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Stephen Nover

Michigan State vs Nebraska

Bonus Play Michigan State

Michigan State has a history under Tom Izzo of starting to peak once the second half of the season gets rolling. I see a buy sign now on the 13-9 Spartans after their 70-62 home win against Michigan this past Sunday. It's not too much to ask the Spartans to defeat Nebraska, which is a game under .500 both in the Big Ten and overall. The Spartans are the stronger defensive team, more athletic and have better outside shooters than the Cornhuskers. Michigan State is shooting 47.5 percent from the floor while Nebraska is shooting 42.3 percent from the field. Nebraska is in a letdown spot after snapping a five-game losing streak with a stunning 83-80 home victory against 20th-ranked Purdue this past Sunday. The Spartans have triple revenge and are the healthier team. The Cornhuskers have been without their third-leading scorer forward Ed Morrow for the past five games due to a stress reaction in his right foot. Guard Tai Webster, the team's top scorer, rolled an ankle against Purdue and center Jordy Tshimanga is battling the flu. There's a chance all three could play, but how effective would they be? The Spartans are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games and 17-6 ATS during their last 23 Big Ten games. Nebraska has failed to cover in six of its last eight home contests.
 
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Jack Jones

Pepperdine vs San Francisco

Jack's Free Pick Thursday: San Francisco -11

San Francisco is probably the third-best team in the WCC Conference behind Gonzaga and St. Mary's. The Dons are 15-8 on the season and continue to lack the respect they deserve from oddsmakers. They have gone 6-1 ATS in their last six games overall.

The only non-cover came in a 20-point road loss at St. Mary's in a game that was tied at halftime. They covered in losses to St. Mary's and BYU, while beating up on the weaker competition they've faced during this stretch. They beat Pacific by 21 at home, Portland by 25 at home, San Diego by 17 on the road and Pacific by 21 on the road.

Now the Dons are up against the worst team in the WCC in Pepperdine. The Waves are just 6-16 on the season, including 0-9 in true road games. They are getting outscored by nearly 18 points per game on the road this season. They are coming off a 47-point home loss to Gonzaga and won't be very competitive tonight, either.

San Francisco is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games after a blowout win by 20 points or more over a conference opponent. The Waves are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Pepperdine is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 road games. The Dons are 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. Bet San Francisco Thursday.
 

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Anyone ever heard of All Stars capper? Sent me a handful of picks and they all hit. I never post, but was curious if anyone might have more info.
 

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