At the Gate - Thursday
By Mike Dempsey
A field of 14 will line up for Saturday’s $1.25 million Travers (G1) at Saratoga led by Preakness Stakes (G1) and Haskell Invitational (G1) winner Exaggerator, who was installed as the 3-1 morning line favorite.
The 13-race card also features four Breeders’ Cup Challenge “Win and You’re In” races and the return of the undefeated Lady Eli, who makes her first start since last July in the $400,000 Ballston Spa (G2).
But before we get to Saturday’s 13-race marathon card we have some pretty good action on Friday, which is New York Showcase Day. There are six stakes for New York breds and over $1 million in purses up for grabs.
We will warm up for the two days of action with a 10-race card today featuring a pair of stakes. The day starts with the $150,000 New York Turf Writers Cup Handicap (G1), a 2 3/8 mile steeplechase race that drew a small field of six.
The feature is the $100,000 Riskaverse for three-year-old fillies that will go one mile on turf. The morning line favorite at 3-1 is Pricedtoperfection, who was fourth in the Belmont Oaks Invitational (G1) in her last outing.
She is trained by Chad Brown, who picked up his 1000th career victory yesterday with Mr Maybe in the John’s Call. His filly has won twice on turf including the Sweet Chant (G3) back in January at Gulfstream Park.
I am looking for a bit more value with the Shug McGaughey trained On Leave, a well bred filly who has five sibs that are stakes winners and she will be making her stakes debut
Here is second race (the opener is a steeplechase) from Saratoga to get the day off to a good start:
SAR Race 2 Md $25,000 (1:33 ET)
#4 Zababa 7-2
#7 Mr Curiosity 8-5
#2 Trappe 6-1
#3 Risener 8-1
Analysis: Zababa makes his first start since December for the Baker barn that is 19% winners with runners returning off a +180-day layoff. The gelding tracked the early pace and weakened to finish fourth versus $40,000 state breds in his last outing on the inner track at the Big A. The barn hits at a 24% clip first off the claim and is having a strong meeting, winning with 8 of 20 starters.
Mr Curiosity set the early factions and could not hold off the winner late in a runner up finish at this level last out. It was an improvement over his first three starts where he was beaten by a combined 66 1/4 lengths. He comes back here off a two-month break for the RRod barn that is 21% winner with runners coming back off a 46-90-day break. He owns the edge in early and mid pace numbers and will be the one to catch again today.
Wagering
WIN: #4 to win at 5-2 or better.
EX: 4,7 / 2,3,4,7
TRI: 4,7 / 2,3,4,7 / 1,2,3,4,7
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Saratoga:
SAR Race 9 The Riskaverse (5:40 ET)
#7 On Leave 7-2
#8 Pricedtoperferction 3-1
#10 Sky My Sky 5-1
#3 Thrilled 12-1
Analysis: On Leave came with a good late rally to get up and beat Alw-1 optional claimers last out in her first start against winners. She was making her second start off the bench, breaking her maiden two back off an eight-month layoff. This gal has a nice pedigree, a half to five stakes winners, top earner Ironicus ($848790). She looks primed for a type effort third off the bench.
Pricedtoperfection made a mild late run to finish fourth last out in the Belmont Oaks Invitational (G1) last out going nine furlongs. Two back at this distance she was a good second in the Penn Oaks. The Brown trainee is a stakes winner, taking the Sweet Chant back in January on turf. She should get an honest pace to run at.
Wagering
WIN: #7 to win at 3-1 or better.
EX: 7,8 / 3,7,8,10
TRI: 7,8 / 3,7,8,10 / 2,3,7,8,10
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Saratoga
R1: #6 Schoodic 8-1
R2: #3 Risener 8-1
R3: #1 Majestic Tango 15-1
R4: #7 Dreamboat Annie 8-1
R5: #1 Dom the Bomb 8-1
R6: #1 Crags 8-1
R6: #5 Bright Side Up 15-1
R7: #7 Excluded 12-1
R9: #3 Thrilled 12-1
R10: #2 It’s Two Hot Bunny 12-1
R10: #1 Peppermint Stick 12-1
Good luck today!
