The "REAL" Fade Brandon Lang Thread

[steve021 0]

Good luck gentlemen


The Pick: My 150 Dime winner is the Creighton Blue Jays

The Line: The current line is +8 1/2 at the majority of books in Vegas and offshore as of 9:00 AM EST. Be sure to shop around for the best line available.

My Analysis
This one is going right down to the wire.

First and foremost, Auburn should not have been the #1 overall seed in this tournament. It should have been the Duke Blue Devils, no questions asked.

In their opening round game against 16 seed Alabama State, they played like a team that entered the tournament having lost 3 of their last 4 games.

With just over 3 minutes to go in the first half, they led 29-27.

Now in comparison, look at what the other #1 seeds did in their opening round games with just over 3 minutes to go in the first half.

Duke 46-22. Houston 44-20. Florida 53-21. Just let those 3 scores sink in for a moment.

Yes, Auburn pushed it to 10 at the half and won by 20, but they never came close to covering the 31 1/2.

Let's be clear here: Creighton is not Alabama St.

The Blue Jays ran a very good Louisville team out of the gym in their opening round game 89-75 shooting 57% from the floor and 46% from 3.

Since their January 11th loss at Marquette, this Creighton is 16-4 SU their last 20 with the 4 losses to tourney teams: St.Johns twice, Xavier and Uconn.

Head coach Greg McDermott got a little taste of the SEC earlier this year and yes, they lost both but covered.

In Vegas in November catching +4 1/2 against A&M lost 77-73 and in December at Alabama (+10) lost 83-75.

This is a very fundamentally sound basketball team that is a hard team to blowout because of their 3 seniors in Kalkbrenner, Ashworth andNeal,

The 3 combined for 65 points in the win over Louisville (Neal 29, Ashworth 22, Kalkbrenner 14).

Now comes Auburn.

The Tigers just haven't been a juggernaut away from home since their early season success in their non conference schedule.

They played 9 conference road games and struggled badly at Texas winning by 5, at South Carolina by 3, at Georgia by 2 and lost at A&M by 11.

In the SEC tourney they should have lost to Ole Miss and then proceeded to lose to Tennessee 70-65.

And then of course the pathetic first half performance against Alabama St.

I am all over the near double digit dog here. To well coached, 3 seniors playing perhaps their last game, all a recipe for an upset.

It would not surprise me if they have a chance late to shock the world and send the first #1 seed home.

Give me the points all night long.

 

[GLUCK2U 0]

WOW!!! A COUPON!!!
THANK$ LANG!!

 

[carlitosway 0]

Good luck gentlemen


The Pick: My 150 Dime winner is the Creighton Blue Jays

The Line: The current line is +8 1/2 at the majority of books in Vegas and offshore as of 9:00 AM EST. Be sure to shop around for the best line available.

My Analysis
This one is going right down to the wire.

First and foremost, Auburn should not have been the #1 overall seed in this tournament. It should have been the Duke Blue Devils, no questions asked.

In their opening round game against 16 seed Alabama State, they played like a team that entered the tournament having lost 3 of their last 4 games.

With just over 3 minutes to go in the first half, they led 29-27.

Now in comparison, look at what the other #1 seeds did in their opening round games with just over 3 minutes to go in the first half.

Duke 46-22. Houston 44-20. Florida 53-21. Just let those 3 scores sink in for a moment.

Yes, Auburn pushed it to 10 at the half and won by 20, but they never came close to covering the 31 1/2.

Let's be clear here: Creighton is not Alabama St.

The Blue Jays ran a very good Louisville team out of the gym in their opening round game 89-75 shooting 57% from the floor and 46% from 3.

Since their January 11th loss at Marquette, this Creighton is 16-4 SU their last 20 with the 4 losses to tourney teams: St.Johns twice, Xavier and Uconn.

Head coach Greg McDermott got a little taste of the SEC earlier this year and yes, they lost both but covered.

In Vegas in November catching +4 1/2 against A&M lost 77-73 and in December at Alabama (+10) lost 83-75.

This is a very fundamentally sound basketball team that is a hard team to blowout because of their 3 seniors in Kalkbrenner, Ashworth andNeal,

The 3 combined for 65 points in the win over Louisville (Neal 29, Ashworth 22, Kalkbrenner 14).

