Thursday 10/23/14 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

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Jeff Saad of Las Vegas Sports Services

Thursday NCAAF Free Pick:

10/23 04:00 PM CF (105) CONNECTICUT VS (106) EAST CAROLINA: Connecticut has no offense and is on a 5-1 run under the total. Look for EC to get a big lead then play ball control. Play UConn/East Carolina Under the total.
 
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Mr. Vegas

Free Thursday Play from Mr. Vegas:

10/23: 10/23 05:00 PM CF (107) MIAMI FLORIDA VS (108) VIRGINIA TECH: Under the total.
 
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Jim Feist

Comp NBA Pick for Thursday, October 23, 2014: 7:35 PM EST

(653) PHILADELPHIA 76ERS VS (654) DETROIT PISTONS

Take: (654) DETROIT PISTONS.

Reason: Your free pick for Thursday, October 23rd comes in NBA action as the 76ers and Pistons meet in Detroit. Can't see the Philadelphia 76ers caring about this one, their final preseason games. They didn't play well in their last game, also on the road, losing 99-88 at Brooklyn. In fact, they haven't had a good preseason on a 1-4 run with little offense, scoring 77, 91, 95 and 88 points the last four. They shot 39% the last game, just 5-26 from long range. Detroit's offense is been playing well, with a 4-2 preseason record despite playing the last four games on the road. Andre Drummond had 19 points and 14 rebounds to help the Detroit Pistons beat the Atlanta Hawks 104-100 on Saturday night in an exhibition game. Pistons coach Stan Van Gundy has only one more preseason game in which to assess his centers and wingmen. "We haven't come anywhere near deciding on a lineup." Van Gundy said. "Nowhere near it." So grab the home team. Play the Pistons!
 
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Marc Lawrence

San Diego Chargers vs. Denver Broncos

3-unit Play - Broncos-Chargers UNDER

Edges - Broncos 1-4 UNDER on Thursdays; and 0-6 UNDER before the Patriots. Chargers: 1-5 UNDER on Thursdays; and 0-4 UNDER as dogs of more than 6 points. With both teams owning Top 10 ranked defenses, look for the UNDER in this series to win again for the 4th straight time tonight. We recommend a 3-unit play on the Broncos-Chargers UNDER. Thank you and good luck as always.
 
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Ray Monohan

Connecticut vs. East Carolina

5* FREE NCAAF Play Connecticut vs. ECU Over 55.5

The talk about the ECU Pirates has died down. They are a good team but their league is just not going to elevate them enough. In three home games they have not scored less than 45 points so against a weak Connecticut team they just might go over all by their lonesome.

The reason the number is relatively low is that they might have to. The Huskies are terrible on offense. With the off week to prepare they should have more jump to their attack.
 
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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Dayton Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 11 - Post: 9:55 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 77 - Purse:$3000 - HORSES & GELDINGS CLAIMING $4000 W/ALLOWANCES


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 5 HEZUPTOSUMTHIN 10/1


# 2 JAY DEAN DEW 7/2


# 4 CAM EAST 6/1

Really keen on the chance of HEZUPTOSUMTHIN taking down the winner's share in this event check out that fine price on the line. It's a bit chancy to consider solely based on class, but this gelding has among the strongest class ratings of the group. Considered a solid wager based solely on his high score percentage. Chances are greatly enhanced for fine animals coming from the 5 position at Dayton Raceway. JAY DEAN DEW - Langlois's return on investment for runners going down in class make this a strong play. This horse has a nose for the wire, just look at his better than average win percentage. CAM EAST - Worth taking a close look at here given the numbers in the speed figure department alone. A really good class horse shouldn't be be glossed over. With an average class number of 81 all signs point to yes.
 
