First Time posting picks in quite a long time. I do not nearly spend the same amount money that some of the regulars of this site spend on games and so I understand if other out there do not take what I am saying here very seriously. But it is something that I have studied for a long time and feel there is some merit to. Because Im in Canada and do not care to venture out to more offshore types of gaming, I usually play pro-line. However since this board is mainly a U.S. oriented environment, I will stick to Casino lines. I have noticed however that proline lines are usually a few points off of the normal vegas lines and this is something that should be kept in mind if you are someone who plays both kinds of gambling....
The main point I want to make clear is that these games are fixed...I am not going to get into a long debate about how they manage to do it...as this is neither the time or place to do so....It is quite complex and it is understood how crazy that sounds but I beg the reader to consider the history of sports and mafia and all the scandals that have been uncovered and to ask yourself what else can be uncovered that we have not been exposed to? Politics is rigged, Religion is rigged, Wars are rigged and my friends I am afraid Sports is no different. I am not saying this because I lost money that I needed to pay my college tuition for or something like that. I am not a heavy gambler. In the future however I do plan to wager more as I am beginning to realize that once you understand the rigged aspect of professional sports, you can generate quite a lot of money in a short period of time. There is a reason why they are called "Wiseguys". They've got Wisdom...but not the kind of wisdom you get from your Pops or your Highschool football coach....There is a reason why these guys will fork down 30 grand on a "public" looser and its not just because they have access to inside information. It is complex and yet so simple when you figure this out. These men understand that the world is a business....why else would you have American helicopters built in Tawain..? The public is given a certain perception of the world...while the truth is kept to the select few people who are fotunate enough to be privy to it...Hence it truly is not WHAT you know but WHO you know....
The so called experts on politics spend x amount of hours telling you who and how certain politicians are going to win certain elections only to have the Supreme court and electronic machines decide "who" really won....In the same vein we have ESPN and CNNSI telling you all week how great Tom Brady is and how wonderful Michael Vick is how the Falcons will cover by 5 this weekend and how terrible Washington is and how Dallas has now turned it around. They ignore games that involved unpopular favourites like St Louis and Buffalo and focus on the hi profile games of which the favourite always covers....
The PERCEPTION of the PUBLIC is what the media have always been able to manipulate and when you can do that you can create the reality you wish the world to perceive when in fact the truth of the matter is something completely different. They highlight elections every four years to give you the PERCEPTION that the people select Presidents when in fact the truth of the matter is that the Council on Foreign Relations choose who becomes President...not you. The perception that the public has in sports is that if team A beats a team B one week, it is because they are simply better than that team...When team A goes out and looses or barely wins the next week against the worse team C the public is shocked and less richer than they were the week before. Why? Because the perception the public had of team A was inflated by 2 things..
A) the peformance of that team the week before
B) the accolades the media gave to that particular team during the week
The fixing of NFL games is accomplished through very covert and sometimes overt ways which I will not get into here as it is beyond the scope of most people. However in regards to how they do it I will say this...it is not the way you think...to control the many all you have to do is control the few....
By creating certain perceptions of different teams from week to week, the sports books who are complicit in the scam can manipulate the public's choices on every single game. The idea goal of course is to make sure the House wins and the House always wins along with the "Wise" guys who are also complicit in the scam. There are certain characteristics a fixed game will have that you can look for.....
1) The favourite will usually go down very early 7 - 0 or 3 - 0. The favourite usually is far superior and is quite capable of punishing the opposing team but refuses to do so. The score will remain so until which point the tide will suddenly change. This usually happens in the fourth quarter....and depending on what has been "decided"....the faourite will either loose outright or at the very least not "COVER"....The dead give away of a fixed game is in the switch that happens during the game and because not all the players are in on this scam, it will be shocking to the team who ends up blowing a 14 point lead...The game I am sure you all remember all to well....
Chicago 24 Arizona 23
Bettors have always attributed this kind of game to the favourite simply not trying hard enough...the pererbial "looking ahead". If so, then why not look ahead against all the other bottom of the barrel teams? Why did Chicago not look ahead last week when Frisco rolled into town? because back to back fixed games can be spotted a lot easier. The Books can make much more money in the long run if they space it out. Have a team cover one week then pulled the rug out from under the Sammy the Square the next week....
Indianapolis 14, Tennessee 13 - Week 5
Indianapolis 36, Washington 22 - Week 7
Washington was the sexy pic, The public money would have been on Indianapolis...why did they cover? Because the timing called for it...Indy had already taken a dive 2 weeks before against the Titans who despite their improved offense had no business leading the Colts offense into the 4th quarter...What I am saying here is that each week certain teams have been selected to cover and or not cover based on pecking order...There some out there who believe that if the public is on a team, you should automatically assume the dog is going to cover...
