Brandon Shively
Temple vs Memphis (Thursday, 8:00 PM EST)
1* Bonus Play Under the Total
I like this game to stay under the total. Any time you can get a Temple total set this high, the under is definitely worth a second look. Upon looking closer, I like what I see. Temple has held Memphis to 12, 16, and 21 points the L3 meetings. Last year, this was a 14-12 (26 points) game going into the 4th quarter before finishing with 43 total points. This year, Memphis has a new QB which is a downgrade from Paxton Lynch who was a 1st rd draft pick in the NFL. Don’t let the 77 points they scored against Bowling Green fool you. Bowling Green is one of the worst teams in college football this season. They put up 43 against Kansas, but the Kansas defense is bad and the yardage was actually close (+80 net yards). Just five days after battling with a more physical SEC team in Ole Miss, I don’t think the Tigers offense will be as crisp as one might expect.
Temple is a defensive minded team that prefers to play at a slow pace. This total tonight marks the highest total under head coach Rhule when Temple has been a road underdog (14 games). 62 points is the most points that have ever been scored in these 14 games. Temple doesn’t have much talent at receiver and QB Walker has only a 55% completion percentage this year with 6 INT already to only 7 TD.
On defense, Temple is holding teams to a 29% conversion rate on 3rd downs. They have allowed a score only 66% of the time in the red zone. On offense, the Owls only converted 23% of 3rd downs at Penn State and are only converting 36% on the season. That’s against some bad defensive teams like Charlotte and SMU.
For Memphis, they are holding teams to a 24% conversion rate on 3rd downs (Held Ole Miss to 3-for-11 last week). On offense, the Tigers are converting 38% of the time on 3rd downs which is not anything special and makes the play on the under more attractive. Also, the Tigers defense has only allowed 5 TD’s in 11 red zone drives. I think we see Temple make some long drives that kill the clock and settle for a few field goals and we should see the same thing with the Memphis offense. Look for a final score in the 30-20 range. (1* Under the Total)
Temple vs Memphis (Thursday, 8:00 PM EST)
1* Bonus Play Under the Total
I like this game to stay under the total. Any time you can get a Temple total set this high, the under is definitely worth a second look. Upon looking closer, I like what I see. Temple has held Memphis to 12, 16, and 21 points the L3 meetings. Last year, this was a 14-12 (26 points) game going into the 4th quarter before finishing with 43 total points. This year, Memphis has a new QB which is a downgrade from Paxton Lynch who was a 1st rd draft pick in the NFL. Don’t let the 77 points they scored against Bowling Green fool you. Bowling Green is one of the worst teams in college football this season. They put up 43 against Kansas, but the Kansas defense is bad and the yardage was actually close (+80 net yards). Just five days after battling with a more physical SEC team in Ole Miss, I don’t think the Tigers offense will be as crisp as one might expect.
Temple is a defensive minded team that prefers to play at a slow pace. This total tonight marks the highest total under head coach Rhule when Temple has been a road underdog (14 games). 62 points is the most points that have ever been scored in these 14 games. Temple doesn’t have much talent at receiver and QB Walker has only a 55% completion percentage this year with 6 INT already to only 7 TD.
On defense, Temple is holding teams to a 29% conversion rate on 3rd downs. They have allowed a score only 66% of the time in the red zone. On offense, the Owls only converted 23% of 3rd downs at Penn State and are only converting 36% on the season. That’s against some bad defensive teams like Charlotte and SMU.
For Memphis, they are holding teams to a 24% conversion rate on 3rd downs (Held Ole Miss to 3-for-11 last week). On offense, the Tigers are converting 38% of the time on 3rd downs which is not anything special and makes the play on the under more attractive. Also, the Tigers defense has only allowed 5 TD’s in 11 red zone drives. I think we see Temple make some long drives that kill the clock and settle for a few field goals and we should see the same thing with the Memphis offense. Look for a final score in the 30-20 range. (1* Under the Total)