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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Northfield Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 11 - Post: 9:20 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 60 - Purse:$3000 - NON WINNERS $5000 LIFETIME. CLAIMING PRICE $5000


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 9 FLIP IT ON 3/1


# 5 ASHLEY'S BAD BOY 9/2


# 1 DETROITER 6/1


FLIP IT ON definitely appears to be the entrant to beat in here. Is a very strong win contender given the 56 TrackMaster Speed Rating from his most recent contest. ASHLEY'S BAD BOY - Pace statistics fit the bias well here at Northfield Park, look for this one to get the victory. With a formidable 58 TrackMaster SR last time out, will most likely be a factor in this competition. DETROITER - He's doing work in good form, recording substantial TrackMaster Speed Ratings. An excellent choice. A very nice class horse cannot be missed. With an average class number of 64 all signs say this is the one to beat.
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Golden Gate

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 7 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $9000 Class Rating: 79

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JULY 15 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000



RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 3 A CLEVER TEN 7/2


# 8 NICOS MEMORY 8/1


# 7 CREATION'S GIFT 9/2


A CLEVER TEN looks to be a solid contender. Is difficult not to examine based on Equibase Speed Figures which have been strong - 73 avg - of late. Has to be carefully examined for this event if only for the very good Equibase Speed Figure earned in the last affair. Has performed solidly lately in sprint races, posting a nifty 74 avg speed rating. NICOS MEMORY - Has to be carefully examined based on the competitive speed figure put up in the last competition. CREATION'S GIFT - Has formidable early lick and should fare strongly versus this group. Have to assume this horse will do well again this time out.
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 7 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $9000 Class Rating: 90

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE MAY 1ST. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000. OKLAHOMA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $6,250.



RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 6 TENSAW 2/1


# 7 JUST DUDE 8/1


# 8 SPEEDING SPIKE 15/1


I think TENSAW is a quite good choice. Should keep the good string of finishing positions intact this time out. The average class figure of 85 makes this one tough to beat. Looks competitive for the conditions of this contest today, showing solid numbers in dirt sprint races recently. JUST DUDE - He ought to be given a shot given the strong speed figs. Murphy will most likely be able to get this gelding to break out sharply in this race. SPEEDING SPIKE - Gamblers should take a good look at this one as this gelding has one of the best win percentages at this distance in this group. This gelding is a solid contender based on his earnings per start in dirt sprint events.
 
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Laurel Park - Race #2 - Post: 1:06pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,000 Class Rating: 69

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#6 MAYBRYS CHALLENGE (ML=3/1)
#5 SPELL BUDDHA (ML=7/2)
#3 VANNA GO'S POINT (ML=20/1)


MAYBRYS CHALLENGE - Cruz's agent must look forward to anytime Ness gives them a mount; win percent together is outstanding. I have to figure that today's shorter trip should help this gelding. Looking at today's class figure, this horse is up against an easier field than last race out at Penn National. Lower impost of -7. In my opinion, a movement of 5 is important, so this gelding falls into this category. SPELL BUDDHA - I have to like this gelding's chances at the shorter distance. Taking a trip to a lower class level; has the ability to make his presence felt. Forgive the off the board finish on the off track last time out. With the benefit of a fast track, has a fair chance in this race. VANNA GO'S POINT - Chiappe and Deiter partnered with one another are a horseplayer's friend. Have to like the way Deiter has raced this horse back into shape off the layoff. Horse is well spotted in this sprint and I think he'll run well today. This horse didn't run well in the slop in his last race around the track at Delaware. You may want to disregard that showing.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 T MAC (ML=4/1), #4 BAYOU BOY (ML=4/1), #8 VIM (ML=6/1),

T MAC - Speed kills. Plenty of early speed in this race compromises this animal's hopes. BAYOU BOY - This gelding hasn't had any recent success in short distance affairs. Difficult to play him in this race. I can't play this habitual non-winner. Gets the job fulfilled occasionally. VIM - Tough to bet on a racer that loses so frequently.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - SPELL BUDDHA - I start with the top class horse in the field then work my way down. This one's got the top earnings per start. No need to look further.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #6 MAYBRYS CHALLENGE to win if we can get at least 3/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,5,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [3,5,6] Total Cost: $6
 
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Gulfstream West - Race #7 - Post: 4:13pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $15,500 Class Rating: 86

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#9 LION BELLE (ML=5/1)
#7 OUTWILDCATTIN (ML=2/1)


