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Northfield: Wednesday 11/16 Analysis
By Jeremey Day

DRF

Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet: MARGARITA MAN (7th)

Spot Play: BOUNTY (5th)


Race 1

In a wide open race, (5) MORELAND FLASHBACK will offer a big price and had some decent late trot last start. (6) VALENEOUS filly is one of few in the race with a pari-mutuel win. (2) DEFENDING CHAMP gets an excellent post and should be in line for a better trip.

Race 2

(2) METRO'S TWIST has some positives adding lasix coming off a win in the qualifier. (3) LIMA ILLUSION has room to improve against weaker. (6) YONDERCOMESAPONDER lightly raced pacer also has room to improve in his third career start.

Race 3

(2) ROCKIN H DASHING O will look to make it two straight at this level. (9) RUGGED HEART beat a similar bunch last start; threat. (1) ECHO'S ANNIE burned cash last week off of soft fractions; use caution.

Race 4

(1) FOLLOW THROUGH should be much closer turning for home this week; threat. (4) TIMELY FINESSE has just been racing evenly and could use a good setup. (3) LIMA RITCH is very inconsistent from week to week.

Race 5

(1) BOUNTY will look to rebound down in class benefiting from the best post. (2) ACTION-EAR-TO-EAR has just been racing evenly but is capable at this level. (5) NANNIE OAKLY picks up the top driver against much weaker.

Race 6

(9) BETTER TO BELIEVE well bred pacer should find this spot much more to his liking. (5) KIRKTONS CREDIT is one of few contenders in the race and will offer a nice price. (4) CHICAGOSONAROLL will look to make it three wins in four starts.

Race 7

(7) MARGARITA MAN takes a huge dropdown with the top driver. (9) ALLSTAR-JOSH shows some good miles but has question marks coming to the small track. (3) QUANTUM CASHMAN put in two good efforts in a row.

Race 8

(3) ONEFINEJIMMERJOHN raced well a few weeks ago against a slightly better bunch. (4) MODEL NINETYFOUR will look to make it two straight at against similar. (9) COLD HEARTED SHARK gets sent out for the top barn but has been inconsistent from week to week.

Race 9

(5) CRAZOLO five-year-old is just now back in racing shape and should be ready for an improved effort. (1) WHERES THE CLICKER gets the best post in a field full of question marks. (4) ERGO HANOVER could need a start but was sharp in the qualifier.

Race 10

(1) ARTS-ROCKSTAR picks up a huge driver change; threat. (8) GAMBLERS ANONYMOUS shouldn't be counted out even with the tough post. The mare's last effort might be good enough to repeat. (3) MS SOLONGBYEBYE has always been camera shy; fires late.

Race 11

(1) P L DRAGON might offer the better price of the contenders. (5) PROMISED THE MOON veteran pacer was sharp last start winning for the first time in more than two years. (6) ART BETTER NOW picks up the top driver in against a suspect bunch.

Race 12

(3) FLYING MUSCLES should be much closer turning for home this week. (4) MAKIN GREEN LAVEC has made the most money in the field on the year. (2) HELLO CHIPPER trotting mare looks to be in line for a nice trip up close.

Race 13

(5) GUN SHOW gelding gets a big post edge on his main rival. (8) IMA NUISANCE if the stallion can find a way to get towed into it or a decent early spot off the gate he can threaten. (2) RIVER CITY has been competitive in two straight.

Race 14

(5) JULIANA'S DIRECTOR was impressive last week against similar. (7) KATIE AND J will need more to pick off the top choice. (9) BONJOUR MADAM has yet to win on the year but is one of few in the race that's shown a good burst of speed.

Race 15

(4) LYNARD picks up a big driver change in a field full of question marks. (9) WINTER CRUISE burned cash at this level last week; use caution. (1) GUNNIN' FORAFIGHT gets the best post against a suspect bunch.
 
