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Lee Kostroski

New York Yankees @ Detroit Tigers
PICK: Detroit Tigers

The Yankees busted out for eleven runs last night, snapping a four-game losing skid but New York could be in for a tough match-up to close out the series in Detroit. Ricky Porcello is an ace in the making for the Tigers he has pitched capably through three starts this season. Porcello will make his first start at home in tonight’s game and the Tigers have been a vastly superior team at Comerica Park, going 5-2. The Tigers are actually 7-3 in the last ten games against the Yankees and they should bounce back from Tuesday’s shutout loss. Joba Chamberlain has not delivered great results this season and he has not been able to last deep into games. Chamberlain has pitched just 16 innings over three games and yet he has allowed ten runs and ten walks. The New York bullpen has an ERA of 6.18 on the season and despite the strong effort from Philip Hughes last night the bullpen needed three innings of work and will not be fully rested. Detroit’s bullpen has big problems with the Yankees yesterday but overall the unit has shown greatly improved numbers versus last season.

Through the same number of games New York has allowed 29 more runs that Detroit has and the offensive production has been nearly identical. The Tigers have not lost consecutive home games all season and New York is playing its sixth straight road game and 15th road game already this season through an exhausting early season schedule.The Yankees are just 6-8 in road games this season and most of New York’s offensive success has come against left-handed pitching. Look for the Tigers to deliver in what could be a break-out name-making game for Porcello.
 
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Tom Freese

Toronto Blue Jays at Kansas City Royals
Prediction: Kansas City Royals

Kansas City starter Zack Greinke has been lights out allowing one run total in his four starts winning all four of them. The Royals are 11-2 their last 13 games as favorites and they are 10-3 off a loss and they are and they are 13-3 with Greinke when they are favored. Toronto starter Brian Tallet has pitched pretty well this year but he is clearly in over his head here against Greinke. PLAY ON KANAS CITY - (Greinke vs. Tallet)
 
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Dennis Macklin

Seattle Mariners at Chicago White Sox
Prediction: Under

Seattle's Erick Bedard has been terrific for the M's and rocks 2-1 and 2.08 numbers with nasty 0.920 whip. He doesn't always get support. In fact, nine runs in three games, eight in one game. Gavin Floyd hasn't been pretty to watch in April but was a home field specialist in last season's breakout year. Teams played twin bill last night so both starters will be expected to take it as long as it can and neither team hitting a lic. Play the under
 
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Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

TAM (-135) vs MIN

A recap of their last game together: TWINS 4, RAYS 3: 2B Akinori Iwamura couldn't make a clean play on Justin Morneau's bases-loaded groundball in the bottom of the ninth, allowing the winning run to score. Ben Zobrist tied the game in the top of the ninth with a pinch home run off Joe Nathan. Tonight's starting pitcher for the Rays: Tampa Bay SP Scott Kazmir allowed two hits over six innings and the Rays beat the Athletics 8-2 on Friday night. Kazmir (3-1) retired the final 11 batters he faced and did not allow a hit after Jack Cust led off the second with a single. He walked three and struck out two as he improved to 7-2 all-time against the A's, matching his most wins against any team and I expect him to be sharp again tonight. Look for TAMPA BAY to improve to 8-5 (+2.4 units) against right-handed starters!
 
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Jack Jones

Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 +105 over Washington Nationals

The Philadelphia Phillies have torn up left-handed pitching this year, going 4-0 with a .340 batting average and scroing 9.7 runs per game. That means they should have a hey day today against Scott Olsen, who has given up 16 runs on 23 hits in 14 innings as a vistior this year. Bretty Myers hasn't given up an ER in his last two starts against Washington, totaling 16 innings and with the Phillies winning five in a row, all by more than a single run, I'll play the run line today.
 
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Jeff Benton

Let’s build on my 21-12 run with Bonus Plays on Wednesday as we back the Tigers as a nice-sized home underdog against the Yankees.

Don’t exactly see the justification for this line. Sure, New York wiped out Detroit 11-0 last night – scoring 10 of the runs in the seventh inning – but the Yankees are still just 10-10 on the season and 6-8 on the road, while the Tigers are 11-9 overall and 5-2 at Comerica Park. Plus, Detroit has still taken seven of the last 10 from New York, including Monday’s 4-2 series-opening victory.

As for this pitching matchup, I just don’t see a huge advantage for the Yankees. Joba Chamberlain has an A-plus arm, but he’s really yet to prove himself as a starting pitcher. He’s been inconsistent to begin this season, giving up five runs each (all earned) in two of his starts while surrendering a total of five runs (two earned) in his other two outings. Also, New York is just 1-3 with Chamberlain on the mound this season, with the one victory coming at home and all three defeats coming on the road.

Meanwhile, Tigers rookie right-hander Rick Porcello has been solid if not spectacular so far. His 4.50 ERA is only a notch above Chamberlain’s 3.94 ERA, and Porcello has had to pitch all three of his games on the road. And one important thing I’ve been tracking with the Yankees for three-plus years now is their constant struggles to hit pitchers they’ve never before seen. Finally, while the Tigers’ bullpen has been a mess this season (5.34 ERA), New York’s has been even worse (6.18 ERA).

