1* heat +2.5
at this point the question is will i ever win on a side? MIAMI has played 5 straight quarters of good ball. they were very mediocre for most of the game in NY and got slaughtered for it but they put a 40 point 4th quarter together and then they killed the kings at home last night. the bobcats are going to have a real issue scoring this year and MIAMI just held sac town to 3 of 4 quarters of less than 20 points. the caveat is that the bobcats are at home and they could be a totally different team at home than on the road but they are gonna have to put up 100 points to beat the heat and i don't think they have it in them.
at this point the question is will i ever win on a side? MIAMI has played 5 straight quarters of good ball. they were very mediocre for most of the game in NY and got slaughtered for it but they put a 40 point 4th quarter together and then they killed the kings at home last night. the bobcats are going to have a real issue scoring this year and MIAMI just held sac town to 3 of 4 quarters of less than 20 points. the caveat is that the bobcats are at home and they could be a totally different team at home than on the road but they are gonna have to put up 100 points to beat the heat and i don't think they have it in them.
probably not... possibly without chandler and peja... i might like the under.
1* Iguodala under 19.5 -130
1* Bibby under 22.5 p+a -130
nasty vig on both of these but enough in value to justify it. i put both of these off by at least 5 points.
i am trying to justify wade under 24.5 points which could be had at +135... ray felton is horrible on D tho so i am going to pass.
trying to figure out how they can put the bobcats TT at 97.
i also like boston under 98.5 but just have no clue how much D indiana will play at home. i don't think scoring a lot of points is part of bostons plan to win games on the road.
1* orlando under 105.5 -115
magic avg 104.5 last year, they are avging 84.5 this year (small sample, sure..), kings giving up 100.5 a game and they just got blown out by miami who put up 103...
asking Dallas to score 104.5 on the road seems like a tricky thing to do but they put up a decent amount on houston's good D... probably a good time sit back and see what happens.
1* hornets under 96 -115
cavs actually one of the best defensive teams in the league. a healthy boston team put up 90 on them in boston and new orleans is dinged up. hornets are tempting based off of their two games this year in which they are averaging 108 but that is against phx and golden state. cavs are a totally different style of team.
i am eye balling the thunder under as well as raptors over but i am tired of looking at this crap for now.
i also like boston under 98.5 but just have no clue how much D indiana will play at home. i don't think scoring a lot of points is part of bostons plan to win games on the road.
1* orlando under 105.5 -115
magic avg 104.5 last year, they are avging 84.5 this year (small sample, sure..), kings giving up 100.5 a game and they just got blown out by miami who put up 103...
asking Dallas to score 104.5 on the road seems like a tricky thing to do but they put up a decent amount on houston's good D... probably a good time sit back and see what happens.
1* hornets under 96 -115
cavs actually one of the best defensive teams in the league. a healthy boston team put up 90 on them in boston and new orleans is dinged up. hornets are tempting based off of their two games this year in which they are averaging 108 but that is against phx and golden state. cavs are a totally different style of team.
i am eye balling the thunder under as well as raptors over but i am tired of looking at this crap for now.
sides: 0-7 -11 units
ml: 0-2 -1 unit
parlays: 1-0 +1.1 units
teasers: 1-0 +1 unit
props: 5-1 +3.7 units
team totals: 4-4 -.6 units
2nd halfers: 3-2 +.7 units
overall: 13-16 -6.1 units
getting killed so far this year. yet to hit a side or a ML lost the bibby prop to free throws with only a couple of seconds left... memphis up going into the fourth yet they manage to lose by 10... all stuff that happens all throughout the season, just something you except... it's why the swings are worse for me than any other sport.
hopefully i can cap my way out of it tonight.
ml: 0-2 -1 unit
parlays: 1-0 +1.1 units
teasers: 1-0 +1 unit
props: 5-1 +3.7 units
team totals: 4-4 -.6 units
2nd halfers: 3-2 +.7 units
overall: 13-16 -6.1 units
getting killed so far this year. yet to hit a side or a ML lost the bibby prop to free throws with only a couple of seconds left... memphis up going into the fourth yet they manage to lose by 10... all stuff that happens all throughout the season, just something you except... it's why the swings are worse for me than any other sport.
hopefully i can cap my way out of it tonight.
elton brand over 34.5 +105
this is a bad number with good vig. i know why the under on this got pounded to where the over is positive but i am fine with it. the kings have no one in the middle to slow down brand.
andre miller over 22.5 p+a +105
talk about all of your eggs in one basket. my thoughts are simple on this and the brand bet. the sixers are playing at home against a team who is giving up 107 a game... very similar to the knicks matchup that would have seen miller and brand go over these numbers.
it would be risky if i was not getting +105...
this is a bad number with good vig. i know why the under on this got pounded to where the over is positive but i am fine with it. the kings have no one in the middle to slow down brand.
andre miller over 22.5 p+a +105
talk about all of your eggs in one basket. my thoughts are simple on this and the brand bet. the sixers are playing at home against a team who is giving up 107 a game... very similar to the knicks matchup that would have seen miller and brand go over these numbers.
it would be risky if i was not getting +105...