Denver 17, Cleveland 7 - Week 7
Why did Denver cover if that is the case? Because they had taken a dive in a rigged game the week before...
Denver 13, Oakland 3 - Week 6
Now one element of this Rigged System that I have not discussed is the aspect of the "FOLLOWING WEEK". When ever you are deciding whether or not to dog or favourite a particular game, find out who those teams are playing the next week and perhaps the week after. Rememer the name of the game is "PERCEPTION". If Cleveland beats or covers against Denver in week 7, how does that effect the PUBLICS perception of that team the following week? How does the House benefit from Cleveland winning or covering against Denver in week 7? Who did Cleveland cover against in week 8?
Cleveland 20, N.Y. Jets 13
By having Cleveland get beat in week 7, it creates the perception that they were incapable of beating the Jets who covered and won against Detroit. So what if the Jets covered and won in Week 7. It was a LOW KEY game that the public likely was not paying attention to. A low key game is a game between too teams that the public does not focus on and neither does the media. These are the games you will find that favourites tend to cover. And this brings me to another aspect of the Rigged System...THE UNPOPULAR FAVOURITE...if popular favourites likely do not cover...what do unpopular favourites do? You can always tell who the unpopular favourite is because they likely have not beein the spotlight over the past few weeks...they usually come in under the radar. The Line will usually sit between 3 and 6 and not move...and the dog will receive a very large percentage of the money put on this game...
Cincinnati 17, Carolina 14 - Week 7
Kansas City 35, Seattle 28 - Week 8
The media will do nothing but criticize the team throughout the week and the bettors will be scared shitless of them...There is a gentlemen on this board by the name of WallStreetGenius who has brought forth some very pertinent information of which I believe many should pay attention to as it is something I myself have been noticing because it ties in with what I am talking about here...It is these very UNPOPULAR FAVOURITES that receive the large percentage ML action just before tip off. The line doesn't move and the public is none the wiser...because the action is hidden.
Lets take a look at Week 9 based on the previous things I have talked about...keep in mind that we must pay attention to the perceptions that the public has of the teams going into this weekends matchups and the perceptions they will have going into next weekends matchups and what that will mean to the Sports Books..
- 4.5 Minnesota @ San Francisco - Again, the perception of the 49ers is very unfavourable. The public is not focussed on this team. The key to understanding where this game is going is in who the vikings play next week...and how does the house benefit from a San Francisco win. obviously the Vikings get the highest percentage. Will the Outfit throw away money with such ease? Of course not. They are banking on the perception of Friscos beating at the hands of the bears last week to completely push the public toward Minnesota but who does Minnesota play next week....Green Bay at home in what will be considered a LOW PROFILE game....The House is going to steal the publics money on this one...and that is the point..
San Francisco + 5...THE UNPOPULAR DOG...is the play
Miami at Chicago - 13.5/14.5 / Pro-Line Bears - 16.5 - The House threw away money last week as the Bears squashed the Niners. Why? Because it was supposed to happen. This week they are not supposed to cover. I want you to watch this game closely and watch the wasted opportunities to score the Bears squander. The House is again is stealing money....because thats the point...
Miami & the points- THE UNPOPULAR DOG...is the play
-3.5 Dallas @ Washington - Again, before we even attempt at figuring which way to go on this game we must consider who the teams are playing the following weekand then how this will affect the House.
Dallas @ Arizona - Week 10
Washington @ Philadelphia - Week 10 - As you can see, Dallas will be playing one of the worst teams in the league next week. If Dallas were to win this week, the PERCEPTION the public has of Dallas would be highly favourable and the media would be salivating over how much "improved" they are since the benching of Drew Bledsoe. Who in their right mind would take Arizona in a situation like that with the way they've been playing as of late? Imagine how well the House would do if Dallas were to somehow "Cough" this one up?
So does this mean Dallas is the play this week? Not necessarily because as WallStreet has told us, the we must always be aware of the percentages and where the juice is going and obviously it isn't going to the Skins...which is why the line opened up at (-3) and then moved to -(3.5). The extra half point is the House's insurance policy and will ensure those not "Wise" enough to lay off the skins at current number will pay for it....Washington is an extremely unpopular dog and thus a House favourite...
Washinton + 3.5 - THE UNPOPLAR DOG is the play
Denver @ Pittsbugh - 2.5 - Again here we are faced with another extremely Unpopular favourite. And Denver team who may very well receive a larger percentage of the juice. The media has been fading Pitt all week. The PERCEPTION, the public now has of Pittsburgh is preventing them of seeing what I guess can be considered a diamond in the rough so to speak. If the public is on Denver, Imagine how well the House will do if Pittsburgh wins. As you may often find in the NFL...Ask not what your team can do for you but what it can do for the HOUSE...They have been setting this one up for weeks with losses to Atlanta and a mediocre Oakland team....
