Hi Jersey,
I am new to your thread and have enjoyed going back through your history. I really think your system holds water. I have a question. Beginning with your post #241, you have percentages next to your picks. I've tried to figure their meaning, but can you save me some time and give me a quick explanation? Thanks and best of luck.
I am new to your thread and have enjoyed going back through your history. I really think your system holds water. I have a question. Beginning with your post #241, you have percentages next to your picks. I've tried to figure their meaning, but can you save me some time and give me a quick explanation? Thanks and best of luck.
The two percentages listed next to the sides are the difference between my chosen team's % and the opponents %. The first one is from the stats "Since 1 June" spreadsheet, and the second one is from the "Last 12 Days Only" spreadsheet. The difference will always have to be 9% or higher in one or both spreadsheets for it to be a play.
For the Unders, I combine the %'s from both teams and list them for each spreadsheet.
When I add the teams percentages together I look for at least a 6% difference between this number and each spreadheets average before it can be considered a play.
:toast:
DAY 23 - July 2nd PLAYS:
HOU -115 (9%,1%)
ATL -139 (-1%,10%)
CWS -141 (6%,16%) BEST BET
STL/SF UNDER 8.5 +105 (53%,46%) BEST BET
CWS -141
CWS, leading the Last 12 day Spreadsheet at 40-99 40% and on hot streaks of 21-42 50%!!! and 31-72 43%. KC is below average on both charts, and is only 2-18 11% and 11-53 21%.
STL/SF UNDER 8.5 +105
STL's terrible streak of 12-81 15%, and 22-108 20% for Last 12 combined with SF's percentage point below average and 3 for last 19 16%, makes this a solid UNDER play.
Good Luck Today Everyone!
YTD (22 DAYS)
9%andUp Plays: 41-21 66% +17.49
UNDERS: 36-20-2 64% +13.50
Total: 77-41-2 65% +30.99
Overall: 111-81-4 58% +20.04
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Awesome work here guys...
This is some of the most innovative and interesting methods I have ever come across for baseball...and I follow damn near everything posted on the internet including foreign sites that I translate.
Keep it simple...your core method here looks really solid.
Kudo's for showing people the fun of system building and DIY handicapping.
:toast:
Awesome work here guys...
This is some of the most innovative and interesting methods I have ever come across for baseball...and I follow damn near everything posted on the internet including foreign sites that I translate.
Keep it simple...your core method here looks really solid.
Kudo's for showing people the fun of system building and DIY handicapping.
:toast:
Thank you......... I think:think2: @)
:toast:
Thanks guys!
A GREAT 4-0 +4.05
Here's how it looks since we dropped the Overs at the end of Day 20:
21 4 2 0 +3.72
22 3 1 0 +2.00
23 4 0 0 +4.05
Total 11 3 0 +9.77
And we've won 7 in a row!!!
YTD (23 DAYS)
9% and Up Plays: 44-21 68% +20.49
UNDERS: 37-20-2 65% +14.55
Total: 81-41-2 65% +35.04
Overall 115-81-4 59% +24.09
<><>
A GREAT 4-0 +4.05
Here's how it looks since we dropped the Overs at the end of Day 20:
21 4 2 0 +3.72
22 3 1 0 +2.00
23 4 0 0 +4.05
Total 11 3 0 +9.77
And we've won 7 in a row!!!
YTD (23 DAYS)
9% and Up Plays: 44-21 68% +20.49
UNDERS: 37-20-2 65% +14.55
Total: 81-41-2 65% +35.04
Overall 115-81-4 59% +24.09
<><>
DAY 24 - July 3rd
CWS +122 (7%,16%)
ATL/WAS UNDER 9.5 -120 (48%,58%)
NYM/PHILS UNDER 10 -120 (49%,40%) BEST BET
STL/CINN UNDER 9.5 -110 (50%,45%) BEST BET
Taking CWS in this spot makes me a little weary as I am a Greinke fan, but it is a system play. CWS Danks beat Greinke on 31May in a CWS 7-4 win. Does history repeat today?
BEST BETS:
NYM/PHILS UNDER 10 -120
Phils are a dismal 13-82 16%, Mets are below average in both in both spreadsheets also. The higher total of 10 makes this an even better solid play today.
STL/CINN UNDER 9.5 -110
STL is also doing terrible, 14 of last 89 16%, and 21 of 107 20%. Cinn also below average and is 6 of last 27 22%, makes this a solid play.
GOOD LUCK EVERYONE!
YTD (23 DAYS)
9% and Up Plays: 44-21 68% +20.49
UNDERS: 37-20-2 65% +14.55
Total:81-41-2 66% +35.04
Overall 115-81-4 59% +24.09
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CWS +122 (7%,16%)
ATL/WAS UNDER 9.5 -120 (48%,58%)
NYM/PHILS UNDER 10 -120 (49%,40%) BEST BET
STL/CINN UNDER 9.5 -110 (50%,45%) BEST BET
Taking CWS in this spot makes me a little weary as I am a Greinke fan, but it is a system play. CWS Danks beat Greinke on 31May in a CWS 7-4 win. Does history repeat today?
BEST BETS:
NYM/PHILS UNDER 10 -120
Phils are a dismal 13-82 16%, Mets are below average in both in both spreadsheets also. The higher total of 10 makes this an even better solid play today.
STL/CINN UNDER 9.5 -110
STL is also doing terrible, 14 of last 89 16%, and 21 of 107 20%. Cinn also below average and is 6 of last 27 22%, makes this a solid play.
GOOD LUCK EVERYONE!
YTD (23 DAYS)
9% and Up Plays: 44-21 68% +20.49
UNDERS: 37-20-2 65% +14.55
Total:81-41-2 66% +35.04
Overall 115-81-4 59% +24.09
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Jersey...excellent research here. I noticed that you gave up on overs but I just started to think of it this way. Have you thought about tracking how many innings teams PITCHING STAFFS give up it might make for an over angle. What I was thinking is that you are going to find angles where teams bullpens are falling apart allowing extra runs late in games.
Just a thought here. I know you have your hands full with your current system but I thought I would throw this at you and see if it sticks.
Just a thought here. I know you have your hands full with your current system but I thought I would throw this at you and see if it sticks.
