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Preview: Cubs (103-58) at Indians (94-67)
By Bucky Dent, The Sports Xchange

Game: 6
Venue: Progressive Field
Date: November 01, 2016 8:08 PM EDT

Cubs try to overcome odds with World Series comeback

About 30 minutes after the Chicago Cubs staved off elimination Sunday night with a 3-2 win over the Cleveland Indians in Game 5 of the World Series, third baseman Kris Bryant asked a simple question about whether he thought the team could erase a 3-1 deficit.

"Why not us?" he said. "I feel like we play our best with our backs up against the wall. Hopefully, we can get out there and win Game 6, because you never know what can happen in a Game 7."

Bryant and Chicago will get a chance to test that theory Tuesday night when the teams meet again, this time at Cleveland's Progressive Field.

No team has wiped out a 3-1 deficit in the World Series since the Kansas City Royals did it to St. Louis Cardinals in 1985. Although the Royals were the better team against the injury-riddled Cardinals, they might have lost Game 6 were it not for Don Denkinger's infamous flubbed call at first base that initiated a game-winning, two-run rally in the bottom of the ninth inning.

History doesn't exactly favor the Cubs, even if recent developments do. By winning Game 5, they triggered the return of Kyle Schwarber to their lineup as the designated hitter in Cleveland. Schwarber, who tore an ACL during the season's opening week, wasn't medically cleared to play the field, so he was limited to pinch-hitting over the weekend.

What's more, Chicago appears to have an advantage in the pitching matchup. Jake Arrieta notched a 5-1 win Wednesday night in Game 2, taking a no-hitter into the sixth inning and fanning six in 5 2/3 innings and 98 pitches.

"It's just like any other game where you feel comfortable with the game plan," Arrieta said of this start. "You go out there to do your best to follow through on the execution. That's really the only thing I'll be thinking about."

The Indians counter with right-hander Josh Tomlin, who blanked the Cubs for 4 2/3 innings in a 1-0 win in Game 3. Tomlin will start with three days' rest for just the second time in his MLB career, and even though he threw only 58 pitches on Friday night, he admits his preparation will change a little bit because of working on short rest.

"It's obviously a little better than throwing 100 or 110," Tomlin said of the light workload on Friday night, "but in this environment you still get up and down four or five times. It's a little more stressful than a regular-season start."

While Tomlin might not be as fresh as Arrieta, his bullpen should be ready to go after Monday's off-day. That includes left-hander Andrew Miller, who has defined Cleveland's run to the brink of its first World Series championship since 1948 with his ability to work multiple innings in pressure situations.

Although the Indians fell short in Game 5, the bullpen did their part with four scoreless innings, and figures to be on call early if necessary. Tomlin is hoping they'll enter the fray later rather than sooner but is comfortable with their ability to lock down games.

"Those guys have done an unbelievable job through the course of the regular season and the playoffs," he said. "But you go out there with the mindset of going as deep as you can in the game."

And, in Tomlin's case, answering Bryant's question with an emphatic no.
 
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Game 6 - Cubs at Indians

World Series - Game 6
Chicago Cubs (112-64) at Cleveland Indians (104-70)
First pitch: Tuesday, 8:00 p.m. ET
Line: Chicago -142, Cleveland +132, Total: 7

Series Results - Indians lead 3-2
Game 1) Chicago at Cleveland (-110) 6-0 (Favorite - Under 6.5)
Game 2) Chicago (-155) at Cleveland 5-1 (Favorite - Under 7.5)
Game 3) Cleveland (+190) at Chicago 1-0 (Underdog - Under 8)
Game 4) Cleveland (+110) at Chicago 7-2 (Underdog - Over 6.5)
Game 5) Cleveland at Chicago (-220) 3-2 (Favorite - Under 6.5)

The Indians, up 3-2 in the World Series, look to finish the Cubs at Progressive Field and win their first title since 1948.

The Cubs (103-58) and Indians (94-67) split the first two games of the series in Cleveland, but Terry Francona’s team took control of the Fall Classic with two consecutive victories at Wrigley Field. But the Cubs, on the brink of elimination, won Game 5 on Sunday night to force a Game 6 and send the series back to Progressive Field.

