The cnotes college football 2020-2021 season news,trends, picks !

[CNOTES]

111PITTSBURGH -112 GEORGIA TECH
PITTSBURGH is 12-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) in road games after gaining 100 or less rushing yards last game since 1992.


113WAKE FOREST -114 LOUISVILLE
LOUISVILLE is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) vs. good offenses (>425 TYG) in the last 3 seasons.


115DUKE -116 FLORIDA ST
DUKE is 7-20 ATS (-15 Units) after scoring 6 points or less last game since 1992.


117OKLAHOMA -118 W VIRGINIA
W VIRGINIA is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) vs. excellent punt return teams, more than 12 yards per return in the last 3 seasons.


119COASTAL CAROLINA -120 TROY
COASTAL CAROLINA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after playing a game at home over the last 2 seasons.


119COASTAL CAROLINA -120 TROY
Jamey Chadwell is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after going under the total (Coach of COASTAL CAROLINA)


121CINCINNATI -122 TULSA
CINCINNATI is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.


123STANFORD -124 OREGON ST
STANFORD is 58-33 ATS (21.7 Units) in road games in the second half of the season since 1992.


125TEXAS -126 KANSAS
KANSAS are 41-71 ATS (-37.1 Units) vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game since 1992.


127HOUSTON -128 MEMPHIS
MEMPHIS are 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in December games since 1992.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up


Week 15


Thursday’s games
Pittsburgh (5-5) @ Georgia Tech (3-6)
— Pitt lost five of last seven games, after a 3-0 start.
— Panthers lost three of four road games; they won at Florida State.
— Pitt allowed 30+ points in its losses, 20 or less in its wins.
— Pitt has 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Pitt has 85 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Panthers have a senior QB with 37 starts.
— Pitt is 4-2 ATS in last six games as a road favorite, 0-1 TY.


— Tech lost four of its last five games, giving up 41.8 ppg.
— Yellow Jackets are 1-6 when they score fewer than 46 points.
— Tech has 10 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Tech has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Yellow Jackets has a freshman QB with 9 starts.
— Tech is 3-10 ATS in last 13 games as home dogs, 2-2 TY.


— Pitt won four of last five series games.
— Teams split last four games played here.
— Underdogs covered four of last six series games.


Florida Atlantic (5-2) @ Southern Mississippi (2-7)
— FAU won four of its last five games.
— Owls were held to 9-3 points in their two losses.
— FAU is allowing only 12.4 ppg this season.
— FAU has 6 starters back on offense, 3 starters back on defense.
— Owls have 54 returning starts on the offensive line.
— FAU has a junior QB with 32 career starts.
— Owls are 6-4 ATS in last ten games as a road favorite.


— Southern Miss has one D-I win; they’re on their 3rd head coach TY.
— Golden Eagles scored 14.3 ppg in their last four games.
— USM has 8 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Golden Eagles have 93 returning starts on the offensive line.
— USM has a junior QB with 30 career starts.
— Golden Eagles are 5-1 ATS in last six games as home underdogs.


— FAU won its last two games with Southern Miss, 34-17/41-7.
— Owls were +4 in turnovers in LY’s 34-17 win.

 

[CNOTES]

Pittsburgh vs. Georgia Tech Odds
Jonathan Willis


The Pittsburgh Panthers can finish the 2020 campaign with a winning record when they travel to Atlanta to take on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets on Thursday night.


This game was originally supposed to be played on Saturday, Nov. 14, but it was called off due to a COVID-19 outbreak in Georgia Tech’s program. That led to the Yellow Jackets’ game with Miami the following week being postponed as well, so this is the penultimate game of Georgia Tech’s 2020 season.


Week 15 Matchup: ACC
Venue: Bobby Dodd Stadium
Location: Atlanta, Georgia
Date: Thursday, Dec. 10, 2020
Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN3


Pittsburgh-Georgia Tech Betting Odds


Spread: Pittsburgh -6.5
Money-Line: Pittsburgh -250 Georgia Tech +195
Total: 53.5


How to Handicap Pittsburgh vs. Georgia Tech


Pittsburgh didn’t cover a game against an FBS opponent until November. The Panthers easily covered the number in a 55-0 blowout of FCS Austin Peay in their season opener, but they went 0-5-1 ATS in their first six games against FBS foes.


That changed on Nov. 7 when Pittsburgh blew out Florida State 41-17 as a -1.5-point favorite. They were an even more impressive against Virginia Tech in their next game, crushing the Hokies 47-14 as a touchdown underdog.


Pitt’s performance in those two games led to the Panthers being ‘just’ a +24-point underdog against Clemson, and the Tigers easily dispatched of them 52-17. The Panthers haven’t played an UNDER game since September. Pittsburgh’s offense has been better than expected at times while the defense has struggled against top tier teams, leading to the Panthers’ last seven games going over the total.


Pittsburgh Panthers head coach Pat Narduzzi looks to have his team above .500 with a win against Georgia Tech. (AP Images)


Georgia Tech has largely been a barometer team in the ACC this season. The Yellow Jackets’ three victories have all come against teams with worse conference records.


They upended Florida State 16-13 as a two-touchdown underdog in their season opener, and they hammered Louisville and Duke despite being an underdog in both those games. Georgia Tech is just 1-4 ATS against teams that are .500 or better, though.


Betting Analysis – Pittsburgh Panthers


2020: 5-5 SU, 3-6-1 ATS, 8-2 O/U


Kenny Pickett hasn’t had the career Pitt fans were expecting after a promising start. He has only marginally improved from where he was as a freshman over the course of his four years on campus.


Pickett is coming off a four- interception performance against Clemson two weeks ago where he was sacked six times. He is completing 62.4% of his passes for 7.4 YPA on the season, and he has thrown two touchdown passes in three of his last four games.


Pittsburgh’s run game has not been good this year. The Panthers are averaging just 2.9 YPC and 95.8 YPG as a team. Vincent Davis has 385 yards (3.3 YPC) and five touchdowns as the team’s top running back, and he has only run for over 4.0 YPC in one of his ten starts. A.J. Davis is a little more effective (4.7 YPC), and he has ripped off some nice runs over Pitt’s last three games.