LION BELLE - Morales had been running this filly at higher levels recently. Did win a $14,000 Claiming race though, on Jun 26th. Could do it again here. Look at this pattern of improvement. 58/65/68 are the last three speed ratings. This horse is a hot commodity. Claimed in her last two races. OUTWILDCATTIN - I'm optimistic this mare will run well today. Last morning work was 2nd fastest of the day, which tells me she's sharp right now. When Bocachica and Navarro team up on horses the winning pct has been tremendous at 33.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 WHITE LION (ML=5/2), #3 GREAT MARTINI (ML=6/1),

WHITE LION - Doubtful that the speed figure she garnered on Oct 12th will hold up in this event.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Play #9 LION BELLE to win if you can get odds of 9/5 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [7,9]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
 
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Handicapped by Ellis Starr at Keeneland

Race #4 - Rating = 1
#5 Well Lived - Fair odds 5/2
#3 Gap Year - Fair odds 3/1


Three more days to get in on the action. So far the meeting has been a gig Success(Through Sat 10/18): 32% winners on top, +22% Return on Investment. Good Luck.


Exacta: 3,5 over 3,4,5,6


Well Lived goes around two turns after two sprints (under a mile), a solid foundation, and she finished 2nd in her most recent race as well as was 9 lengths clear of the 3rd horse. As a daughter of sire Tiznow she will love the added distance and she's a full sister to the late multiple stakes winner (over $5 million in earning) Well Armed, so she looks to have a bright future ahead of her.

Gap Year was very impressive when finishing 3rd in her debut this summer, beaten a nose and a head, after a troubled start and in a tough field at Saratoga, so much so that she was entered in the Grade 1 Darley Alcibiades Stakes on opening weekend, and was actually the betting favorite although still a maiden. However, a disadvantageous 12 post and wide trip got the best of her and she finished 7th. Back in with maidens and with Leparoux getting on, with improvement off her debut effort she has every right to win.
 
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Handicapped by Rick Needham at Santa Anita Park

RACE #6 - 3:34 PM

8½ FURLONGS DIRT FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $16,000.00 CLAIMING $20,000.00 PURSE

#7 HIGHLY RATED
#1 SHEZA EYEOPENER
#2 BELONGING
#6 INCREDIBLE JOURNEY

#7 HIGHLY RATED drops in class (-8) this afternoon, and has been a "POWER RUN PERFORMER" in each of her last five outing, and I note that her trainer, Vann Belvoir is adding blinkers for the first time today ... as noted on numerous occasions in the past, this subtle equipment change often produces noticeable speed boosts in their first applications. #1 SHEZA EYEOPENER has hit the board in three of her last five "adventures," including a pair of wins being embedded in this recent streak of racing consistency.
 
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Woodbine Harness: Thursday 10/23 analysis
By Greg Gangle

DRF HARNESS

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet: ROBERT HILL (11th)

Spot Play: JUSTABIT MEAN (12th)


Race 1

(6) ONE DIRECTION enters the Jones barn, draws in the middle of the gate and shows the speed over The Red Mile. (3) IN SECRET contested against Gold company two and three starts back and faces a much softer group. He made a miscue last week and will aim to rebound. (7) NUMBERS GAME comes from the Baillargeon barn and has been knocking on the door as of late.

Race 2

(1) OLYMPIC SON has a solid record this season, gets the rail and comes from the Reid barn. (4) BOWDIE DE VIE has been much better in his last few starts, has terrific gate-speed and capable of dropping more time on this bigger oval. (6) SMORE PIE PLEASE hasn't missed the board in each of his last three starts.

Race 3

(5) DELCREST MASSY draws well, gets McNair in the bike and faces a much easier field. (2) NIGHTONTHEROAD draws inside, comes from the Burgess barn and faced Gold company two and three back. (7) ITS HUW YOU KNOW shows flashes of quick speed and likely will offer a double digit price.

Race 4

(5) QUEENSLAND BEACH comes from the MacGrath barn and recently qualified sharply. (4) NIPPY W HANOVER draws inside, comes from the Burgess barn and just missed last week. (6) CANT STOP has been knocking on the door in each of his last two starts and is an obvious choice for the top three.

Race 5

(1) ROYAL DAZZLER draws the rail, has terrific gate-speed and just missed last week. He's a top candidate in here for MacDonell. (10) KADABRINA raced well last week from an outside post to finish third. He's versatile and likely will offer a low price. (8) JOYOUS HALL continues to trot in the 1:58-range and likely will offer a healthy price. I'm price shopping with him.

