Larry Wallace
Jun 06 '17, 8:40 PM in 5h
MLB | Indians vs Rockies
Play on: Rockies +110 at 5Dimes
Going with the Rockies here. Senzatela is 5-1 with a 3.00 ERA in the first six career starts at Coors Field, and has permitted four runs in three of his last four starts, but won twice in that span - including eight scoreless innings against St. Louis. The 22-year-old Venezuelan, who shares the NL lead in victories, has six quality starts in his last 10 outings. Rockies 2B DJ LeMahieu and OF Charlie Blackmon each went 6-for-13 in the series as the Rockies took two of three over the weekend at San Diego. Look for a close game and the Rockies to squeak out the win and Holland to add to his league leading 22 saves.
Jun 06 '17, 8:40 PM in 5h
MLB | Indians vs Rockies
Play on: Rockies +110 at 5Dimes
Going with the Rockies here. Senzatela is 5-1 with a 3.00 ERA in the first six career starts at Coors Field, and has permitted four runs in three of his last four starts, but won twice in that span - including eight scoreless innings against St. Louis. The 22-year-old Venezuelan, who shares the NL lead in victories, has six quality starts in his last 10 outings. Rockies 2B DJ LeMahieu and OF Charlie Blackmon each went 6-for-13 in the series as the Rockies took two of three over the weekend at San Diego. Look for a close game and the Rockies to squeak out the win and Holland to add to his league leading 22 saves.
Handicappers Hub
Jun 06 '17, 7:40 PM in 4h
MLB | Giants vs Brewers
Play on: Brewers -135 at betonline
Chase Anderson is pitching lights out going 14 straight innings without giving up a run and allowing just 4 hits combined in his last 2 starts against much better offenses then what the Giants are sending out there tonight. Meanwhile, Matt Cain is coming in struggling 3-4 record and 4.53 ERA on the season and I love the Brewers to get to him tonight and get the W at home!
Jun 06 '17, 7:40 PM in 4h
MLB | Giants vs Brewers
Play on: Brewers -135 at betonline
Chase Anderson is pitching lights out going 14 straight innings without giving up a run and allowing just 4 hits combined in his last 2 starts against much better offenses then what the Giants are sending out there tonight. Meanwhile, Matt Cain is coming in struggling 3-4 record and 4.53 ERA on the season and I love the Brewers to get to him tonight and get the W at home!
Jack Jones
Jun 06 '17, 8:40 PM in 5h
MLB | Indians vs Rockies
Play on: Rockies +110 at 5Dimes
Jack's Free Pick Tuesday: Colorado Rockies +110
The Colorado Rockies have been undervalued all season. They have gone 36-23 on the year while profiting backers +14.8 units. And they are undervalued again here Tuesday as home underdogs to the Cleveland Indians, who are 29-26 and -11.5 units on the year.
Speaking of undervalued, Rockies' starter Antonio Senzatela has been just that. He is 7-2 with a 3.49 ERA and 1.164 WHIP in 11 starts this season. More impressive yet, Senzatela is 5-1 with a 3.00 ERA and 1.103 WHIP in six starts at hitter-friendly Coors Field.
Mike Clevinger has only made five starts for the Indians this season. He got off to a great start, but has come back down to reality of late. He is 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA in his last two starts, giving up 7 earned runs, 4 homers and 16 base runners over 11 2/3 innings.
The Indians are 1-8 in their last nine interleague games. Cleveland is 3-7 in Clevinger's last 10 starts. The Rockies are 6-1 in their last seven games following an off day. Colorado is 8-3 in Senzatela's 11 starts this season, including 5-1 in his six home starts. Bet the Rockies Tuesday.
Jun 06 '17, 8:40 PM in 5h
MLB | Indians vs Rockies
Play on: Rockies +110 at 5Dimes
Jack's Free Pick Tuesday: Colorado Rockies +110
The Colorado Rockies have been undervalued all season. They have gone 36-23 on the year while profiting backers +14.8 units. And they are undervalued again here Tuesday as home underdogs to the Cleveland Indians, who are 29-26 and -11.5 units on the year.
Speaking of undervalued, Rockies' starter Antonio Senzatela has been just that. He is 7-2 with a 3.49 ERA and 1.164 WHIP in 11 starts this season. More impressive yet, Senzatela is 5-1 with a 3.00 ERA and 1.103 WHIP in six starts at hitter-friendly Coors Field.
Mike Clevinger has only made five starts for the Indians this season. He got off to a great start, but has come back down to reality of late. He is 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA in his last two starts, giving up 7 earned runs, 4 homers and 16 base runners over 11 2/3 innings.
The Indians are 1-8 in their last nine interleague games. Cleveland is 3-7 in Clevinger's last 10 starts. The Rockies are 6-1 in their last seven games following an off day. Colorado is 8-3 in Senzatela's 11 starts this season, including 5-1 in his six home starts. Bet the Rockies Tuesday.
Jimmy Boyd
Jun 06 '17, 8:05 PM in 4h
MLB | Mets vs Rangers
Play on: Mets -139 at betonline
Free Pick on Mets -
I like the value here with New York against what I feel is a defeated Texas team that will struggle to bounce back after getting swept at home in a huge 3-game series against division rival Houston. A series that left the Rangers 15.5 games out of 1st place in the AL West in early June. Injuries are playing a big part of Texas' struggles in 2017 and they will be giving the rock to Dillon Gee for his first start of 2017. Gee will be plenty motivated to face his old team, but I just don't think it's going to be enough for him to guide his team to victory.
New York will counter with Jacob deGrom, who is coming off an ugly outing at home against the Brewers, where he gave up 7 runs on 8 hits and 5 walks in just 4 innings of work. Prior to that he had been dominant in his previous two starts and when he is on, he's as good as it gets. I think he's primed for a strong outing here against the Rangers, who are just 6-17 in their last 23 home games after losing 5 or 6 of their last 7 and 7-24 in their last 31 games as an underdog. Take New York!
Jun 06 '17, 8:05 PM in 4h
MLB | Mets vs Rangers
Play on: Mets -139 at betonline
Free Pick on Mets -
I like the value here with New York against what I feel is a defeated Texas team that will struggle to bounce back after getting swept at home in a huge 3-game series against division rival Houston. A series that left the Rangers 15.5 games out of 1st place in the AL West in early June. Injuries are playing a big part of Texas' struggles in 2017 and they will be giving the rock to Dillon Gee for his first start of 2017. Gee will be plenty motivated to face his old team, but I just don't think it's going to be enough for him to guide his team to victory.
