Yes, the point being this was not a great decision to say the least.
According to Football Outsiders, the Patriots were the worst team in the league in power-running situations and fifth-worst in terms of stuffing the opposition for no gain or a loss. Seattle was the second-best power running team and the sixth-best team at avoiding stuffs. If there was ever a matchup that called for a team to live and die on the back of its running game from the 1-yard line, this was it.
According to Football Outsiders, the Patriots were the worst team in the league in power-running situations and fifth-worst in terms of stuffing the opposition for no gain or a loss. Seattle was the second-best power running team and the sixth-best team at avoiding stuffs. If there was ever a matchup that called for a team to live and die on the back of its running game from the 1-yard line, this was it.
Lynch was 20%, 1 out of 5 on the season
what was their passing success? IDK
everybody should know Lynch's success rate was only 20%, but the media doesn't tell you that because it fucks up their agenda. They do tell you the Pat's gave up a high %, but they don't tell you Lynch was equally as bad. Can anybody even imagine why?
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Rushes from the 1-yard line: 2014
| RUSHES | TDS | TD % | FUMBLES | FUMBLE % | NEGATIVE PLAYS | NEGATIVE PLAY % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 212 | 122 | 57.5 | 2 | 0.9 | 22 | 10.4 |
| SEAHAWKS | 6 | 2 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 33.3 |
| LYNCH | 5 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 40 |
| WILSON | 1 | 1 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| PATS DEFENSE | 5 | 4 | 80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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DATA: Alex Speier, pro-football-reference.com
GLOBE STAFF
As for the likelihood of a turnover, it’s fair to say that such a thing wasn’t in the forefront of Carroll’s thinking when the call for a pass was sent to Wilson; of the 106 passing plays from the 1 in the NFL in 2014, none resulted in an interception or fumble.
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looks like PASSING was a much better option, STATISTICALLY speaking based on actual STATS
with 30 seconds and the clock winding down, the Seahawks had to pass or risk having to use their last TO. Then they're probably forced to pass
looks like BB not calling timeout may have forced Pete's hand in a way nobody talks about
looks like BB's game preparation enabled Butler to make a great read and great play, just holding onto the ball was incredible
again, one of the best coaches in the game knew what he wanted to do, while another one of the best coaches in the game has his team ready and wasn't afraid to trust his D to win the game
we're all a bunch of hot air, Pete knew what he was doing and why
he was actually below the league average, and the numbers speak for themselves, I can't change them
and let me add this, if someone is going to argue that the Patriots rush defense sucks in that spot because they allowed 4 TD's in 5 attempts, then I'm going to suggest it's fair to argue Lynch would not have scored because he only scored 1 TD in 5 attempts. Everybody knows about the Pats, yet nobody knows about Lynch
a lot of planning goes into that exact situation, I believe Pete did exactly what he game planned for. Others can think he's an idiot, I'm going to go way out on a limb and say he knew the play he wanted and they called it
didn't have to be a TD, but it was the first time all year a turnover happened on a pass from the 1 yard line
I don't know who said the Pats run D sucked because of 5 attempts they did not defend well, but that would be wrong too.
You're mistaking small-sample variance for meaningful #s to assess the situation. Clearly Marshawn Lynch is not 20% to score a touchdown on a 1 yard goal line run. Nobody would think this remotely matters, not even Pete Carroll. It's 5 carries, it means nothing. We have more info that tells us he's a very good short yardage runner.
If you want to say passing was the right play because the clock and you had to on 1 of the downs or whatever then that makes some sense but the 1/5 just doesn't mean anything.
If someone goes 4/5 on bets, unfortunately they ain't no 80% capper either. Would be nice though.
You're mistaking small-sample variance for meaningful #s to assess the situation. Clearly Marshawn Lynch is not 20% to score a touchdown on a 1 yard goal line run. Nobody would think this remotely matters, not even Pete Carroll. It's 5 carries, it means nothing. We have more info that tells us he's a very good short yardage runner.
If you want to say passing was the right play because the clock and you had to on 1 of the downs or whatever then that makes some sense but the 1/5 just doesn't mean anything.
If someone goes 4/5 on bets, unfortunately they ain't no 80% capper either. Would be nice though.
- Power Success: Percentage of runs on third or fourth down, two yards or less to go, that achieved a first down or touchdown. Also includes runs on first-and-goal or second-and-goal from the two-yard line or closer. This is the only statistic on this page that includes quarterbacks. Teams are ranked from lowest power success percentage allowed (#1) to highest power success percentage allowed (#32).
NE was last in the league in this. Seattle was 2nd offensively.
Now don't you see why Enfuego is having the bad dreams?
