Tennis World

[TheBrainiac]

23 January

Wager Type : ATP Doubles

Australian Open Men's Doubles

Start time : 7:00PM (EST)

S.Bolelli/A.Seppi vs P.Petzschner/A.Peya

My pick is P.Petzschner/A.Peya to win

Odds : - 195

Where : 5dimes

3.9 units to win 2 units




23 January

Wager Type : ATP Doubles

Australian Open Men's Doubles

Start time : 8:30PM (EST)

R.Bopanna/J.Nieminen vs N.Lapentti/T.Robredo

My pick is N.Lapentti/T.Robredo to win

Odds : + 110

Where : 5dimes

2.5 units to win 2.75 units


OK ... I've bet against them in the previous round but think backing them in this match is the right choice especially at those odds .
I thought Robredo was average in doubles but then I remembered how him and Roitman reached 1/2 last year at the US Open losing to Bryan brothers . Overall he seems to be in deadly form , still in singles draw without dropping a set .
In the previous round Bopanna and Nieminen have beat Granollers / Ventura in 3 sets but both spaniards are very bad doubles players .
If Robredo and Lapentti want to win this they will , Nieminen is a singles player as well as both of his opponents and Bopanna clearly should be the weaker player out of all 4 . I've watched this guy play Istomin few weeks ago and he is very VERY bad player . He has a solid serve but that is really about it , I bet Robredo will pass him at the net all day long in this match . Of course the key is their motivation with Robredo's upcoming match against Roddick but at + 110 I will take a bite .

 

[TheBrainiac]

23 January

Wager Type : ATP fav ML

ATP Australian Open R3

Start time : 10:00PM (EST)

Igor Andreev vs James Blake

My pick is James Blake to win

Odds : 1.41

Where : betfair

10 units to win 4.1 units


James Blake for sure not a guy you should fully trust your money with but Igor Andreev is up there as well so whoever plays better should advance when two chokers meet each other , I believe Blake plays better tennis at the moment .
Andreev got here after a struggle in the first round against a young canadian being 0-2 sets down turning the match around . In the last round he managed to blow a 2-0 sets lead himself only to clinch it in the 5th being a break down then breaking Gulbis several times for the win .
He spent a lot of time on the court already with both matches going to distance while Blake had two easy wins .
Blake's record against Andreev is impressive 5-0 and 11-1 sets .

 

[markmalone]

been following you at the aussie. you are doing great, thanks
for the winners.

 

[TheBrainiac]

Thanks , need to recover after a bad season start .

24 January

Wager Type : WTA Total Games

ATP Australian Open R3

Start time : 3:30AM (EST)

Elena Dementieva vs Samantha Stosur

My pick is OVER 19 GAMES

Odds : - 140

Where : 5dimes

3.5 units to win 2.5 units


Last bet for tonight .

The way I see it Stosur can hang in there atleast in one set , probably first , wanted to take +5.5 games handicap but this is almost the same line . However can be close if Stosur wins one set 7-6 but drops two sets like 2-6 3-6 or 5-7 2-6 which would cover the over total games line but not the games handicap .

 

[SonnyCrockett]

man, do you sleep?

will there be anything for today's biathlon races?

hope you wake on time

bol man!

 

[TheBrainiac]

I slept whole day , missed biathlon race so stayed up to watch tennis LOL , going to do some trading at betfair in the rest matches .

 

[SonnyCrockett]

how does that trading work?

basically you take better odds and then when the odds go down you trade it for sure profit, or?

any tutorial on the net?

 

[TheBrainiac]

Like that , to keep sure profit on both sides .

 

[TheBrainiac]

24 January

Wager Type : ATP Handicap

ATP Australian Open R16

Start time : 08:10 PM PST

Tomas Berdych vs Roger Federer

My pick is Tomas Berdych + 7.5 GAMES

Odds : -129

Where : pinnaclesports

6.45 units to win 5 units

 

[TheBrainiac]

Berdych lost by 5 games after winning the first two sets . Will try one in the last match tonight .

