Jim Feist
Comp NHL Pick for Thursday, October 9, 2014: 10:05 PM EST
(73) WINNIPEG JETS VS (74) PHOENIX COYOTES
Take: UNDER THE TOTAL.
Reason: Your Bonus Play for Thursday, October 9, 2014 is in the NHL as Winnipeg heads to the Arizona desert to play the Coyotes. The Winnipeg Jets have been in Manitoba for three years now, but have yet to make the playoffs. Winnipeg is 1-8-1 in the last 10 meetings in Arizona and has an inconsistent offense. Aside from a new coach for a full season, the Jets are largely the same team that they were last season. Arizona struggled to score goals last year and is on a 21-8-1 run under the total. For years, the largest question mark for the Coyotes has been on offense. The team fields few, if any, of the league leaders in goals or assists in any given season. But this season, goals may be even harder to come by. The inability to sign Radim Vrbata over the summer, coupled with circumstances outside of the team's control that led to the dismissal of last year's major free agent signing, Mike Ribeiro, left the Coyotes without two of the team's top five most productive players. The defense is good and the under is 13-3 in the Coyote's last 16 home games and the under is 17-5 against the Western Conference. And when these teams meet the under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play Winnipeg/Arizona under the total.
Comp NHL Pick for Thursday, October 9, 2014: 10:05 PM EST
(73) WINNIPEG JETS VS (74) PHOENIX COYOTES
Take: UNDER THE TOTAL.
Reason: Your Bonus Play for Thursday, October 9, 2014 is in the NHL as Winnipeg heads to the Arizona desert to play the Coyotes. The Winnipeg Jets have been in Manitoba for three years now, but have yet to make the playoffs. Winnipeg is 1-8-1 in the last 10 meetings in Arizona and has an inconsistent offense. Aside from a new coach for a full season, the Jets are largely the same team that they were last season. Arizona struggled to score goals last year and is on a 21-8-1 run under the total. For years, the largest question mark for the Coyotes has been on offense. The team fields few, if any, of the league leaders in goals or assists in any given season. But this season, goals may be even harder to come by. The inability to sign Radim Vrbata over the summer, coupled with circumstances outside of the team's control that led to the dismissal of last year's major free agent signing, Mike Ribeiro, left the Coyotes without two of the team's top five most productive players. The defense is good and the under is 13-3 in the Coyote's last 16 home games and the under is 17-5 against the Western Conference. And when these teams meet the under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play Winnipeg/Arizona under the total.
Xander Locke
Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans
Bonus Play Houston Texans
Houston's defense is much improved from last season. They have allowed an average of just 17.4 points per game over 5 games. Houston plays Indy well at home. Last season at home Houston was leading Indy 21-3 at half time. Coach Kubiak had to leave the game for medical reasons and the the Texans lost the lead and the game 27-24.
Indy is tired after playing a very tough physical game vs Baltimore. Both teams are tired here. Look for Houston to keep this game close possibly getting the upset win.
Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans
Bonus Play Houston Texans
Houston's defense is much improved from last season. They have allowed an average of just 17.4 points per game over 5 games. Houston plays Indy well at home. Last season at home Houston was leading Indy 21-3 at half time. Coach Kubiak had to leave the game for medical reasons and the the Texans lost the lead and the game 27-24.
Indy is tired after playing a very tough physical game vs Baltimore. Both teams are tired here. Look for Houston to keep this game close possibly getting the upset win.
Ray Monohan
BYU vs. Central Florida
5* Bonus Play Central Florida Knights -3
The Knights are not the team they were a year ago, fortunately the Cougars are not the team they were even a week ago. Last week the loss of QB Taysom Hill doomed their season. They lost the game to Utah State and with Hill out for the rest of the season things do not look promising for BYU.
Even though UCF has been a huge disapointment at home against an inexperienced QB they should be able to get the victory. They have been a bit snakebit but this team is not terrible.
Good Luck, Razor Ray
BYU vs. Central Florida
5* Bonus Play Central Florida Knights -3
The Knights are not the team they were a year ago, fortunately the Cougars are not the team they were even a week ago. Last week the loss of QB Taysom Hill doomed their season. They lost the game to Utah State and with Hill out for the rest of the season things do not look promising for BYU.