Now comes Auburn.

The Tigers just haven't been a juggernaut away from home since their early season success in their non conference schedule.

They played 9 conference road games and struggled badly at Texas winning by 5, at South Carolina by 3, at Georgia by 2 and lost at A&M by 11.

In the SEC tourney they should have lost to Ole Miss and then proceeded to lose to Tennessee 70-65.

And then of course the pathetic first half performance against Alabama St.

I am all over the near double digit dog here. To well coached, 3 seniors playing perhaps their last game, all a recipe for an upset.

It would not surprise me if they have a chance late to shock the world and send the first #1 seed home.

Give me the points all night long.

Fuckkkk loved Creighton ughhh.

 

[XENO 0]

Seeing many taking 8 1/2,/9 so like the fading chances+ Aub 1 seed needs a big game

 

[sidthekid 0]

Fuckkkk loved Creighton ughhh.

NOOOOOOOOO

 

[finman13 0]

View attachment 116777
I don’t see night card anywhere. Am i retarded?

See Pimpy"s post at 9:26 today.

 

[theangryhog 0]

Good luck gentlemen


The Pick: My 150 Dime winner is the Creighton Blue Jays

The Line: The current line is +8 1/2 at the majority of books in Vegas and offshore as of 9:00 AM EST. Be sure to shop around for the best line available.

My Analysis
This one is going right down to the wire.

First and foremost, Auburn should not have been the #1 overall seed in this tournament. It should have been the Duke Blue Devils, no questions asked.

In their opening round game against 16 seed Alabama State, they played like a team that entered the tournament having lost 3 of their last 4 games.

With just over 3 minutes to go in the first half, they led 29-27.

Now in comparison, look at what the other #1 seeds did in their opening round games with just over 3 minutes to go in the first half.

Duke 46-22. Houston 44-20. Florida 53-21. Just let those 3 scores sink in for a moment.

Yes, Auburn pushed it to 10 at the half and won by 20, but they never came close to covering the 31 1/2.

Let's be clear here: Creighton is not Alabama St.

The Blue Jays ran a very good Louisville team out of the gym in their opening round game 89-75 shooting 57% from the floor and 46% from 3.

Since their January 11th loss at Marquette, this Creighton is 16-4 SU their last 20 with the 4 losses to tourney teams: St.Johns twice, Xavier and Uconn.

Head coach Greg McDermott got a little taste of the SEC earlier this year and yes, they lost both but covered.

In Vegas in November catching +4 1/2 against A&M lost 77-73 and in December at Alabama (+10) lost 83-75.

This is a very fundamentally sound basketball team that is a hard team to blowout because of their 3 seniors in Kalkbrenner, Ashworth andNeal,

The 3 combined for 65 points in the win over Louisville (Neal 29, Ashworth 22, Kalkbrenner 14).

Now comes Auburn.

The Tigers just haven't been a juggernaut away from home since their early season success in their non conference schedule.

They played 9 conference road games and struggled badly at Texas winning by 5, at South Carolina by 3, at Georgia by 2 and lost at A&M by 11.

In the SEC tourney they should have lost to Ole Miss and then proceeded to lose to Tennessee 70-65.

And then of course the pathetic first half performance against Alabama St.

I am all over the near double digit dog here. To well coached, 3 seniors playing perhaps their last game, all a recipe for an upset.

It would not surprise me if they have a chance late to shock the world and send the first #1 seed home.

Give me the points all night long.

Thanks for posting the pick bud. Appreciate you and everyone else who contributes to maintaining this incredible thread.

It’s hard to believe this is the case because they were awarded the #1 seed overall, but Auburn is a bit oversold at the moment, especially publicly. This will sound weird too, but I’d be more inclined to take Creighton if Vegas set the line around 6/6.5, looking to induce Auburn bettors and acknowledging a true 1 to 2 possession game as a likely outcome. But they didn’t. They actually set it around 9.5, it dropped to 7.5, and settled at 8.5/9. Vegas got its wish and approximately 2/3 of tickets are on Creighton + pts per action network.

