Thursday 11/17/16 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

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Thursday’s six-pack

NFL trends with Week 11 on the way…….

—*Saints are 10-4 vs spread in their last 14 games.

— Chicago is 3-11 vs spread in its last 14 games.

— Browns are 6-16-1 in their last 23 games as an underdog.

— Cowboys won/covered their last eight games.

— New England is 32-11 coming off a loss.

— Colts are 9-2 coming off a bye.
 
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Dave Cokin

Bonus Play Thursday

Good job by Ball State for playing hard in spite of being well down against Toledo. That paid off as the Cardinals got a late TD to get inside the number, making them a Bonus Play winner. Here’s the Thursday comp.

735 CONNECTICUT at 736 LOYOLA MARYMOUNT 10:00 PM

Take: UCONN -6.5

Perhaps the most surprising result to start the new season is the UConn Huskies being 0-2. It’s really hard to believe they lost home games to Wagner and Northeastern. That’s not meant as an insult to those two upset winners, particularly a Northeastern entry that might be pretty good. But it’s sure somewhat stunning to see UConn sitting at 0-2.

I would expect the Huskies to be 1-2 after they duel Loyola Marymount tonight. Connecticut simply has not been able to put the ball in the basket so far. But the Huskies are not turning the ball over, so I certainly feel this is just one of those blips that shouldn’t keep happening to what is a talented team.

Loyola is a middle of the road WCC team at best, and that might actually be a generous opinion. The Lions don’t really don anything especially well. Plus, their preferred style of play probably doesn’t work here. Loyola likes to do some pressing and as previously noted, the one area Connecticut has done well has been ball security.

UConn is still going to have to shoot the basketball better tonight than they did against Wagner or Northeastern. I think there’s a good chance the Huskies will do exactly that, as one they beat the Lions defense, they should get some pretty easy looks.

Connecticut also won’t be taking anything for granted after starting the campaign 0-2. Call it a tough break for the hosts, but they’re likely to get a very focused Huskies squad tonight, and I don’t see Loyola being able to hang in for 40 minutes. I’ll recommend laying the points with Connecticut tonight.
 
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Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Thursday, November 17, 2016

Your free pick for Thursday, November 17, 2016 comes in the NBA as Chicago heads to Utah to face the Jazz. Both teams play strong defense for their demanding coaches. Chicago Bulls coach Fred Hoiberg called a 113-88 win over the Portland Trail Blazers on Tuesday his team's "most complete" game so far this season, and it marked a third straight win and a strong way to kick off a six-game road trip. The Bulls held their last three opponents under 100 points and limited the Trail Blazers to 35.8 percent from the floor (and 9-of-34 from 3-point range) on Tuesday. Guard Rajon Rondo sat out Tuesday after suffering an ankle injury in Monday's practice and is day-to-day. Chicago is on a 15-7-1 run under the total, 16-5-1 under on the road. Utah can play tough defense, too, 7-1 under vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Jazz guards Rodney Hood (illness) and George Hill (thumb) sat out Monday and are both day-to-day. The Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings, including 7-1-1 under the total at Utah.

Play Chicago/Utah Under the total.
 
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Dave Cokin

Bonus Play Thursday

Good job by Ball State for playing hard in spite of being well down against Toledo. That paid off as the Cardinals got a late TD to get inside the number, making them a Bonus Play winner. Here’s the Thursday comp.

735 CONNECTICUT at 736 LOYOLA MARYMOUNT 10:00 PM

Take: UCONN -6.5

Perhaps the most surprising result to start the new season is the UConn Huskies being 0-2. It’s really hard to believe they lost home games to Wagner and Northeastern. That’s not meant as an insult to those two upset winners, particularly a Northeastern entry that might be pretty good. But it’s sure somewhat stunning to see UConn sitting at 0-2.

I would expect the Huskies to be 1-2 after they duel Loyola Marymount tonight. Connecticut simply has not been able to put the ball in the basket so far. But the Huskies are not turning the ball over, so I certainly feel this is just one of those blips that shouldn’t keep happening to what is a talented team.

Loyola is a middle of the road WCC team at best, and that might actually be a generous opinion. The Lions don’t really don anything especially well. Plus, their preferred style of play probably doesn’t work here. Loyola likes to do some pressing and as previously noted, the one area Connecticut has done well has been ball security.

UConn is still going to have to shoot the basketball better tonight than they did against Wagner or Northeastern. I think there’s a good chance the Huskies will do exactly that, as one they beat the Lions defense, they should get some pretty easy looks.

Connecticut also won’t be taking anything for granted after starting the campaign 0-2. Call it a tough break for the hosts, but they’re likely to get a very focused Huskies squad tonight, and I don’t see Loyola being able to hang in for 40 minutes. I’ll recommend laying the points with Connecticut tonight.
 
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Jamie Tursini

Saints vs Panthers

Bonus Play Carolina Panthers

The Algorithm Power Ratings have generated Carolina with a 57% chance of covering the spread.

The APR's generate the True Odds/Money Lines etc. helping to determine the Edges needed. NOTE: You will not find me releasing -$200, -$300 money lines etc. I make My "Subscriptions" affordable for everyone!

Here, you simply will be offered the STRONGEST RESULTS the APR'S generate within the established designated parameters . I recommend STRAIGHT BETS (unless otherwise noted).

They must generate a minimum 60% chance of WINNING to become a Premium Release!

% Chance to Win/Cover Algorithm Power Rating Suggested Bet Format

60-64% 100* Normal Wager

65-69% 200* 1.5 X Normal Wager

70-74% 300* 3 X Normal Wager

75-79% 400* 3.5 X Normal Wager

80% UP 500* 5 X Normal Wager

If you're looking for analysis on each game you're in the wrong place. Sports betting is all about identifying the weak spreads/money lines etc.

For analysis that can be explained for taking Team A. Another equally convincing analysis can be made for taking Team B.

Here you will be given the APR's that are produced. Allow them to do the work for you!

Thank you, Jamie Tursini
 
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Sean Murphy

Jets vs Flyers

8* NHL Bonus Play OVER 5.5

I'll back the 'over' in Philadelphia on Thursday night.

The Jets are fresh off a somewhat surprising 4-0 home win over the Blackhawks two nights ago. I'm counting on another strong offensive performance here, but I'm not convinced the Jets will hold up particularly well defensively.

Note that prior to Tuesday's shutout, the Jets had allowed at least two goals in regulation time in nine consecutive games. They'll be hard-pressed to hold down an explosive Flyers squad that is coming off a subpar performance against Ottawa on Tuesday.

Philadelphia has had some trouble keeping the puck out of its own net (what else is new?), but the good news is the offense continues to hold its own, scoring 36 goals in regulation time over its last 11 contests.

The last two meetings in this series have been relatively low-scoring but this will be the first matchup this season. Take the over (8*).
 

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