Even though UCF has been a huge disapointment at home against an inexperienced QB they should be able to get the victory. They have been a bit snakebit but this team is not terrible.
Good Luck, Razor Ray
'NFL Thursday Nighter'
So far this season, Thursday night favorites have been the right choice. WK1 Seahawks (-4.5) thumped Packers 36-16, WK2 Ravens (-2.5) downed Steelers 26-6, WK3 Falcons (-6.5) destroyed Bucs 56-14, WK4 Washington (-3) failed in it's attempt falling 45-14 to visiting Giants and last week Packers (-8.5) humiliated Vikings 42-10. This Thursday, Indianapolis Colts (-3.0) try to make it 5-1 SU/ATS for Thursday night favorites as they visit Houston Texans. Playing on three days rest can be extremely difficult, especially for a visiting squad. Over the past 5 seasons the road team has won just 22 of 54 regular season games played on Thursday while posting a 26-28 ATS mark against the betting line. Still, you bet against Colts at some risk. Andrew Luck sporting a league leading 1617 passing yards, 14 TD's should easily shred Texans' 21st ranked pass defense giving up 253.2 PYG. Colts on a profitable 12-1 ATS streak against the division, a sparkling 7-1 record against the betting line in Thursday road games, Texans on a 0-4 Thursday ATS skid, 1-6 ATS slide vs the division the numbers clearly illustrate Colts are the right choice.
So far this season, Thursday night favorites have been the right choice. WK1 Seahawks (-4.5) thumped Packers 36-16, WK2 Ravens (-2.5) downed Steelers 26-6, WK3 Falcons (-6.5) destroyed Bucs 56-14, WK4 Washington (-3) failed in it's attempt falling 45-14 to visiting Giants and last week Packers (-8.5) humiliated Vikings 42-10. This Thursday, Indianapolis Colts (-3.0) try to make it 5-1 SU/ATS for Thursday night favorites as they visit Houston Texans. Playing on three days rest can be extremely difficult, especially for a visiting squad. Over the past 5 seasons the road team has won just 22 of 54 regular season games played on Thursday while posting a 26-28 ATS mark against the betting line. Still, you bet against Colts at some risk. Andrew Luck sporting a league leading 1617 passing yards, 14 TD's should easily shred Texans' 21st ranked pass defense giving up 253.2 PYG. Colts on a profitable 12-1 ATS streak against the division, a sparkling 7-1 record against the betting line in Thursday road games, Texans on a 0-4 Thursday ATS skid, 1-6 ATS slide vs the division the numbers clearly illustrate Colts are the right choice.
Sam Martin
Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans 8:25PM
5* Indianapolis Colts
Reason: 5* Play on Indianapolis. After scoring a relatively easy ATS cover on the Colts last Sunday, we'll come right back with Indy in this Thursday night matchup at Houston. We've been big on the Colts and jumping on the line value after the linesmaker wasn't giving them enough credit after their 0-2 start. But with losses against Denver and Philadelphia, the Colts finally faced better teams in terms of matching up defensively.
Indy could always score, and they've put up at least 20 points in all five games this season. Colts win or lose depending on how they defend, and we believe they can contain this Houston offense that isn't a great passing team. Houston relies heavily on the run and the Colts have done a pretty good job in that department allowing 102 rushing ypg. Colts are averaging a full 10 ppg more than Houston, and with the Texans unable to run they can't keep up on the scoreboard! 5* Play on Indianapolis.
Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans 8:25PM
5* Indianapolis Colts
Reason: 5* Play on Indianapolis. After scoring a relatively easy ATS cover on the Colts last Sunday, we'll come right back with Indy in this Thursday night matchup at Houston. We've been big on the Colts and jumping on the line value after the linesmaker wasn't giving them enough credit after their 0-2 start. But with losses against Denver and Philadelphia, the Colts finally faced better teams in terms of matching up defensively.
Indy could always score, and they've put up at least 20 points in all five games this season. Colts win or lose depending on how they defend, and we believe they can contain this Houston offense that isn't a great passing team. Houston relies heavily on the run and the Colts have done a pretty good job in that department allowing 102 rushing ypg. Colts are averaging a full 10 ppg more than Houston, and with the Texans unable to run they can't keep up on the scoreboard! 5* Play on Indianapolis.