D.J. Turner had monster games against North Carolina State and Virginia Tech, but he has not made much of an impact as a receiver in Pittsburgh’s other eight games. Freshman Jordan Addison is the leading receiver for the Panthers with 57 receptions for 652 yards and four touchdowns. Taysir Mack and Shocky Jacques-Louis will see some passes, but neither player has made a large impact.


The Panthers are 26 th in defensive SP+ this season. They have one of the best run defenses in the nation, allowing 2.8 YPC and 103.3 YPG on the ground. Rashad Weaver is one of the most talented defensive linemen in the conference with 7.5 sacks, but he announced that he was leaving the program to prepare for the NFL on Tuesday.

Betting Analysis - Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets


2020: 3-6 S/U, 4-5 ATS, 6-3 O/U


Geoff Collins is ahead of schedule at Georgia Tech. It’s a tall task to bring an option offense into the modern age, but he has made the Yellow Jackets competitive in each of his first two seasons. Collins appears to have his quarterback of the future in Jeff Sims, and this season has been largely about his development as a true freshman.


Sims is completing 54.9% of his passes for 7.3 YPA with 11 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. The turnovers aren’t great, but he is the best passer on the roster, and it’s been a trial by fire in 2020. Sims is also leading the team with 478 rushing yards (4.3 YPC) and five touchdowns.


Fellow freshman Jahmyr Gibbs was considered the second-best all-purpose running back in the nation coming out of high school according to Rivals. Bringing a talented player like Gibbs to Atlanta showed how Georgia Tech can be a draw for top recruits, and he has shined. Gibbs is second on the team in rushing (460 yards, 5.2 YPR) and receiving (303 yards, 12.6 YPR).


Jalen Camp is the Yellow Jackets’ leading receiver with 24 receptions for 342 yards and three touchdowns. Adonicas Sanders is coming off the best game of his career with seven receptions for 105 yards against NC State.


Georgia Tech’s defense ranks outside the top 100 in scoring defense (37.1 PPG) and total defense (453.3 YPG). The Yellow Jackets have a subpar secondary that is allowing 7.8 YPA with 278.3 YPG, and these defensive backs aren’t aggressive either with just five interceptions.


Historically Speaking


Head-to-Head


Pittsburgh has won four of the last five games in this series. The Panthers haven’t won any of those games by more than 10 points though, and three of their wins were by five points or less.


Last Meeting


The Panthers nearly doubled up the Yellow Jackets in terms of yards when these teams met in Atlanta last year. That led to a 20-10 Pittsburgh win despite three turnovers. Georgia Tech couldn’t do much in its first year transitioning out of the option and finished with 194 yards.


Notable Betting Trends


-- Pittsburgh has gone OVER the point total in seven straight games.


-- Georgia Tech has gone OVER in six of its last seven home games when playing as the underdog.


-- The road team has covered the spread in five of the last seven games played between both schools.

 

[CNOTES]

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 10


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


FAU at USM 06:30 PM
FAU -9.5
U 43.0

PITT at GT 07:00 PM
PITT -7.5
O 55.5

 

[CNOTES]

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


12/10/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
12/06/2020 2-2-0 100.00% -1.00 Detail
12/05/2020 29-21-0 58.00% +29.50 Detail
12/03/2020 3-1-0 75.00% +9.50 Detail


Totals...........35-27-0.....56.45%....+26.50

 

[CNOTES]

Friday’s 6-pack
Odds for the college football conference title games:
— Ohio St (-20, 59.5) vs Northwestern
— Oklahoma (-6, 57.5) vs Iowa State
— Coastal Carolina (-4, 53.5) vs Louisiana
— Clemson (-11, 60.5) vs Notre Dame
— Cincinnati (-17, 47.5) vs Tulsa
— Alabama (-12, 72.5) vs Florida


Americans who have died from COVID-19: 291,307
PLEASE wear a mask when you go out.


Quote of the Day
“Most of our games are attended by less than 10,000 people, so we could probably for the most part run a normal stadium operation.”
Tampa Bay Rays owner Stuart Sternberg


Friday’s quiz
Who was the football coach at Alabama before Nick Saban?
Hint: He is currently an assistant coach in the NFL


Thursday’s quiz
Florida State coach Leonard Hamilton used to coach the Washington Wizards.


Wednesday’s quiz
Bill Belichick was the last coach of the Cleveland Browns, before they moved to Baltimore and became the Ravens; he was 36-44 coaching Cleveland.


****************************


Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here………


13) Rams 24, New England 3
— Rams drove 75 yards for a TD on the game’s opening drive.
— Kenny Young had 79-yard pick-6 on first play of 2nd quarter.
— Rams had a 16-play, 90-yard TD drive that took up 9:42 of 3rd quarter.
— Akers ran ball for 171 yards, most by any NFL rookie this year.


— Rams won four of their last five games.
— LA has outscored opponents 164-82 in second half of games.
— Rams won five of six home games SU (4-2 ATS)
— Eight of LA’s last ten games stayed under the total.


12) With this win, the Rams clinch their 4th straight winning season for first time since 1983-86, when John Robinson coached the team, which played its home games in Anaheim Stadium.


11) San Diego State 80, Arizona State 68— Aztecs went to Tempe and whipped up on ASU; San Diego State is 5-0 already, with Pac-12 wins over ASU, UCLA.


10) Portland 87, Oregon State 86 OT— Rough night for the Pac-12. Portland was a 16-point underdog in this game.


9) Next week’s NFL schedule is interesting; league flexed the Browns-Giants into the Sunday night slot., replacing 49ers-Cowboys. In the 15 years that NBC has had the Sunday night game, the Cowboys have never been flexed out of a prime-time slot. Until now.


8) Dave Dombrowski is finalizing a deal to take over as president of baseball operations for the Philadelphia Phillies, which would be very good news for Phillies fans. Dombrowski had been mentioned as trying to help Nashville land an expansion franchise, but running the Phillies is a way better gig than that.


7) P Chris Flexen signed a 2-year, $4.75M deal with the Mariners, fueling speculation that Seattle may be toying with the idea of using a 6-man rotation this season. Flexen pitched in the KBO this season, posting a 2.79 ERA. He had previously pitched for the Mets, going 3-11, 8.07 in 27 games (11 starts) from 2017-19.


