Prop Plays for UFC on FOX 21
from MMA Odds Breaker
Anthony Pettis (-200) vs Charles Oliveira (+185)
Pettis in Round One (+285) 1u to win 2.85u
I think Pettis winning this fight by T/KO is the most likely outcome, and I think he gets the job done inside of the opening round.
Kevin Casey (+185) vs Sam Alvey (-225)
Alvey by Decision (+340) 1u to win 3.4u
I think it is 50/50 as to whether Alvey defeats Casey via T/KO or on the judges’ scorecards, depending on Casey’s approach to the bout. Perhaps 45/55, with me favoring the decision slightly more. Casey has good fight IQ so I could see him fighting a smart fight and making it to the scorecards, where he loses a lackluster decision. I think he knows he can easily get knocked out and will be looking to avoid mistakes. That in mind, Alvey by T/KO is at +105 and Alvey by Decision is +340. Guess which one I’m taking.
Felipe Silva (+115) vs Shane Campbell (-125)
Silva by T/KO (+310) 1u to win 3.1u
To put it simply, while Campbell is a talented offensive striker, he has holes in his defense on the feet. I think Silva is someone who is capable of exposing them and ending the fight in dramatic, highlight reel fashion.
Alessio Di Chirico (-245) vs Garreth McLellan (+225)
Di Chirico by Decision (+200) 1u to win 2u
I expect this to be a one-sided contest in favor of Di Chirico. I could easily see him putting McLellan away, but the South African fighter is very tough, always game and hard to finish, which makes me favor a victory on the judges’ scorecards more. At +200, I think it’s worth a play.
Chad Laprise (-280) vs Thibault Gouti (+255)
Gouti by T/KO (+500) .5u to win 2.5u
Gouti in Round One (+850) .5u to win 4.25u
Gouti by Decision (+580) .5u to win 2.9u
Gouti +3.5 (-125) 2.5u to win 2u
from MMA Odds Breaker
Anthony Pettis (-200) vs Charles Oliveira (+185)
Pettis in Round One (+285) 1u to win 2.85u
I think Pettis winning this fight by T/KO is the most likely outcome, and I think he gets the job done inside of the opening round.
Kevin Casey (+185) vs Sam Alvey (-225)
Alvey by Decision (+340) 1u to win 3.4u
I think it is 50/50 as to whether Alvey defeats Casey via T/KO or on the judges’ scorecards, depending on Casey’s approach to the bout. Perhaps 45/55, with me favoring the decision slightly more. Casey has good fight IQ so I could see him fighting a smart fight and making it to the scorecards, where he loses a lackluster decision. I think he knows he can easily get knocked out and will be looking to avoid mistakes. That in mind, Alvey by T/KO is at +105 and Alvey by Decision is +340. Guess which one I’m taking.
Felipe Silva (+115) vs Shane Campbell (-125)
Silva by T/KO (+310) 1u to win 3.1u
To put it simply, while Campbell is a talented offensive striker, he has holes in his defense on the feet. I think Silva is someone who is capable of exposing them and ending the fight in dramatic, highlight reel fashion.
Alessio Di Chirico (-245) vs Garreth McLellan (+225)
Di Chirico by Decision (+200) 1u to win 2u
I expect this to be a one-sided contest in favor of Di Chirico. I could easily see him putting McLellan away, but the South African fighter is very tough, always game and hard to finish, which makes me favor a victory on the judges’ scorecards more. At +200, I think it’s worth a play.
Chad Laprise (-280) vs Thibault Gouti (+255)
Gouti by T/KO (+500) .5u to win 2.5u
Gouti in Round One (+850) .5u to win 4.25u
Gouti by Decision (+580) .5u to win 2.9u
Gouti +3.5 (-125) 2.5u to win 2u