Add in the fact that Detroit has won six of its last seven games after a defeat and the Tigers absolutely are a live ‘dog here.

4? DETROIT TIGERS
 
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Scott Delaney

Play the Over with the Nuggets/Hornets tonight in Denver.

Whether or not the Nuggets cover this game, one thing is for sure, and that is they'll be pushing the rock against a team that is all but left-for-dead after that humiliating 58-point loss at home Monday night.

You would think the Hornets would show some pride tonight, and play an offenisve game to stay in this thing, or at least to show some pride before bowing out. And to do that, they'll need to play offense, not try to stop Denver's scoring barrage.

Though I see a plethora of numbers supporting the under, the high number is 5-1 in the Nuggets’ last six home games (2-0 in this series) and is also on a 9-3 run in Denver’s last 12 games as the installed chalk.

Most importantly, in this rivalry, these two teams have topped the total in each of their last four meetings inside the Pepsi Center.

This one goes high tonight.

Hornets/Nuggets OVER
 
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Jake Timlin

With Portland forcing a game 6 last night I am now 6-2-2 with my complimentary releases in the NBA playoffs this season.

Even with the Oddsmakers finally giving the Nuggets the respect they deserve in this series I still don’t think it’s enough here tonight. Not when Denver is fresh off a 58 point road win in game 4 of this series to go with their pair of double digit wins to open up this series. In fact with the Nuggets having won 4 of the last 5 series games played and covering all five of those games I am shocked tonight’s number is not even higher.

Meanwhile, for New Orleans given their embarrassing performance last game out its tough imagining them bounce back on the road in Denver where they have lost their last 3 games both straight up and against the spread.

Bottom line the Nuggets are clearly better than the Hornets and not wanting to travel back to New Orleans for a game 6 I fully expect for Denver to wrap of this series tonight and to do so by at least 13 points.

All Denver minus the home chalk!

PICK: Denver Nuggets
 
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John Ryan

Florida Marlins vs. New York Mets
Play: Over 7.5

Ryan is 17-6 ATS w/ his 10* NBA Titan releases this season. Here is another one for you to unload on that is reinforced by TWO tremendous proven money making systems + meaningful game dependent angles. His AiS methodology shows an 85% probability that this play win will win ATS. Ai Simulator 3* graded play OVER Mets/Marlins. AiS shows a 74% probability that 8 or more runs will be scored in this game and a 50% probability that one of these teams may score 8 on their own merit. Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has posted a 45-17 mark for 73% winners since 2003. Play over with NL home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better on the season. Florida is 17-4 OVER (+13.2 Units) in road games versus a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better over the last 2 seasons. Mets are a solid 12-2 OVER (+10.0 Units) vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better over the last 3 seasons. Take the OVER
 
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Scott Rickenbach

San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies
PICK: Under 10.5

The Rockies, on a mild afternoon with (possibly!) some favorable winds, are expected to score plenty here along with the Padres. However, we just don't see it that way and will grab the line value on this total by taking the UNDER. The Rockies Aaron Cook has found his sinker again and he's actually pitched much better at home this season than he has on the road. Cook also has a 2.74 ERA in his career against the Padres. San Diego sends Kevin Correia to the mound and, don't be fooled by his winless record in three starts on the season.

Correia's respectable 4.50 ERA doesn't even do justice to the fact that he's been handcuffing hitters to the tune of a .228 batting average against! Also, the Padres right-hander has held the Rockies to a .237 BAA in his career and this has been compiled in 22 games (5 starts) so Correia has consistently fared well against the Rockies. This total is now approaching an eleven and, yet, just as in yesterday's game we expected the total runs to end up at seven! Great line value here as this will be much more of a pitchers' duel than people are expecting. Consider a small play on UNDER the total in Colorado on Wednesday afternoon.
 
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Rocketman Sports

St Louis @ Atlanta
Play: St Louis

St Louis is scoring 5.7 runs per game overall this year, 5.4 runs per game on the road and 6.6 runs per game against right handed starters this year. Atlanta is scoring only 4.1 runs per game overall, 3.7 runs per game at home and 3.8 runs per game against right handed starters this season. Atlanta bullpen has a 5.11 ERA overall this year. Wainwright is 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA overall this year. Wainwright is 3-0 with a 1.35 ERA overall vs Atlanta since 1997. Vazquez is 2-6 overall vs St Louis since 1997. We'll recommend a small play on St Louis tonight!
 
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Jeff Alexander

1 Unit on Detroit Tigers +134

After getting shut out 11-0 last night, expect the Tigers, who are 5-2 at home this season, to bounce back and take the series. It was no surprise that the Yanks finally broke a 4-game skid against Jackson yesterday, but the reality is that New York is struggling with A-Rod out, and the bullpen has been atrocious. Both teams will see pitchers they've never seen tonight, but that gives the edge to the Tigers at home with a better lineup right now. Lastly, we'll play against a road team (NY YANKEES) - average hitting team (AVG = .265 to .279) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 4.70) -AL, with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games because this system is 37-14 the last 5 seasons. Fade the Yankees.
 