6) Duke’s basketball team has already lost home games to Michigan State, Illinois; they haven’t hit the road yet, but the Blue Devils cancelled their remaining three non-league games and sent their players home for five days, for the holidays.


All of a sudden Mike Krzyzewski isn’t so fond of playing thru a pandemic with experience team #301- they’re turning ball over 21.5% of time, shooting 32.7% on the arc- they look ordinary, and there is no home crowd in Cameron Indoor Stadium to get behind them.


5) Southern Miss 45, Florida Atlantic 31:
— Just third loss in eight game for the Owls.
— Southern Miss outgained FAU 514-326.
— USM ran a kickoff back for a TD.
— FAU scored a defensive TD.


4) Pitt 34, Georgia Tech 20:
— Panthers somehow got 11 games in, finished 6-5.
— Pitt ran the ball for 311 yards.


3) ESPN and SEC announced Thursday that they’ve reached a 10-year deal beginning in 2024 that will make ESPN/ABC the exclusive rights holder of SEC football and basketball, so the 3:30 SEC Game of the Week will be on ABC, but not until 2024.


2) NHL is aiming for a January 13 start, with a 54-game schedule, give or take a fewThey’re going to shuffle the divisions some just for this season, which will be interesting.


1) Want to win a bar bet? In the history of major league baseball, the record for most pickoffs by a right-handed pitcher is held by knuckleballer Charlie Hough, with 73.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up


Week 15


Friday’s games
North Texas (3-5) @ Texas-El Paso (3-4)
— North Texas allowed 31+ points in seven of its eight games.
— Mean Green allowed 200+ rushing yards in five of last seven games.
— North Texas has 6 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Mean Green has 38 returning starts on the offensive line.
— North Texas has a soph QB with 8 career starts.
— Mean Green are 3-5 ATS in last 8 games as road underdogs.


— UTEP lost its last three games, allowing 36.7 ppg.
— Miners are 2-0 at home, but both games were against I-AA teams.
— Miners have 5 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— UTEP has 61 returning starts on the offensive line.
— UTEP’s soph QB has 7 career starts.
— Last four years, UTEP is 0-4 ATS as a home favorite.


— North Texas won last three series games, scoring 41.3 ppg.
— Mean Green lost two of last three visits to El Paso.


Nevada (6-1) @ San Jose State (5-0)
— Nevada is 6-1, scoring 34+ points in four of seven games.
— Wolf Pack is 2-1 on road, scoring 28.3 ppg, losing at Hawai’i.
— Nevada has 10 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Wolf Pack has 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Nevada’s soph QB has 17 career starts.
— Wolf Pack is 8-12 ATS in its last 20 games as a road underdog.


— San Jose is 5-0 for the first time since 1955.
— Spartans are 3-0 at home, winning by 11-17-17 points.
— Spartans have 6 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— San Jose has 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Spartans have a senior QB with 15 career starts- he used to play at Arkansas.
— San Jose is 13-4 ATS in last 17 games as a home favorite.


— Nevada won three in row, 10 of last 11 series games.
— Wolf Pack is 2-4 ATS in last six visits to San Jose.


Arizona State (0-2) @ Arizona (0-4)
— Arizona State lost its two games this year, 28-27/25-18.
— ASU outgained UCLA 442-363 LW, but lost 25-18 (-2 in turnovers)
— Sun Devils have 6 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— ASU has 31 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Sun Devils have a soph QB with 14 career starts.
— Under Edwards, ASU is 3-9 ATS as a favorite, 0-4 on road.


— Arizona lost all four games, scoring 10-13 points in last two games.
— Arizona lost 34-30/24-13 in its two home games.
— Wildcats have 7 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Arizona has 71 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Wildcats have a soph QB with four career starts.
— Arizona is 5-4 ATS in last nine games as a home underdog.


— ASU won three in row, 10 of last 15 series games.
— Sun Devils won three of last five visits to Tucson
— Underdogs are 6-2 ATS in last eight series games played here.
— Underdogs covered last four series games.

 

[CNOTES]

Friday, Dec. 11


UTEP at NORTH TEXAS (ESPN3, 6:00 p.m.)
After loss to La Tech, UNT now on 6-20 spread skid since mid 2018.
Home team has covered last four in series.


Tech Edge: Slight to UTEP, based on team trends.




ARIZONA STATE at ARIZONA (ESPN, 7:00 p.m.)
Territorial Cup.
Sumlin on 4-12 spread skid since LY, though dog team has covered last four in series.


Tech Edge: Slight to ASU, based on team trends.


NEVADA vs. SAN JOSE STATE (CBSSN, 9:00 p.m.)
Pack 10-1 SU last 11 in series.
But Spartans on 14-4-1 spread run since late 2018.


Tech Edge: Slight to SJSU, based in recent trends.

 

[CNOTES]

Ole Miss at Texas A&M postponed




Michigan vs Ohio St canceled




Cincinnati vs. Tulsa will not be played




Ohio at Kent State canceled




Marshall vs. Charlotte canceled




Purdue at Indiana canceled




Miami, Ohio at Bowling Green canceled




Oklahoma at West Virginia canceled




Texas at Kansas canceled




Washington at Oregon canceled

 

[CNOTES]

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 11


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


UNT at UTEP 06:00 PM
UTEP +9.5
O 64.5


ASU at ARIZ 07:00 PM
ASU -11.5
O 55.5


NEV at SJSU 10:00 PM
SJSU -1.0
U 59.5

 

[CNOTES]

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


12/11/2020 6-0-0 100.00% +3000 Detail
12/10/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
12/06/2020 2-2-0 100.00% -1.00 Detail
12/05/2020 29-21-0 58.00% +29.50 Detail
12/03/2020 3-1-0 75.00% +9.50 Detail


Totals...........41-27-0.....60.29%....+56.50

 

[CNOTES]

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 12


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


WAKE at LOU 12:00 PM
WAKE +1.0

RUTG at MD 12:00 PM
RUTG +6.5

UTAH at COLO 12:00 PM
COLO +2.5


ILL at NW 12:00 PM
U 41.0

MINN at NEB 12:00 PM
MINN +8.5


ALA at ARK 12:00 PM
ARK +32.0


WMU at BALL 12:00 PM
O 65.0


AKR at BUFF 02:30 PM
BUFF -33.0


CCU at TROY 03:00 PM
CCU -13.5
O 52.5


NAVY at ARMY 03:00 PM
U 36.5


WIS at IOWA 03:30 PM
IOWA +2.5


UNC at MIA 03:30 PM
MIA -3.0


DUKE at FSU 04:00 PM
O 57.0


APP at GASO 06:00 PM
GASO +9.5

 