Lang is an absolute moron and considers none of this. He just offers surface level observation focusing on irrelevant facts. Does he think Creighton is going to shoot 46% from 3 again, this time against Auburn’s perimeter defense? How’s the Big East looking relative to the SEC this tourney? Lol.

Fade to win baby…

 

[seth 0]

I will hand you another absolute rock solid winner today.
You'll be sorry if you sell me short today. I am telling you right now.

I wonder who he'll blame for this

 

[proanalyser 0]

Nobody to blame but the coach. Up the anal cavity for another 165 dimes.

 

[Typhoon 0]

$$$$$$$$

 

[finman13 0]

More coaching stupidity by McDermott or was it player stupidity?

 

[finman13 0]

Thanks for posting the pick bud. Appreciate you and everyone else who contributes to maintaining this incredible thread.

It’s hard to believe this is the case because they were awarded the #1 seed overall, but Auburn is a bit oversold at the moment, especially publicly. This will sound weird too, but I’d be more inclined to take Creighton if Vegas set the line around 6/6.5, looking to induce Auburn bettors and acknowledging a true 1 to 2 possession game as a likely outcome. But they didn’t. They actually set it around 9.5, it dropped to 7.5, and settled at 8.5/9. Vegas got its wish and approximately 2/3 of tickets are on Creighton + pts per action network.

Lang is an absolute moron and considers none of this. He just offers surface level observation focusing on irrelevant facts. Does he think Creighton is going to shoot 46% from 3 again, this time against Auburn’s perimeter defense? How’s the Big East looking relative to the SEC this tourney? Lol.

Fade to win baby…

Nope. They shot just 44.4% from three.

 

[theangryhog 0]

Nope. They shot just 44.4% from three.

And still lost. Had they regressed closer to their season average of 34.4%, they’d have made 10% less 3s, since they went 12 for 27 that amounts to 2.7 less 3’s EV, or about 8 points. Which would have made this a 20 point loss.

Think about how insane Lang’s “logic” is on this point. He cites to over performance in a statistic derived from a season long sample size as a basis to bet on that team in a subsequent game where they will face a better team and better defense, and almost certainly experience regression to the mean. Yet Lang thinks the overperformance somehow makes that team more appealing?

He may be a degenerate, but more importantly he is a complete and utter moron. Real professional degens at least understand statistics, he clearly doesn’t.

 

[carlitosway 0]

I didn't seize the opportunity to win by fading the MUSH Lang. But I didn't lose money either as I loved Creighton and Lang saved me as I certainly wasn't going to ride with him.

 

[sniperpicks 0]

2 days in a row he bails me out of my own bad play today it was St John who been covering a lot and i went 1 time too many but old faithful clownass Lang saved me

 

[Buckeyefan80 0]

See Pimpy"s post at 9:26 today.

I see Pimpys post has that. Someone at the site must've changed it at some point bc it didn’t say that when I looked.

 

[PimpyMcPimp 0]

There isn't a single ounce of doubt in my mind as I write this that this game I release will lose. It really is just that simple.

Douche bag clown capper says what?

 

[lastguyoffthabench 0]

Laughable analysis, considering the strength of the SEC, and that Auburn has had one of the toughest schedules in the nation this year (masseyratings has them at #2), haven't looked at kenpom. Even on the surface level of comparing Creighton road Ls to Auburn road Ls/performance.

The Tigers just haven't been a juggernaut away from home since their early season success in their non conference schedule.

They played 9 conference road games and struggled badly at Texas winning by 5, at South Carolina by 3, at Georgia by 2 and lost at A&M by 11.

In the SEC tourney they should have lost to Ole Miss and then proceeded to lose to Tennessee 70-65.

And then of course the pathetic first half performance against Alabama St.

 

[XENO 0]

I looked as i always do and on the sports forums there was not 1 play i saw on Auburn -how can anyone lay 9 9 1/2,on Aub who had not covered a spread like 4 strait games -there was a few with teasers and some services had em -my local said everyone took the points

 

[Buckeyefan80 0]

It was def tough to lay 8.5 pregame and watching the game was stressful af until the clock read 0.00 but in Lang fade we trust!!!