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Marc Lawrence

Toronto Blue Jays at Kansas City Royals

The Blue Jays are 15-7 on the year and will look to win another series with a win tonight. Toronto is 8-4 on the road. The Jays send lefty Brian Tallet to the mound tonight. On the year he's 2-0 with an ER of 2.95. The Royals send their ace Greinke to the mound armed with his 4-0 record and 0.00 ERA. Tonight Greinke faces a Blue Jays team that is hitting .289 on the season and an even better .315 on the road. Greinke has made 5 career starts vs. the Jays and the Royals have lost 3 of those games. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays +.

Play on: Toronto
 
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Robert Ferringo

Take 'Over' 8.5 Boston at Cleveland

This line is projected but I think that it will be close. However, I think this one is going to sail the total. Jon Lester and Fausto Carmona are nice names, but neither one of them has been anything close to consistent. We have a very tight ump behind the plate and I think that the Cleveland bullpen will help this one get 'over'. The 'over' is 11-4 in Boston's last 15 games and is 5-1 in their last six road games.
 
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Craig Trapp

Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Indians
Play: Boston Red Sox

Yesterdays Free MLB Bonus Play was a tough loss as STL gave up a lead they had the whole game in the 8th inning. But good news is handicapper Craig Trapp has a really nice winner in the Boston and Cleveland Game.

Lets take a look at the records, trends and breakdown:

Records

Boston Red Sox 13-7 Lester 1-2 (4.88 ERA)

Cleveland Indians 8-13 Carmona 1-3 (7.36 ERA)

Betting Trends

Red Sox are 11-0 in their last 11 overall.

Red Sox are 23-7 in Lesters last 30 starts vs. a team with a losing record.

Indians are 3-8 in their last 11 vs. American League East.

Indians are 1-4 in Carmonas last 5 starts.

The hottest team in MLB right now is the Red Sox who have won 11 in a row. Cleveland has lost the last 4 games in a row vs Boston. Lester finally got back into form the last two games after a very poor start to the season. Lester has dominated Cleveland the last four games he has face them he has won. Even worse for CLE is going for them today is Carmona who has given up more than 6 runs every game so far this season. Not good facing the hottest batters in the AL. BLOWOUT BY BOSTON. SCORE BOS 10 - CLE 2
 
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Red Dog Sports

Washington at Philadelphia
Play Over 10.5

Olsen has an ERA of 7.29 with 3 overs and 1 under this year while Brett Myers has an ERA of 4.91 with 3 overs and an under. The Phillies have 8 overs, 3 unders and a push in their last 12 as a favorite. The Phils have been hitting the ball well so look for it to continue Wednesday
 
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Jimmy The Moose

Toronto Blue Jays at Kansas City Royals
Prediction: Toronto Blue Jays

The Blue Jays are 15-7 on the year and will look to win another series with a win tonight. Toronto is 8-4 on the road. The Jays send lefty Brian Tallet to the mound tonight. On the year he's 2-0 with an ER of 2.95. The Royals send their ace Greinke to the mound armed with his 4-0 record and 0.00 ERA. Tonight Greinke faces a Blue Jays team that is hitting .289 on the season and an even better .315 on the road. Greinke has made 5 career starts vs. the Jays and the Royals have lost 3 of those games. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays +.
 
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Bobby Maxwell

Boston at CLEVELAND +115

Scored a FREE winner on the diamond Tuesday night with the Astros over Cincinnati and tonight we'll give you another comp winner as we go with the Indians at home to take care of the Red Sox.

The Indians ended the Red Sox 11-game winning streak on Tuesday night, getting the win with a ninth-inning run. Today we like them to make it two in a row.

What usually happens in these cases is the team that had the winning streak snapped, takes a couple days to adjust to the loss and they don't come out with the same type of focus.

Cleveland's Fausto Carmona (1-3, 7.36 ERA) goes tonight against Boston lefty Jon Lester (1-2, 4.88 ERA). Carmona has struggled this season, giving up four earned runs in each of his last three outings as the Twins have dropped three of his four outings this year. This guy has electric stuff but he's coming back from injury. He knows he's playing an elite team today and can make great strides if he has a good outing agaisnt the Sox.

Lester started the season in a funk but has come back to help Boston win his last two starts, including a Friday win over the Yankees, 5-4. The Red Sox are just 1-5 in Lester's last six road outings and 1-4 when he's been installed as a road chalk.

Cleveland is 21-10 in Carmona's last 31 home starts and the Indians are 23-9 in their alst 32 at home against lefties and 6-2 in their last eight as a home 'dog. Grab the plus-money and play the Indians at home in this one.

3♦ CLEVELAND
 

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