New York will counter with Jacob deGrom, who is coming off an ugly outing at home against the Brewers, where he gave up 7 runs on 8 hits and 5 walks in just 4 innings of work. Prior to that he had been dominant in his previous two starts and when he is on, he's as good as it gets. I think he's primed for a strong outing here against the Rangers, who are just 6-17 in their last 23 home games after losing 5 or 6 of their last 7 and 7-24 in their last 31 games as an underdog. Take New York!
Teddy Davis
Jun 06 '17, 7:35 PM in 4h
MLB | Phillies vs Braves
Play on: Braves -103 at GTBets
The Phillies have been playing but the Braves have the big advantage here tonight.
Garcia is in great form right now with a .42 ERA his last three starts. He also carries an impressive 1.88 ERA at home. He has had good scores against the Phillies as well with a 2.90 ERA for his career
Nola has a 5.42 ERA his last three starts and is winless during those 3 games. He is coming off a terrible 3 innings pitched against Miami. I don't trust him here
Jun 06 '17, 7:35 PM in 4h
MLB | Phillies vs Braves
Play on: Braves -103 at GTBets
The Phillies have been playing but the Braves have the big advantage here tonight.
Garcia is in great form right now with a .42 ERA his last three starts. He also carries an impressive 1.88 ERA at home. He has had good scores against the Phillies as well with a 2.90 ERA for his career
Nola has a 5.42 ERA his last three starts and is winless during those 3 games. He is coming off a terrible 3 innings pitched against Miami. I don't trust him here
SPORTS WAGERS
ATLANTA/Philly Over 8½
For the first 30 years that they were in Atlanta, the Braves played at Atlanta-Fulton County Stadium. It was known as the “Launching Pad,” as balls regularly flew out of the round, ashtray-type stadium that was a hitter’s paradise. It had the highest elevation in baseball, at least until Coors Field opened in Colorado in 1993. That was the big thought of why the balls carried so well and made ordinary hitters power hitters. So far this year at SunTrust Park, there has been an average of 2½ home runs per game. That’s the highest in the major leagues.
The players can even tell in batting practice when it’s a home run derby every day. Why is this new stadium different? Well, aside from that aforementioned elevation, home plate at SunTrust Park is pointed toward the southeast while Turner Field’s pointed north-northeast. Wind conditions are better. Right field in SunTrust Park is closer to home plate than it was in Turner Field — by five feet straight down the line and by 15 feet in the right-center field gap.
The beautiful thing right now is that the oddsmakers have not made the true adjustments. This park is playing like Coors Field and the total is like Citi Field. It’s absurd but it’s sweet as can be. We’ve been discussing other factors that affect the flight of the baseball and that, too, is in play here. There is a scale that takes into account humidity, as well as temperature and elevation-related barometric pressure that gives us an Air Density Index reading at every ballpark or zip code and the reading today at SunTrust Park is 57.91 and dropping. Keep in mind that Coors Field is generally in the low 50’s while almost all other parks are between 64 and 80. Also keep in mind that low Air Density Index means high scoring and a high density reading means low scoring. There are games from time to time at Coors Field that end up with five or six runs scored but those are few and far between and the same applies here. If the books posted totals of 8½ at Coors, they would get buried and we’re going to attempt to take advantage of this extreme house inefficiency until they make the adjustments.
COLORADO -1½ +201 over Cleveland
We’re not going to go into a lot of details here regarding the pitchers because it matters not when playing at Coors Field. We are going to commit to playing the underdog all season long at Coors Field on the ALTERNATIVE run line. What that means is that we are playing the remainder of Colorado’s home games this season and we’ll be playing the underdog in each game, whether it’s the Rocks or the opposition and we’ll be playing it regardless of who’s pitching. We’re suggesting that this wager has nothing but big profits in store. With totals being in the 10 to 12½ range daily at this venue, far more games are decided by two runs or more than one run and the underdog wins just as much as the favorite. The pitching matchups rarely matter because even the best get rocked at this park. We’ll keep a running record on this angle all season long.
MILWAUKEE -1½ +161 over San Fran
The Brewers are a -125 favorite here, which is way the f**k off because they should be -160 or thereabouts. If this game was in San Fran and the Giants had Chase Anderson on their team and the Crew had Matt Cain on theirs, San Francisco would be at least a -170 favorite. That said, we’re not interested in spotting a quarter with the Brewers so once again, we’ll gamble a bit and lay the extra half run because there is tremendous value in that price too.
Chase Anderson has 29 K’s over his last 28 innings and comes into this start with an ERA/xERA split of 3.30/3.86. Anderson is pitching well and he usually gives his team a chance to win. We’ll elaborate more on Anderson when the time is right but he doesn’t have to be great here, as this one is all about fading Matt Cain.
Matt Cain is throwing every five days because the Giants are paying him 22.5M this season. If everything wasn’t about money, Cain would be on the golf course or mowing his lawn because he does not belong on the mound anymore. AT&T Park can make a lot of weak pitchers look good, like it did with Barry Zito for years and others. However, you get these stiffs on the road and it’s an entirely different story. At home, Cain is 3-2 with a 1.82 ERA but on the road, he’s 0-2 in five starts with an 8.28 ERA. Cain’s swinging strike rate in his last start was 1%. If pitchers didn’t bat, it might have been 0%. In 25 road innings over those five starts, Cain has walked 16 batters and struck out 12. Overall, Cain’s swing and miss rate is 4%. His overall WHIP is 1.54 but on the road it is 1.88. Matt Cain cannot avoid trouble here. He’ll be pitching with men on base all game and he’s likely not going to make it past four innings. The Giants weak pen will follow against a Brewers’ offense that is completely legit and very dangerous.
San Diego +174 over ARIZONA
Robbie Ray is coming off a complete game shutout in Pittsburgh in which he struck out 10 batters. Complete game shutouts these days are becoming as rare as no-hitters. Ray has now thrown three successive gems in a row in which he threw seven innings or more and didn’t allow a single run! Ray has now thrown 23.2 consecutive shutout innings with a BB/K split of 3/25 so his stock is through the roof. However, all three were on the road. Before those three games, Ray had an ERA of 4.57. His ERA at Chase Field is 6.75. He’s thrown 110, 102 and 115 pitches respectively over those past three starts so this could one in which he’s just not as sharp. Ray has been featured as an undervalued pitcher in this space for a couple of years now so what he’s doing comes as no surprise to us. He has the goods but the Diamondbacks decided to skip over him on Sunday to give him an extra day rest and now he’ll break routine to pitch here. Robbie Ray is legit but his 33% groundball rate does not and has not played well at this park. You will pay a hefty price to back Ray here against an unknown pitcher with just two major-league starts to his credit.
