But what if I already have beads, a bunch for Fat Tuesday, a big 'ole gal I'm cuddling with RIGHT NOW, and we've slammed far more than a dozen Hurricanes?
What number does Uncle Dave give this game out at please?
Happy Fat Tuesday! Hopefully nobody gets shot anywhere today.
Thank you for posting! And amusing me/us
Allie O'Neill
NHL | TORONTO @ BUFFALO | 02/21 | 7:30 PM EST
OVER 6.5
ANALYSIS: I'm going to lock in this play now, as I think there's a risk we could see it move to seven by tomorrow. Here we have two dominant offenses, but I don't have much confidence in either goaltender. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen already gave up five goals to the Leafs earlier this season in Toronto. Not to mention, UPL has really struggled at home, where he has a 3.82 GAA. On the contrary, while Ilya Samsonov has been amazing at home, the same can't be said on the road, where his GAA jumps to 3.02. The Sabres are the third highest scoring team in the league, putting up an average of 3.70 goals per game. Meanwhile, the Leafs offense scores 3.40. I don't see this game ending with fewer than six goals, so I'll take my chances on the over at 6.5.
NHL |
OVER 6.5
ANALYSIS: I'm going to lock in this play now, as I think there's a risk we could see it move to seven by tomorrow. Here we have two dominant offenses, but I don't have much confidence in either goaltender. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen already gave up five goals to the Leafs earlier this season in Toronto. Not to mention, UPL has really struggled at home, where he has a 3.82 GAA. On the contrary, while Ilya Samsonov has been amazing at home, the same can't be said on the road, where his GAA jumps to 3.02. The Sabres are the third highest scoring team in the league, putting up an average of 3.70 goals per game. Meanwhile, the Leafs offense scores 3.40. I don't see this game ending with fewer than six goals, so I'll take my chances on the over at 6.5.
Gargamel, thanks for posting this.
Big Al's only two CBB picks yesterday were dogs who not only covered, but won outright. Coppin St. +15 winning by 7.
I didn't think my post Sunday (Sunday service play thread, #26) in response to your warning that Al is due for a "massive regression" was irreverent, or disprespectful in any way. I just re-read it and still don't see it. But if you took offense, I respect that you interpreted it differently. I am sorry.
I wanted to give a different perspective of what is essentially an economic theory of models and forecasts. I think there are flaws in applying an economic regression analysis to capping generally, especially if the methodology isn't known. Please PM me if I said something that troubled you. I agree that it's highly improbable for anyone to sustain an 80% win rate over time. I just had a different view of whether and how that would end for Big Al.
I think the only ones I offended were the ones who don't like discussions on the service play board (I understand that), and just want picks and plays.
So, no offense intended, sorry, and thanks for the posts.
-Dmazzy
PS: now let's all have a winning day!
Attempted to insert a personal selection in the thread yesterday which was quickly purged. One thing we can't afford is introducing winning angles when critical thoughts on Uncle Dave's bass fishing trip require additional commentary.
That said:
Rob Veno
Selection:Texas/Iowa St Over (136)
Rating: D
That said:
Rob Veno
Selection:
Rating: D