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Monticello Raceway
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 1 - Post: 12:50 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 70 - Purse:$2500 - ALL AGES N/W $200 P/S LAST 6 OR P/S IN 2014 $3900 P/C L/S CARBON FOOTPRINT WAS EATOE J DEVAUX 1 OVER 2
CONSORTIUM CHOICES
Chatsworth Consortium
# 5 EDGAR 8/1
# 4 SENSATIONAL PRAYER 5/2
# 1 PIERRE LAVEC 3/1
EDGAR will have you running to the cashier's window in this contest so don't let the high morning line scare you off. This race could be controlled by this gelding. One look at the avgerage speed figure will verify that. SENSATIONAL PRAYER - Has one of the top win clips in the group of animals and may be able to add to those numbers in this race. With a nice 67 speed fig last time out, will most definitely be a factor in this affair. PIERRE LAVEC - Been racing with some tougher customers of late, has a distinct class advantage. (Average Rating 74). That 68 speed fig clocked in the last race puts this standardbred in the mix in here.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 1 - Post: 12:50 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 70 - Purse:$2500 - ALL AGES N/W $200 P/S LAST 6 OR P/S IN 2014 $3900 P/C L/S CARBON FOOTPRINT WAS EATOE J DEVAUX 1 OVER 2
CONSORTIUM CHOICES
Chatsworth Consortium
# 5 EDGAR 8/1
# 4 SENSATIONAL PRAYER 5/2
# 1 PIERRE LAVEC 3/1
EDGAR will have you running to the cashier's window in this contest so don't let the high morning line scare you off. This race could be controlled by this gelding. One look at the avgerage speed figure will verify that. SENSATIONAL PRAYER - Has one of the top win clips in the group of animals and may be able to add to those numbers in this race. With a nice 67 speed fig last time out, will most definitely be a factor in this affair. PIERRE LAVEC - Been racing with some tougher customers of late, has a distinct class advantage. (Average Rating 74). That 68 speed fig clocked in the last race puts this standardbred in the mix in here.
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Rideau Carleton
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 4 - Post: 7:30 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 75 - Purse:$3300 - CLAIMING $6,500. NW $700.
CONSORTIUM CHOICES
Chatsworth Consortium
# 4 SAULSBROOK FIDGET 5/1
# 1 LUKE BUT DONTOUCH 4/1
# 7 PARKHILL JUGERNAUT 2/1
All signs point to SAULSBROOK FIDGET for the choice. A respectable class horse cannot be forgotten. With an average class stat of 77 all signs say this is the one to beat. With a 58pct return on investment, this driver/trainer has produced really good payoffs recently for investors. LUKE BUT DONTOUCH - Take a good look at making this horse your win wager based on well above average win statistic alone. The handicapping group will always throw in a race horse from the 1 hole here at Rideau Carleton, definite exotic possibilities. PARKHILL JUGERNAUT - This race could be controlled by this gelding. One look at the avgerage TrackMaster SR will verify that. Has a strong shot in this contest, if he can perform to his back racing class.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 4 - Post: 7:30 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 75 - Purse:$3300 - CLAIMING $6,500. NW $700.
CONSORTIUM CHOICES
Chatsworth Consortium
# 4 SAULSBROOK FIDGET 5/1
# 1 LUKE BUT DONTOUCH 4/1
# 7 PARKHILL JUGERNAUT 2/1
All signs point to SAULSBROOK FIDGET for the choice. A respectable class horse cannot be forgotten. With an average class stat of 77 all signs say this is the one to beat. With a 58pct return on investment, this driver/trainer has produced really good payoffs recently for investors. LUKE BUT DONTOUCH - Take a good look at making this horse your win wager based on well above average win statistic alone. The handicapping group will always throw in a race horse from the 1 hole here at Rideau Carleton, definite exotic possibilities. PARKHILL JUGERNAUT - This race could be controlled by this gelding. One look at the avgerage TrackMaster SR will verify that. Has a strong shot in this contest, if he can perform to his back racing class.