Race 6

(2) PAN STREET USA draws inside, is fresh off a win and Gillis' barn has been much better as of late. (1) CLASSY HILL gets the rail, comes from the Alagna barn and is fresh off a win. (6) SUGARSAM has three wins this season, comes from the Johnson barn and has hit the board in three of her last four.

Race 7

(2) MAGIC MADNESS draws inside for capable trainer Maxwell and was a solid winner last week. (1) MONTALBANO BI qualified sharply in the debut for Henriksen and gets the rail. (6) DOWEYPUFFANDHOW comes from the Bax barn and has hit the board in three of her last four starts.

Race 8

(4) THREE RIVERS DELL will make just his second career start for Fellow. He closed from eight-to-fourth last week with a solid final frame. (5) MIDNIGHT PLAY comes from the Cass barn and continues to pace in the 1:54-range. (3) MACHNIFICENT draws inside, comes from the McIntosh barn and has hit the board in four of his last five starts.

Race 9

(3) SPORTSRANGER dropped numerous seconds with last week’s effort. A repeat performance should be quick enough to win this dash. (7) ANTAR PHIL did all the work last week en route to a second place effort. (8) HALTON HURRICE has hit the board in two of his last three and was too far back last week. He's a contender with a trip.

Race 10

(7) BIG SURF is fresh off a win at Flamboro, moves onto this circuit and comes from the Moreau barn. (5) WEST COAST ROCKER was a winner in his most recent, comes from the Johnson barn and offered good final quarter speed last week. (1) GREYSTONE MOE might offer a nice price. He gets the rail and enjoys racing off a helmet.

Race 11

(8) ROBERT HILL scored a speedy win in his latest for Alagna and appears to be the horse to beat. (7) STRONG PROFILE comes from the Moreau barn and has hit the board in each of his last three. (1) SHIPPEN OUT draws the rail, shows the speed and may offer a price.

Race 12

(6) JUSTABIT MEAN is winless in 16 starts this season, but gets major class relief. (5) SAM has a terrific late kick and should be well spotted in this field. (4) BIG TREAT is fresh off a win, draws inside and capable of the class jump.
 
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Yonkers: Thursday 10/23 Analysis
By Derick Giwner

DRF HARNESS


MEET STATS: 29 - 96 / $153.80 BEST BETS: 5 - 8 / $18.40

Best Bet: INSANE IN SPAIN (9th)

Spot Play: AZOREANSAILOR (4th)


Race 1

(5) FIRSTCLASSFLIGHT comes off a win at this level and draws well enough to stay in a striking position if Brian Sears elects not to leave. (1) DELICIOUSLYNAUGHTY has speed and the pole position, but has been known to get caught at the wire this year. (3) CAT CORA rallied nicely off a quick pace last time; clear player. (4) YOUNG AMERICAN has hit the board in each of her last five starts.

Race 2

(1) E L ROCK goods a good post to work with this week and takes on a mostly formless group. (5) CHET N SPANKY is one of the few which have been racing well. Four-year-old seems capable with a decent trip. (6) WHAT WINNER has plenty of class to him. Don't toss him off your tickets.

Race 3

(4) IF I DIDN'T CARE drops back down to a winning level for trainer Rick Dane, Jr. (3) LITTLE MERMAID N could be the lone speed in this field and would be dangerous if left to her own pace. (5) QUICKSILVERCANDY A gets a slightly better post to work with tonight. She is capable of flashing early speed on her best nights.

Race 4

(7) AZOREANSAILOR ships down from Canada and finds himself in a new barn. Veteran faces a lifeless bunch tonight. (4) HILLCREST DYNAMITE is another moving into a new stable. Maywood import has plenty of early speed. (6) ARTS BLAZE is a smooth trip away from getting into the photo for win.

Race 5

(3) SAINT PATTY'S DOLL steps back down the claiming ladder to the level of her last victory. This isn't an easy spot, but she deserves the edge in a 1 1/4 race that is loaded with early speed. (2) WELL CONNECTED KID has won two straight, the last in a pretty quick time. (1) SUN OF A VICTORY should save ground and get a nice piece. (6) RINGSIDE MUSCLE always looks to be one step away from a break but somehow keeps his act together.

