Mohawk: Thursday 10/13 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale
DRF
Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
PICK 5: 3,5,7,9/1,3/4/1,4,5/3,4,6,9 = $19.20
EARLY PICK 4: 1,4,5/3,4,6,9/1,2,5/3 = $36
LATE PICK 4: 3/1,4,5,9/2,4,6/4,5,6,8 = $48
MEET STATS: 416 - 1228 / $2160.80 BEST BETS: 69 - 113 / $215.70
SPOT PLAYS: 25- 112/ $166.40
Best Bet: ARSENAL SEELSTER (7th)
Spot Play: BILLS FELLA (9th)
Race 1
(9) TEARFUL OF HAPPY was pacing a bit erratically early in the mile last time but she showed some grit late to win despite missing 3 1/2 weeks. This spot is tougher but she could repeat at a price coming back in a week this time. (5) LUCKY PLAYER showed some late interest last time. Filion will likely put her into the race this week; using. (3) OK JEWEL was stymied by the slow early pace last week, but she did race well to be second. She can take this if she is driven aggressively. Toss her in the Pick 5. (7) JUST TOO SPOILED had issues last time that were likely caused by broken equipment. She is another to consider here in a wide-open dash.
Race 2
(3) RADICAL ROAD tracked then passed a huge favorite last week in a sharp effort. Filion sticks; call to repeat. (1) SCENE A MAGICIAN was in too tough last time. He looks like the main threat to the choice here. (7) NOBLE PRIZE has good late speed to offer most weeks. He can close for a piece here. (5) MY BIG KADILLAC faces easier and he can wake up in this spot and grab a small share.
Race 3
(4) MAJESTIC STREAK faces easier, returns quicker and gets a better post here; top call. (7) VESUVIO BI had a useful opener where he was trotting well late in the mile. He's worth a look here. (6) VICTORS MAGIC improved sharply in his second start and he should be able to grab a slice. (1) CHARMBO CHROME is another to consider for vertical wagers as he should get a good trip in or near the front.
Race 4
(4) JUMP JIVE AND JAM shows a 1:51 1/5 mark taken in this class at this track in early August. Anything close to that mile makes her a winner here. (5) LYRIC OF LIFE has really come on in her past couple of starts. She's the one to fend off late here. (1) HOT SPOT HANOVER is another that has put together several good starts in a row; don't discount her here. (3) THATGIRLISONFIRE never misses the Super and she likely won't here either.
Race 5
(9) ON THE MINUTE MARK's big rally fell just short last week, but she is clearly very sharp right now and gets the nod here. (4) STRONGRTHANDASTORM gets McNair here, which could result in some dramatic improvement. (6) SUNSET FILLY - a $12K Harrisburg buy - is a full-sister to a filly that won early and she's worth a look in this field. (3) TOUCHING THOUGHT has a race two back that puts her right there with these. Perhaps she disliked the slop at Flamboro.
Race 6
(2) PENNIES FROM ABOVE should be able to work out a much better trip from her inside draw here. I'll give her a slight nod over (1) CAMERON HILL, who comes off a blowout win in a race where five of her rivals broke stride. (5) WORK THAT MAGIC worked out a great trip to score at a huge price last week but the mark she took that night is the fastest in this field; using. (6) HURRICANE HAZEL will be passing horses late. She's a good one to use on the bottom of vertical wagers.
Race 7
(3) ARSENAL SEELSTER faces easier and he stands a good chance of controlling things here. (7) REBELLIOUS can improve on his opener and move up with that experience in tow. (8) MASTER THE VIEW gets some class relief here. He's worth a look for Pick 4 bets. (2) PRAIRIECREEKPRINCE can sit a trip and take a share here.
Race 8
(4) IM OUTSTANDING improved in her second start for trainer Auciello and now gets a better post to work with; slight nod. (1) CHIC CHICK left hard early, then capitalized off a covered trip to win at a huge price last week. She could trip-out again here starting from the inside. (9) ABSOLUT SEELSTER is 0-16 but recent efforts make her a contender here; likely at a square price. (5) CORE FUSION has yet to get a good trip and when he does he might be very tough.
Race 9
(6) BILLS FELLA was too far back last time vs. a strong winner, but he closed nicely at the end which should prime him perfectly for the first leg of this stakes series; top call. (2) SAUBLE SHADOW raced much better in his second start and further improvement here would not be a surprise. (4) DREAMFAIR B J couldn't capitalize on a great trip last time, but these should be easier and he is a player. (3) THROWOUTOFBETTER typically takes a smaller share. That trend should continue here.
Race 10
(4) ROADMAPPER has been racing great from outer posts and now she gets a better draw. She should be tough to beat here. (8) BATOUTAHILL was patiently driven to an easy win last week and Vanderkemp has her at the top of her game now; using. (6) WINDSONG MAGIC picks up Jamieson here. She could get put into play early and trip-out near the front. (5) JLS BAD MOON RISIN has improved his late speed recently. He should take a smaller share at a minimum here. (2) ANNELI HANOVER figures to get an inside following trip here and take a share.
