Drew Gordon
Now on a 45-35 roll with the plays I'm giving away, including the Indians over the Royals 10-6 Monday! For today's complimentary play, we're looking at the Cincinnati/Milwaukee match up.
Got to pick your spots well if you're going to back the Reds, I understand that fully. Fact is, this is precisely one of those spots and here's why:
First, for as much as the average bettors likes Jeff Suppan in this contest, I'm not convinced. Not only is he fresh off the DL (having last pitched almost a month ago), but he hasn't won a game since June 12th against the White Sox! In fact, since that win, he's gone 0-4 with a 6.55 ERA in his last 8 starts, and to believe he's going to come off the DL and be sharp is foolhardy at best. Not to mention, Suppan has been a gas can against the Reds lately, going 0-2 with a 6.08 ERA in his L3 starts against them (all Brewers losses)!
Second, although the Reds have wasted plenty of his recent efforts, there's no arguing with Bronson Arroyo's effectiveness of late, posting a 3.16 ERA over his L6 starts. He's received 3 runs or less in 5 of those 6 starts, with all 5 of those being losses. However, I believe the Reds beleagured offense gets just what the doctor ordered tonight in Suppan, and that's music to Arroyo's ears. Also of note, Arroyo is 3-1 with a solid 2.52 ERA in 5 career starts against the Brew Crew!
Finally, one trend that becomes increasingly difficult to ignore in this match up, (besides Suppan's piss-poor numbers vs the Reds), is the fact the Brewers are just 5-14 in their L19 games following a win. To say the Brewers "take their foot off the gas" after a win, is a gross understatement... One that will cost them dearly tonight, as Arroyo easily outpitches a rusty & vulnerable Suppan.
Take Cincinnati behind Arroyo over Milwaukee and Suppan in this MLB match up.
1♦ CINCINNATI
Now on a 45-35 roll with the plays I'm giving away, including the Indians over the Royals 10-6 Monday! For today's complimentary play, we're looking at the Cincinnati/Milwaukee match up.
Got to pick your spots well if you're going to back the Reds, I understand that fully. Fact is, this is precisely one of those spots and here's why:
First, for as much as the average bettors likes Jeff Suppan in this contest, I'm not convinced. Not only is he fresh off the DL (having last pitched almost a month ago), but he hasn't won a game since June 12th against the White Sox! In fact, since that win, he's gone 0-4 with a 6.55 ERA in his last 8 starts, and to believe he's going to come off the DL and be sharp is foolhardy at best. Not to mention, Suppan has been a gas can against the Reds lately, going 0-2 with a 6.08 ERA in his L3 starts against them (all Brewers losses)!
Second, although the Reds have wasted plenty of his recent efforts, there's no arguing with Bronson Arroyo's effectiveness of late, posting a 3.16 ERA over his L6 starts. He's received 3 runs or less in 5 of those 6 starts, with all 5 of those being losses. However, I believe the Reds beleagured offense gets just what the doctor ordered tonight in Suppan, and that's music to Arroyo's ears. Also of note, Arroyo is 3-1 with a solid 2.52 ERA in 5 career starts against the Brew Crew!
Finally, one trend that becomes increasingly difficult to ignore in this match up, (besides Suppan's piss-poor numbers vs the Reds), is the fact the Brewers are just 5-14 in their L19 games following a win. To say the Brewers "take their foot off the gas" after a win, is a gross understatement... One that will cost them dearly tonight, as Arroyo easily outpitches a rusty & vulnerable Suppan.
Take Cincinnati behind Arroyo over Milwaukee and Suppan in this MLB match up.
1♦ CINCINNATI
