THANKSGIVING Day Service Plays 11/27/08

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Las Vegas Sport Picks

NBA:

2* Hornets/Nuggets under 197

NCAA:

1* Cal St.-Fullerton +11
1* Georgetown -17
1* UTEP +11
2* Gonzaga -8
2* Tennessee -7
3* Baylor -3

NFL/NCAAF:

1* Texas A&M +35
2* A&M/TX over 67

2* Eagles -3
2* Cowboys -12
2* Titans -11
3* Cardinals/Eagles over 47

NHL:

1* Leafs/Senators over 5.5 -130
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JEFFERSONSPORTS OVERNIGHT RELEASES

20-7 in college hoops (74%)

All sports run 31-13 last 44 plays (70%)

NFL 39-16 last 55 plays (71%)

OVERNIGHT PLAYS
NFL
ARIZONA+3.5 -120
NCAA HOOPS
SIENNA+8

Happy Thanksgiving!
 

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Nov 3, 2008
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LuckyDaySports



Thursday's Comp Play



Seattle @ Dallas

Take Seattle +12.5 (NFL)
 
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ATS Lock Club FB

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->4 units Arizona +3
3 units Dallas -11.5
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DOC

3 Unit Play. #6 Take Texas Longhorns over Texas A & M Aggies (Thursday 8:00 pm ESPN) Texas 55, Texas A & M 7.
 
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JOHN RYAN

Ai Simulator 7* graded play on Texas – This is an amazing play in that at the current line of 35 points it ties the all-time highest favorite ever played by the Simulator. That play won 70-7 and this game shapes to be near the same result. Yes, this is a intra-state rivalry and there is the inaccurate term “Value” in taking Texas A&M. Personally, I hate that word value…. Sounds so contradictory at times. If there is value then maybe there is a strong reason the other team is undervalued. AiS shows an 84% probability that Texas will win this game by 35 or more points. Texas has a 90% probability of outgaining A&M by a MINIMUM of 200 yards and will gain a minimum of 9 passing yards per attempt. Note that Texas is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they are outgain their opponents by 200 or more yards over the last 3 seasons; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they outgain their opponents by 2 or more yards/play over the last 3 seasons; 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when they gain 9 or more net passing yards/attempt over the last 2 seasons. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 26-7 ATS for 79% since 1997. Play on home favorites in November of 31.5 or more points after playing their last game on the road. The media is hyping the fact that A&M has had a bye week to prepare and study film et. al. But, A&M is just 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in road games after a bye week since 1992. Plus, Brown is a strong 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games in November games. I won’t belabor the point. Take Texas.
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Mike Neri Sports - Late Service

NFL FOOTBALL

THREE STAR: 307 Seattle +12.5 4:15 EST (THURSDAY)

OPINION: 306 Detroit +11 12:30 EST (THURSDAY)

OPINION: 310 Philadelphia -3 8:15 EST (THURSDAY)

COLLEGE FOOTBALL

OPINION: 312 Texas -35 8:00 EST (THURSDAY)
 
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Johnny Guild

NFL Turkey Day Games Selections
Thursday, November 27th, 2008

Seattle Seahawks (2-9) at Dallas Cowboys (7-4)
Texas Stadium - Irving, Texas
Series Record: San Francisco (19-15)
Home Record: Seattle 1-5; Dallas 4-1
Road Record: Seattle 1-4; Dallas 3-3
Last Meeting: 01/06/07 (Seattle, 21-20 at Seattle)


Dallas is all set to make a playoff drive and the struggling Seahawks will not get in their way. Seattle’s ineffective defense will not slow down Tony Romo and his boys at Texas Stadium. I don’t expect a blowout, but the Cowboys talented offense is starting to connect again and won’t have any problems scoring. Romo and the Cowboys will be eating Turkey at half time.

Tennessee Titans-11
Dallas Cowboys -12.5

Thursday, November 27th, 2008

Texas A&M Aggies (4-7) at (4) Texas Longhorns (10-1)
Texas Memorial Stadium - Austin, Texas
Home Record: Texas A&M 2-5; Texas 6-0
Road Record: Texas A&M 2-2; Texas 3-1
Series: Texas (73-36-5)
Last Meeting: 11/23/07 (Texas A&M, 38-30 at Texas A&M)

Sure, the struggling Aggies are having a bad year, but Texas A&M has won the last two meetings in the rivalry and would love to destroy Texas postseason drive again, especially in front of a National audience on Thanksgiving. On the other hand, I see the superior Longhorns scoring easily and often both in the air and on the ground against the Aggies vulnerable defense. In addition, Texas will need an impressive victory to keep hold of their lead in the standings and confirm they deserve a BCS national championship game.

Texas Longhorns -35
 

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