Just cause you say "chase chase chase" it doesn't make it okay. What will the unit level be after today's losing card? All 5 units on run lines?
Truly why argue with you, you and siege are the must brutal cappers on this site. It's a train wreck with both of you...no wonder you wont take a capping contest unless I lay 2 to 1. Ironic that your rational for this, is that you believe I won't pay 2k if I lose but for some reason you feel better about me paying 4k..haha.
Will have to agree to disagree.
I can point to a positive ROI in 2018 MLB (games, series, playoffs), 2018 NFL (regular season and playoffs combined), 2018 CFB, 2018-19 NBA regular season, 2018-19 CBB regular season . Only losing "season" I've had on this site was this year's March Madness, and that was more than offset by my regular season.
I probably had one of the most successful baseball seasons at the RX last season, and by far the best playoffs. I am actually betting a lot more chalk this year than last year so far (32% of bets at worse than EVEN odds). Hitting RL's and alternate lines are how you win at baseball. Your buddy stock07 even said on this site that I came out on top on baseball last year, and that no one could argue it -- and that was before my insane run in the playoffs.
I believe my strategy will pay off long term and that I will get out of the slump and end up in the black yet again. I was down a few grand last year at this time, so I have faith things will turn around. You only have to win about 3 out of every 7 wagers to be profitable if you flat bet at these prices. Doubling down on certain teams absolutely works in this sport. Last year was a perfect example of this -- look at how much I profited off of Boston and Oakland alone. I will pound certain teams hard this year again.
I generally struggle early on in seasons across all sports because PWP modeling isn't as accurate with smaller sample sizes of data. It's hard to determine an optimal exponent factor to use in data modeling with such little data, as the SSR line that you produce will be roughly even at this time of year for several different exponents. I think as the season , you'll see the difference in SSR spread out to the point where you can focus in on one exponent and plug away with that one. You can look at 2018 MLB as an example, as well as this year's NBA and CBB threads. I was 52-26 in my final 78 plays after a dreadful start....more available data generally makes for better PWP modeling and analysis.