[CNOTES]

UNDER THE LIGHTS:


LT at TCU 07:00 PM
TCU -21.5


LSU at FLA 07:00 PM
FLA -23.0


USC at UCLA 07:30 PM
UCLA +3.5


AUB at MSST 07:30 PM
O 51.0


UVA at VT 08:00 PM
UVA +2.5


SDSU at BYU 10:00 PM
U 47.0


STAN at ORST 10:00 PM
ORST +3.0


FRES at UNM 10:30 PM
U 57.0

 

[CNOTES]

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


12/12/2020 11-11-1 50.00% -550 Detail
12/11/2020 6-0-0 100.00% +3000 Detail
12/10/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
12/06/2020 2-2-0 100.00% -1.00 Detail
12/05/2020 29-21-0 58.00% +29.50 Detail
12/03/2020 3-1-0 75.00% +9.50 Detail


Totals...........52-38-0.....57.77%....+51.00

 

[CNOTES]

Sunday’s 6-pack
NFL leaders in passing yardage:
3,815— Mahomes, KC
3,542— Watson, Hst
3,509— Goff, Rams (13 games)
3,479— Wilson, Sea
3,436— Ryan, Atl
3,403— Allen, Buff


Americans who have died from COVID-19: 297,697
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


Quote of the Day
“…….(Kyrie) Irving is demonstrating — telling all of us – who he is. And by connection, who he’ll be for the Brooklyn Nets. And that’s a self-absorbed, locker room killing, chemistry-crushing malignancy.”
Bill Reiter, CBSSports.com


Sunday’s quiz
Who is wealthiest owner in the NFL?
Hint #1— He is the 41st-richest person in America
Hint #2— He used to be a minority owner of the Steelers


Saturday’s quiz
Steve Ballmer (Clippers) is wealthiest owner in the NBA; he is worth $51B or so. Thats billion, with a B


Friday’s quiz
Mike Shula was the football coach at Alabama before Nick Saban.


********************


Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday


13) USC 43, UCLA 38:
— Trojans beat their crosstown rivals for 5th time in six years.
— USC trailed this game 28-10; three of their five wins are by 5 or fewer points.
— USC drove 43 yards in 0:36, scoring game-winning TD with 0:16 left.
— UCLA had taken the lead on a 43-yard FG with 0:51 left.


12) Utah 38, Colorado 21— Ohio State-Michigan got cancelled, so this game got moved to the noon slot, which meant a 10am local time kickoff on a snowy day in Boulder.


Colorado’s loss put USC in the Pac-12 title game, even before the Trojans beat UCLA.


11) Ball State 30, Western Michigan 27:
— Cardinals win MAC West, play Buffalo for MAC title next week.
— WMU led 27-13 after three quarters; big comeback for the Cardinals, who scored two TD’s 1:05 apart early in 4th quarter, then kicked game-winning FG with 0:29 left.


10) LSU 37, Florida 34:
— Tigers kicked a 57-yard FG with 0:23 left.
— Florida missed a 51-yard FG wide left at the gun.
— Gators outgained LSU 609-418, but were minus-5 in turnovers.


9) North Carolina 62, Miami 26:
— Tar Heels ran ball for 554 yards; Michael Carter had 308 of them.
— UNC gained total of 778 yards; Miami allowed a total of 539 yards in their last two games, combined.


8) Coastal Carolina 42, Troy 38:
— Chanticleers drove 75 yards in 0:45, scored game-winning TD with 0:35 left to avoid an upset that would’ve ruined their undefeated season.
— Coastal led 14-0 after 6:27 of play, but this final score won’t impress any of the pollsters.


7) Army 15, Navy 0:
— This rivalry game stayed under total for 15th year in a row .
— This was first time since World War II the game was played at West Point.


6) Memphis 30, Houston 27:
— Memphis kicked a 47-yard FG at the gun for the win.
— Tigers led 27-6 after three quarters; Houston tied game with 0:28 left.


5) College football upsets:
— LSU (+23) 37, Florida 34
— Minnesota (+9.5) 24, Nebraska 17
— Southern Miss (+9.5) 35, Florida Atlantic 31
— Memphis (+4.5) 30, Houston 27


4) Dayton 85, Mississippi State 82, 2 OT:
— Bulldogs went 9-22 on foul line and lost by 3; no bueno.
— Miss State led by 8 early in second half.
— Three guys on Dayton played 48 out of 50:00.


3) Missouri 81, Illinois 78:
— Mizzou will likely join Tennessee as only SEC teams in top 25.
— This was first time since late 70’s this annual matchup wasn’t played in St Louis.
— Tigers were 26-31 on foul line, Illinois 17-28.


2) Notre Dame 64, Kentucky 63:
— Kentucky has now lost four games in a row.
— Notre Dame was up 22 at the half; Kentucky had an open 15-footer at the buzzer for the win.
— Wildcats were 5-23 on arc, 4-6 on line; they lack perimeter shooting.


1) Villanova 76, Georgetown 63:
— 12-point dog Hoyas were up 18 in first half Friday night; they didn’t even cover.
— Villanova was 15-39 on the arc, 10-21 inside arc.
— Since Big East reorganized few years ago, Villanova is 104-23 in Big East games.

 

[CNOTES]

Tuesday’s 6-pack
Interesting spreads for Week 15 in NFL:
— New England @ Miami (-2.5)
— Seattle (-5) @ Washington
— Chicago @ Minnesota (-3)
— Jacksonville @ Baltimore (-13)
— Cleveland (-3.5) @ NJ Giants
— Philadelphia @ Arizona (-6.5)


Americans who have died from COVID-19: 300,904
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


Quote of the Day
“(The Vikings) were kind of gearing towards a run-heavy (offense) at that time. I didn’t know it going in. I didn’t know it was going to be that way. They only would allow me to do so much. In my eyes, it wasn’t going to be in the best interest of my career.”
Buffalo Bills WR Stefon Diggs, on why he asked out of Minnesota


Tuesday’s quiz
Who was QB for the Baltimore Ravens, last time they won the Super Bowl?


Monday’s quiz
Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen played his college football at Wyoming.


Sunday’s quiz
Carolina Panthers’ owner David Tepper is wealthiest owner in the NFL; he is worth $13B.


*********************************


Tuesday’s List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….


13) Baltimore 47, Browns 42:
— Lamar Jackson was in locker room (cramps), came out when his backup got hurt and tossed a 44-yard TD pass with 1:51 left that gave Baltimore a 42-35 lead
— Tucker kicked 55-yard FG with 0:02 left for the win.
— Ravens scored six TD’s on their first ten drives.
— Ravens won eight of last nine games with Cleveland.
— Jackson threw for 163 yards, ran ball for 124 yards.


— 20 points were scored in last 1:51 of this wild game.
— First time since 1922 there were a combined 9 rushing TD’s in a game.
— Mayfield threw for 343 yards, two TD’s.
— Browns gained 493 yards, had 33 first downs, but lost.


— Spread was Ravens -3; there was a safety on the last play, with ton of laterals, that made Baltimore backers the winners.
— One of the strangest and most entertaining games in NFL history..


12) Marquette 89, Creighton 84:
— Marquette made 12-21 on arc; they played only seven guys.
— Both teams scored 1.25+ points/possession.
— Creighton was 14-32 on the arc, 14-26 inside arc.


11) Rutgers 74, Maryland 60:
— Rutgers hasn’t been in NCAA’s since 1991; this looks like the year.
— Ron Harper Jr scored 27 points for the winners.


10) Felt bad when I saw that Gus Malzahn was fired as football coach at Auburn, then I read where his buyout is $21.45M, that’s million, with an M. Now I’m envious of the freakin’ guy.


Fact of the matter, Auburn is a bad job until Nick Saban retires, because you ain’t going to beat Alabama enough to satisfy whoever it is that makes decisions at Auburn. Malzahn was 68-35 at Auburn, 39-25 in SEC games, 2-5 in bowl games.


15 years ago, Malzahn was football coach at Springdale HS in Arkansas; now he can get a TV gig, kick back, count his money and see if he wants to coach again.


9) If you think college football coaches are overpaid, check this out; found this on the Interweb a few days ago— these are all college presidents, whose win/loss records aren’t published:


— Former Bryant U President Ronald Machtley made $6,283,616 in 2017.
— Former Johnson & Wales President John Bowen made $5,363,616 in 2017; he retired the next year.
— RPI’s President is Dr Shirley Jackson; she made $5,155,038 in 2017. RPI is an engineering school in Troy, NY, across the river from Armadillo World HQ.
— U of Pennsylvania’s President Amy Gutmann made $2,390,315 three years ago.


Must be nice.


8) Back to Malzahn for a minute; he is one of six coaches who has beaten Nick Saban three times as a head coach (no one has beaten him 4+ times):
Lloyd Carr, Malzahn, Les Miles, Joe Paterno, Joe Tiller, Tommy Tuberville


Active coaches with 2+ wins vs Saban: Hugh Freeze, Miles, Dabo Swinney


7) Washington Huskies pulled out of the Pac-12 football title game because of COVID-19 issues in their program; Oregon takes Washington’s place, will play USC Friday night in LA.


6) Frank Gore Jr scored on a 73-yard TD run for Southern Miss Thursday night, in the Golden Eagles’ 45-31 win over Florida Atlantic. Whats remarkable about this is that his father is still playing in the NFL; not a lot of 37-year old running backs still carrying the ball.


5) Las Vegas Raiders fired defensive coordinator Paul Guenther after the Raiders got drilled 44-27 by the Colts Sunday. Las Vegas allowed 37.5 ppg in its last four games, and right now is on the outside, looking in at the playoff picture.


4) Nebraska Cornhuskers are 2-5 this season, their 4th consecutive losing season; this is the first time since 1956-61 that Nebraska’s football team has had four years in a row under .500.


3) College football coaching changes:
— Arizona fired Kevin Sumlin
— As we talked about, Auburn fired Gus Malzahn
— Illinois fired Love Smith


2) Word leaked out over the weekend that the Cleveland Indians will change their nickname soon, but apparently not this coming season. Lot of money involved in choosing that next nickname; do it right and if the team contends, they will clean up financially selling apparel with the new logo(s) on it.


Problem is, the Indians seem to be dumping salary; Carlos Santana already left town, and Francisco Lindor may be the next one traded away. Losing teams don’t sell many souvenirs.


1) If you bet over on the Kansas City Chiefs’ season win total the last eight years, you would’ve won all eight bets, that’s how good a coach Andy Reid is. Hard to exceed expectations every year, really, really hard.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAF
Long Sheet


Thursday, December 17


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


LA MONROE (0 - 10) at TROY (5 - 6) - 12/17/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA MONROE is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LA MONROE is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
LA MONROE is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
LA MONROE is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TROY is 1-0 against the spread versus LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
TROY is 1-0 straight up against LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Friday, December 18


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UAB (5 - 3) at MARSHALL (7 - 1) - 12/18/2020, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BALL ST (5 - 1) vs. BUFFALO (5 - 0) - 12/18/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BUFFALO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
BALL ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (3 - 1) at USC (5 - 0) - 12/18/2020, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 1-0 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 1-0 straight up against USC over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEBRASKA (2 - 5) at RUTGERS (3 - 5) - 12/18/2020, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PURDUE (2 - 4) at INDIANA (6 - 1) - 12/18/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
INDIANA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
INDIANA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) against conference opponents this season.
INDIANA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
INDIANA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in games played on turf this season.
INDIANA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PURDUE is 2-0 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 1-1 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Saturday, December 19


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GEORGIA TECH (3 - 7) at MIAMI (8 - 2) - 12/19/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA TECH is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA TECH is 2-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FLORIDA ST (3 - 6) at WAKE FOREST (4 - 4) - 12/19/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA ST is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA ST is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WAKE FOREST is 1-1 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
WAKE FOREST is 1-1 straight up against FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

AIR FORCE (3 - 2) at ARMY (8 - 2) - 12/19/2020, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AIR FORCE is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
ARMY is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games against Mountain West conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARMY is 1-1 against the spread versus AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
ARMY is 1-1 straight up against AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (3 - 3) at WISCONSIN (2 - 3) - 12/19/2020, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WISCONSIN is 1-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 1-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ILLINOIS (2 - 5) at PENN ST (3 - 5) - 12/19/2020, 5:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 143-182 ATS (-57.2 Units) in all games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 143-182 ATS (-57.2 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
PENN ST is 43-25 ATS (+15.5 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.
PENN ST is 80-56 ATS (+18.4 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PENN ST is 1-0 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
PENN ST is 1-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MICHIGAN (2 - 4) at IOWA (6 - 2) - 12/19/2020, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus IOWA over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 1-0 straight up against IOWA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MICHIGAN ST (2 - 5) at MARYLAND (2 - 3) - 12/19/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 39-66 ATS (-33.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARYLAND is 1-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 2-0 straight up against MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON ST (1 - 2) at UTAH (2 - 2) - 12/19/2020, 1:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 1-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 1-1 straight up against WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

STANFORD (3 - 2) at UCLA (3 - 3) - 12/19/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
STANFORD is 71-49 ATS (+17.1 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
STANFORD is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in December games since 1992.
STANFORD is 62-41 ATS (+16.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
UCLA is 1-0 against the spread versus STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
UCLA is 1-1 straight up against STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OREGON (3 - 2) vs. COLORADO (4 - 1) - 12/19/2020, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
OREGON is 62-37 ATS (+21.3 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON is 1-0 against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
OREGON is 1-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA ST (1 - 2) at OREGON ST (2 - 4) - 12/19/2020, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON ST is 125-94 ATS (+21.6 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON ST is 1-1 against the spread versus ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
OREGON ST is 1-1 straight up against ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (0 - 5) at CALIFORNIA (1 - 3) - 12/19/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 22-40 ATS (-22.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
CALIFORNIA is 65-92 ATS (-36.2 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-0 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 1-0 straight up against CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NORTHWESTERN (6 - 1) vs. OHIO ST (5 - 0) - 12/19/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 202-154 ATS (+32.6 Units) in all games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 202-154 ATS (+32.6 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 171-134 ATS (+23.6 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
OHIO ST is 134-101 ATS (+22.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
OHIO ST is 183-139 ATS (+30.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
OHIO ST is 50-31 ATS (+15.9 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.
NORTHWESTERN is 69-47 ATS (+17.3 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
NORTHWESTERN is 74-51 ATS (+17.9 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NORTHWESTERN is 63-39 ATS (+20.1 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 2-0 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA (7 - 2) vs. IOWA ST (8 - 2) - 12/19/2020, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA ST is 3-0 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA is 2-1 straight up against IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAFAYETTE (9 - 1) at COASTAL CAROLINA (11 - 0) - 12/19/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COASTAL CAROLINA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
COASTAL CAROLINA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
COASTAL CAROLINA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
COASTAL CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
COASTAL CAROLINA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.
COASTAL CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
COASTAL CAROLINA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins this season.
LA LAFAYETTE is 48-29 ATS (+16.1 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
COASTAL CAROLINA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
COASTAL CAROLINA is 2-1 against the spread versus LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
COASTAL CAROLINA is 2-1 straight up against LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEMSON (9 - 1) vs. NOTRE DAME (10 - 0) - 12/19/2020, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEMSON is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NOTRE DAME is 1-1 against the spread versus CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
NOTRE DAME is 1-1 straight up against CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TULSA (6 - 1) at CINCINNATI (8 - 0) - 12/19/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 55-35 ATS (+16.5 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TULSA is 1-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 1-0 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ALABAMA (10 - 0) vs. FLORIDA (8 - 2) - 12/19/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
ALABAMA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
ALABAMA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
ALABAMA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
ALABAMA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
ALABAMA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
ALABAMA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
ALABAMA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
ALABAMA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOISE ST (5 - 1) vs. SAN JOSE ST (6 - 0) - 12/19/2020, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
BOISE ST is 157-116 ATS (+29.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 157-116 ATS (+29.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 52-27 ATS (+22.3 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
BOISE ST is 98-70 ATS (+21.0 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
BOISE ST is 89-59 ATS (+24.1 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE ST is 1-0 against the spread versus BOISE ST over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 1-0 straight up against SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS A&M (7 - 1) at TENNESSEE (3 - 6) - 12/19/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS A&M is 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 26-44 ATS (-22.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VANDERBILT (0 - 9) at GEORGIA (7 - 2) - 12/19/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANDERBILT is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 34-16 ATS (+16.4 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
GEORGIA is 26-46 ATS (-24.6 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA is 2-0 against the spread versus VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA is 2-0 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OLE MISS (4 - 4) at LSU (4 - 5) - 12/19/2020, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LSU is 1-1 against the spread versus OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
LSU is 2-0 straight up against OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MISSOURI (5 - 4) at MISSISSIPPI ST (2 - 7) - 12/19/2020, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSOURI is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in December games since 1992.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTSA (7 - 4) vs. SMU (7 - 3) - 12/19/2020, 4:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAF

Week 16

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Thursday, December 17


Louisiana-Monroe @ Troy
Louisiana-Monroe
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 11 games
Troy
Troy is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Louisiana-Monroe
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Troy's last 13 games




Friday, December 18


Nebraska @ Rutgers
Nebraska
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nebraska's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nebraska's last 7 games
Rutgers
Rutgers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Rutgers is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games


Alabama-Birmingham @ Marshall
Alabama-Birmingham
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Alabama-Birmingham's last 7 games when playing Marshall
Alabama-Birmingham is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Marshall
Marshall is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Marshall is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


Ball State @ Buffalo
Ball State
Ball State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Ball State's last 8 games when playing Buffalo
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Buffalo is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games


Purdue @ Indiana
Purdue
Purdue is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Purdue's last 18 games on the road
Indiana
Indiana is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Indiana is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games


Washington @ Southern California
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Southern California
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Southern California
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Southern California's last 5 games when playing Washington
Southern California is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games




Saturday, December 19


Vanderbilt @ Georgia
Vanderbilt
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vanderbilt's last 5 games when playing Georgia
Vanderbilt is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Georgia
Georgia is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games when playing Vanderbilt
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Georgia's last 7 games


Texas A&M @ Tennessee
Texas A&M
Texas A&M is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas A&M's last 9 games on the road
Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 6 games


Florida State @ Wake Forest
Florida State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida State's last 5 games when playing Wake Forest
Florida State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Wake Forest
Wake Forest
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wake Forest's last 5 games when playing Florida State
Wake Forest is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home


Oklahoma @ Iowa State
Oklahoma
Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Oklahoma is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games when playing Iowa State
Iowa State
Iowa State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma
Iowa State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games


Northwestern @ Ohio State
Northwestern
Northwestern is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Northwestern's last 7 games when playing Ohio State
Ohio State
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Northwestern


Washington State @ Utah
Washington State
Washington State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Utah
Washington State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Utah
Utah
Utah is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Utah is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games


Air Force @ Army
Air Force
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Air Force's last 5 games when playing Army
Air Force is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Army
Army
Army is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Army's last 5 games when playing Air Force


Louisiana-Lafayette @ Coastal Carolina
Louisiana-Lafayette
Louisiana-Lafayette is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Louisiana-Lafayette is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Coastal Carolina
Coastal Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Coastal Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games


Mississippi @ Louisiana State
Mississippi
Mississippi is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Louisiana State
Mississippi is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Louisiana State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisiana State's last 5 games at home
Louisiana State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Mississippi


Missouri @ Mississippi State
Missouri
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Missouri's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Missouri's last 20 games
Mississippi State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Mississippi State's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Mississippi State's last 8 games


Clemson @ Notre Dame
Clemson
Clemson is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Clemson's last 6 games
Notre Dame
Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Notre Dame is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games


Minnesota @ Wisconsin
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Minnesota's last 10 games when playing on the road against Wisconsin
Minnesota is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Wisconsin
Wisconsin is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games when playing Minnesota
Wisconsin is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Minnesota


Boise State @ San Jose State
Boise State
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Jose State
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Jose State
San Jose State
San Jose State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
San Jose State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games


Southern Methodist @ Texas-San Antonio
Southern Methodist
Southern Methodist is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern Methodist's last 6 games
Texas-San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas-San Antonio's last 8 games
Texas-San Antonio is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games


Illinois @ Penn State
Illinois
Illinois is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Penn State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Illinois's last 7 games when playing on the road against Penn State
Penn State
Penn State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Illinois
Penn State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Illinois


Michigan @ Iowa
Michigan
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Michigan's last 5 games when playing Iowa
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Michigan's last 5 games when playing on the road against Iowa
Iowa
Iowa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Iowa is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home


Michigan State @ Maryland
Michigan State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Michigan State's last 5 games when playing Maryland
Michigan State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Maryland
Maryland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Maryland's last 5 games when playing Michigan State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Maryland's last 7 games


Alabama @ Florida
Alabama
Alabama is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Florida
Florida is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games when playing Alabama


Tulsa @ Cincinnati
Tulsa
Tulsa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Tulsa is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games


Stanford @ California-Los Angeles
Stanford
Stanford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against California-Los An
Stanford is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing California-Los Angeles
California-Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 4 of California-Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing Stanford
California-Los Angeles is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games


Oregon @ Colorado
Oregon
Oregon is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Colorado
Oregon is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Colorado
Colorado
Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games


Arizona State @ Oregon State
Arizona State
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Arizona State's last 9 games when playing on the road against Oregon State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona State's last 5 games
Oregon State
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Oregon State's last 9 games when playing at home against Arizona State
Oregon State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Arizona State

 

[CNOTES]

193LA MONROE -194 TROY
LA MONROE is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) after playing their last game on the road in the last 3 seasons.


195UAB -196 MARSHALL
UAB is 13-4 ATS (8.6 Units) after going under the total in the last 3 seasons.


197BALL ST -198 BUFFALO
BUFFALO is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.


201GEORGIA TECH -202 MIAMI
MIAMI is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) off upset loss vs conference foe since 1992.


203FLORIDA ST -204 WAKE FOREST
WAKE FOREST is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) vs bad defenses (>31 PPG) in the last 3 seasons.


205AIR FORCE -206 ARMY
ARMY is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games against the Mountain West since 1992.


207NEBRASKA -208 RUTGERS
RUTGERS are 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in home games after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better since 1992.


209PURDUE -210 INDIANA
INDIANA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) against conference opponents in the current season.


211MINNESOTA -212 WISCONSIN
WISCONSIN is 17-4 ATS (12.6 Units) after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game since 1992.


215MICHIGAN -216 IOWA
MICHIGAN is 1-14 ATS (-14.4 Units) after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games since 1992.


217MICHIGAN ST -218 MARYLAND
MICHIGAN ST is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) after the first month of the season in the last 3 seasons.

 

[CNOTES]

Tech Trends - Week 16
Bruce Marshall


Week 16 of the College Football season kicks off on Friday, Dec. 18 and concludes on Saturday, Dec. 19.


We've identified betting trends and angles for key matchups between FBS matchups and focus on the 10 Championships on tap.


We also have "Tech Edge" leans on the side or total for each game too.


Friday, Dec. 18


UAB at Marshall (CBSSN, 7:00 p.m. ET)
Conference USA Title Game
John C Edwards Stadium, Huntington, West Virginia
After recent overachieving vs. the line, UAB tailed off in 2020, just 2-6 vs. spread
Blazers also no covers in their last five


Tech Edge: Slight to Marshall, based on recent trends.


Ball State at Buffalo (ESPN, 7:30 p.m. ET)
MAC Championship
Ford Field, Detroit, Michigan
Buffalo covered 4 of 5 while recording an unbeaten 5-0 SU mark this season
Upping head coach Lance Leipold’s spread mark to 30-13-3 the last three+ seasons


Tech Edge: Buffalo, based on team trends.


Oregon at USC (FOX, 8:00 p.m. ET)
Pac-12 Championship
L.A. Memorial Coliseum, Los Angeles, California
Ducks no covers last three in 2020
USC 3-0 last three games vs. the spread
Trojans “under” 4-1 this season


Tech Edge: Slight to USC and “under,” based on recent team and “totals” trends


Nebraska at Rutgers (Big Ten, 4:00 p.m. ET)
Scarlet Knights an improved 5-3 vs. line this season in head coach Greg Schiano debut.
Huskers 6-13-1 vs. line for Frost since last season


Tech Edge: Rutgers, based on team trends.




Saturday, Dec. 19


Florida State at Wake Forest (ACC, 12:00 p.m. ET)
FSU 2-6 vs. line this season
Seminoles are 15-28-2 vs. points since 2017
Wake 3-1-1 vs. line last five meetings
WF also on 5-1 spread run this season

Tech Edge: Wake Forest, based on team trends.


Air Force at Army (CBSSN, 3:00 p.m. ET)
Underdog team 4-0-1 vs. line last five meetings
Air Force has won and covered last three and 9 of last 10 meetings at Michie Stadium (NY)


Tech Edge: Air Force, especially if dog, based on team and series trends


Minnesota at Wisconsin (Big Ten, 4:00 p.m. ET)
Road team 5-0-1 vs. line last six in battle for Paul Bunyan’s Axe


Tech Edge: Minnesota, based on series trends.


Illinois at Penn State (FS1, 5:30 p.m. ET)
Nittany Lions on a late-season surge, having won and covered last three after dropping first five.


Tech Edge: Penn State, based on recent trends.


Washington State at Utah (FS1, 1:30 p.m. ET)
Cougars have faltered since opening win at Oregon State
Washington State just 1-2 vs. line this season
Cougars are now on 5-13 spread skid since late 2018, dating to the Mike Leach era


Tech Edge: Utah, based on team trends.


Stanford at UCLA (ESPN2, 8:00 p.m. ET)
Bruins broke 10-game SU series losing streak (1-9 vs. line) in last year’s 34-16 win at Palo Alto
Stanford 4-12-1 vs. spread since 2019


Tech Edge: UCLA, based on recent trends.


Arizona State at Oregon State (ESPN, 10:30 p.m. ET)
Beavers continue to provide good spread value, now on 13-3-1 spread run last 17 on board


Tech Edge: OSU, based on team trends.


Northwestern at Ohio State (FOX, 12:00 p.m. ET)
Big Ten Championship
Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana
Northwestern 5-1 both SU and ATS this season
Wildcats are 13-3 as underdogs away from home since 2016
Buckeyes only 4-6 last 10 vs. spread since late 2019
'Cats also on 13-5 “under” run


Tech Edge: Northwestern and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.


Oklahoma at Iowa State (ABC, 12:00 p.m. ET)
Big 12 Championship
AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas
Matt Campbell 2-3 SU but 5-0 vs. line against OU since arriving at Ames in 2016.
Cyclones 19-9-1 as underdogs for Campbell (counts OSU this year as push).


Tech Edge: Iowa State, based on series and team trends.


UL Lafayette at Coastal Carolina (ESPN, 3:30 p.m. ET)
Sun Belt Championship
Brooks Stadium, Conway, South Carolina
ULL 9-2-1 last 12 as an underdog since early 2018
Though Coastal is 11-0 SU and 8-2-1 vs. ATS in 2020
Note road team has covered last two meetings including 48-7 ULL win at Conway last year.


Tech Edge: Slight to ULL, based on team and series trends.


Clemson at Notre Dame (ABC, 4:00 p.m. ET)
ACC Championship
Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina
Rematch of ND’s 40-34 upset in OT back on Nov. 7
Irish head coach Brian Kelly 4-1 last five as a 'dog.
Clemson 11-3-1 ATS last 15 vs. ACC foes away from Death Valley
However, Clemson head coach Dabo Swinney only 4-6 vs. line in 2020


Tech Edge: Slight to Clemson, based on extended trends.


Tulsa at Cincinnati (ABC, 8:00 p.m. ET)
American Championship
Nippert Stadium, Cincinnati, Ohio
Magical Tulsa has won last six SU and is 6-1 vs. spread in 2020
Golden Hurricane on 10-3 spread uptick since mid 2019, also “under” 7-3 last 10
Tulsa 6-1 last seven as a 'dog and covered last year vs. Cincy
Bearcats however on 8-3 spread advance since late 2019


Tech Edge: Tulsa and slight to “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.


Alabama at Florida (CBS, 8:00 p.m. ET)
SEC Championship
Mercedez-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia
Note Gators head coach Dan Mullen covered 4 of last 7 meetings while at MSU in games vs. Alabama
However, Mullen didn’t win outright in any of those, or in 9 tries vs. Nick Saban while coaching in Starkville
Crimson Tide has won and covered last seven in 2020


Tech Edge: Slight to Alabama, based on recent trends.


Boise State at San Jose State (FOX, 4:15 p.m. ET)
Mountain West Championship
Sam Boyd Stadium, Las Vegas, Nevada
SJSU is both 5-0 SU and ATS in 2020 (counting UNLV as a cover)
Spartans head coach Brent Brennan now on 14-4-1 spread uptick since late 2018
San Jose State has also covered seven straight as a dog and “under” 5-0 this season, “under” last six since late 2019
Boise State however “over” 5-0 in 2020


Tech Edge: San Jose State, based on team trends.


Texas A&M at Tennessee (ESPN, 12:00 p.m. ET)
Vols 1-6 SU, 2-5 vs. line last seven TY, not closer than 12 points in any of the SU losses
Texas A&M head coach Jimbo Fisher has covered 6 of last 8 on road
Note that Vols are 11-3 “under” since late 2019


Tech Edge: A&M and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.


Mississippi at LSU (SEC, 3:30 p.m. ET)
If getting points, note Rebels are 7-2-1 as 'dogs since last season (2-1 for Kiffin TY)
Ole Miss has also covered 6 of last 7 away Kiffin teams (FAU included)
Rebels are 7-3 “over” last 10 since late 2019


Tech Edge: Ole Miss and slight to “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.


Missouri at Mississippi State (SEC, 3:30 p.m. ET)
Leach has covered two of last three two two seasons after dropping previous five
Also, Leach had been on 5-16 spread skid prior since late 2018 at Washington State
Bulldogs “under” 7-2 in 2020, on 10-3 “under” run since mid 2019


Tech Edge: “Under”, based on “totals”