Pittsburgh - 2.5 - THE UNPOPULAR FAVOURITE is the play
RECAP
San Francisco + 5
Miami + 14.5
Washington + 3.5
Pittsburgh - 2.5
The main point I want to make clear is that these games are fixed...I am not going to get into a long debate about how they manage to do it...as this is neither the time or place to do so....It is quite complex and it is understood how crazy that sounds but I beg the reader to consider the history of sports and mafia and all the scandals that have been uncovered and to ask yourself what else can be uncovered that we have not been exposed to? Politics is rigged, Religion is rigged, Wars are rigged and my friends I am afraid Sports is no different. I am not saying this because I lost money that I needed to pay my college tuition for or something like that. I am not a heavy gambler. In the future however I do plan to wager more as I am beginning to realize that once you understand the rigged aspect of professional sports, you can generate quite a lot of money in a short period of time. There is a reason why they are called "Wiseguys". They've got Wisdom...but not the kind of wisdom you get from your Pops or your Highschool football coach....There is a reason why these guys will fork down 30 grand on a "public" looser and its not just because they have access to inside information. It is complex and yet so simple when you figure this out. These men understand that the world is a business....why else would you have American helicopters built in Tawain..? The public is given a certain perception of the world...while the truth is kept to the select few people who are fotunate enough to be privy to it...Hence it truly is not WHAT you know but WHO you know....
The so called experts on politics spend x amount of hours telling you who and how certain politicians are going to win certain elections only to have the Supreme court and electronic machines decide "who" really won....In the same vein we have ESPN and CNNSI telling you all week how great Tom Brady is and how wonderful Michael Vick is how the Falcons will cover by 5 this weekend and how terrible Washington is and how Dallas has now turned it around. They ignore games that involved unpopular favourites like St Louis and Buffalo and focus on the hi profile games of which the favourite always covers....
The PERCEPTION of the PUBLIC is what the media have always been able to manipulate and when you can do that you can create the reality you wish the world to perceive when in fact the truth of the matter is something completely different. They highlight elections every four years to give you the PERCEPTION that the people select Presidents when in fact the truth of the matter is that the Council on Foreign Relations choose who becomes President...not you. The perception that the public has in sports is that if team A beats a team B one week, it is because they are simply better than that team...When team A goes out and looses or barely wins the next week against the worse team C the public is shocked and less richer than they were the week before. Why? Because the perception the public had of team A was inflated by 2 things..
A) the peformance of that team the week before
B) the accolades the media gave to that particular team during the week
The fixing of NFL games is accomplished through very covert and sometimes overt ways which I will not get into here as it is beyond the scope of most people. However in regards to how they do it I will say this...it is not the way you think...to control the many all you have to do is control the few....
By creating certain perceptions of different teams from week to week, the sports books who are complicit in the scam can manipulate the public's choices on every single game. The idea goal of course is to make sure the House wins and the House always wins along with the "Wise" guys who are also complicit in the scam. There are certain characteristics a fixed game will have that you can look for.....
1) The favourite will usually go down very early 7 - 0 or 3 - 0. The favourite usually is far superior and is quite capable of punishing the opposing team but refuses to do so. The score will remain so until which point the tide will suddenly change. This usually happens in the fourth quarter....and depending on what has been "decided"....the faourite will either loose outright or at the very least not "COVER"....The dead give away of a fixed game is in the switch that happens during the game and because not all the players are in on this scam, it will be shocking to the team who ends up blowing a 14 point lead...The game I am sure you all remember all to well....
Chicago 24 Arizona 23
Bettors have always attributed this kind of game to the favourite simply not trying hard enough...the pererbial "looking ahead". If so, then why not look ahead against all the other bottom of the barrel teams? Why did Chicago not look ahead last week when Frisco rolled into town? because back to back fixed games can be spotted a lot easier. The Books can make much more money in the long run if they space it out. Have a team cover one week then pulled the rug out from under the Sammy the Square the next week....
Indianapolis 14, Tennessee 13 - Week 5
Indianapolis 36, Washington 22 - Week 7
Washington was the sexy pic, The public money would have been on Indianapolis...why did they cover? Because the timing called for it...Indy had already taken a dive 2 weeks before against the Titans who despite their improved offense had no business leading the Colts offense into the 4th quarter...What I am saying here is that each week certain teams have been selected to cover and or not cover based on pecking order...There some out there who believe that if the public is on a team, you should automatically assume the dog is going to cover...
Denver 17, Cleveland 7 - Week 7
Why did Denver cover if that is the case? Because they had taken a dive in a rigged game the week before...