Through two starts in the big leagues, Padres right-hander Dinelson Lamet has caught our attention. On Tuesday night against the Cubs, Lamet generated an outstanding 17 swinging strikes over 93 pitches, including 10 with his slider. Lamet has generated 28 swinging strikes through 184 pitches in his two starts, a 15.2% rate, which is well above the major-league average of 9.6% for starting pitchers. He has struck out 16 of the 42 batters he has faced, a 38% rate, which is also well above the major-league average of 20.3% for starting pitchers. He’s kept free passes under control, walking three of the 42 batters he’s faced, a 7.1% rate, slightly better than the league average of 8.3%.
It’s only two starts, but Lamet’s pure stuff jumps off the page. Lamet has averaged 95 mph with his fastball and has topped out at 98 mph. The average starting pitcher sits at 92.5 mph with his fastball. Here’s Lamet striking out Michael Conforto with 98 mph gas in the first inning of his start against the Mets last week.
Lamet’s slider has been highly effective. He’s generated 15 swinging strikes through 61 sliders thrown, a 24.5% rate with league average swinging-strike rate on a slider at around 15%. The pitch has sat between 83-88 mph and averaged about 86 mph. Here’s a back-foot slider thrown from Tuesday night that strikes out Jon Jay:
Lamet has also flashed a nasty change up. Lamet has sat 88-92 mph with his changeup and showcased some vicious movement on a few of them. This is a hard 92 mph change up that gets Jay Bruce to flinch before running over the plate for a called strike:
This is not the second coming of Clayton Kershaw here but Lamet’s performance has been too eye opening to ignore. His ability to miss bats with premium velocity and a nasty slider looks super legit, and he’s flashed a changeup that might be able to keep lefties off his fastball if he can find consistency with it. The 92 mph change he threw to Jay Bruce in his first big-league inning jumped out and showed a glimpse of what could be if he could harness a good third pitch to complement his electric fastball and slider combo. There will be growing pains but at this price against a team that has never seen him before, Lamet and the Padres are worth a bet.
ATLANTA/Philly Over 8½
For the first 30 years that they were in Atlanta, the Braves played at Atlanta-Fulton County Stadium. It was known as the “Launching Pad,” as balls regularly flew out of the round, ashtray-type stadium that was a hitter’s paradise. It had the highest elevation in baseball, at least until Coors Field opened in Colorado in 1993. That was the big thought of why the balls carried so well and made ordinary hitters power hitters. So far this year at SunTrust Park, there has been an average of 2½ home runs per game. That’s the highest in the major leagues.
The players can even tell in batting practice when it’s a home run derby every day. Why is this new stadium different? Well, aside from that aforementioned elevation, home plate at SunTrust Park is pointed toward the southeast while Turner Field’s pointed north-northeast. Wind conditions are better. Right field in SunTrust Park is closer to home plate than it was in Turner Field — by five feet straight down the line and by 15 feet in the right-center field gap.
The beautiful thing right now is that the oddsmakers have not made the true adjustments. This park is playing like Coors Field and the total is like Citi Field. It’s absurd but it’s sweet as can be. We’ve been discussing other factors that affect the flight of the baseball and that, too, is in play here. There is a scale that takes into account humidity, as well as temperature and elevation-related barometric pressure that gives us an Air Density Index reading at every ballpark or zip code and the reading today at SunTrust Park is 57.91 and dropping. Keep in mind that Coors Field is generally in the low 50’s while almost all other parks are between 64 and 80. Also keep in mind that low Air Density Index means high scoring and a high density reading means low scoring. There are games from time to time at Coors Field that end up with five or six runs scored but those are few and far between and the same applies here. If the books posted totals of 8½ at Coors, they would get buried and we’re going to attempt to take advantage of this extreme house inefficiency until they make the adjustments.
COLORADO -1½ +201 over Cleveland
We’re not going to go into a lot of details here regarding the pitchers because it matters not when playing at Coors Field. We are going to commit to playing the underdog all season long at Coors Field on the ALTERNATIVE run line. What that means is that we are playing the remainder of Colorado’s home games this season and we’ll be playing the underdog in each game, whether it’s the Rocks or the opposition and we’ll be playing it regardless of who’s pitching. We’re suggesting that this wager has nothing but big profits in store. With totals being in the 10 to 12½ range daily at this venue, far more games are decided by two runs or more than one run and the underdog wins just as much as the favorite. The pitching matchups rarely matter because even the best get rocked at this park. We’ll keep a running record on this angle all season long.
MILWAUKEE -1½ +161 over San Fran
The Brewers are a -125 favorite here, which is way the f**k off because they should be -160 or thereabouts. If this game was in San Fran and the Giants had Chase Anderson on their team and the Crew had Matt Cain on theirs, San Francisco would be at least a -170 favorite. That said, we’re not interested in spotting a quarter with the Brewers so once again, we’ll gamble a bit and lay the extra half run because there is tremendous value in that price too.
Chase Anderson has 29 K’s over his last 28 innings and comes into this start with an ERA/xERA split of 3.30/3.86. Anderson is pitching well and he usually gives his team a chance to win. We’ll elaborate more on Anderson when the time is right but he doesn’t have to be great here, as this one is all about fading Matt Cain.
Matt Cain is throwing every five days because the Giants are paying him 22.5M this season. If everything wasn’t about money, Cain would be on the golf course or mowing his lawn because he does not belong on the mound anymore. AT&T Park can make a lot of weak pitchers look good, like it did with Barry Zito for years and others. However, you get these stiffs on the road and it’s an entirely different story. At home, Cain is 3-2 with a 1.82 ERA but on the road, he’s 0-2 in five starts with an 8.28 ERA. Cain’s swinging strike rate in his last start was 1%. If pitchers didn’t bat, it might have been 0%. In 25 road innings over those five starts, Cain has walked 16 batters and struck out 12. Overall, Cain’s swing and miss rate is 4%. His overall WHIP is 1.54 but on the road it is 1.88. Matt Cain cannot avoid trouble here. He’ll be pitching with men on base all game and he’s likely not going to make it past four innings. The Giants weak pen will follow against a Brewers’ offense that is completely legit and very dangerous.
