This bowl system went 11-1 last season ...

[Paddywack]

Good job Braxton Bragg.

 

[BIGWave]

No play on WV/NC power rating right on line of 2.5. WIS/FLA ST loss, MIA FLA/CAL win.
so far power ratings are 8-2

:think2: Did I miss some plays????
Or is this a variation you are trying miami sam?

 

[thefriedone]

He explained on the last page that he was using the power ratings from this site: http://www.sportrends.com/team_pr_cfb.htm

Basically just subtract the two ratings and play the game if that number differs a lot from the spread. Apparently it's been pretty successful this bowl season, but its a completely different system than the one this thread is about.

 

[BIGWave]

So tonight would be N.Ill +2.5??

 

[BK_Killer]

I am a newbie. However, I kept track with this system since 2004, I may understand the logic differently as follows:
1. First step: Get Sagarin ranking and SOS of all bowl games from http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/fbt08.htm
2. Second step: Eliminate all bowl games with the ranking of both teams are not in top 60 (as Notes 1, 2 & 3 below).
3. Third step: Eliminate all bowl games with both teams whose SOS are better than 60 (i.e. at least one of them > 60).
4. Final step: Play a team whose Ranking and SOS are better.

Depending on the logic above, the teams to be played for this year are:
1. Wake Forest (31, 4) vs Navy (39,74) Winner
2. South Florida(45, 59) vs Memphis (97,117) Winner
3. Arizona (19, 78) vs BYU (30, 83) Winner
4. TCU (8, 76) vs Boise State (12, 113) Looser
5. NC State (24, 11) vs Rutgers (36, 67)
6. Missouri (11, 30) vs Northwestern (40, 64)
7. Air Force (51, 77) vs Houston (57, 102)
8. Kansas (33, 23) vs Minnissota (68, 69)
9. USC (2, 38) vs Penn State (5, 61)
10. Virginia Tech (23, 13) vs Cincinnati (38, 62)
11. Alabama (6, 58) vs Utah (13, 70)
12. Connecticut (43, 40) vs Buffalo (60, 82)
13. Ball State (35, 116) vs Tulsa (47, 122)

Notes: 4 bowl games below are not qualified
1. Note Dame (62, 36) vs Hawaii (95, 72): ND Ranking 62 is very close to 60, therefore, someone can consider it.
2. Maryland (65, 21) vs Nevada (69, 88)
3. Rice (75, 101) vs (72, 109)
Ranking of all teams for each bowl games above are NOT in top 60.
4. Kentucky (67, 73) vs East Carolina (52, 75)
Ranking of E Carolina is better than Kentucky but its SOS is lower.

I just try to post what I knew. Please let me know if I am wrong. Thx

I double check Sagarin (Ranking, SOS):
5. NC State (61, 3 instead of 24, 11 for NC) vs Rutgers (36, 67)
>>> It's NOT qualified <<<
(Only SOS of NC ST = 3 is better than Rutgers = 67 while its Ranking = 61 is lower than Rutgers = 36)

 

[jbragg10]

For the last time ...
The SOS and Sagarin ratings have changed!

You can't look at the ratings now because games have been played and the numbers change. The numbers that were used are suppose to be taken before bowl games start.

NC State is a play

Thanks.

 

[MrReb]

MO is still good as well. Correct? Thanks!

 

[rolltide]

For the last time ...
The SOS and Sagarin ratings have changed!

You can't look at the ratings now because games have been played and the numbers change. The numbers that were used are suppose to be taken before bowl games start.

NC State is a play

Thanks.

actually right on the sagarin page it tells you the ratings are only through Dec 13 and not counting bowls...unless he updated them and failed to change the date he is saying they were last updated?

http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/fbt08.htm

"College Football 2008 through games of 2008 December 13 Saturday"

 

[mws]

actually right on the sagarin page it tells you the ratings are only through Dec 13 and not counting bowls...

Right, the Sagarin ratings have not changed.

 

[BIGWave]

I am going with the power ratings which are 8-2 now and don't agree with your system pick. Rutgers - 6.5 or less.

miami sam,

Help a guy out..................did the power ratings not lose last night????
And why are you only listing Rutgers as a play and not a play on the Missouri game??
Thanks and GLTU!!!

 

[jbragg10]

Here are the SOS and Sagarin that was posted and double checked a few weeks ago when I posted.

Look ... you can play them or don't ... I really don't care.
These ARE the teams in the system. I am not going to sit on here all day and argue about what teams are in and what teams are out.

Look below and you will see the teams. Do what you want with the information.

1. Wake Forest (32, 4 SOS) over Navy (39, 74 SOS) - WINNER
2. South Florida (49, 59 SOS) over Memphis (100, 117 SOS) - WINNER
3. Arizona (41, 78 SOS) over BYU (23, 83 SOS) - WINNER
4. TCU (9, 76 SOS) over Boise State (11, 113 SOS) - LOSER
5. Notre Dame (58, 36 SOS) over Hawaii (82, 72 SOS) - WINNER
6. NC State (47, 3 SOS) over Rutgers (38, 67 SOS)
7. Missouri (13, 30 SOS) over Northwestern (37, 64 SOS)
8. Maryland (50, 21 SOS) over Nevada (60, 88 SOS)
9. Rice (63, 101 SOS) over Western Michigan (57, 109 SOS)
10. Air Force (48, 77 SOS) over Houston (65, 102 SOS)
11. Kansas (33, 23 SOS) over Minnesota (66, 69 SOS)
12. USC (5, 38 SOS) over Penn State (6, 61 SOS)
13. Kentucky (67, 73 SOS) over East Carolina (52, 75 SOS)
14. Alabama (7, 58 SOS) over Utah (8, 70 SOS)
15. Connecticut (42, 40 SOS) over Buffalo (55, 82 SOS)
16. Ball State (36, 116 SOS) over Tulsa (56, 122 SOS)

NC St and Missouri are both plays tonight.
Good luck. I am personally on NC State, but I don't think I can pull the trigger on Missouri. We'll see.

 

[Broncos625]

Love NCSt. today. Going to leave work early to watch it at the Sportsbook! :toast:

 

[aztxwins]

What line do you guys have NC St at? I have it at +6.5 Thanks

 

[MexiFBbookie]

Love NCSt. today. Going to leave work early to watch it at the Sportsbook! :toast:

Live in Vegas huh

Pretty damn cool

 

[thefriedone]

miami sam,

Help a guy out..................did the power ratings not lose last night????
And why are you only listing Rutgers as a play and not a play on the Missouri game??
Thanks and GLTU!!!

I'm curious about this too sam. Maybe I was doing it wrong, but it seemed like NIU was a big favorite from those power ratings, so I took them ATS last night. Was that not a play under your system for some reason?

 

[POCKETPAIR]

With you on nc state jb thanks for the posts

 

[Duce15]

To many people on NCSTATE. TEEL is gonna light us up

 

[Duce15]

I say US cause I am on them as WELL....HOPE I can bet it OFF at halftime

 

[beserkians]

I follow NC St based on this system. Going against Randizzy and the touting karma. I hope this system is correct.

 

[thatoneguy]

I say US cause I am on them as WELL....HOPE I can bet it OFF at halftime

what's the matter fuckwad, no one cares about your thread so you have to pointlessly come in here and say more shit no one cares about? i bet that'd never happen if you weren't a complete and total douche bag, too bad we'll never know






And miami sam, why not start your own thread? is it really that difficult?