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 8 - Allowance - 7.5f on the Turf. Purse: $30000 Class Rating: 84
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, TRIAL OR OKLAHOMA BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 10 FIONA CAT 8/1
# 3 RIBBON OF DARKNESS 3/1
# 6 AIRE OF VICTORY 8/1
I've got to go with FIONA CAT especially at a such a nice price. Ought to be considered for this event if only for the formidable speed figure put up in the last race. Has formidable Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a bet for this event. Going in a turf sprint race gives this filly a solid shot. RIBBON OF DARKNESS - Is worth considering and may be a bet - strong Speed Figures (80 average) at today's distance and surface recently. Players get an edge when playing this trainer in a turf sprint race. AIRE OF VICTORY - Might best this group here, showing very strong figures of late.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 8 - Allowance - 7.5f on the Turf. Purse: $30000 Class Rating: 84
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, TRIAL OR OKLAHOMA BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 10 FIONA CAT 8/1
# 3 RIBBON OF DARKNESS 3/1
# 6 AIRE OF VICTORY 8/1
I've got to go with FIONA CAT especially at a such a nice price. Ought to be considered for this event if only for the formidable speed figure put up in the last race. Has formidable Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a bet for this event. Going in a turf sprint race gives this filly a solid shot. RIBBON OF DARKNESS - Is worth considering and may be a bet - strong Speed Figures (80 average) at today's distance and surface recently. Players get an edge when playing this trainer in a turf sprint race. AIRE OF VICTORY - Might best this group here, showing very strong figures of late.
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Santa Anita
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 4 - Claiming - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $25000 Class Rating: 82
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000, IF FOR $22,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 1 CLASSY AND SASSY 8/1
# 7 SALSITA 7/2
# 6 SWISSARELLA 8/1
I think CLASSY AND SASSY is a strong pick especially at 8/1. Lately Taylor has provided bettors with a decent winning percentage with horses racing in dirt sprint races. Looks respectable to be close to the lead at the first call. With a strong 80 average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance, seems well suited for today's race. SALSITA - The Equibase Speed Figure of 84 from her latest contest looks very good in here. Garcia has one of the strongest jock ROI's on the grounds, returning to bettors +11 percent. SWISSARELLA - Should be given a shot in here if only for the respectable speed rating recorded in the last contest.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 4 - Claiming - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $25000 Class Rating: 82
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000, IF FOR $22,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 1 CLASSY AND SASSY 8/1
# 7 SALSITA 7/2
# 6 SWISSARELLA 8/1
I think CLASSY AND SASSY is a strong pick especially at 8/1. Lately Taylor has provided bettors with a decent winning percentage with horses racing in dirt sprint races. Looks respectable to be close to the lead at the first call. With a strong 80 average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance, seems well suited for today's race. SALSITA - The Equibase Speed Figure of 84 from her latest contest looks very good in here. Garcia has one of the strongest jock ROI's on the grounds, returning to bettors +11 percent. SWISSARELLA - Should be given a shot in here if only for the respectable speed rating recorded in the last contest.
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Belterra Park - Race #8 - Post: 4:53pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $6,000 Class Rating: 58
Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar
#2 POWER WALK (ML=6/1)
#3 TALIESIN (ML=7/2)
POWER WALK - Cruised home victorious as she wired the field just recently at Thistledown. Quickly turning around to potentially do it again in this event. She keeps getting closer at the finish with each and every start. This filly is in good condition. Ran first on Sep 26th. This filly garnered a strong speed fig of 60 in her last event. That rating should be strong enough to win this time out. TALIESIN - Don't often see a favorable return on investment like +53. This jockey/handler twosome has done well together over the last 12 months. Faced tougher last time out at Belterra Park. Based on class ratings, this is a weaker group, so I will put this one on my list of top contenders. I think that the addition of blinkers today will keep her mind on the race at hand.
Vulnerable Contenders: #6 KNOW IN ADVANCE (ML=3/1), #8 DIVINE CREATION (ML=5/1), #9 MYLAND (ML=8/1),
KNOW IN ADVANCE - Hasn't been on the Belterra Park oval in the last few weeks. Cause for some concern. DIVINE CREATION - Just can't wager on this entrant. Didn't show me anything last time out or on Aug 28th. MYLAND - Tough to invest in any horse to turn things around if there is no reward to taking the chance.
Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - POWER WALK - Put a bet on this filly. Number one in earnings per start and has a lot more to offer as well.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#2 POWER WALK is going to be the play if we are getting 2/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,3]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
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SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
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Bar
Belterra Park - Race #8 - Post: 4:53pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $6,000 Class Rating: 58
Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar
#2 POWER WALK (ML=6/1)
#3 TALIESIN (ML=7/2)
POWER WALK - Cruised home victorious as she wired the field just recently at Thistledown. Quickly turning around to potentially do it again in this event. She keeps getting closer at the finish with each and every start. This filly is in good condition. Ran first on Sep 26th. This filly garnered a strong speed fig of 60 in her last event. That rating should be strong enough to win this time out. TALIESIN - Don't often see a favorable return on investment like +53. This jockey/handler twosome has done well together over the last 12 months. Faced tougher last time out at Belterra Park. Based on class ratings, this is a weaker group, so I will put this one on my list of top contenders. I think that the addition of blinkers today will keep her mind on the race at hand.
Vulnerable Contenders: #6 KNOW IN ADVANCE (ML=3/1), #8 DIVINE CREATION (ML=5/1), #9 MYLAND (ML=8/1),
KNOW IN ADVANCE - Hasn't been on the Belterra Park oval in the last few weeks. Cause for some concern. DIVINE CREATION - Just can't wager on this entrant. Didn't show me anything last time out or on Aug 28th. MYLAND - Tough to invest in any horse to turn things around if there is no reward to taking the chance.
Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - POWER WALK - Put a bet on this filly. Number one in earnings per start and has a lot more to offer as well.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#2 POWER WALK is going to be the play if we are getting 2/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,3]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Delaware - Race #5 - Post: 3:07pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,500 Class Rating: 50
Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar
#1 APPEALING BEAUTY (ML=2/1)
APPEALING BEAUTY - You'll be generating profits right and left by turning your betting money onto this jockey/trainer combination. With a big class drop in Equibase class figure points from her Jul 16th race at Delaware. Based on that element, I will give this horse the advantage. This filly's last speed figure garnered on July 16th is in the top spot in last race speed figures. Ranks number one in earnings per start. A powerful performance in this event will boost that total.
Vulnerable Contenders: #5 PAGAN JOY (ML=8/5), #3 QUALITY QUEEN (ML=6/1), #4 REGINA CHRISTINA (ML=6/1),
PAGAN JOY - This probable favorite ran on Sep 10th and hasn't had a morning drill after that. Garnered a substandard fig last time around the track in a $30,000 Maiden Claiming race on Sep 10th. Not likely to see an improved performance off of that rating. QUALITY QUEEN - Morning line odds of 6/1 make this horse a pass by my standards. REGINA CHRISTINA - Don't think this steed has what it takes to be victorious today.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #1 APPEALING BEAUTY on top if we're getting at least 1/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
1 with [2,4]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
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SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
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Bar
Delaware - Race #5 - Post: 3:07pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,500 Class Rating: 50
Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar
#1 APPEALING BEAUTY (ML=2/1)
APPEALING BEAUTY - You'll be generating profits right and left by turning your betting money onto this jockey/trainer combination. With a big class drop in Equibase class figure points from her Jul 16th race at Delaware. Based on that element, I will give this horse the advantage. This filly's last speed figure garnered on July 16th is in the top spot in last race speed figures. Ranks number one in earnings per start. A powerful performance in this event will boost that total.
Vulnerable Contenders: #5 PAGAN JOY (ML=8/5), #3 QUALITY QUEEN (ML=6/1), #4 REGINA CHRISTINA (ML=6/1),
PAGAN JOY - This probable favorite ran on Sep 10th and hasn't had a morning drill after that. Garnered a substandard fig last time around the track in a $30,000 Maiden Claiming race on Sep 10th. Not likely to see an improved performance off of that rating. QUALITY QUEEN - Morning line odds of 6/1 make this horse a pass by my standards. REGINA CHRISTINA - Don't think this steed has what it takes to be victorious today.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #1 APPEALING BEAUTY on top if we're getting at least 1/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
1 with [2,4]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
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