San Diego +174 over ARIZONA
Robbie Ray is coming off a complete game shutout in Pittsburgh in which he struck out 10 batters. Complete game shutouts these days are becoming as rare as no-hitters. Ray has now thrown three successive gems in a row in which he threw seven innings or more and didn’t allow a single run! Ray has now thrown 23.2 consecutive shutout innings with a BB/K split of 3/25 so his stock is through the roof. However, all three were on the road. Before those three games, Ray had an ERA of 4.57. His ERA at Chase Field is 6.75. He’s thrown 110, 102 and 115 pitches respectively over those past three starts so this could one in which he’s just not as sharp. Ray has been featured as an undervalued pitcher in this space for a couple of years now so what he’s doing comes as no surprise to us. He has the goods but the Diamondbacks decided to skip over him on Sunday to give him an extra day rest and now he’ll break routine to pitch here. Robbie Ray is legit but his 33% groundball rate does not and has not played well at this park. You will pay a hefty price to back Ray here against an unknown pitcher with just two major-league starts to his credit.
Through two starts in the big leagues, Padres right-hander Dinelson Lamet has caught our attention. On Tuesday night against the Cubs, Lamet generated an outstanding 17 swinging strikes over 93 pitches, including 10 with his slider. Lamet has generated 28 swinging strikes through 184 pitches in his two starts, a 15.2% rate, which is well above the major-league average of 9.6% for starting pitchers. He has struck out 16 of the 42 batters he has faced, a 38% rate, which is also well above the major-league average of 20.3% for starting pitchers. He’s kept free passes under control, walking three of the 42 batters he’s faced, a 7.1% rate, slightly better than the league average of 8.3%.
It’s only two starts, but Lamet’s pure stuff jumps off the page. Lamet has averaged 95 mph with his fastball and has topped out at 98 mph. The average starting pitcher sits at 92.5 mph with his fastball. Here’s Lamet striking out Michael Conforto with 98 mph gas in the first inning of his start against the Mets last week.
Lamet’s slider has been highly effective. He’s generated 15 swinging strikes through 61 sliders thrown, a 24.5% rate with league average swinging-strike rate on a slider at around 15%. The pitch has sat between 83-88 mph and averaged about 86 mph. Here’s a back-foot slider thrown from Tuesday night that strikes out Jon Jay:
Lamet has also flashed a nasty change up. Lamet has sat 88-92 mph with his changeup and showcased some vicious movement on a few of them. This is a hard 92 mph change up that gets Jay Bruce to flinch before running over the plate for a called strike:
This is not the second coming of Clayton Kershaw here but Lamet’s performance has been too eye opening to ignore. His ability to miss bats with premium velocity and a nasty slider looks super legit, and he’s flashed a changeup that might be able to keep lefties off his fastball if he can find consistency with it. The 92 mph change he threw to Jay Bruce in his first big-league inning jumped out and showed a glimpse of what could be if he could harness a good third pitch to complement his electric fastball and slider combo. There will be growing pains but at this price against a team that has never seen him before, Lamet and the Padres are worth a bet.
Dwayne Bryant
Phillies at Braves
Play: Under 8.5
Jaime Garcia's 57.1% GB% and Aaron Nola's 56.3% GB% put them 13th and 14th, respectively, among the 144 starters who have pitched at least 30 innings this season.
Nola owns a very respectable 3.78 xFIP, and active Braves hitters own a career combined .205 average and .297 wOBA against him. Nola is in a bounce-back spot after allowing a total of nine runs in nine innings over his last two starts.
Garcia is in a big-time groove. The Atlanta lefty has not allowed a single earned run in his last two starts, and has allowed just one earned run in his last 21 2/3 innings of work. Active Phillies hitters own a combined career .163 average, .368 OPS, and .165 wOBA against Garcia.
I'm not thrilled with either bullpen, which kept me from making a bigger bet here (I don't like F5 Totals).
Neither offense is anything special though. Considering the way Nola and Garcia have each handled tonight's opponent, I expect a lower scoring contest.
Phillies at Braves
Play: Under 8.5
Jaime Garcia's 57.1% GB% and Aaron Nola's 56.3% GB% put them 13th and 14th, respectively, among the 144 starters who have pitched at least 30 innings this season.
Nola owns a very respectable 3.78 xFIP, and active Braves hitters own a career combined .205 average and .297 wOBA against him. Nola is in a bounce-back spot after allowing a total of nine runs in nine innings over his last two starts.
Garcia is in a big-time groove. The Atlanta lefty has not allowed a single earned run in his last two starts, and has allowed just one earned run in his last 21 2/3 innings of work. Active Phillies hitters own a combined career .163 average, .368 OPS, and .165 wOBA against Garcia.
I'm not thrilled with either bullpen, which kept me from making a bigger bet here (I don't like F5 Totals).
Neither offense is anything special though. Considering the way Nola and Garcia have each handled tonight's opponent, I expect a lower scoring contest.
Will Rogers
Nationals at Dodgers
Pick: Nationals
The set-up: The Nationals visit Dodger Stadium for a a brief two-game series, having already gone 6-1 on the team's nine-game road trip. Washington owns an National League-best 36-20 record heading into tonight's opener against the Dodgers, who have lost four of their last six to fall one game back in the NL West of the Rockies at 35-24. Jayson Werth will miss the next week or so with a left foot contusion but Washington's offense leads the majors in nearly every category and is well-equipped to overcome Werth’s stay on the DL. LA's offense just scored a total of two runs in back-to-back Saturday and Sunday losses to the Brewers and on the season, is about middle-of-the-pack. The Dodgers are batting .252 as a team (14th in MLB) and average 4.83 RPG (10th). However, LA is 21-9 at home, where the Dodgers are averaging 5.40 RPG.
The pitching matchup: Max Scherzer (6-3 & 2.56 ERA) takes the mound for the Nats and Brandon McCarthy (5-2 & 3.38 ERA) gets the ball for the Dodgers. Scherzer recorded his first complete game of the season on Wednesday in San Francisco, allowing one run and striking out 11 without issuing a walk. He has registered double-digit strikeout totals in four of his last six starts and owns a 100-18 KW ratio on the season. Scherzer has allowed just 51 hits in 77 1/3 innings (0.89 WHIP) plus opponents hare batting only .186 against him after 11 starts in 2017. However, the Dodgers have given him trouble, he's 2-5 with a 3.53 ERA over 10 career starts (teams are 2-8!). McCarthy allowed two runs in four innings Thursday against St. Louis before leaving with a blister but said he felt fine during his bullpen session on Sunday. McCarthy has been very good at Dodger Stadium this season, going 3-0 with a 2.89 ERA in five starts (LA is 4-1 ). He last faced the Nationals on May 14, 2014 as a member of the Diamondbacks and settled for a no-decision despite allowing one run in eight innings. In two career starts against Washington, McCarthy is 0-1 with a 1.80 ERA and opponents BA of just .135 but his teams are 0-2 (?).
