The infamous "Pinnacle Lean" thread

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Oh boy!
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07/31/06:

Gambrinus Liga
FC Banik Ostrava/SK Slavia Praha under 2.5 -154 Centrebet
(Pinnacle: Under 2.25 -134)
 

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quantumleap said:
07/31/06:

Gambrinus Liga
FC Banik Ostrava/SK Slavia Praha under 2.5 -154 Centrebet
(Pinnacle: Under 2.25 -134)

Slavia 2, Banik 0. WINNER! +0.65.
Here's another one that had half a draw for Pinnacle while my bet wins in full.

YTD: -0.49
Pinnacle YTD: -1.25
 

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Lots of action on Wednesday. It ought to be a fun day.

Take a look at the line in the Red Star/Cork City match. Interwetten actually gives you a better price for "over 2.5" (-111) than Pinnacle gives you for "over 2.5 and 3" (-112).

Sorry about the format. I just copied it from my spreadsheet since there were so many matches.

Date League/Bet Price Units Score W/L/D Net Units Pinnacle Book
Finland - Veikkausliiga
08/03/06 FC Haka Valkeakoski/VPS Vaasan Palloseura over 2.5 -118 1.0 0.85 NordicBet
08/03/06 2.5 -102 0.5 0.49 Pinnacle
08/03/06 3 -102 0.5 0.49 Pinnacle

08/03/06 HJK Helsinki/FC Inter Turku over 2.5 -133 1.0 0.75 Centrebet
08/03/06 2.5 -108 0.5 0.46 Pinnacle
08/03/06 3 -108 0.5 0.46 Pinnacle

Champions League Qualifying
08/02/06 FK Spartak Moscow/FC Sheriff Tiraspol over 2.5 -154 1.0 0.65 Interwetten
08/02/06 3 -110 1.0 0.91 Pinnacle

08/02/06 MyPa Anjalankoski/FC København under 2.5 -133 1.0 0.75 Interwetten
08/02/06 2 -117 0.5 0.43 Pinnacle
08/02/06 2.5 -117 0.5 0.43 Pinnacle

08/02/06 Dynamo Kiev/FHK Metalurgs Liepajas over 2.5 -182 1.0 0.55 Interwetten
08/02/06 3.5 -109 1.0 0.92 Pinnacle

08/02/06 Legia Warszawa/FH Hafnafjörður over 2.5 -143 1.0 0.70 Interwetten
08/02/06 3 -108 1.0 0.93 Pinnacle

08/02/06 Rabotnicki Kometal/Debrecen VSC under 2.5 -133 1.0 0.75 Fonbet
08/02/06 2 -114 0.5 0.44 Pinnacle
08/02/06 2.5 -114 0.5 0.44 Pinnacle

08/02/06 MFK Ruzomberok/Djurgårdens IF FF under 2.5 -125 1.0 0.80 Interwetten
08/02/06 2 -108 0.5 0.46 Pinnacle
08/02/06 2.5 -108 0.5 0.46 Pinnacle

08/02/06 FK Red Star Belgrade/Cork City FC over 2.5 -111 2.0 1.80 Interwetten
08/02/06 2.5 -112 0.5 0.45 Pinnacle
08/02/06 3 -112 0.5 0.45 Pinnacle
 

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Champions League
NK Dinamo Zagreb/FK Ekranas over 3.5 -120 Fonbet (2 units)
(Pinnacle: Over 3.75 -147) 1 unit
 

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FK Spartak Moscow/FC Sheriff Tiraspol over 2.5, 0-0, -1.00
MyPa Anjalankoski/FC København under 2.5, 2-2, -1.00
Dynamo Kiev/FHK Metalurgs Liepajas over 2.5, 4-0, +0.55
Legia Warszawa/FH Hafnafjörður over 2.5, 2-0, -1.00
Rabotnicki Kometal/Debrecen VSC under 2.5, 4-1, -1.00
MFK Ruzomberok/Djurgårdens IF FF under 2.5, 3-1, -1.00
FK Red Star Belgrade/Cork City FC over 2.5, 3-0, +1.80
NK Dinamo Zagreb/FK Ekranas over 3.5, 5-2, +1.80

3-5 today but my 2-unit bets both won so it's -1.05 on the day.
Pinnacle went -2.51 on the day. Notice the steam numbers on the last bet of the day.

YTD: -1.54
Pinnacle YTD: -3.75
 

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Adding 1 more unit to:
FC Haka Valkeakoski/VPS Vaasan Palloseura over 2.5 -111 Fonbet
 

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Russia - Premier League
CSKA Moscow/FK Luch-Energiya Vladivostok over 2.5 -133 Centrebet 2 units
(Pinnacle: over 2.75 -114)
 

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Sweden - Allsvenksan League
Kalmar FF/IFK Göteborg under 2.5 -125 Eurobet
(Pinnacle: under 2.25 -124)
 

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3-1 today while Pinnacle had a half bet push in the Russian match. My 2-unit bets are now 4-0.

