Tony George
Ohio vs Toledo
Bonus Play Ohio U +17 @ Toledo
Frank Solich is a great coach, and I have banked on him all year with the Ohio Bobcats. I have faded Ohio once as well and cashed on them as favs twice. Toledo is beat up with injury issues on the OL and off a huge emotional win where they got lucky with a key turnover by Central Michigan in that game. Ohio U full healthy in backfield on offense, QB Maxwell playing smart ball and RB Brown a big boost since returning to the lineup. Solich is always good in big games as well. Ohio struggled against Kent, had -3 in turnovers and could not convert a first down to save their life in a game they overlooked, it will not happen again under Solich in this game. The sharps in Vegas hit this at 17 and now it dropped a point, I am still on them at this number to cover it, and it is climbing back up.
While Toledo is an offensive high octane machine, their OL injury issues concern me. Toledo is also a cover machine going 17-5 ATS their last 22 games overall, but I sense a spot here that gets tight for them. Ohio's strength is their defense, and they are #1 team in the MAC in points allowed on defense. While I think Toledo gets the win, it will not come easy against a team who aggressively pursues the QB and has 29 QB sacks YTD. Going with the Big Dog in this one.
Bonus Play on Ohio U Thursday Night