By Mike Dempsey
A field of 14 will line up for Saturday’s $1.25 million Travers (G1) at Saratoga led by Preakness Stakes (G1) and Haskell Invitational (G1) winner Exaggerator, who was installed as the 3-1 morning line favorite.
The 13-race card also features four Breeders’ Cup Challenge “Win and You’re In” races and the return of the undefeated Lady Eli, who makes her first start since last July in the $400,000 Ballston Spa (G2).
But before we get to Saturday’s 13-race marathon card we have some pretty good action on Friday, which is New York Showcase Day. There are six stakes for New York breds and over $1 million in purses up for grabs.
We will warm up for the two days of action with a 10-race card today featuring a pair of stakes. The day starts with the $150,000 New York Turf Writers Cup Handicap (G1), a 2 3/8 mile steeplechase race that drew a small field of six.
The feature is the $100,000 Riskaverse for three-year-old fillies that will go one mile on turf. The morning line favorite at 3-1 is Pricedtoperfection, who was fourth in the Belmont Oaks Invitational (G1) in her last outing.
She is trained by Chad Brown, who picked up his 1000th career victory yesterday with Mr Maybe in the John’s Call. His filly has won twice on turf including the Sweet Chant (G3) back in January at Gulfstream Park.
I am looking for a bit more value with the Shug McGaughey trained On Leave, a well bred filly who has five sibs that are stakes winners and she will be making her stakes debut
Here is second race (the opener is a steeplechase) from Saratoga to get the day off to a good start:
SAR Race 2 Md $25,000 (1:33 ET)
#4 Zababa 7-2
#7 Mr Curiosity 8-5
#2 Trappe 6-1
#3 Risener 8-1
Analysis: Zababa makes his first start since December for the Baker barn that is 19% winners with runners returning off a +180-day layoff. The gelding tracked the early pace and weakened to finish fourth versus $40,000 state breds in his last outing on the inner track at the Big A. The barn hits at a 24% clip first off the claim and is having a strong meeting, winning with 8 of 20 starters.
Mr Curiosity set the early factions and could not hold off the winner late in a runner up finish at this level last out. It was an improvement over his first three starts where he was beaten by a combined 66 1/4 lengths. He comes back here off a two-month break for the RRod barn that is 21% winner with runners coming back off a 46-90-day break. He owns the edge in early and mid pace numbers and will be the one to catch again today.
Wagering
WIN: #4 to win at 5-2 or better.
EX: 4,7 / 2,3,4,7
TRI: 4,7 / 2,3,4,7 / 1,2,3,4,7
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Saratoga:
SAR Race 9 The Riskaverse (5:40 ET)
#7 On Leave 7-2
#8 Pricedtoperferction 3-1
#10 Sky My Sky 5-1
#3 Thrilled 12-1
Analysis: On Leave came with a good late rally to get up and beat Alw-1 optional claimers last out in her first start against winners. She was making her second start off the bench, breaking her maiden two back off an eight-month layoff. This gal has a nice pedigree, a half to five stakes winners, top earner Ironicus ($848790). She looks primed for a type effort third off the bench.
Pricedtoperfection made a mild late run to finish fourth last out in the Belmont Oaks Invitational (G1) last out going nine furlongs. Two back at this distance she was a good second in the Penn Oaks. The Brown trainee is a stakes winner, taking the Sweet Chant back in January on turf. She should get an honest pace to run at.
Wagering
WIN: #7 to win at 3-1 or better.
EX: 7,8 / 3,7,8,10
TRI: 7,8 / 3,7,8,10 / 2,3,7,8,10
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Saratoga
R1: #6 Schoodic 8-1
R2: #3 Risener 8-1
R3: #1 Majestic Tango 15-1
R4: #7 Dreamboat Annie 8-1
R5: #1 Dom the Bomb 8-1
R6: #1 Crags 8-1
R6: #5 Bright Side Up 15-1
R7: #7 Excluded 12-1
R9: #3 Thrilled 12-1
R10: #2 It’s Two Hot Bunny 12-1
R10: #1 Peppermint Stick 12-1
Good luck today!