The pick: McCarthy has been particularly effective at home,(2.89 ERA in five starts while limiting opponents to a .212 batting average) and so have the Dodgers (21-9). However, the Nats are an impressive 20-11 on the road and I'll take Scherzer over McCarthy any day.
Nationals at Dodgers
Pick: Nationals
The set-up: The Nationals visit Dodger Stadium for a a brief two-game series, having already gone 6-1 on the team's nine-game road trip. Washington owns an National League-best 36-20 record heading into tonight's opener against the Dodgers, who have lost four of their last six to fall one game back in the NL West of the Rockies at 35-24. Jayson Werth will miss the next week or so with a left foot contusion but Washington's offense leads the majors in nearly every category and is well-equipped to overcome Werth’s stay on the DL. LA's offense just scored a total of two runs in back-to-back Saturday and Sunday losses to the Brewers and on the season, is about middle-of-the-pack. The Dodgers are batting .252 as a team (14th in MLB) and average 4.83 RPG (10th). However, LA is 21-9 at home, where the Dodgers are averaging 5.40 RPG.
The pitching matchup: Max Scherzer (6-3 & 2.56 ERA) takes the mound for the Nats and Brandon McCarthy (5-2 & 3.38 ERA) gets the ball for the Dodgers. Scherzer recorded his first complete game of the season on Wednesday in San Francisco, allowing one run and striking out 11 without issuing a walk. He has registered double-digit strikeout totals in four of his last six starts and owns a 100-18 KW ratio on the season. Scherzer has allowed just 51 hits in 77 1/3 innings (0.89 WHIP) plus opponents hare batting only .186 against him after 11 starts in 2017. However, the Dodgers have given him trouble, he's 2-5 with a 3.53 ERA over 10 career starts (teams are 2-8!). McCarthy allowed two runs in four innings Thursday against St. Louis before leaving with a blister but said he felt fine during his bullpen session on Sunday. McCarthy has been very good at Dodger Stadium this season, going 3-0 with a 2.89 ERA in five starts (LA is 4-1 ). He last faced the Nationals on May 14, 2014 as a member of the Diamondbacks and settled for a no-decision despite allowing one run in eight innings. In two career starts against Washington, McCarthy is 0-1 with a 1.80 ERA and opponents BA of just .135 but his teams are 0-2 (?).
The pick: McCarthy has been particularly effective at home,(2.89 ERA in five starts while limiting opponents to a .212 batting average) and so have the Dodgers (21-9). However, the Nats are an impressive 20-11 on the road and I'll take Scherzer over McCarthy any day.
Wesley Scott
Padres vs. Diamondbacks
Play: Padres +1½ -125
The San Diego Padres (23-25 Overall, 10-19 Away) visit the Arizona Diamondbacks (34-25 Overall, 21-8 Home) in game one of this three game set.
The San Diego Padres have a losing record so far this season, but have played better than their record indicates over the last two series.
The Padres Swept the Cubs and then took one of three against the Rockies. Playing them close in all but one game in the series.
San Diego sends Dinelson Lamet (2-0, 2.70 ERA) to the mound against the Diamondbacks. Lamet has never faced the Diamondbacks in his young career.
In his last outing, he lasted five innings, giving up two runs against the Cubs.
The Diamondbacks counter with the solid pitching of Robbie Ray (5-3, 3.00 ERA). Ray has been dominate in his last several starts. He has not given up a run since May 14th. That was against the Pirates in a 6-4 loss.
Sine the loss Ray is 3-0 in three starts, giving up eight hits and no runs! Those number are Cy Young consideration level, but Ray is not the same pitcher at home.
This season Ray is 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA in Arizona.
Padres vs. Diamondbacks
Play: Padres +1½ -125
The San Diego Padres (23-25 Overall, 10-19 Away) visit the Arizona Diamondbacks (34-25 Overall, 21-8 Home) in game one of this three game set.
The San Diego Padres have a losing record so far this season, but have played better than their record indicates over the last two series.
The Padres Swept the Cubs and then took one of three against the Rockies. Playing them close in all but one game in the series.
San Diego sends Dinelson Lamet (2-0, 2.70 ERA) to the mound against the Diamondbacks. Lamet has never faced the Diamondbacks in his young career.
In his last outing, he lasted five innings, giving up two runs against the Cubs.
The Diamondbacks counter with the solid pitching of Robbie Ray (5-3, 3.00 ERA). Ray has been dominate in his last several starts. He has not given up a run since May 14th. That was against the Pirates in a 6-4 loss.
Sine the loss Ray is 3-0 in three starts, giving up eight hits and no runs! Those number are Cy Young consideration level, but Ray is not the same pitcher at home.
This season Ray is 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA in Arizona.
WNBA
Dunkel
Tuesday, June 6
Chicago @ Los Angeles
Game 615-616
June 6, 2017 @ 10:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
103.406
Los Angeles
120.354
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles
by 17
157
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Los Angeles
by 13
164 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Los Angeles
(-13); Under
Seattle @ San Antonio
Game 613-614
June 6, 2017 @ 8:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
113.185
San Antonio
104.327
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 9
162
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 7
158 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-7); Over
Washington @ Dallas
Game 611-612
June 6, 2017 @ 8:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Washington
106.841
Dallas
114.005
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 7
153
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 2
162
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+2); Under
Dunkel
Tuesday, June 6
Chicago @ Los Angeles
Game 615-616
June 6, 2017 @ 10:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
103.406
Los Angeles
120.354
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles
by 17
157
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Los Angeles
by 13
164 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Los Angeles
(-13); Under
Seattle @ San Antonio
Game 613-614
June 6, 2017 @ 8:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
113.185
San Antonio
104.327
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 9
162
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 7
158 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-7); Over
Washington @ Dallas
Game 611-612
June 6, 2017 @ 8:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Washington
106.841
Dallas
114.005
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 7
153
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 2
162
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+2); Under
MLB Daily Line Drive: Tuesday's Picks, Betting Odds and Analysis
Double-Play Picks
San Francisco Giants at Milwaukee Brewers (-130, 9)
The Giants opened their four-game series in Milwaukee on Monday night with a tidy 7-2 victory over the Brewers. Just as we predicted in yesterday's Line Drive, the Brewers' bullpen was a problem and allowed five runs in the late innings to give the game away.
Yesterday we went with a First Five Innings wager on the Brewers and managed to escape with a 2-2 Push. We're going back to the well on more time Tuesday night.
