THE MLB CHALLENGE:UPDATE AS OF:ENDING 07-27-03 (With Jake)

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Rooster, I'd take the line I bet it at to grade it... If someone wants to start tracking me betting the line that is available during the day that'd be fine, but I don't really feel like doing it.
 

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That's why I said people can track me with whatever line they find during the day with the same picks and see what happens.
 

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Current total for interested parties:

7-29-03 JAKE THOMPSON:312-316____+27.08________+15.23
 

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<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by Shotgun:


Jake, you are a fraud, and the numbers you post are a fraudulent as well. Why don't you post where you get your numbers? Why don't you post what sportsbooks you have accounts with? According to your past posts you claim to have a $1000 bankroll. Yet you daily dredge up numbers that aren't available at the most popular sportsbooks (like Pinnacle, 5dimes, WSex). Are we to assume that you have your money in obscure offshore accounts? Or you use "locals" like the Rodfather?
<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

Jake, you haven't answered these questions. Where do you get your numbers? What sportsbooks do you have accounts with?
 

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I was reading that ultimate tout argument thread and came across this:

Slugster said:

"jake, you will be getting bent over by the book this year in baseball.

i will bet you $1000.00 that if you make 700 baseball bets like you did last year, you will lose money for the year.

if you agree we can set up the guidelines and pick someone to hold the money.

love to here from you kid, i can always use free money.

slugster



Well looks like you are approaching 700 picks and up 27 units. Too bad you didn't have the dime.

Do people just not like the idea that he is posting his picks on another site instead of the rx? I have no comment on that but I wonder do you guys still think Jake doesn't know anything about baseball?

It's hard to calculate significance when all the picks aren't the same juice like in other sports, but 1400 picks is a very large sample size and unless he got lucky on a large number of huge dogs I would say that is enough to show that it is not random chance that he got those results. That means he is in fact playing with an advantage.
 

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<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>
Well looks like you are approaching 700 picks and up 27 units. Too bad you didn't have the dime.

Do people just not like the idea that he is posting his picks on another site instead of the rx? I have no comment on that but I wonder do you guys still think Jake doesn't know anything about baseball?

It's hard to calculate significance when all the picks aren't the same juice like in other sports, but 1400 picks is a very large sample size and unless he got lucky on a large number of huge dogs I would say that is enough to show that it is not random chance that he got those results. That means he is in fact playing with an advantage.<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>


Tekari, the problem is the way Jake cheats on the numbers he is posting. If he says he played a line at -115 when the actual line was -110, in the long run he'll likely be up assuming he's just flipping a coin.

For example, I took Atlanta -133 last night. However, for a brief period last night I could have gotten the Braves at -129 at Pinnacle. If I was interested in padding my record, I would simply say "Braves at -129". If my bet comes through it doesn't matter. If it loses, I saved 4 cents.

Jake has done this all along; his entire profit is likely the product of shading the lines his way when he posts his picks.
 

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Every single line I've ever played is readily available at the bigger books. Pinnacle is probably 75% of my lines. Canbet and 5dimes are also favorites for bases. Shotgun, if you ever try and bet the overnight lines and watch for movement, you'll see how easy it is to get 5-10 cents better than the next day. Until you get the concept of the overnight line across you really have no credibility to argue about this.
 

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<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by Jake Thompson:
Every single line I've ever played is readily available at the bigger books. Pinnacle is probably 75% of my lines. Canbet and 5dimes are also favorites for bases. Shotgun, if you ever try and bet the overnight lines and watch for movement, you'll see how easy it is to get 5-10 cents better than the next day. Until you get the concept of the overnight line across you really have no credibility to argue about this.<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

Jake, I'll start an experiement tomorrow using your 'handicapping' methods. It should be fun.
While I should also include Kodiak's secret method of buying a half run for 10 cents, I let that slide for now. Your scam is much more profitable than Kodiak's.
 

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Haha you should start the experiment yesterday because i used daytime lines like I will today. Plus it was a good day and all.

7-30-03 JAKE THOMPSON:317-320____+28.98________+18.13
 

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Jake- Don't start the bullshit shilling again. You're just asking for trouble. Either post your picks here or quit crying and shilling.
 

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I would only post the link in the RR or the Outhouse. I was told not to post in the other forums. Thank you for your concern.
 

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Put this stupid shit in the Outhouse. I don't think you'll have any luck recruiting in the RR.
 

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The picks are free raiders. You seem to have a problem with people winning money. How about a little less complaining and more capping eh? Thanks raiders. You're a chum.
 

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Wow, someone with only 1 post. Any guesses to who this ghost is representing? How sad.
 

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Who are you accusing? If you are going to accuse someone of ghosting at least be man enough to say who it is.
 

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