Denver 13, Oakland 3 - Week 6
Now one element of this Rigged System that I have not discussed is the aspect of the "FOLLOWING WEEK". When ever you are deciding whether or not to dog or favourite a particular game, find out who those teams are playing the next week and perhaps the week after. Rememer the name of the game is "PERCEPTION". If Cleveland beats or covers against Denver in week 7, how does that effect the PUBLICS perception of that team the following week? How does the House benefit from Cleveland winning or covering against Denver in week 7? Who did Cleveland cover against in week 8?
Cleveland 20, N.Y. Jets 13
By having Cleveland get beat in week 7, it creates the perception that they were incapable of beating the Jets who covered and won against Detroit. So what if the Jets covered and won in Week 7. It was a LOW KEY game that the public likely was not paying attention to. A low key game is a game between too teams that the public does not focus on and neither does the media. These are the games you will find that favourites tend to cover. And this brings me to another aspect of the Rigged System...THE UNPOPULAR FAVOURITE...if popular favourites likely do not cover...what do unpopular favourites do? You can always tell who the unpopular favourite is because they likely have not beein the spotlight over the past few weeks...they usually come in under the radar. The Line will usually sit between 3 and 6 and not move...and the dog will receive a very large percentage of the money put on this game...
Cincinnati 17, Carolina 14 - Week 7
Kansas City 35, Seattle 28 - Week 8
The media will do nothing but criticize the team throughout the week and the bettors will be scared shitless of them...There is a gentlemen on this board by the name of WallStreetGenius who has brought forth some very pertinent information of which I believe many should pay attention to as it is something I myself have been noticing because it ties in with what I am talking about here...It is these very UNPOPULAR FAVOURITES that receive the large percentage ML action just before tip off. The line doesn't move and the public is none the wiser...because the action is hidden.
Lets take a look at Week 9 based on the previous things I have talked about...keep in mind that we must pay attention to the perceptions that the public has of the teams going into this weekends matchups and the perceptions they will have going into next weekends matchups and what that will mean to the Sports Books..
- 4.5 Minnesota @ San Francisco - Again, the perception of the 49ers is very unfavourable. The public is not focussed on this team. The key to understanding where this game is going is in who the vikings play next week...and how does the house benefit from a San Francisco win. obviously the Vikings get the highest percentage. Will the Outfit throw away money with such ease? Of course not. They are banking on the perception of Friscos beating at the hands of the bears last week to completely push the public toward Minnesota but who does Minnesota play next week....Green Bay at home in what will be considered a LOW PROFILE game....The House is going to steal the publics money on this one...and that is the point..
San Francisco + 5...THE UNPOPULAR DOG...is the play
Miami at Chicago - 13.5/14.5 / Pro-Line Bears - 16.5 - The House threw away money last week as the Bears squashed the Niners. Why? Because it was supposed to happen. This week they are not supposed to cover. I want you to watch this game closely and watch the wasted opportunities to score the Bears squander. The House is again is stealing money....because thats the point...
Miami & the points- THE UNPOPULAR DOG...is the play
-3.5 Dallas @ Washington - Again, before we even attempt at figuring which way to go on this game we must consider who the teams are playing the following weekand then how this will affect the House.
Dallas @ Arizona - Week 10
Washington @ Philadelphia - Week 10 - As you can see, Dallas will be playing one of the worst teams in the league next week. If Dallas were to win this week, the PERCEPTION the public has of Dallas would be highly favourable and the media would be salivating over how much "improved" they are since the benching of Drew Bledsoe. Who in their right mind would take Arizona in a situation like that with the way they've been playing as of late? Imagine how well the House would do if Dallas were to somehow "Cough" this one up?
So does this mean Dallas is the play this week? Not necessarily because as WallStreet has told us, the we must always be aware of the percentages and where the juice is going and obviously it isn't going to the Skins...which is why the line opened up at (-3) and then moved to -(3.5). The extra half point is the House's insurance policy and will ensure those not "Wise" enough to lay off the skins at current number will pay for it....Washington is an extremely unpopular dog and thus a House favourite...
Washinton + 3.5 - THE UNPOPLAR DOG is the play
Denver @ Pittsbugh - 2.5 - Again here we are faced with another extremely Unpopular favourite. And Denver team who may very well receive a larger percentage of the juice. The media has been fading Pitt all week. The PERCEPTION, the public now has of Pittsburgh is preventing them of seeing what I guess can be considered a diamond in the rough so to speak. If the public is on Denver, Imagine how well the House will do if Pittsburgh wins. As you may often find in the NFL...Ask not what your team can do for you but what it can do for the HOUSE...They have been setting this one up for weeks with losses to Atlanta and a mediocre Oakland team....
Pittsburgh - 2.5 - THE UNPOPULAR FAVOURITE is the play
RECAP
San Francisco + 5
Miami + 14.5
Washington + 3.5
Pittsburgh - 2.5
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