Anybody like UConn, but scared shitless of the line movement like me?
If this were the NBA I'd be more scared, but through experience I've realized that steam like that doesn't mean that much in NCAAB..
As Far as Budin, his guys usually find the superior teams at great value.. A lot of times they are laying 2 to 6 points, small lines, and people always say oh hes always on the favorite.. Well actually, hes just on the better team, and they're usually favored for a reason, but he finds value, and here, there is value.. Sure the game is in wisconsin, but Uconn is a far superior team, If you looked at these teams preseason people would think its an easy pick, but now because of marquette's nice run and great home play, there is insane value for Uconn (Also with Dyson out)
Bottom line is UConn (save UNC) is the best team in the nation, and theyre gonna win more than half of these games in this situation (in a virtual pick'em), so a play on them is +EV here.
Bottom line is Uconn is in first in the conference, this win would pretty much wrap it up, Uconn has played a considerably tougher schedule, Uconn shoots better from the field, shoots better from the arc, Holds opponents to 37% shooting compared to Marquette's 44%, and 30.7% from the arc compared to 34.5% for Marq..
I'm not saying this is a lock or anything, jsut a 25 dimer for Budin, but I am a spot bettor, and I like this one.. I'm making it my first play since a 1-0 saturday..
Go Uconn