This matchup of starting pitchers comes down to home/road splits. Matt Cain gets the ball for the Giants and he owns a dismal 0-2 win/loss record with an ERA of 8.28 on the road this season. His opponents on base percentage is at .402 with a massive WHIP of 1.96.
Chase Anderson, on the other hand, owns a 2.12 ERA when throwing from the Miller Park rubber in 2017 with an opponents on base percentage of .279 and a WHIP of 1.11.
One aspect of the Brewers that we don't trust tonight (or seemingly ever) is their bullpen. They possess one of the worst bullpens in baseball over the first two months of the season with an ERA of 4.11, 11 blown saves (second most in MLB), and a major league high 17 losses (including last night).
All of this info wrapped up together is screaming for another First Five Innings wager on the Milwaukee Brewers.
Pick: Brewers 1st 5 innings (-135)
St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds (+113, 9.5)
The Cardinals were still licking their wounds after getting swept this past weekend against the Cubs and dropped their opener with the Reds Monday night in Cincinnati. St. Louis will look to get back on track and even their four-game set at one.
Luckily for the Cards, they couldn’t be sending a better guy to the mound to snap a losing streak. Adam Wainwright toes the rubber for Game 2 and the veteran right-hander is looking like his old self. Wainwright has allowed just one earned run in his last four starts, scattering just 16 hits over 26.1 innings of work. That equates to a 0.34 ERA and a 0.911 WHIP in those four starts.
The Reds counter with Tim Adleman. The 29-year-old second year right-hander has struggled versus the Cardinals during his young career. Adleman is 1-2 in three career starts against St. Louis, pitching to a 5.19 ERA. That includes a meeting earlier this season, back on April 28th, when the Cardinals chased him from the game after six runs (five earned) on eight hits, plus two home runs, in 5.1 innings of work.
The Reds also rank last in the majors in starter ERA at 6.06 and rank 27th in quality starts with just 20.
Cincinnati can score runs, but Wainwright is more than capable of shutting them down and look for the opportunistic St. Louis bats to take advantage early versus Adelman. Look for Wainwright to keep rolling.
Pick: Cardinals -123
Yesterday's Picks: 1-0-1
Season To Date: 55-43-6
Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers
Streaking: Robbie Ray, Arizona Diamondbacks (5-3, 3.00 ERA, $250)
The Houston Astros have been awesome so far in 2017 (and their current 11-game road winning streak is very impressive), but for our money the biggest story across Major League Baseball over the past few weeks has been Robbie Ray of the Diamondbacks.
He's had his struggles in the past, and has been one of those starters that you look for on the schedule as a very strong fade option, but something has clicked on for him over his last three starts. 23.2 innings, zero runs allowed, six hits allowed, 25 K/3 BB...it simply doesn't get any better than those number over a three-game span.
Ray and the D-Backs are big -200 favorites at home tonight against the Padres.
Slumping: Jose Quintana, Chicago White Sox (2-7, 5.60 ERA, $-314)
If Jose Quintana has any desire of getting out of Chicago and pitching for a contending team at any point this season he had better start pitching better...soon.
Over his last two starts, Quintana has hardly looked like a starting pitcher who belongs in the major leagues, let alone someone who should be in the starting rotation for a potential playoff team. Seven total innings over his last two starts with 15 hits allowed and an ERA of 19.29. Good luck getting any top prospects in return, Mr. Hahn.
Quintana and the White Sox are +155 underdogs tonight in Tampa against Chris Archer and the Rays.
Tuesday's Top Trends
* The Chicago White Sox are 3-13 in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. +155 today @ Rays.
* The Miami Marlins are 0-6 in the last 6 meetings in Chicago. +160 today @ Cubs.
* Over is 15-3-3 in The New York Mets' last 21 road games. Mets/Rangers Total: 9.5.
* The Houston Astros have won their last 11 overall and their last 11 road games. -140 today @ Royals.
Weather To Keep An Eye On
There is no precipitation in the MLB forecast for today, which is great news.
Hitter's winds could be a factor in a few ballparks this evening:
- Cardinals at Reds (Total: 9): 10 MPH wind blowing out to right field.
- Angels at Tigers (Total: 9): 13-15 MPH wind blowing out to right-center field.
- Mets at Rangers (Total: 9.5): 10 MPH wind blowing out to right field.
- Blue Jays at Athletics (Total: 8): 13-15 MPH wind blowing out to center field.
The daily check of the winds at Wrigley Field in Chicago shows that there will be a 12-15 miles per hour wind blowing in from left field.
Ump Of The Day
Pat Hoberg: Pretty good news for the Oakland A's today as Pat Hoberg will be calling balls and strikes for their game tonight against the Toronto Blue Jays. There have been 88 umpires thus far in 2017 who have officiated at least one game behind home plate and Hoberg ranks as the No. 12 homer umpire at 6-2. The A's have also been very successful with Hoberg behind the dish, winning five of their last six games with him in control.
The A's are +130 home underdogs tonight.
Double-Play Picks
San Francisco Giants at Milwaukee Brewers (-130, 9)
The Giants opened their four-game series in Milwaukee on Monday night with a tidy 7-2 victory over the Brewers. Just as we predicted in yesterday's Line Drive, the Brewers' bullpen was a problem and allowed five runs in the late innings to give the game away.
Yesterday we went with a First Five Innings wager on the Brewers and managed to escape with a 2-2 Push. We're going back to the well on more time Tuesday night.
This matchup of starting pitchers comes down to home/road splits. Matt Cain gets the ball for the Giants and he owns a dismal 0-2 win/loss record with an ERA of 8.28 on the road this season. His opponents on base percentage is at .402 with a massive WHIP of 1.96.
Chase Anderson, on the other hand, owns a 2.12 ERA when throwing from the Miller Park rubber in 2017 with an opponents on base percentage of .279 and a WHIP of 1.11.
One aspect of the Brewers that we don't trust tonight (or seemingly ever) is their bullpen. They possess one of the worst bullpens in baseball over the first two months of the season with an ERA of 4.11, 11 blown saves (second most in MLB), and a major league high 17 losses (including last night).
All of this info wrapped up together is screaming for another First Five Innings wager on the Milwaukee Brewers.
Pick: Brewers 1st 5 innings (-135)
St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds (+113, 9.5)
The Cardinals were still licking their wounds after getting swept this past weekend against the Cubs and dropped their opener with the Reds Monday night in Cincinnati. St. Louis will look to get back on track and even their four-game set at one.
