Trying to build the "perfect" MLB system. Need 5 guys to participate!

jersey_dude · Aug 8, 2015

Saturday, August 8:

jwhite: Arizona -1 +109 @ 8:10 PM
boss415: Milwaukee +124 @ 7:10 PM
cando9: Houston -124 (McHugh/Chavez) @ 4:05 PM
metfan: Detroit -113 @ 7:05 PM
bones1980: Chi. White Sox/Kansas City OVER 8.5 -103 @ 7:10 PM

System:
3.01% to win 3.281%: Arizona -1 +109
1.46% to win 1.81%: Milwaukee +124
1.24% to win 1%: Houston -124 (McHugh/Chavez)
1.13% to win 1%: Detroit -113
0.52% to win 0.505%: Chi. White Sox/Kansas City OVER 8.5 -103

jwhite · Aug 8, 2015

Sorry man. Whichever is fine. I am off post review now, some misunderstanding about accidentally creating a second user name (probably after a layoff after I originally joined), but now I am good. What do you want me to do and how do I do it?

jersey_dude · Aug 8, 2015

Results for Saturday, August 8:

jwhite: Arizona -1 +109 = 1-4, Lost
boss415: Milwaukee +124 = 0-3, Lost
cando9: Houston -124 (McHugh/Chavez) = 1-2, Lost
metfan: Detroit -113 = 7-6, Won
bones1980: Chi. White Sox/Kansas City OVER 8.5 -103 = 6-7, Won

System:
3.01% to win 3.281%: Arizona -1 +109 = Lost 3.01%
1.46% to win 1.81%: Milwaukee +124 = Lost 1.46%
1.24% to win 1%: Houston -124 (McHugh/Chavez) = Lost 1.24%
1.13% to win 1%: Detroit -113 = Won 1%
0.52% to win 0.505%: Chi. White Sox/Kansas City OVER 8.5 -103 = Won 0.505%

Day: 2-3, Lost 4.205%
Overall: 70-52-1, Won 32.542%

jersey_dude · Aug 8, 2015

As I already said 2 days ago, not much mustard on it in August.
In the first 8 days the System gained just 0.546%.

But hey, it's still called WINNING! :toast:

jersey_dude · Aug 9, 2015

This is how the individual Labby lines are looking before today's plays:

A. jwhite: 1.2/2.08/3.01 => to win 4.21%
B. boss415: 0.5/0.39/0.81/1.31/1.46 => to win 1.96%
C. cando9: 0.5/0.5/0.5/1.24 => to win 1.74%
D. metfan: 0.5/0.5/0.5 => to win 1%
E. bones1980: 0.5/0.5/0.5 => to win 1%

jersey_dude · Aug 9, 2015

Today is Sunday, and picks are supposed to be PM-ed/posted until 9:30 AM ET.
Til this hour I got only 2 picks in PM. Oh well.... :smoking:

jwhite · Aug 9, 2015

Orioles

jersey_dude · Aug 9, 2015

Sunday, August 9:

jwhite: Baltimore +100 @ 3:35 PM
boss415: ?? (no pick yet)
cando9: Atlanta -1 +111 (Miller/Hand) @ 5:05 PM
metfan: Atlanta -1 +111 @ 5:05 PM
bones1980: Atlanta -128 @ 5:05 PM

System:
4.21% to win 4.21%: Baltimore +100
2.48% to win 2.753%: Atlanta -1 +111
1.28% to win 1%: Atlanta -128

==================

Everybody is on Atl today!

chilidog · Aug 9, 2015

I missed the plays today, because I have no idea when they're going to be posted. During the weekday, seems like they've been coming out about 10-30 minutes before the games start. During the weekend, no idea. I guess we can see where the weak link for the system is, which is getting the handicappers to put in a pick (or let you know they won't have one) within the time frame that they're supposed to. It's a beautiful system, it benefits everybody, so it's not as if anybody is doing this for charity. It's made an excellent return on the bankroll so far and has the potential to make some serious money.

jersey_dude · Aug 9, 2015

@ chilldog

You're very right in your observations. It's extremely hard to make the guys to respect the time schedule, and probably that will never happen. Many days I need to ask one or another through email: "Pick for today?" (After the time limit is well passed).
That's why the inconsistent times of posting the system here.

