Gargamel, thanks for posting this.
Big Al's only two CBB picks yesterday were dogs who not only covered, but won outright. Coppin St. +15 winning by 7.
I didn't think my post Sunday (Sunday service play thread, #26) in response to your warning that Al is due for a "massive regression" was irreverent, or disprespectful in any way. I just re-read it and still don't see it. But if you took offense, I respect that you interpreted it differently. I am sorry.
I wanted to give a different perspective of what is essentially an economic theory of models and forecasts. I think there are flaws in applying an economic regression analysis to capping generally, especially if the methodology isn't known. Please PM me if I said something that troubled you. I agree that it's highly improbable for anyone to sustain an 80% win rate over time. I just had a different view of whether and how that would end for Big Al.
I think the only ones I offended were the ones who don't like discussions on the service play board (I understand that), and just want picks and plays.
So, no offense intended, sorry, and thanks for the posts.
-Dmazzy
PS: now let's all have a winning day!