As I said earlier in the week, WKU's pattern against weaker teams is to boat race them in the first half, and then the scoring slows down in the 2nd half as they slow down and run, and not very effectively. They don't get much weaker than UNT, so adding WKU -20.5 1st half (-115) for a half unit and Over 39 for a half unit. WKU has averaged almost 41 points on their own in the first half their last few games. UNT has averaged 7 first half points against FBS opponents this year. Sounds about right for tonight. I probably won't be able to hedge the game Over at half with the second half Under. Hopefully it will need less than 28 in the second half.
2 Units:
APP -8.5 @ ULM
WAKE @ UNC OVER 46.5
TULSA @ ECU OVER 74
AUB @ UK OVER 50 (& .9 unit on Under 56 hedge/middle)
1.2 Units:
PSU +17 @ OSU (-115)
UNC -14 vs WAKE
ALA -3.5 @ TA&M
HOU -16 @ TULN
UNM -3.5 VS HAW (-115)
USC @ ND OVER 60
VT @ MIA OVER 52 (though worried line might drop a little before rebounding up later)
APP @ ULM UNDER 48 & Under 50
MISS @ MEM OVER 68 & Over 64.5
KENT @ MASS OVER 56
PITT @ GT UNDER 50
MIZZ @ UGA OVER 46
MRSH @ FAU UNDER 54.5
BOISE @ USU OVER 47 & Over 46
WKU @ UNT OVER 68
1 Unit:
TCU @ ISU OVER 74.5
FLA @ LSU UNDER 47
CIN @ BYU OVER 64
SYR @ UVA OVER 53.5
BC @ CLEM UNDER 38 (-120)
.7 UNIT:
ALA @ TA&M OVER 53
.6 UNIT:
HOU @ TULN UNDER 63.5
BC +15.5 @ CLEM
WYO +7 VS NEV
IDAHO +12.5 @ TROY (& 0.5 UNIT AT +13.5)
KSU +4 VS OKLA
AFA PICK @ CSU
TTU -27 @ KU
IOWA -2.5 @ NW
ASU +6.5 @ UTAH (-115) Not a ton of value, I'm just making it a point to fade Utah right now, lol.
VAN +6.5 @ SCAR (-115)
STAN -5 VS UCLA
WIS -19.5 VS PUR
UCF +21.5 @ TEM
SDSU @ SJSU UNDER 49
ARIZ @ COLO OVER 66
HAW @ UNM UNDER 50
UTSA @ USM OVER 60
NEV @ WYO OVER 51.5
CHAR @ ODU UNDER 48.5
WVU @ BAY OVER 78
PUR @ WIS OVER 48
USF @ CONN UNDER 48.5
UNLV @ FRES UNDER 55
MSU @ MICH UNDER 41.5
.5 UNIT:
AFA @ CSU OVER 54
IOWA @ NW OVER 40
ARST @ SOAL UNDER 58.5 (TUESDAY NIGHT LOOSE ACTION, LOL)
WKU -20.5 1ST HALF VS UNT (-115)
WKU @ UNT OVER 39 1ST HALF
RUTG @ IND OVER 61.5
MRSH -6 @ FAU
APP -8.5 @ ULM
WAKE @ UNC OVER 46.5
TULSA @ ECU OVER 74
AUB @ UK OVER 50 (& .9 unit on Under 56 hedge/middle)
1.2 Units:
PSU +17 @ OSU (-115)
UNC -14 vs WAKE
ALA -3.5 @ TA&M
HOU -16 @ TULN
UNM -3.5 VS HAW (-115)
USC @ ND OVER 60
VT @ MIA OVER 52 (though worried line might drop a little before rebounding up later)
APP @ ULM UNDER 48 & Under 50
MISS @ MEM OVER 68 & Over 64.5
KENT @ MASS OVER 56
PITT @ GT UNDER 50
MIZZ @ UGA OVER 46
MRSH @ FAU UNDER 54.5
BOISE @ USU OVER 47 & Over 46
WKU @ UNT OVER 68
1 Unit:
TCU @ ISU OVER 74.5
FLA @ LSU UNDER 47
CIN @ BYU OVER 64
SYR @ UVA OVER 53.5
BC @ CLEM UNDER 38 (-120)
.7 UNIT:
ALA @ TA&M OVER 53
.6 UNIT:
HOU @ TULN UNDER 63.5
BC +15.5 @ CLEM
WYO +7 VS NEV
IDAHO +12.5 @ TROY (& 0.5 UNIT AT +13.5)
KSU +4 VS OKLA
AFA PICK @ CSU
TTU -27 @ KU
IOWA -2.5 @ NW
ASU +6.5 @ UTAH (-115) Not a ton of value, I'm just making it a point to fade Utah right now, lol.
