The Falcons Top Program Plays

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Thanks Indy, there will not be 2 segments this Saturday. I read straight from the printouts this morning, placed my wagers, posted the plays appropriately and I'm finished. I hope it goes well today. I personally don't know much about any of today's selections. It was just reading from the printout and calling it a day.

I'll be around monitoring things, good luck guys.

Falcon
 

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Could you post the rest of the nhl plays as the numbers predict? Thanks Falcon, this has been a great thread.:toast:
 
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Sure and it did have opinions today.

Wash +47.40
Isles +44.10
Col +42.75

Buff +13.90
NYR +12.00
Mont +15.50

Fla -10.20
Ott -25.40
Dal -8.60
Edm -28.90
LA -35.80
Nash -10.50

Very opinionated today. Personally, I have no opinion, I just wrote the program and turned it loose. I bet the top 3 today, got them at all plus money, hoping for the best.

Falcon
 

your worst nightmare
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Full card for March 12

Kentucky Over 138
MTSU Over 125
Memphis Over 142
SD ST Over 128

Islanders (+115)
Colorado (+110)
Washington (+100)

Best of luck, Falcon with the the card!

Absolutely LOVE the fact that the 3 NHL plays are ALL ML DOGS!
This way, we won't get clipped hard if any lose!

Let's have a GREAT day!

Good luck!
goodluck.gif


P.S. I know people have asked you this a million times, but I haven't been paying attention. :ohno:

Do you have a computer program for MLB? Hope so. That could be AWESOME if you did!
 
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Incubus, absolutely, that's how all my programming endeavors started, with the 2011 MLB season. This thread and my 2016 betting year will ultimately live or die with the 2016 MLB season. I've been wagering since Aug 1986 and much like everyone else, won some and lost some, probably lost a little more. With the 2011 MLB season, I became a fulltime programmer, I haven't handicapped since. My goals will remain just as they have been, 57.14% Winners, against a (-110) line. If I can accomplish that in this thread in 2016, I will be pleased. But I will tell u this, I will be using a (-1) line alot this season, if u don't have one available, learn to create your own by splitting your wager between the runline and money line.

Falcon
 

your worst nightmare
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INCUBUS EXPERIMENT - 50 PLAYS

Saturday 12 March 2016

Kentucky OVER 138 WIN +3 units
Middle Tennessee State OVER 125 LOSS -3.3 units
Memphis OVER 142 LOSS -3.3 units
San Diego State OVER 128 WIN +3 units
NY Islanders ML +115 NHL LOSS -3 units
Colorado ML +110 NHL LOSS -3 units
Washington ML +100 NHL LOSS -3 units

2-5 ATS = -9.6 units

Overall = 24-18 ATS (+11.4 units) or 57.14%

8 more plays to go! :)!/
 

your worst nightmare
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Incubus, absolutely, that's how all my programming endeavors started, with the 2011 MLB season. This thread and my 2016 betting year will ultimately live or die with the 2016 MLB season. I've been wagering since Aug 1986 and much like everyone else, won some and lost some, probably lost a little more. With the 2011 MLB season, I became a fulltime programmer, I haven't handicapped since. My goals will remain just as they have been, 57.14% Winners, against a (-110) line. If I can accomplish that in this thread in 2016, I will be pleased. But I will tell u this, I will be using a (-1) line alot this season, if u don't have one available, learn to create your own by splitting your wager between the runline and money line.

Falcon

Thank you for your response! I'm extremely anxious to jump on board with you during MLB!
I assume you'll be starting a dedicated MLB thread in the MLB sub-forum? :think2:

I've never bet MLB using the -1 RL before, but I understand the logic behind using it.
It's all about reducing risk. Baseball bettors who like large favorites typically have two choices when it
comes to betting. They can either lay the price and bet the favorite or they can play the RL and lay
1.5 runs for much more attractive odds, but have to hope the favorite does not win by exactly 1 run, or they
will lose the bet.

Bettors can reduce their risk when betting on a large favorite and not lose when that favorite only
wins by a single run. That's by creating their own -1 RL and splitting their wager between the ML and the RL so if
the favorite wins by exactly 1 run they PUSH, as opposed to LOSING their bet.

There's also a way to take +1 run with the UNDERDOG, which will yield a higher return than taking the underdog at +1.5 runs.

Here's an extremely helpful -1 RL Calculator I found, and I think you should apprise all your MLB followers of it. It really
makes creating -1 RLs EASY! :ok:

http://zcodesystem.com/runline_calc/

I apologize for talking about MLB in your basketball thread, but I guess I'm getting excited about all of this!
Again, thanks for responding to my inquiry! :toast:
 
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2016 Top Program Plays
100-75 (+44.65 units) (+$4465)
57.14% Winners

CBB Totals 84-52
CBB Sides 0-1
NBA Totals 7-12
NFL Totals 1-1
NHL Sides 8-9

Thread has run about 2 months (175 plays).
Win percentage is right on target (57.14%) as expected
Juice on losses is right on target (-110) as expected
Play volume has been much too large (expected 140 area)

Yesterday was a dissapointment 2-5, five straight nhl losses has been a disappointment. I've got to bridge the gap from the CBB totals to the MLB season. I've been up several hours and have been working vigorously on things.

Back later with today's card and I'm certainly pleased that I have $4465 in profits in 2016..

Falcon
 
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Incubus, thanks for posting the -1 run calculator.. I find it very interesting that the past 42 plays have hit at 57.14% and so have the first 175 plays posted in this thread.

I am not quite ready to put the nba totals to bed this year just yet. They underperformed but I had some terrible breaks with them as well. I'll continue to work this morning and will return with today's card soon.

Falcon
 

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Incubus, thanks for posting the -1 run calculator.. I find it very interesting that the past 42 plays have hit at 57.14% and so have the first 175 plays posted in this thread.

I am not quite ready to put the nba totals to bed this year just yet. They underperformed but I had some terrible breaks with them as well. I'll continue to work this morning and will return with today's card soon.

Falcon


Very cool tool Incubus. Tried it and it works. Thanks
 

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Thank you for your response! I'm extremely anxious to jump on board with you during MLB!
I assume you'll be starting a dedicated MLB thread in the MLB sub-forum? :think2:

I've never bet MLB using the -1 RL before, but I understand the logic behind using it.
It's all about reducing risk. Baseball bettors who like large favorites typically have two choices when it
comes to betting. They can either lay the price and bet the favorite or they can play the RL and lay
1.5 runs for much more attractive odds, but have to hope the favorite does not win by exactly 1 run, or they
will lose the bet.

Bettors can reduce their risk when betting on a large favorite and not lose when that favorite only
wins by a single run. That's by creating their own -1 RL and splitting their wager between the ML and the RL so if
the favorite wins by exactly 1 run they PUSH, as opposed to LOSING their bet.

There's also a way to take +1 run with the UNDERDOG, which will yield a higher return than taking the underdog at +1.5 runs.

Here's an extremely helpful -1 RL Calculator I found, and I think you should apprise all your MLB followers of it. It really
makes creating -1 RLs EASY! :ok:

http://zcodesystem.com/runline_calc/

I apologize for talking about MLB in your basketball thread, but I guess I'm getting excited about all of this!
Again, thanks for responding to my inquiry! :toast:

Thanks for the calculator, Incubus. The only book I think I have that offers the -1 run line is Dimes...is it not a push if the favorite wins by exactly one run? I am currently trying to go through their betting rules, but haven't found it specifically yet. Never made that bet myself yet but was already anticipating it.

I did bet a NHL -1 goal line recently...won by exactly one and it was push.
 
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March 13

Kentucky Over 142

Clippers Under 208.5

Brooklyn Under 206


To win 3 units on each
$330 to win $300

Good luck guys


Falcon
 

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Sorry to bother....but your buddy has been so HOT! Any NASCAR selections for today? Thanks in advance(
 
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Hamlin to win 10:1
Kyle Busch to win 6.5:1

Hamlin -115 over Kezlowski
Kyle Busch -120 Over Logano

Looks like Toyotas again today.
 
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I'm ready to see the brackets in a couple hours, I may have a few tourney futures before Thursday. The CBB totals have done really well (85-52) with the KY Over cashing earlier today. I can only hope that the NBA totals get on track.

Falcon
 

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