Luckily for the Cards, they couldn’t be sending a better guy to the mound to snap a losing streak. Adam Wainwright toes the rubber for Game 2 and the veteran right-hander is looking like his old self. Wainwright has allowed just one earned run in his last four starts, scattering just 16 hits over 26.1 innings of work. That equates to a 0.34 ERA and a 0.911 WHIP in those four starts.
The Reds counter with Tim Adleman. The 29-year-old second year right-hander has struggled versus the Cardinals during his young career. Adleman is 1-2 in three career starts against St. Louis, pitching to a 5.19 ERA. That includes a meeting earlier this season, back on April 28th, when the Cardinals chased him from the game after six runs (five earned) on eight hits, plus two home runs, in 5.1 innings of work.
The Reds also rank last in the majors in starter ERA at 6.06 and rank 27th in quality starts with just 20.
Cincinnati can score runs, but Wainwright is more than capable of shutting them down and look for the opportunistic St. Louis bats to take advantage early versus Adelman. Look for Wainwright to keep rolling.
Pick: Cardinals -123
Yesterday's Picks: 1-0-1
Season To Date: 55-43-6
Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers
Streaking: Robbie Ray, Arizona Diamondbacks (5-3, 3.00 ERA, $250)
The Houston Astros have been awesome so far in 2017 (and their current 11-game road winning streak is very impressive), but for our money the biggest story across Major League Baseball over the past few weeks has been Robbie Ray of the Diamondbacks.
He's had his struggles in the past, and has been one of those starters that you look for on the schedule as a very strong fade option, but something has clicked on for him over his last three starts. 23.2 innings, zero runs allowed, six hits allowed, 25 K/3 BB...it simply doesn't get any better than those number over a three-game span.
Ray and the D-Backs are big -200 favorites at home tonight against the Padres.
Slumping: Jose Quintana, Chicago White Sox (2-7, 5.60 ERA, $-314)
If Jose Quintana has any desire of getting out of Chicago and pitching for a contending team at any point this season he had better start pitching better...soon.
Over his last two starts, Quintana has hardly looked like a starting pitcher who belongs in the major leagues, let alone someone who should be in the starting rotation for a potential playoff team. Seven total innings over his last two starts with 15 hits allowed and an ERA of 19.29. Good luck getting any top prospects in return, Mr. Hahn.
Quintana and the White Sox are +155 underdogs tonight in Tampa against Chris Archer and the Rays.
Tuesday's Top Trends
* The Chicago White Sox are 3-13 in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. +155 today @ Rays.
* The Miami Marlins are 0-6 in the last 6 meetings in Chicago. +160 today @ Cubs.
* Over is 15-3-3 in The New York Mets' last 21 road games. Mets/Rangers Total: 9.5.
* The Houston Astros have won their last 11 overall and their last 11 road games. -140 today @ Royals.
Weather To Keep An Eye On
There is no precipitation in the MLB forecast for today, which is great news.
Hitter's winds could be a factor in a few ballparks this evening:
- Cardinals at Reds (Total: 9): 10 MPH wind blowing out to right field.
- Angels at Tigers (Total: 9): 13-15 MPH wind blowing out to right-center field.
- Mets at Rangers (Total: 9.5): 10 MPH wind blowing out to right field.
- Blue Jays at Athletics (Total: 8): 13-15 MPH wind blowing out to center field.
The daily check of the winds at Wrigley Field in Chicago shows that there will be a 12-15 miles per hour wind blowing in from left field.
Ump Of The Day
Pat Hoberg: Pretty good news for the Oakland A's today as Pat Hoberg will be calling balls and strikes for their game tonight against the Toronto Blue Jays. There have been 88 umpires thus far in 2017 who have officiated at least one game behind home plate and Hoberg ranks as the No. 12 homer umpire at 6-2. The A's have also been very successful with Hoberg behind the dish, winning five of their last six games with him in control.
The A's are +130 home underdogs tonight.
Zack Cimini
Angels at Tigers
Pick: Angels
Former prized prospect Daniel Norris continues to struggle to find his path as a Detroit Tiger. His ERA of 4.47 should side step an Angels team continuing to be without Mike Trout. Angels starter Jesse Chavez has been a serviceable starter in an injury-plagued rotation. Grab the value here on the Angels to end the Tigers four game win-streak.
Angels at Tigers
Pick: Angels
Former prized prospect Daniel Norris continues to struggle to find his path as a Detroit Tiger. His ERA of 4.47 should side step an Angels team continuing to be without Mike Trout. Angels starter Jesse Chavez has been a serviceable starter in an injury-plagued rotation. Grab the value here on the Angels to end the Tigers four game win-streak.
Bruce Marshall
Mets at Rangers
Pick: Over
After sending for a police escort to get the Astros out of Arlington over the weekend, the Rangers have a slightly better assignment tonight vs. the Mets. Also a special night for Texas starter Dillon Gee against his old team. But trends suggest a higher-scoring game, as Texas was "over" 11-6 in 17 games before being shut down by Astros pitchers, while the Mets are "over" 34-11 in their last 45 "totals" decisions.
Mets at Rangers
Pick: Over
After sending for a police escort to get the Astros out of Arlington over the weekend, the Rangers have a slightly better assignment tonight vs. the Mets. Also a special night for Texas starter Dillon Gee against his old team. But trends suggest a higher-scoring game, as Texas was "over" 11-6 in 17 games before being shut down by Astros pitchers, while the Mets are "over" 34-11 in their last 45 "totals" decisions.
Larry Ness
Nationals at Dodgers
Pick: Nationals
The Nats have upped their road record to 20-11 on the season by winning SIX of seven on their current nine-game road trip. Their trek concludes Tuesday and Wednesday with two more games at Dodger Stadium (won 4-2 last night). The Nats own the NL;'s best record (36-20) and with no other NL East team better than 24-31, own a dominating 11 1/2 game lead in the division. The 35-24 Dodgers, who have won the NL West each of the last four seasons, find themselves in a tight-three way race with two surprising challengers. The 36-23 Rockies (75-87 in 2016) lead the Dodgers by a game and the 34-25 D'backs (just 69-93 last year) are just one game in back of the Dodgers.
The pitching matchup features Max Scherzer (6-3, 2.56 ERA) for the Nats and Brandon McCarthy (5-2, 3.38 ERA) of the Dodgers. Scherzer recorded his first complete game of the season on Wednesday in San Francisco, allowing one run and striking out 11 without issuing a walk. Scherzer has allowed just 51 hits in 77 1/3 innings and owns a 100-18 KW ratio, giving him an 0.89 WHIP (opponents are batting only .186 against him in 11 starts). However, he is just 2-4 with a 3.29 ERA in 10 career games (eight starts) against Los Angeles, including a 1-2 mark with a 3.98 in five outings at Dodger Stadium.