VAN +6.5 @ SCAR (-115)
STAN -5 VS UCLA
WIS -19.5 VS PUR
UCF +21.5 @ TEM
SDSU @ SJSU UNDER 49
ARIZ @ COLO OVER 66
HAW @ UNM UNDER 50
UTSA @ USM OVER 60
NEV @ WYO OVER 51.5
CHAR @ ODU UNDER 48.5
WVU @ BAY OVER 78
PUR @ WIS OVER 48
USF @ CONN UNDER 48.5
UNLV @ FRES UNDER 55
MSU @ MICH UNDER 41.5
.5 UNIT:
AFA @ CSU OVER 54
IOWA @ NW OVER 40
ARST @ SOAL UNDER 58.5 (TUESDAY NIGHT LOOSE ACTION, LOL)
WKU -20.5 1ST HALF VS UNT (-115)
WKU @ UNT OVER 39 1ST HALF
RUTG @ IND OVER 61.5
MRSH -6 @ FAU
Adding for 1/2 unit: FRES +7.5 (-120) vs UNLV
Bulldogs going with freshman QB Anderson for a second week in a row. He's had the same crappy ypp average as the other FRES QB's, but threw 3 picks against Utah St. last week. I'm not sure why drunk in public QB Greenlee isn't starting, he at least has a 7-1 TD-INT ratio. Maybe he's in the double dog house. Anyway, banking on the home team playing with pride. As bad as their season has been going, a home loss to UNLV would be the program's low point going several years back, and maybe several years forward.
Bulldogs going with freshman QB Anderson for a second week in a row. He's had the same crappy ypp average as the other FRES QB's, but threw 3 picks against Utah St. last week. I'm not sure why drunk in public QB Greenlee isn't starting, he at least has a 7-1 TD-INT ratio. Maybe he's in the double dog house. Anyway, banking on the home team playing with pride. As bad as their season has been going, a home loss to UNLV would be the program's low point going several years back, and maybe several years forward.
Nice calls yesterday....Stanford looked very good, when the chips all fall, they could get in to the final four as their schedule appears pretty favorable. The Pac 12 looks down this year, with Oregon and USC down and Washington a year or so away.
Will watch the Michigan/Mich State game with (no financial) interest. Would love to see the Wolverines beat both the Spartans and the Buckeyes......would mean there's 3 heavyweights in the BIG E.
With you on Bama and K-State, gotta love the coaches we're backing.....could not help taking the Gophers at pik, their pass defense is pretty good, we'll see if I'm punished for it. Evidently they have at least 7 starters out from the beginning of the year. We'll see if they've figured out their offense issues permanently starting from last week. It is a nice dream that Jerry Kill could coach even an average passing game, as everything else they do is pretty good.
May the force be with you this weekend.
Will watch the Michigan/Mich State game with (no financial) interest. Would love to see the Wolverines beat both the Spartans and the Buckeyes......would mean there's 3 heavyweights in the BIG E.
With you on Bama and K-State, gotta love the coaches we're backing.....could not help taking the Gophers at pik, their pass defense is pretty good, we'll see if I'm punished for it. Evidently they have at least 7 starters out from the beginning of the year. We'll see if they've figured out their offense issues permanently starting from last week. It is a nice dream that Jerry Kill could coach even an average passing game, as everything else they do is pretty good.
May the force be with you this weekend.
Thx, Jup and ML Dog. I may take Nebraska ML for a little, but I'm of course a bit scared at their amazing ability to lose every game late, lol. Yeah, last night was a good one with a couple of my favorite plays of the week. Took a split on those late added WKU @ UNT 1st half plays after UNT hit the Hail Mary, but I was honestly fine to take that split because with 5 or so minutes left in the half both of the plays looked like losers. One little mistake was that I hedged/middled more than I'd intended on the AUB@UK total. I thought I'd put 2.4 units on the Over 50, making a .9 Under 56 buy back about what I wanted, but in actuality I'd only bet 2 units on the Over. If I'd double checked that I would've only bought back .6. Not a huge deal, obviously, but I don't like making mental mistakes, lol.
Lots of plays for tonight as well, considering just 4 games on the slate. I'm betting 6 of the 8 possible sides and totals, lol. But look at the line value I've gotten -- getting the best of it big time on pretty much every play.
Lots of plays for tonight as well, considering just 4 games on the slate. I'm betting 6 of the 8 possible sides and totals, lol. But look at the line value I've gotten -- getting the best of it big time on pretty much every play.
Holy Crap. I expected App was....just that.
App's Look-Ahead to their huge game with Georgia Southern on Deck, concerns me...not at -8.5 though lmfao
and I'm likely just being overly paranoid letting it concern me at even -13.Thursday game that next for App of course....the Power of The Sun Belt clashing in a Monumental Showdown before a National TV audience....or at least a prospect of a National TV audience far closer than these teams normally come to that... lol.
There is no basis whatsoever to think ULM is gonna be able to stop then from running here...as wild as them Mountaineers please.
Does your system by chance have any way of forseeing what Line might be expected on GASO at APP? next Thursday Game? Just via like a quick "Glance" I mean and not anything that'd require InDepth Analyzation on your part of course? I'm just insanely curious what that line might gonna be.
10-4, I understand totally of course. GASO at APP is gonna be a War. I've been looking ahead myownself to that game for weeks now lol. I just hope everyone on both teams stays healthy through this weekend's games (they should really) and through that Epic Battle itself. Could very well be among the best games of the college football season. The Best to you this weekend as always.
:toast:
