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Mr. Vegas

Free Tuesday NBA Play from Mr. Vegas: 11/25: 8:05 PM ET

(507) SACRAMENTO KINGS VS (508) NEW ORLEANS PELICANS

Take: over

Sacramento a surprise team this year. Not much was expected out of the Kings, but they have posted a nice 8-5 record to start the season. They have also been a surprise to bettors, getting the money in nine of 12 decisions. On the Road, this club is a very good OVER team, posting a 5-2 O/U mark. This is due to a high offensive efficiency (110.9) and a poor defensive efficiency (109). Those kinds of numbers result in OVERS. Especially when you toss in a better than average pace number (possessions per 48 minutes). You can say the same for the Pelicans, who boast a 4-1 O/U mark at home thanks to a great efficiency number of 117.2 and a fast 94.9 pace. The Kings have scored 100 or more points in three straight games while New Orleans has done the same in all but three of its games this season. The Pelicans are 7-1-1 O/U in its last nine games. Have to like both of these clubs to keep that fast pace going and with their respective offensive numbers - I like the OVER here on Tuesday.
 
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Dave Cokin

Bonus Play Tuesday 7:00 PM NCAAB

(517) HOFSTRA at (518) SOUTH FLORIDA

Take: (517) HOFSTRA +4

Hofstra is projected to be one of the most improved teams in the land this season. Joe Mihalich didn’t just say so long to Niagara when he took the job with the Pride, he also took a couple of star players with him. I think it speaks volumes that both Juan’ya Green and Ameen Tanksley opted to sit out an entire season as they followed their coach to his new gig.

Green and Tanksley are off to good starts with Hofstra and the Pride, while not the favorite, are looking as though they’re going to be serious title contenders in the CAA this season. Hofstra will have some occasional issues on the glass as they’re not blessed with a great deal of height. But the Mihalich touch is already evident in several other aspects of their game, and the on court chemistry is strong according to onlookers.

South Florida is also looking as though it’s a program on the rise. Orlando Antigua is a rookie head coach, but he’s been sitting next to John Caliper for the last several years. That is almost certainly going to pay off when it comes to recruiting, and the on court results thus far have been pretty good as well. Chris Perry, wo enjoyed a solid freshman season for the Bulls, has taken what sure looks to be a substantial step forward, and he’s going to be a handful inside for any team that lines up against South Florida.

There’s already a common opponent for these two teams, as each took a road loss at North Carolina State. South Florida gave the Wolfpack a tougher battle, but that could actually work against them a bit here. That duel took place on Sunday, so it’s a fairly quick turnaround for USF. Hofstra also played on Sunday, but they were able to coast some against Wagner in a game that was pretty much done at halftime.

Hofstra was a scrappy bunch last season that earned a decent dividend for those who backed the Pride on the road. That task might be a bit tougher this time around, as the big lines won’t be nearly as plentiful, and I think it’s safe to say that the major improvement being projected for the Pride is not even remotely under the radar for college hoop junkies. But that doesn’t mean they won’t be a worthwhile play in the right spots.

I’m going to be interested to see if things get better at home for USF. The Bulls have been a miserable spread team at home lately, but with the arrival of Antigua there will hopefully be a boost in excitement. But, and I don’t mean this to sound insulting, Tampa is not exactly the most intense sports town on the planet, and USF really has troubles attracting crowds to its home games. It’s just not an imposing scenario for the guests, and until that changes I’ll likely continue to give the Bulls what amounts to a minimal home court edge.

I can see tonight’s game being tight all the way, and while the power ratings indicate the number is about where it should be, I feel as though there’s still a little value to be had with emerging Hofstra. I’ll go ahead and snare the available points with the Pride tonight.
 
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Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp NBA Pick for Tuesday, November 25, 2014: 9:05 PM EST

(509) CHICAGO BULLS VS (510) DENVER NUGGETS

Take: (510) DENVER NUGGETS

Reason: Your Bonus Play for Tuesday, November 25, 2014 is in the NBA between the Chicago Bulls and Nuggets in Denver. A tough situational spot for Chicago, a long way from home and playing the second of a back to back, at Utah last night. Making matters worse is the team isn't healthy. Derrick Rose missed his fourth straight game due to a sore left hamstring, Pau Gasol sat his third in a row with a left calf strain and Kirk Hinrich was out with a chest contusion for Friday's 105-87 loss at Portland. Taj Gibson is also banged up. Aftrer beating the Los Angeles Clippers for its sixth straight road win, short-handed Chicago lost at Sacramento and Portland by a combined 33 points. The Bulls are on a 6-13 ATS run, 2-6 ATS vs. the West. Denver is a tough place to play with the thin mountain air, so look for the rested Nuggets to run at the tired visitors. The Nuggets are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600, 8-2 ATS against the Eastern Conference. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings and the Bulls are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Denver. Take the Nuggets as your Bonus Play on Tuesday.
 

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