Race 6

(4) GOOSE CREEK moves into the Tracy Brainard barn; anything is possible. (2) JOLLY JUBITER is another that hails from a high percentage outfit. Gelding should be close to the action. (3) LARAMARS SOUL steps up from time to time at this level.

Race 7

(1) CHEYENNE MIRIAM has responded nicely to the barn change and addition of Lasix. Four-year-old should be hustled away early from the rail. (3) NUTMEGS DESIRE knows how to win. She figures to be on the engine. (2) DENYITTOTHEEND gets some needed class relief.

Race 8

(2) VICTORIA MAY N hails from a barn that tends to fire on these types of class drops. This looks like a good spot for a big effort. (3) LITTLE MISS HENRY scored at first asking for her new connections last time. (1) ALITTLEEASTERMAGIC is back in town at a reduced level; very dangerous.

Race 9

(1) INSANE IN SPAIN moved down a notch to this level last time but drew poorly. Now he has the rail and should use it to his advantage. (3) GIDDY UP DELIGHT is capable of firing off the gate; Sears drives. (2) ADDWATER looked good while down in class; maybe.

Race 10

This is a tough race with many contenders. (3) MACH THIS WAY has won consecutive races for this claiming tag and deserves the narrow call. (5) I DO IT MYSELF romped by six lengths most recently. (6) FOX VALLEY HERMIA has done very well for new trainer Nick Surick. She had no chance from post eight last week. (1) MY IDEAL HANOVER has speed and the best post.

Race 11

(2) LET HER ROCK seems to be on the cusp of a victory and perhaps a new set of hands in the bike will make the difference. (4) MISS ANNIE J could be dangerous is she makes the front easily. (1) IT'S DE LOVELY has speed and the inside post.

Race 12

(4) BABE'S CHIP comes in from Chicago with a good record on the half-mile track at Maywood. This looks like a decent spot. (3) EVIL EVA & (1) BAD GIRL VEGAS are both moving from the eight-hole to inside posts.
 
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At the Gate - Thursday
By Mike Dempsey

A record 201 horses were entered for the Breeders’ Cup, which is coming up at Santa Anita on Oct. 31 and Nov. 1. While two-time Breeders’ Cup winners Wise Dan and Beholder are out due to an injury and a fever respectively, there is still plenty of star power.

Among the Breeders’ Cup winners returning are Goldencents (Dirt Mile), Ria Antonia (Distaff), Dank (Filly & Mare Turf), Secret Circle (Xpressbet Sprint), and Magician (Longines Turf).

The marquee matchup will come in the $5 million Breeders’ Cup Classic (G1), which drew 15, with the field limited to 14. Horse of the Year honors will likely be decided between Shared Belief and California Chrome.

Shared Belief is undefeated in four starts this year. Foot issues kept him off the Triple Crown trail, but he has come back to beat older runners in his last two starts, winning the Pacific Classic (G1) at Del Mar over polytrack and winning the Awesome Again (G1) last out over the Santa Anita main track.

The colt is currently the 8-5 early betting favorite for the Classic.

California Chrome is looking to get back to his winning ways. The Kentucky Derby (G1) and Preakness (G1) winner had his Triple Crown bid derailed in a fourth place finish in the Belmont Stakes (G1), and after a 3 ½ month freshening he was a disappointing sixth in the Pennsylvania Derby (G2) in his last outing.

The Art Sherman trainee has won three of his four starts over the Santa Anita main track including taking the Santa Anita Derby (G1) back in April. The colt is currently the second choice in the early betting at 5-2.

Fellow three-year-olds Bayern, winner of the Pennsylvania Derby is 3-1 while Belmont Stakes (G1) winner Tonalist is the fourth choice in the early betting at 9-2. V.E. Day is the fifth choice in the betting. The colt was the upset winner of the Travers Stakes (G1) and then was fifth in the Jockey Club Gold Cup (G1).

The older division has been decimated by injuries and retirements, missing last year’s winner Mucho Macho Man, as well as Palace Malice and Game On Dude. The top older horse still in the hunt appears to be Zivo, who was a good second in the Jockey Club Gold Cup last out and won the Suburban Handicap (G2) back in July.

