Okay, I guess I'll be the first person anywhere in the known betting universe to make a play on Wyoming this week!
1/2 unit: WYO +24 @ APP (+105)
Plus juice seals the deal (or doom, depending). WYO top RB Hill injured but probably this week. The WYO passing game is still okay. The APP offense should do whatever they want to do, it's true, I'm just hoping for a back door at worst.
While we're visiting the Appalachians...
.55 Unit: WYO @ APP Over 56
I think that if APP covers this big # it's because they boat raced WYO scoring 42+ points. If WYO gets a minimum of 14 points the Over is a push worst, in that scenario.
1/2 unit: WYO +24 @ APP (+105)
Plus juice seals the deal (or doom, depending). WYO top RB Hill injured but probably this week. The WYO passing game is still okay. The APP offense should do whatever they want to do, it's true, I'm just hoping for a back door at worst.
While we're visiting the Appalachians...
.55 Unit: WYO @ APP Over 56
I think that if APP covers this big # it's because they boat raced WYO scoring 42+ points. If WYO gets a minimum of 14 points the Over is a push worst, in that scenario.
Thx, MM! Will be looking for your card this week...
Adding for 1 Unit: FSU @ WAKE Under 46
A good portion of the value on this play resides on WAKE QB Wolford's gimpy ankle. Backup Hinton has not hinted at being a decent passer, and that was against some pretty shoddy secondaries. He's made some plays with his feet, though. Good luck running around like a chicken with it's head cut off against FSU, buddy. If it's ever announced that Wolford will also miss this game (seems to me with an ankle that he returned to the game against Army with before determining it was a no-go that there's a good chance he returns after skipping last week's Indiana game) then in addition to loving the Under I might be tempted to take FSU at anything less than 20, even though my lines aren't showing any value on them. It would be a half unit hedge with a chance to win -- a hedge because if this game ends up going Over w/o Wolford there's a good chance FSU got some cheap scores and will cover.
Adding for 1 Unit: FSU @ WAKE Under 46
A good portion of the value on this play resides on WAKE QB Wolford's gimpy ankle. Backup Hinton has not hinted at being a decent passer, and that was against some pretty shoddy secondaries. He's made some plays with his feet, though. Good luck running around like a chicken with it's head cut off against FSU, buddy. If it's ever announced that Wolford will also miss this game (seems to me with an ankle that he returned to the game against Army with before determining it was a no-go that there's a good chance he returns after skipping last week's Indiana game) then in addition to loving the Under I might be tempted to take FSU at anything less than 20, even though my lines aren't showing any value on them. It would be a half unit hedge with a chance to win -- a hedge because if this game ends up going Over w/o Wolford there's a good chance FSU got some cheap scores and will cover.
Sides were pretty accurate and profitable last week. Good enough for #1 on the week in Average Error at CFBPredictions out of almost 50 models. Moved up to 3rd place out of 60 models at ThePredictionTracker in ATS% on all games at 56.5%. Check the site promotions forum later this evening if you're interested in getting my lines before the markets open each week.
Adding for 1 Unit: Maryland +16 vs Michigan
Yes, Maryland played a terrible game at West Virginia last week and can't find a QB who doesn't throw interceptions, while Michigan had their best game of the season last week shutting out BYU. This = a terribly over-inflated line. Trust me? lol
Adding for 1 Unit: CONN @ BYU Under 46.5
Been watching this one today to see if a 47 popped for whatever misguided reason. No such luck. I'm afraid of waking up to a 45. BYU has slowed their offensive tempo way down this year compared to last.
Yes, Maryland played a terrible game at West Virginia last week and can't find a QB who doesn't throw interceptions, while Michigan had their best game of the season last week shutting out BYU. This = a terribly over-inflated line. Trust me? lol
Adding for 1 Unit: CONN @ BYU Under 46.5
Been watching this one today to see if a 47 popped for whatever misguided reason. No such luck. I'm afraid of waking up to a 45. BYU has slowed their offensive tempo way down this year compared to last.
Service steam, you have caught my attention.
Adding for 1 Unit: OSU @ IND Under 67
I profiled the total on this game as neutral, meaning I didn't think the line value was worth shading to the Under or Over at all. Last week I won against the steam coming in on OSU and the Over, even though I unfortunately had my plays in before the steam had finishing blowing it's top upward, lol. I can tell you right now, there hasn't been a more over-valued side and total combo than OSU and the Over BOTH of these past 2 weeks.
Adding for 1 Unit: OSU @ IND Under 67
I profiled the total on this game as neutral, meaning I didn't think the line value was worth shading to the Under or Over at all. Last week I won against the steam coming in on OSU and the Over, even though I unfortunately had my plays in before the steam had finishing blowing it's top upward, lol. I can tell you right now, there hasn't been a more over-valued side and total combo than OSU and the Over BOTH of these past 2 weeks.
