Wednesday 4/29/09 service plays chatter /comps/ requests & gm strategy...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Matt Rivers

For Wednesday take the Hawks at Philips Arena.

I really see a whoopass coming today in Hotlanta. I am not going to get carried away about that last win down south in Miami in game four as that was just one game but the Heat are reeling into this thing a bit too much to not get pounded.

Mike Woodson's crew came up huge to say the least in that outright on Monday and now feel ridiculously great about themselves. They had that wakeup call in game two after the blowout in the opener so cannot get too caught up with their success in that last game. Plus it's not even like the Atlanta best players did all that much as Flip Murray and Zaza Pachulia stole the show meaning that guys like Joe Johnson, Josh Smith, AL Horford and Mike Bibby should be flying high today.

We all saw Dwyane Wade go down with that bad back on Monday and I do not think that the superstar is going to be right today. He is a stud and will gut it out for sure but without a top flight effort from Wade Erik Spoelstra's squad is going to be in a lot of trouble today against a Hawks' group that has fared great at Philips all season long. I love the fact that Miami won game two on the road as that means to me how a letdown is not going to happen today by the home boys as they already know it is possible and can't get too high thinking their you know what doesn't stink right now.

I'm not totally saying that Wade and the Heat have run out of bullets but this game today is just too hard for them to be successful in as the Hawks win this thing going away.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

LT Profits

Toronto Blue Jays @ Kansas City Royals

Zack Greinke looks like an early Cy Young candidate for the Kansas City Royals this season, while Brian Tallet has looked good in his two starts for the Toronto Blue Jays, so the offenses should struggle at Kauffman Stadium tonight.

Grienke has been perfect in terms of earned runs this season, as he has not allowed one in four starts covering 29 innings. In fact, going back to last season, he has now gone six consecutive starts and 43 consecutive innings. To show just how dominant Greinke has been this season, in addition to his 0.00 ERA, he has allowed only 25 baserunners (0.86 WHIP) while recording 36 strikeouts (1.24 per inning)!

Not to be lost in all the Greinke hype here is the fact that Tallet has pitched well in both of his starts since entering the starting rotation. He has allowed a grand total of one earned run in 11 innings in his two starts, and he now owns a 2.95 ERA and 1.09 WHIP for the season when combined with his work out of the bullpen.

Sure, he is filling the rotation spot of Jesse Litsch, but a few more starts like his first two and it may be hard to remove Tallet from the rotation. Tallet is also left-handed, so he should gave success facing a Royals lineup that is hitting a modest .244 vs. southpaws and has never faced him before.

Combined with the fact that he is facing Greinke and that both bullpens are in the top 10 in the majors in ERA, the Under seems like the obvious call here.

Pick: Blue Jays / Royals Under 7.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jimmy Boyd

1 Unit on Boston Red Sox -130

I expect the Red Sox to bounce back strong tonight behind the left arm of Jon Lester. Lester is a perfect 14-0 against the money line when pitching against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) in his career. The Red Sox are winning these games by 3 runs per on average. Also, Boston is 13-1 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 5.2 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons, winning by an average score of 8.4 to 5.0 in these spots. Carmona has struggled against Boston with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 2.067 while the Red Sox are 4-0 in Lester's starts versus the Tribe. Boston has taken 7 of the last 11 in Cleveland and I'll back Bean Town here.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cajun Sports MLB 2* Complimentary Selection- Wednesday
Date/Time: Wednesday April 29 / 8:05PM EST
Sport/Type: MLB / Total
Game: Oakland A’s @ Texas Rangers
Graded Selection: 2* Oakland A’s /Texas Rangers Over 10.5 (-115)
Analysis:
Rangers Ballpark in Arlington will be the site of tonight’s American League clash between the host Texas Rangers and the visiting Oakland Athletics. Oakland will send Trevor Cahill to the bump on Wednesday night with an ERA of 6.0 over his last three outings and 5.40 overall on the year. The A’s have gone ‘over’ at a rate of 10-7 on the season including 5-2 ‘over’ versus right-handers and 7-2 ‘over’ when playing at night. Oakland is 6-1 ‘over’ their last seven when facing a pitcher who has a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. Texas will counter by sending Vicente Padilla to the hill with his 9.60 ERA over his last three trips to the bump and an ERA of 8.27 on the season. When Padilla takes the hill they have gone ‘over’ versus the A’s at a rate of 7-3 ‘over’ their last ten games. Padilla is 13-3 ‘over’ vs. AL teams scoring 4.7 or less runs per game on the season over the last 2 seasons and 21-8 ‘over’ vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse since 1997. Texas is 12-6 ‘over’ so far this season, 7-1 ‘over’ when playing at home and 10-5 ‘over’ when facing a right-handed starter. The Rangers are averaging 7.9 runs per game at home and they are 7-0 ‘over’ when the total is 10 or higher at home this season. With both teams showing strong tendencies to the ‘over’ in this situation we will recommend playing the ‘over’ tonight in Arlington.

Graded Selection: 2* Oakland A’s / Texas Rangers OVER 10.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

RedZone Sports free internet play: Mariners.

 

[jackedup339]

Anyone have vegas runner tonite?he swept the nba the last few days.

 

[PDBLING]

Seabass steam???????

 

[Redragon]

Can aneone see Rob Ferringo card?

 

[psandman311]

any merril?

 

[Rivergold]

seabass baseball?

 

[4WhatItsWorth]

any merril?

Yeah, ANY MERRIL? I want to make some money, and following him is the best way I know ho right now.
I sware I'll start throwing in with anyone who wants to start getting Merril, I just can't start doing that until the 1st. I think we need Merril's plays posted here everyday: It would help EVERYONE to have them. I hope someone can pick him up if he has plays.
Anyone want to help.. I wish I could right now.

 

[LocksRus]

How has Ferringo been in bases? Sorry to clutter.