Jeff Benton
Let’s build on my 21-12 run with Bonus Plays on Wednesday as we back the Tigers as a nice-sized home underdog against the Yankees.
Don’t exactly see the justification for this line. Sure, New York wiped out Detroit 11-0 last night – scoring 10 of the runs in the seventh inning – but the Yankees are still just 10-10 on the season and 6-8 on the road, while the Tigers are 11-9 overall and 5-2 at Comerica Park. Plus, Detroit has still taken seven of the last 10 from New York, including Monday’s 4-2 series-opening victory.
As for this pitching matchup, I just don’t see a huge advantage for the Yankees. Joba Chamberlain has an A-plus arm, but he’s really yet to prove himself as a starting pitcher. He’s been inconsistent to begin this season, giving up five runs each (all earned) in two of his starts while surrendering a total of five runs (two earned) in his other two outings. Also, New York is just 1-3 with Chamberlain on the mound this season, with the one victory coming at home and all three defeats coming on the road.
Meanwhile, Tigers rookie right-hander Rick Porcello has been solid if not spectacular so far. His 4.50 ERA is only a notch above Chamberlain’s 3.94 ERA, and Porcello has had to pitch all three of his games on the road. And one important thing I’ve been tracking with the Yankees for three-plus years now is their constant struggles to hit pitchers they’ve never before seen. Finally, while the Tigers’ bullpen has been a mess this season (5.34 ERA), New York’s has been even worse (6.18 ERA).
Add in the fact that Detroit has won six of its last seven games after a defeat and the Tigers absolutely are a live ‘dog here.
4? DETROIT TIGERS