Trump will be -150 before Nov 3rd! Yes or no?

[tatehill2000]

I have some trump at +115 and a TONNN at +175 and +180,,,

I really think Trump will be -150 by Nov 3rd, what do you think?

 

[PatsFan1283]

I don't think so, I think if he wins it will be as + money once again.

 

[Dr.Love]

No.

 

[tatehill2000]

I don't think so, I think if he wins it will be as + money once again.

​Gotta be honest Pats,,, Im thinking +105 to -150

 

[REDEYE]

I hope Biden is still a good size chalk all the way to the 3rd.. Will just keep adding to my portfolio with the good plus money value

 

[crudebar]

I hope Biden is still a good size chalk all the way to the 3rd.. Will just keep adding to my portfolio with the good plus money value

Just lmk if you want to add more to our bet. I am here for you.

 

[REDEYE]

Just lmk if you want to add more to our bet. I am here for you.

Not my bet yet. But appreciate the offer

 

[CADILLACJACK]

no way

 

[Seymour]

Who knows what’s gonna happen - I’m actually shocked - if I had to pick one person in politics that would never do this it would be Biden - I’m waiting to hear he has committed suicide

 

[CHOPTALK]

This poll makes no sense .

Lets just pretend for a second that all these so called closet trump supporters that lie to the pollsters even exist .
Are they all of a sudden gonna come out the closet 2 days before the election and make themselves known ?

Or is all these so called fraudulent polls that has so called been fraudulently giving out fake poll numbers all of a sudden 2 days before the election going to start showing accurate results ?


In the very highly unlikely event that trump does win it will be against extreme odds from the sports books just like it was last time .

Even if your boy wins it won’t be in the manner that your question is portraying

 

[REDEYE]

This poll makes no sense .

Lets just pretend for a second that all these so called closet trump supporters that lie to the pollsters even exist .
Are they all of a sudden gonna come out the closet 2 days before the election and make themselves known ?

Or is all these so called fraudulent polls that has so called been fraudulently giving out fake poll numbers all of a sudden 2 days before the election going to start showing accurate results ?


In the very highly unlikely event that trump does win it will be against extreme odds from the sports books just like it was last time .

Even if your boy wins it won’t be in the manner that your question is portraying

The odds were more extreme in 2016 compared to now.. You could get alot better than the +170 we're seeing now

 

[CHOPTALK]

The odds were more extreme in 2016 compared to now.. You could get alot better than the +170 we're seeing now

Yea the odds at the sports books were more extreme at this point but the polls were much closer .

That is kinda odd. Don’t you think ?

 

[REDEYE]

Yea the odds at the sports books were more extreme at this point but the polls were much closer .

That is kinda odd. Don’t you think ?

Hilary on the day of the election had a 98% chance of winning.. I think that was based on polls

 

[CHOPTALK]

Hilary on the day of the election had a 98% chance of winning.. I think that was based on polls

And yet Trump looked better in the polls 4 years ago then he does now but the odds at the sports books do not reflect that

 

[CHOPTALK]

but she was not 98% until the exit polls got leaked .
im talking 2 weeks before the election she was a much bigger fav then -170 but the polls were much much closer then they are now .

 

[REDEYE]

And yet Trump looked better in the polls 4 years ago then he does now but the odds at the sports books do not reflect that

I guess so if you look at certain polls. Personally , I don't believe in them myself. Polling in this era is flawed at best. Common sense tells me a completely different picture.

 

[REDEYE]

Suppression polls are out there Chop ! Don't pay attention to them. Just vote !

 

[CHOPTALK]

Suppression polls are out there Chop ! Don't pay attention to them. Just vote !

I don’t understand that angle .
I would think if someone was way up in the polls it would discourage the people that want the person who’s way up from voting .

Kinda like we got this kinda feeling .

Hard for me to subscribe to any conspiracy theory when it comes to polling .

Now is it possible that in this day and age the way people poll is not an accurate way to measure true sentiment ?
Perhaps I would be open to that possibility .

But the idea that these polls is a mass conspiracy to create suppression is a serious leap .

 

[PatsFan1283]

Polls were pretty accurate in 2018 midterms fwiw

I can definitely buy there is an anti-Trump bias in polling but only to a point. If he is down 8-10pts in swing states on Nov 1st then that is probably looking ominous.

 

[REDEYE]

I don’t understand that angle .
I would think if someone was way up in the polls it would discourage the people that want the person who’s way up from voting .

Kinda like we got this kinda feeling .

Hard for me to subscribe to any conspiracy theory when it comes to polling .

Now is it possible that in this day and age the way people poll is not an accurate way to measure true sentiment ?
Perhaps I would be open to that possibility .

But the idea that these polls is a mass conspiracy to create suppression is a serious leap .

It's no secret that almost all of these polls , poll more Dems... So you can go from there on conspiracies , flawed polls, or any other theory ..