Trying to build the "perfect" MLB system. Need 5 guys to participate!

[jersey_dude]

This is how the individual Labby lines are looking before today's plays:

A. jwhite: 3.01/3.17/6.68/10.66/15 => to win 18.01%
B. boski15: 0.5/0.5/1/1.77 => to win 2.27%
C. cando9: 0.58/1.41/1.7/2.28 => to win 2.86%
D. metfan: 0.5/1.15/1.42/2.12/2.97 => to win 3.47%
E. bones1980: 0.5 => to win 0.5%

 

[jersey_dude]

Tuesday, August 18:

jwhite: ???
boski15: LA Dodgers -1.5 -135 @ 10:05 PM
cando9: NY Mets -109 (De Grom/Gausman) @ 7:05 PM
metfan: Kansas City +110 @ 7:10 PM
bones1980: Miami/Milwaukee OVER 8 -110 @ 8:10 PM

System:
3.12% to win 2.862%: NY Mets -109
3.16% to win 3.476%: Kansas City +110
0.55% to win 0.5%: Miami/Milwaukee OVER 8 -110
3.07% to win 2.274%: LA Dodgers -1.5 -135

 

[jersey_dude]

Results for Tuesday, August 18:

jwhite: - no pick -
boski15: LA Dodgers -1.5 -135 = 4-5, Lost
cando9: NY Mets -109 (De Grom/Gausman) = 5-3, Won
metfan: Kansas City +110 = 3-1, Won
bones1980: Miami/Milwaukee OVER 8 -110 = 9-6, Won

System:
3.12% to win 2.862%: NY Mets -109 = Won 2.862%
3.16% to win 3.476%: Kansas City +110 = Won 3.476%
0.55% to win 0.5%: Miami/Milwaukee OVER 8 -110 = Won 0.5%
3.07% to win 2.274%: LA Dodgers -1.5 -135 = Lost 3.07%

Day: 3-1, Won 3.768%
Overall: 89-74-1, Won 1.924%

 

[jersey_dude]

Wednesday, August 19 (Part 1):

metfan: NY Yankees -1 -127 @ 1:05 PM

System:
4.16% to win 3.276%: NY Yankees -1 -127

 

[chilidog]

I think you can't let the labby lines get that large. Nothing more than 5%. If they reach 5%, then restructure the labby lines, incorporate the long one into the other short ones. Distribute the load and let the other hotter cappers help out with somebody that's gone cold.

 

[jersey_dude]

Wednesday, August 19:

jwhite: Kansas City/Cincinnati OVER 8 -110 @ 7:10 PM
boski15: St. Louis -1.5 +135 @ 7:15 PM
cando9: St. Louis -1 -115 (Garcia/Cain) @ 7:15 PM
metfan: NY Yankees -1 -127 @ 1:05 PM
bones1980: Chi. White Sox/LA Angels OVER 7.5 -105 @ 10:05 PM

System:
4.16% to win 3.276%: NY Yankees -1 -127
15% to win 13.636%: Kansas City/Cincinnati OVER 8 -110
2.65% to win 3.577%: St. Louis -1.5 +135
3.58% to win 3.113%: St. Louis -1 -115 (Garcia/Cain)
1.05% to win 1%: Chi. White Sox/LA Angels OVER 7.5 -105

 

[jersey_dude]

Results for Wednesday, August 19:

jwhite: Kansas City/Cincinnati OVER 8 -110 = 4-3, Lost
boski15: St. Louis -1.5 +135 = 4-3, Lost
cando9: St. Louis -1 -115 (Garcia/Cain) = 4-3, Pushed
metfan: NY Yankees -1 -127 = 4-3, Pushed
bones1980: Chi. White Sox/LA Angels OVER 7.5 -105 = 0-1, Lost

System:
4.16% to win 3.276%: NY Yankees -1 -127 = Pushed
15% to win 13.636%: Kansas City/Cincinnati OVER 8 -110 = Lost 15%
2.65% to win 3.577%: St. Louis -1.5 +135 = Lost 2.65%
3.58% to win 3.113%: St. Louis -1 -115 (Garcia/Cain) = Pushed
1.05% to win 1%: Chi. White Sox/LA Angels OVER 7.5 -105 = Lost 1.05%

Day: 0-3-2, Lost 18.7%
Overall: 89-77-1, Lost 16.776%

 

[jersey_dude]

This is how the individual Labby lines are looking before today's plays:

A. jwhite: 3.01/3.17/6.68/10.66/15/15 => to win 18.01%
B. boski15: 0.5/0.5/1/1.77/2.65/3.07 => to win 3.57%
C. cando9: 1.41/1.7 => to win 3.11%
D. metfan: 1.15/1.42/2.12 => to win 3.27%
E. bones1980: 0.5/0.5/0.5/1.05 => to win 1.55%

 

[jwhite]

Dude I have maybe given one winner in last 10 or so. Maybe take opposite!

 

[jersey_dude]

Thursday, August 20:

jwhite: LA Angels -137 @ 10:05 PM
boski15: Arizona/Cincinnati OVER 7.5 -115 @ 7:10 PM
cando9: Houston -111 (McHugh/Archer) @ 8:10 PM
metfan: ??? (no word from him)
bones1980: LA Angels -137 @ 8:10 PM

System:
15% to win 16.65%: LA Angels -1 +111
4.11% to win 3.574%: Arizona/Cincinnati OVER 7.5 -115
3.46% to win 3.117%: Houston -111 (McHugh/Archer)
2.13% to win 1.555%: LA Angels -137

 

[jersey_dude]

Results for Thursday, August 20:

jwhite: LA Angels -137 = 2-8, Lost
boski15: Arizona/Cincinnati OVER 7.5 -115 = 5-4, Won
cando9: Houston -111 (McHugh/Archer) = 0-1, Lost
metfan: - no pick -
bones1980: LA Angels -137 = 2-8, Lost

System:
15% to win 16.65%: LA Angels -1 +111 = Lost 15%
4.11% to win 3.574%: Arizona/Cincinnati OVER 7.5 -115 = Won 3.574%
3.46% to win 3.117%: Houston -111 (McHugh/Archer) = Lost 3.46%
2.13% to win 1.555%: LA Angels -137 = Lost 2.13%

Day: 1-3, Lost 17.016%
Overall: 90-80-1, Lost 33.792%

 

[jersey_dude]

Well, it was fun while it lasted.
I consider makes no sense to running the thread any more, the system's record in damaged beyond repair.

Thanks to all handicappers who participated! :toast:

------------------------

2 important conclusions needs to be drawn IMO:

1. Starting the Labbing lines at 0.5%/0.5%/0.5% terms is way too big to give bankroll security, in case if not all cappers are solid enough.

2. When one (or more) Labby line needs to be wagered on huge %-s, like more than 20 times 1 term of the Labby (in our case that would be 10%), this 20 times needs to be set as the max possible wager amount, and all the remaining "to be win" % for this pick needs to be distributed as equally as possible on the "to be win" %-s of all the other Labby lines, in the same day.

 

[jersey_dude]

THREAD CLOSED as I'm concerned.

 

[boss415]

Shouldnt have booted me lol

 

[jersey_dude]

Shouldnt have booted me lol

lol