McCarthy allowed two runs in four innings Thursday against St. Louis before leaving with a blister (he says his fine, now). He has been very good at Dodger Stadium this season, going 3-0 with a 2.89 ERA in five starts, while limiting opponents to a .212 batting average (LA is 4-1 ). He's only faced the Nats twice in his career but despite a 1.80 ERA and opponents BA of just .135, he is 0-1 and his teams have lost both games (go figure?).
The Dodgers only manged a pair of runs in losing Sunday in Milwaukee and last night at home to the Nats and come in losers of four of their last six. However, the Dodgers are 21-9 at home, where they average 5.40 RPG. That said, despite Scherzer's lack of success in his career vs LA, he's one tough opponent who pitches for a team which averages 5.68 RPG and owns an OPS of .821 (both figures rank first in all of MLB). The Nats are also batting .276 as a team (ranks 2nd) and their 87 HRs rank 3rd. I'll take the road team.
Nationals at Dodgers
Pick: Nationals
The Nats have upped their road record to 20-11 on the season by winning SIX of seven on their current nine-game road trip. Their trek concludes Tuesday and Wednesday with two more games at Dodger Stadium (won 4-2 last night). The Nats own the NL;'s best record (36-20) and with no other NL East team better than 24-31, own a dominating 11 1/2 game lead in the division. The 35-24 Dodgers, who have won the NL West each of the last four seasons, find themselves in a tight-three way race with two surprising challengers. The 36-23 Rockies (75-87 in 2016) lead the Dodgers by a game and the 34-25 D'backs (just 69-93 last year) are just one game in back of the Dodgers.
The pitching matchup features Max Scherzer (6-3, 2.56 ERA) for the Nats and Brandon McCarthy (5-2, 3.38 ERA) of the Dodgers. Scherzer recorded his first complete game of the season on Wednesday in San Francisco, allowing one run and striking out 11 without issuing a walk. Scherzer has allowed just 51 hits in 77 1/3 innings and owns a 100-18 KW ratio, giving him an 0.89 WHIP (opponents are batting only .186 against him in 11 starts). However, he is just 2-4 with a 3.29 ERA in 10 career games (eight starts) against Los Angeles, including a 1-2 mark with a 3.98 in five outings at Dodger Stadium.
McCarthy allowed two runs in four innings Thursday against St. Louis before leaving with a blister (he says his fine, now). He has been very good at Dodger Stadium this season, going 3-0 with a 2.89 ERA in five starts, while limiting opponents to a .212 batting average (LA is 4-1 ). He's only faced the Nats twice in his career but despite a 1.80 ERA and opponents BA of just .135, he is 0-1 and his teams have lost both games (go figure?).
The Dodgers only manged a pair of runs in losing Sunday in Milwaukee and last night at home to the Nats and come in losers of four of their last six. However, the Dodgers are 21-9 at home, where they average 5.40 RPG. That said, despite Scherzer's lack of success in his career vs LA, he's one tough opponent who pitches for a team which averages 5.68 RPG and owns an OPS of .821 (both figures rank first in all of MLB). The Nats are also batting .276 as a team (ranks 2nd) and their 87 HRs rank 3rd. I'll take the road team.
Cal Sports
Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners
Play: Minnesota Twins +155
Almost considered making this a “play” with a 3* rating but there is plenty of value playing it for 2 units and doubling our money if it wins. The line is just way too high! Granted Seattle has won 7 of their last 10 and James Paxton is 4-0 with a 1.26 ERA and a 0.930 WHIP BUT…Minnesota leads the AL Central, they are 17-6 on the road (2nd best away after Houston), have won 8 of the last 10 games here, are 18-8 at night and have a winning record vs lefties (7-5). The Mariners are 2-3 after an off day. Are 7-8 vs lefties and this is the largest HF they’ve been all season.
Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners
Play: Minnesota Twins +155
Almost considered making this a “play” with a 3* rating but there is plenty of value playing it for 2 units and doubling our money if it wins. The line is just way too high! Granted Seattle has won 7 of their last 10 and James Paxton is 4-0 with a 1.26 ERA and a 0.930 WHIP BUT…Minnesota leads the AL Central, they are 17-6 on the road (2nd best away after Houston), have won 8 of the last 10 games here, are 18-8 at night and have a winning record vs lefties (7-5). The Mariners are 2-3 after an off day. Are 7-8 vs lefties and this is the largest HF they’ve been all season.
Harry Bondi
CLEVELAND (-120) over Colorado
Indians starter Mike Clevinger took over for Danny Salazar in the Tribe’s starting rotation and has pitched very well. Clevinger is averaging a strikeout an inning, has given up less than 4 hits per start and has been perfect on the road. Indians roll the Rockies!
CLEVELAND (-120) over Colorado
Indians starter Mike Clevinger took over for Danny Salazar in the Tribe’s starting rotation and has pitched very well. Clevinger is averaging a strikeout an inning, has given up less than 4 hits per start and has been perfect on the road. Indians roll the Rockies!
Bob Balfe
Diamondbacks -1.5 -110
Arizona is back at home trying to break a 3 game losing streak. The Padres just don’t score enough runs to be a real threat to anybody this year. Arizona scores a lot of runs at home so all it takes is that one big inning. Robbie Ray has not given up a run in his last three starts and should continue that trend today against a weak offense.
Diamondbacks -1.5 -110
Arizona is back at home trying to break a 3 game losing streak. The Padres just don’t score enough runs to be a real threat to anybody this year. Arizona scores a lot of runs at home so all it takes is that one big inning. Robbie Ray has not given up a run in his last three starts and should continue that trend today against a weak offense.
Carmine Bianco
New York Mets at Texas Rangers
Play: New York Mets -143
Tuesday's Bonus Play is a play on the Mets in what is a favorable pitching match up as deGrom 4-2, 3.97 takes the mound for the Mets and looking to bounce back from a poor performance against Milwaukee last out where he had trouble finding the strike zone before getting pulled after 4. Prior to that start he'd had 2 quality starts allowing 1 run in 15.1 innings in back to back wins.
New York Mets at Texas Rangers
Play: New York Mets -143
Tuesday's Bonus Play is a play on the Mets in what is a favorable pitching match up as deGrom 4-2, 3.97 takes the mound for the Mets and looking to bounce back from a poor performance against Milwaukee last out where he had trouble finding the strike zone before getting pulled after 4. Prior to that start he'd had 2 quality starts allowing 1 run in 15.1 innings in back to back wins.