FC Haka Valkeakoski/VPS Vaasan Palloseura over 2.5, 4-1, +1.75
HJK Helsinki/FC Inter Turku over 2.5, 5-0, +0.75
CSKA Moscow/FK Luch-Energiya Vladivostok over 2.5, 2-1, +1.50
Kalmar FF - IFK Göteborg under 2.5, 1-2, -1.00

Today: +3.00
Pinnacle: +1.34

YTD: +1.47
Pinnacle YTD: -1.91
 

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Champions League Qualifying
OSC Lille/Rabotnicki Kometal over 2.5 -125 Interwetten
(Pinnacle: over 2.75 -108)

FC Slovan Liberec - FK Spartak Moscow under 2.5 -143 Eurobet
(Pinnacle: under 2.25 -128)

Standard Liege - FC Steaua Bucuresti under 2.5 -133 Eurobet
(Pinnacle: under 2.25 -108)

FC København - Ajax Amsterdam under 2.5 -133 Eurobet
(Pinnacle: under 2.25 -108)

Hearts Of Midlothian - AEK Athens under 2.5 -133 Interwetten
(Pinnacle: under 2.25 -108)
 

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Went 2-3 -1.50 today when AEK scores a goal in the 89th minute and then scores again in added time when a Hearts player puts it in his own goal.

:hanging:

Would have had a nice +0.25 unit win on that one.

Here are the results:

OSC Lille/Rabotnicki Kometal over 2.5, 3-0, WINNER +0.80
FC Slovan Liberec - FK Spartak Moscow under 2.5, 0-0, WINNER +0.70
Standard Liege - FC Steaua Bucuresti under 2.5, 2-2, Loss -1.00
FC København - Ajax Amsterdam under 2.5, 1-2, Loss -1.00
Hearts Of Midlothian - AEK Athens under 2.5, 1-2, Loss -1.00

Betting on the same bets with Pinnacle would have netted you -1.76 since the first match resulted in a half draw.

YTD: -0.03
Pinnacle YTD: -4.17


:realtongu
 

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hey mate i was watching that game. couldnt beleave what i saw! we all know anything can happen in soccer! any thoughts on tonites copa libertadores? cheers mate! :toast:



quantumleap said:
Went 2-3 -1.50 today when AEK scores a goal in the 89th minute and then scores again in added time when a Hearts player puts it in his own goal.

:hanging:

Would have had a nice +0.25 unit win on that one.

Here are the results:

OSC Lille/Rabotnicki Kometal over 2.5, 3-0, WINNER +0.80
FC Slovan Liberec - FK Spartak Moscow under 2.5, 0-0, WINNER +0.70
Standard Liege - FC Steaua Bucuresti under 2.5, 2-2, Loss -1.00
FC København - Ajax Amsterdam under 2.5, 1-2, Loss -1.00
Hearts Of Midlothian - AEK Athens under 2.5, 1-2, Loss -1.00

Betting on the same bets with Pinnacle would have netted you -1.76 since the first match resulted in a half draw.

YTD: -0.03
Pinnacle YTD: -4.17


:realtongu
 

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quantumleap said:
MLS
Hou/LA under 2.5 -118 Fonbet 2 units
(Pinnacle: under 2.25 -110)

LA 1, Hou 0, WINNER +1.69
3-3 today, +0.19

YTD: +1.66
Pinnacle YTD: -3.26
 

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UEFA Cup
SK Roeselare - Ethnikos Achnas FC over 2.5 -143 Interwetten
(Pinnacle: over 2.75 -125)
 

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This is my first loss of a 2-unit play so I'm 5-1 with them.

I've noticed that my Eurobet bets have gone 1-4 so I may have to keep an eye on that book. They may be using a different indicator to move their lines. It's all a part of the process of refining this system as I feel that it has merit.

Here are the results for today:
SK Roeselare - Ethnikos Achnas FC over 2.5, 2-1, WINNER +0.70
CSKA Sofia - Hajduk Kula over 2.5, 0-0, Loss -2.00

Today: -1.30
Pinnacle today: -0.60

YTD: +0.36
Pinnacle YTD: -3.86
 

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Austria - Ligue 1
LASK Linz - SC Austria Lustenau over 2.5 -133 Interwetten
(Pinnacle: over 2.75 -119)

DSV Leoben - SC ESV Parndorf oiver 2.5 -143
(Pinnacle: over 3 -116)
 

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Republic of Ireland, Eircom Premier League
Shelbourne FC - Cork City FC under 2.5 -133 Interwetten
(Pinnacle: under 2.25 -113)
 

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LASK Linz - SC Austria Lustenau over 2.5, 0-3, +0.75
DSV Leoben - SC ESV Parndorf over 2.5, 2-0, -1.00
Shelbourne FC - Cork City FC under 2.5, 2-2, -1.00

YTD: -0.89
Pinnacle YTD: -5.44
 

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