But what if some Saturdays and Sundays I'll go out after 10-10:30 AM, and come back only in the evening? On those days probably I will post just what was sent in time.

jersey_dude · Aug 9, 2015

Probably if the handicappers were told that after every month ends, they get $15-20 for every 1% they make on their own Labby lines, they would be very much respecting the time schedule. But then I would be crazy to run this for free too...
And then this thread won't be here any more, because that would be a tout service.

jersey_dude · Aug 9, 2015

@ chilidog:

You were lucky you missed the plays today!

jersey_dude · Aug 9, 2015

Results for Sunday, August 9:

jwhite: Baltimore +100 = 4-5, Lost
boss415: - no pick -
cando9: Atlanta -1 +111 (Miller/Hand) = 1-4, Lost
metfan: Atlanta -1 +111 = 1-4, Lost
bones1980: Atlanta -128 = 1-4, Lost

System:
4.21% to win 4.21%: Baltimore +100 = Lost 4.21%
2.48% to win 2.753%: Atlanta -1 +111 = Lost 2.48%
1.28% to win 1%: Atlanta -128 = Lost 1.28%

Day: 0-3, Lost 7.97%
Overall: 70-55-1, Won 24.572%

=====================

This was by far the most heavy losing day since I'm running the thread.

What's happening in August?
In July was almost all the way just rocking, but in these 9 August days the system lost 7.424%.
This brings up a question: In August there were a lot more unexpected MLB results than overall in July?

jersey_dude · Aug 9, 2015

This is how the individual Labby lines are looking before Monday's plays:

A. jwhite: 1.2/2.08/3.01/4.21 => to win 5.41%
B. boss415: 0.5/0.39/0.81/1.31/1.46 => to win 1.96%
C. cando9: 0.5/0.5/0.5/1.24/1.57 => to win 2.07%
D. metfan: 0.5/0.5/0.5/0.91 => to win 1.41%
E. bones1980: 0.5/0.5/0.5/1.28% => to win 1.78%

chilidog · Aug 9, 2015

Sure, it's having a small regression towards the mean, but that's to be expected. There was no way it was going to continue growing the way that it was.

As for the handicappers, I assume that they are betting the system. Why wouldn't they? It's made an excellent return so far.

jersey_dude · Aug 9, 2015

chilidog said:
Sure, it's having a small regression towards the mean, but that's to be expected. There was no way it was going to continue growing the way that it was.

As for the handicappers, I assume that they are betting the system. Why wouldn't they? It's made an excellent return so far.

You're very right here.
I always said I expect for the system to make an average 20% bank increase per month. Everything over that is a bonus.

jwhite · Aug 10, 2015

Jersey dude, after a torrid start, I am maybe at 55% today posting in thread. But I am trying not to panic and change my pick method. Today, gotta go with phils. Hopefully, I turn it around.

jersey_dude · Aug 10, 2015

jwhite said:
Jersey dude, after a torrid start, I am maybe at 55% today posting in thread. But I am trying not to panic and change my pick method. Today, gotta go with phils. Hopefully, I turn it around.

Your PM is working now

. It's enough if you just PM me, don't need to also post here.

jersey_dude · Aug 10, 2015

Monday, August 10:

jwhite: Philadelphia +163 @ 9:40 PM
boss415: ?? (no pick yet)
cando9: Arizona -173 (De La Rosa/Harang) @ 9:40 PM
metfan: Baltimore -112 @ 10:10 PM
bones1980: Philadelphia/Arizona OVER 8.5 -115 @ 9:40 PM

System:
3.32% to win 5.412%: Philadelphia +163
1.66% to win 2.075%: Arizona -1.5 +125
1.58% to win 1.411%: Baltimore -112
2.05% to win 1.783%: Philadelphia/Arizona OVER 8.5 -115

jersey_dude · Aug 10, 2015

Anyone to replace boss?

He's almost always the last one to post, well over the time limits, many times I need to send him email asking for the pick.
It's just too much time lost for me.