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SPOT PLAYS

For Wednesday

TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE

Aqueduct (7th) Roll Tide Roll, 3-1
(8th) Bay of Plenty, 3-1


Charles Town (2nd) Go Go Romeo, 5-1
(8th) Charitable Carly, 7-2


Churchill Downs (1st) Conquest Bigluck E, 5-1
(10th) Otto's Dream, 7-2


Delta Downs (4th) Parkers Nite Out, 9-2
(9th) Boston Salt, 5-1


Finger Lakes (4th) Bold Mark, 6-1
(9th) Tactical Pal, 10-1


Gulfstream Park West (1st) Sky Guy, 8-1
(6th) Glace, 6-1


Hawthorne (1st) Warrior's Magic, 4-1
(9th) J Jett, 3-1


Mahoning Valley (2nd) Ten Cent Hat, 6-1
(8th) Pure Trust, 9-2


Mountaineer (2nd) Porter Central, 7-2
(7th) Hobnob Hill, 6-1


Penn National (3rd) Street Maven, 9-2
(8th) Blumin Sweetheart, 6-1


Remington Park (1st) Kelly Belly Kid, 7-2
(9th) Morongo, 4-1


Turf Paradise (4th) Bonita Sexy, 4-1
(6th) Red Globe, 3-1


Woodbine (5th) Bit's Lover Boy, 10-1
(7th) Spanish Brigadier, 8-1
 
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Wednesday’s six-pack

—*Kentucky 69, Michigan State 48— Spartans start out 0-2.

— Baylor 66, Oregon 49— Ducks’ best player didn’t play.

— Indiana State 80, Ball State 74 OT— Good win for Larry Bird’s alma mater

— Dayton 77, Alabama 72— Crimson Tide is lot better than they were last year.

— South Carolina 70, Monmouth 69 OT— Will games like this serve the Hawks well at MAAC tourney in March?

— George Washington 77, Siena 75— Rough day/night for the MAAC, going 1-6, with only win against Dartmouth.
 
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Dave Cokin

Bonus Play Wednesday

A miss with La Salle as the Tuesday Bonus Play. That’s two in a row the wrong way following a hot run, so let’s see about returning to the win column with a big dog comp tonight.

305 BALL STATE at 306 TOLEDO 7:00 PM

Take: BALL STATE +21

Toledo is a heavy favorite to defeat Ball State in Wednesday MACtion. It’s obviously not a scintillating matchup on paper as the Rockets are the significantly superior team.

But this is also one of those games where there’s an underlying factor that could at least impact the spread result. Toledo still has designs on getting to the MAC title game. The Rockets need to win here and then find a way to register the upset next Friday night when they visit powerful Western Michigan.

The margin doesn’t mean a thing, and the only task tonight for the home team is to simply avoid getting upset. I wouldn’t blame anyone on the Toledo roster for being a bit compacent tonight against the lowly Cardinals. That qualifies this game as a look ahead spot for Toledo, and covering a gigantic spread might not be easy under these conditions.

Ball State has been its own worst enemy en route to a meager 1-5 MAC record. The Cardinals have a terrible -10 net turnover stat over their last five games, and they’re simply not close to being good enough to overcome that kind of handicap. That’s my biggest concern here. If Ball State goes into Santa Claus mode again, they’re probably going to get crushed.

Nevertheless, it’s a spot where I’ve got an opportunity to take roughly three touchdowns against a team that basically just wants to get off the field with a win in which they stay healthy. I believe under these conditions, the number is probably a little too high, so I’m taking the plunge with Ball State and the big points.
 
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Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Wednesday, November 16, 2016

Your free pick for Wednesday, November 16, 2016 comes in the NBA as Memphis heads to the Clippers at the Staples Center. Memphis plays strong defense, 24-10 under the total against the NBA Pacific division, plus 16-7 under away against a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. LA can play any style and is 20-6 under the total at home. The Under is 34-15-2 in Clippers last 51 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. And when these teams clash the under is 6-1-1, including 4-0 under in this building.

Play Memphis/LA Clippers Under the total.
 
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Red Dog Sports

Corinthians vs Figueirense FC

Bonus Play on the Draw when these two play in Brazil.

Figurense 1

Corinthians 1
 

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