Ole miss it is paid and confirmed by me.
TODAY'S PLAY
The Pick: My 200 Dime winner is the Ole Miss Rebels.
The Line: The current line on this game is -3 1/2 at 6:15 am EST. Be sure to shop around for the best line available.
Note: If your line is anywhere from -3 to -4 1/2 I advise buying the half-point down on Ole Miss.
Your Analysis
This was a double digit rout as soon as the match up came out.
When I handicap football, whether it be College and Pro, I ask myself this question: Can my team run the football and can the team they are playing stop the run.
If my teams greatest strength is to run it and your biggest weakness is you can't stop it, barring turnovers, it's a bad match up.
And with that, I give you the Ole Miss Rebels versus the Texas Tech Red Raiders.
Texas Tech has the 89th worst run defense allowing 161 yards a game but down the stretch, they completely fell apart.
In 4 of their last 5 games, (3 of which were at home), they gave up over 200 yards on the ground.
Oklahoma (#13 rush offense) ran for 210, Kansas (#34 rush offense) ran for 242, at TCU (#25 rush offense) ran for 234 and Baylor (#42 rush offense) ran for 231.
Tonight, indoors, at NRG Stadium, home of the Texans, this Red Raiders defense faces an absolute monster on the ground. I mean, monster.
Ole Miss is the 3rd best rushing team in the country behind only Air Force and Army, averaging 261 yards a game.
To make matters even worse for Texas Tech, their best defensive lineman, Tyree Wilson, is out with an injury he suffered in the Oklahoma game.
Allow me to put this in perspective for you.
Ole Miss ran for 266 yards on the #25 ranked run defense in Troy, ran for 191 yards on the #31 run defense in Alabama and 186 yards on the #59th run defense in Kentucky.
What do you think they are going to do here to Texas Tech??????? The 89th worse run defense in College football.
Ole Miss running backs Quinshon Judkins and Zack Evans are both going to play at the next level and they run behind one of the best offensive lines in the country.
I wouldn't be shocked if Ole Miss runs for over 300 yards in this game as the Rebels roll in this one.
With 5 of their 7 wins this year coming by 2 touchdowns or more, I will call for this one to be their 6th.
A quick look at the numbers: Ole Miss is 2-5 ATS last 7 against the SEC and 3-8 ATS their last 11 Bowl games.
As for Ole Miss: They are 8-3 ATS last 11 non conference games and 11-3 ATS last 14 neutral site games.
Ole Miss runs away in this one in the Texas bowl by double digits.
Try not to post his analysis next time. It is not allowed here. Other than that, thanks for the plays.
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