RHP Jake Arrieta (18-8, 3.10 ERA during the regular season) will start for the Cubs, and he’ll be opposed by RHP Josh Tomlin (13-9, 4.40 ERA during the regular season).

Arrieta started Game 2 and was brilliant, allowing one earned run on two hits in 5 2/3 innings to earn the win. Tomlin earned a no-decision in Game 3 but was very effective, throwing 4 2/3 scoreless innings and giving up just two hits.

The Indians’ bullpen—led by LHP Andrew Miller (1 ER in 17 IP; 29 SO to 4 BB) and RHP Cody Allen (0 ER in 11 2/3 IP; 22 SO to 4 BB)—has been sensational, and the Cubs have arguably the most dominant closer in the game in LHP Aroldis Chapman (3 ER in 13 IP; 18 SO to 5 BB).

The Indians have gone 5-1 at home this postseason; Joe Maddon’s team has posted a 4-3 road mark.

Only LF/2B Ben Zobrist (13-for-55, 4 2B, 3B, 4 RBI) and OF Jorge Soler (2-for-13, 3B) got hits off Tomlin in Game 3 before he was pulled for Miller in the fifth.

3B Kris Bryant (15-for-56, 5 2B, 2 HR, 7 RBI) broke out of his slump on Sunday with a homer, and 1B Anthony Rizzo (14-for-57, 5 2B, 2 HR, 7 RBI) and SS Addison Russell (11-for-56, 2B, 2 HR, 6 RBI) woke up with a double and two hits, respectively.

If they’re locked in for Game 6, it could spell trouble for Tomlin. The Cubs should get a boost from DH Kyle Schwarber (3-for-8, 2B, 2 RBI), who will return to the lineup as a designated hitter.

Schwarber only got one at-bat (0-for-1) in the three games at Wrigley. In three postseason starts this month, Arrieta has gone 1-1 with a 3.78 ERA in 16 2/3 innings pitched.

The Tribe didn’t get a hit off Arrieta in Game 2 until the sixth inning, when 2B Jason Kipnis (10-for-51, 2 2B, 3 HR, 7 RBI) doubled. He scored on a wild pitch, and Arrieta was removed with two outs in the inning after 1B Mike Napoli (8-for-43, 3 2B, HR, 2 RBI) singled to shallow left.

SS Francisco Lindor (18-for-50, 3 2B, 2 HR, 6 RBI) and 3B Jose Ramirez (12-for-47, 2 2B, HR, 3 RBI) have had terrific series—8-for-19 and 6-for-20, respectively—so Arrieta will have to be particularly careful with them.

Napoli and DH Carlos Santana (9-for-44, 2B, 3 HR, 3 RBI) have homered off Arrieta, and Kipnis has three hits against him. In three postseason starts this month, Tomlin has gone 2-0 with a 1.76 ERA in 15 1/3 innings.

Game 6 Propositions -

Total Runs+Hits+Errors
Over 24.5 (-115)
Under 24.5 (-115)

Team to Score First
Cubs -165
Indians +140

Adjusted Runline A
Cubs +1.5 (-340)
Indians -1.5 (+260)

Adjusted Runline B
Cubs -2.5 (+185)
Indians +2.5 (-230)

Cubs Total Runs
Over 4 (-105)
Under 4 (-125)

Indians Total Runs
Over 3.5 (-110)
Under 3.5 (-110)

Will there be a score in the 1st Inning?
Yes +130
No -160

Total Runs Odd/Even More
Odd -165
Even +135

Will the game go to Extra Innings?
Yes +600
No -1000

1st 5 Innings 3 Way Line
Cubs -115
Indians +180
Tie +375

Margin of Victory
Cleveland to win by 1 +450
Cleveland to win by 2 +750
Cleveland to win by 3 +1050
Cleveland to win by 4 +1500
Cleveland to win by 5 or more +800

Chicago to win by 1 +375
Chicago to win by 2 +600
Chicago to win by 3 +750
Chicago to win by 4 +1050
Chicago to win by 5 or more +450

Double Result (1st 5 Innings / Game Winner)
Cleveland / Cleveland +190
Cleveland / Chicago +800
Chicago / Cleveland +1000
Chicago / Chicago +115
Tie / Cleveland +1050
Tie / Chicago +850


Odds Subject to Change
 

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