The five-year-old is trained by Hall of Famer Bill Mott, who won the Breeders’ Cup Classic in 2011 with upsetter Drosselmeyer. His current odds are 8-1.

Final entries will be announced on Monday, and post positions will be drawn on Wednesday.

Here is today’s opening race from Belmont Park to get the day off to a good start:

BEL Race 1 Clm $25,000N3L (12:50 ET)
5 Wellington Wizard 8-5
7 Piscesbymoonlight 4-1
9 Poliziano 2-1
2 Call Wil 2-1

Analysis: Wellington Wizard is making his first start since July for the Tony D. barn that is 15% winners with runners coming back off a 61-180 day layoff. In his last outing, the gelding tracked the early pace and finished evenly in a third place finish against $20,000 non-winners of three. The gelding should be fit and ready off works at Fair Hill and this guy is bred top and bottom to handle a wet track which we seem likely to see today. The races were off the turf yesterday and I am assuming we will be off the grass again today.

Piscesbymoonlight outran his odds last out, setting thee early fractions and weakening to finish third at 15-1 against $35,000 non-winners of three over the main track here. The gelding looks headed in the right direction form wise for the Brown barn and this guy broke his maiden over a muddy track way back in 2011. He fits here if this race comes off the turf as expected.

Wagering
WIN: #5 to win at 8-5 or better.
EX: 5,7 / 2,5,7,9
TRI: 5,7 / 2,5,7,9 / 1,2,5,7,9

Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Belmont Park:

BEL Race 8 OClm $40,000N1X (4:27 ET)
3 Saturday Appeal 8-1
2 Bluegrass Flash 6-1
10 Cousin Michael 3-1
1 Goodtolook 10-1

Analysis: Saturday Appeal tracked the early pace and was no match for Sioux in the stretch in a runner up finish at this level. Sioux was a disappointing seventh in the state bred Empire Classic next out last Saturday as the beaten favorite, but the third place finisher Effinex wired the field. The gelding has now come up short four times at this condition but did land second in three of those trips and two of his three career wins were on wet tracks. CVel sticks and the 8-1 morning line looks more than fair.

Bluegrass Flash tracked the early pace and finished gamely to get to the wire a neck in front to beat state bred Alw-1 foes going seven furlongs. His three previous trips came on turf but he has run well going long on dirt and has handled a wet track. He broke his maiden here in the mud in a race taken off the turf back in June. The Clement barn is 27% winners (with a +ROI) moving runners from sprint to route.

Wagering
WIN: #3 to win at 9-2 or better.
EX: 2,3 / 1,2,3,10
TRI: 2,3 / 1,2,3,10 / 1,2,3,8,10

Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.

Belmont Park
R3: #3 Genre 8-1
R6: #12 Sonora 8-1
R8: #3 Saturday Appeal 8-1
R8: #1 Goodtolook 10-1
R9: #12 Warm Heart 8-1

Good luck today!
 
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SPOT PLAYS

For Thursday

TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE


Belmont Park (5th) Inaflash, 7-2
(8th) Gridley Here, 7-2


Delta Downs (1st) Silas, 3-1
(11th) Blockhouse, 3-1


Finger Lakes (2nd) Shahzadi, 6-1
(7th) The Mooche, 6-1


Golden Gate Fields (2nd) Alli Leigh, 10-1
(7th) Just After Sunset, 5-1


Gulfstream Park West (3rd) Famous Sting, 4-1
(8th) Behappyalex, 6-1


Hawthorne (1st) Mystra, 3-1
(8th) Ultimo Trago, 9-2


Indiana Grand (1st) First On Board, 9-2
(7th) Zero Visability, 9-2


Keeneland (1st) Deliver, 7-2
(4th) Well Lived, 6-1


Laurel (4th) Valley Stream, 6-1
(8th) Cerro, 8-1


Penn National (5th) Where's the Carat, 5-1
(7th) I'm On Fire, 7-2


Remington Park (4th) Consolidation, 3-1
(6th) Misandry Mermaid, 5-1


Santa Anita (2nd) Daddy's Duo, 3-1
(5th) Pretentious, 4-1
 

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