Park this season, where he is 5-1 with a 3.45 ERA and a 1.277 WHIP.

James Paxton, meanwhile, who has looked fantastic at points this season has looked mediocre away from Safeco Field. Paxton is 3-1 on the road with a 4.05 ERA and unfortunately for him, the Astros feast on southpaws.

They rank second in the MLB in average (.280), OPS (.827) and home runs (40) against left handed pitching this season.

Look for Houston to make a statement Wednesday, that while Correa’s loss is obviously a big blow, they are tenacious and strong enough to win without him.

Pick: Astros -125

St. Louis Cardinals at New York Mets (-150, 8)

The Cardinals have claimed the first two games of this four-game series and the Mets will look to respond by sending their ace to the mound Wednesday evening.

Jacob deGrom will climb the hill at Citi Field and he has been tremendous for the Mets all season, but especially over his last six starts. The Mets have won his last six outings and he owns a 1.53 ERA to go along with a WHIP of 0.766 in those starts. deGrom has also been terrific pitching at home this season with a 2.37 ERA and 1.10 WHIP.

The Cards will run veteran right-hander Mike Leake out to the mound and he has been great on the road in 2017. In starts away from Busch Stadium this season, Leake has a 4-2 win/loss record with an ERA of 2.84 and a WHIP of 1.09.

Leake should be helped out by the fact that the Mets rank 28th in Major League Baseball with their .238 batting average at home this season and rank near the bottom of baseball with only 51 runs scored thus far in the month of July.

This one has "low scoring" written all over it.

Pick: Under 8

Yesterday's Picks: 2-0
Season To Date: 93-79-8

Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers

Streaking: R.A. Dickey, Atlanta Braves (6-5, 4.08 ERA, $609)

Many thought R.A. Dickey might hang up the cleats after his contract came up in Toronto. The 42-year-old knuckleballer was coming off his worst year as a starter and he’s a 42-old knuckleballer. But he signed with the Braves this season and, after a rocky start, Dickey has been great for second place Atlanta.

His last five starts have been particularly impressive, where he is 1-0 and has pitched to a 1.09 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP. The knuckleball is dancing once again as Dickey and the Braves are +125 home dogs against the visiting Cubs on Tuesday.

Slumping: Kevin Gausman, Baltimore Orioles (5-7, 6.39 ERA, $-259)

Another day, another Baltimore Orioles' starting pitcher gracing our Slumping Starting Pitcher section.

Right-hander Kevin Gausman has been bad all season long but his last two starts have been especially stinky. In back-to-back losses, Gausman has logged seven total innings and allowed 13 earned runs (16.71 ERA). In his last outing, against the Chicago Cubs, he surrendered eight earned runs over three innings of work and served up four home runs in the process.

Gausman and the Orioles are -135 favorites at home against the Rangers this evening.

Wednesday's Top Trends

* Under is 11-1 in last 12 meetings between Blue Jays and Red Sox at Fenway Park. Jays/Sox Total: 9.5.
* The Arizona Diamondbacks are 18-3 in Zack Greinke's last 21 starts vs. a team with a losing record. -165 @ Reds.
* The Los Angeles Dodgers are 30-4 in their last 34 games overall. -160 @ White Sox.
* Under is 14-3-2 in the Los Angeles Angels' last 19 overall. Nationals/Angels Total:9.

Weather To Keep An Eye On

There is no precipitation in the baseball forecast Wednesday - wind, however, could impact a few games.

There will be a 12-15 mile per hour wind blowing in from right field this afternoon at Target Field for the matchup between the Twins and the visiting Yankees. The total is currently set at 9.5.

The wind will be blowing straight out to center field (as usual) at AT&T Park in San Francisco for this afternoon's game between the Giants and Indians (10-15 miles per hour). The total for this one is 8.

There will also be hitter's winds this evening at Citi Field (Cardinals at Mets: 8-12 miles per hour out to right-center with total at 8) and Kauffman Stadium (Tigers at Royals: 10-12 miles per hour out to left with total at 10).

Ump Of The Day

Jordan Baker will be calling balls and strikes tonight in Boston for the game between the Red Sox and Blue Jays. This one is an interesting test for the true power of the home plate umpire when betting MLB totals. Almost everything about this matchup screams Under, but the Over has cashed in Baker's last eight games behind the plate. He's been asking pitchers to put the ball on a tee, and hitters have been responding.

The total tonight in Boston is currently set at 9.5.