Thanksgiving day game 1?

[pigskinpete]

You are right greenbacks, it looks like the percentages are moving towards the public backing the HD tomorrow…most of the feedback here seems to be going towards the Lions + or no play…looks like the Lions are w/o 2 offensive lineman + their most physical corner Okudah.

still uncertain, but do appreciate all the feedback.

good luck tomorrow!

 

[Greenbacks]

I'm going to be watching that total. If it goes over 55 I might hit it.
I'm surprised that the Bills have played only 3 overs on the season 7 unders.
Lions are opposite 7 overs 3 unders.

 

[statman03]

well right now they have only played 12 games following a 28+ point win since 1997......They stand at 5/7 SU home 4/8 ATS AMOV +0.8 and failed to cover 3 st sorrty thats overall home they are 2/2 and 2/2 +_2.8

 

[cashflowmatters]

I'm going to be watching that total. If it goes over 55 I might hit it.
I'm surprised that the Bills have played only 3 overs on the season 7 unders.
Lions are opposite 7 overs 3 unders.

Thats because Lions "D" is not good and Bills "D" is

 

[XXII]

Dallas truly has to be play of the day. They will Destroy NY Giants depleted O-Line. They own the Most sacks in the NFL and Dallas Defense should score today.
I’m die hard Bills to the core, yet they are beyond unpredictable. They are favored by 9.5 -10 for a reason. I would tease them down or ride high in par like I always do.
Obviously Detroit’s only path to winning is get the run game going quick.
Buffalo WILL score at will against Detriot’s porous defense.
Good luck!
Happy Thanksgiving! ?

 

[ca$hmoney]

Thats because Lions "D" is not good and Bills "D" is

Bills D is good not great. Their offense has disappeared at times contributing to those unders. However they have the firepower to score at will and the D to shut down nearly any offense. Unpredictable is the best way to describe this team

 

[pizza]

With the Bill 0-2 in a very tight division (losing to NE and NYJ), it might be difficult to get any tiebreakers…I’m thinking that they know they may need to finish with the best record…I still am undecided, but I appreciate the input!

but that doesnt mean they cover the spot

 

[cashflowmatters]

Bills D is good not great. Their offense has disappeared at times contributing to those unders. However they have the firepower to score at will and the D to shut down nearly any offense. Unpredictable is the best way to describe this team

You might be correct but Detroit "D" is one of the worst in NFL and Goff is their QB

 

[pigskinpete]

but that doesnt mean they cover the spot

it doesn’t, but it was another reason why I think +9.5 is fishy.

 

[phorever]

I went Detroit over 21.5

 

[Michelangelo]

Good luck, pp.

 

[statman03]

Detroit has played an amazing schedule.....8 of the 10 teams they played have winning records and 5 of them have winning ATS records.....that is tied for the toughest schedule played......Buff has a good one too last week they had bumped out the Lions for first but they played Clev while Det was playing the Giants and that moved the Lions back ahead ,,,,,Buff has played 6 winning teams and 2 teams with winning spread records

 

[aderol]

I wasn’t thinking of Dallas specifically…I was thinking all teams that win by 28+ as road chalk the week before…but those are interesting numbers…thanks!

Sdql says its pretty much 50-50 in this scenario. Interestingly, dogs in the scenario only cover about 30% of the time, but not a huge advantage for favorites. And I checked all favorites and favorites of 10+ specifically. Not a huge advantage

 

[peanuts]

Definitely not looking good for the Bills. Looks like the Lions are going to break their thanksgiving curse.

 

[pigskinpete]

Sdql says its pretty much 50-50 in this scenario. Interestingly, dogs in the scenario only cover about 30% of the time, but not a huge advantage for favorites. And I checked all favorites and favorites of 10+ specifically. Not a huge advantage

thanks for checking that aderol…I thought there was a system that eddierebel used to post…doesn’t seem to be.

 

[pigskinpete]

Most of you were right about the Lions + the points…I played and posted the under in the week 12 thread…plenty of luck needed on that winner.

I am such a rock head, and tend to overthink everything!…really did appreciate all of the insight…good luck the rest of the day and this great football weekend!