25 January

Wager Type : ATP Set Betting

ATP Australian Open R16

Start time : 02:10 AM PST

Novak Djokovic vs Marcos Baghdatis

Will N. Djokovic Win 3-0?

My pick is NO

Odds : - 180

Where : pinnaclesports

5.4 units to win 3 units



Baghdatis is game , he wont go down 0-3 sets to Djokovic in a night session in front of his supporters even tho there should be many serbian people in the crowd as well . Djokovic didn't impress me this year so far .

 

[TheBrainiac]

25 January

Wager Type : ATP Handicap

ATP Australian Open R16

Start time : 11:30PM (EST)

Fernando Verdasco vs Andy Murray

My pick is Fernando Verdasco + 7.5 GAMES

Odds : - 150

Where : 5dimes

3.75 units to win 2.5 units

 

[JAKEPEAVY21]

nice pick on Verdasco..glad to see that turd Murray gone..I knew he wouldn't win the tourney..how about that nasty ass cold sore on his lip? LOL

 

[TheBrainiac]

Last 3 days : 7-2 + 12.5 units
-----------------------------------
ATP Doubles : 15-4 + 18.85 units

WTA Doubles : 3-3 - 5.5 units

ATP fav ML : 8-5 - 15.92 units

WTA fav ML : 10-4 + 11.58 units

ATP Handicap 8-3 +6.95 units

WTA Handicap : 4-0 + 20 units

ATP Total Games : 0-3 -10.65 units

WTA Total Games : 1-0 + 2.5 units

ATP Set Betting : 2-0 + 6.7 units
----------------------------------------
YTD : 51-23 + 34.51 units




27 January

Wager Type : ATP fav ML

ATP Australian Open 1/4

Start time : 4:55AM (EST)

Juan Martin del Potro vs Roger Federer

My pick is Roger Federer to win

Odds : 1.25

Where : 5dimes

12 units to win 3 units


I just refuse to believe Del Potro's game can beat Federer in a best of 5 match at a Grand Slam . Odds aren't great but I am willing to risk some money to win a bit in such a match .

 

[tb1215]

anything on games or sets? Don't really want to lay down on a -430 line. I see games at -6 and I put a small bet on federer at 3-0.

 

[TheBrainiac]

Adding another one , won a coin betting on Roddick in-play .

27 January

Wager Type : WTA Handicap

WTA Australian Open 1/4

Start time : 3:30AM (EST)

Dinara Safina vs Jelena Dokic

My pick is Jelena Dokic + 5 GAMES

Odds : - 140 & 1.83

Where : 5dimes & sportingbet

3.5 units to win 2.5 units & 2 units to win 1.66 units


Pretty hot outside , I think Dokic will benefit from this weather more than a big built Safina who I remember had trouble with the heat in some matches in her career .
Dokic is a fighter and should be able to keep it as close as 3-6 4-6 .

 

[TheBrainiac]

I know many people are unsure about settlement rules on moneyline bets , here is what I have , hopefully its up to date

 

[chick'sfridge]

Braniac:


What's your take on a tennis prop involving a 40.5 total games in match between Roddick & Dojo? Bet Jam has yet to grade it. Based on their sports rule section, I am guessing "No Action". Thanks

 

[tb1215]

took the Dokic game. Thanks :toast:

 

[TheBrainiac]

chick's fridge , I believe it should be a void .

<table width="468" bgcolor="#666666" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody> <tr bgcolor="#cfcfcf"> <td width="45" height="18">Fin.</td> <td width="293" align="right">J. del Potro</td> <td width="20"> </td> <td width="22" align="middle">3</td> <td width="22" align="middle">0</td> <td width="22" align="middle">0</td> <td width="22" align="middle"> </td> <td width="22" align="middle"> </td></tr> <tr bgcolor="#bbbbbb"> <td colspan="8" height="1">
</td></tr> <tr bgcolor="#cfcfcf"> <td width="45" height="18"> </td> <td width="293" align="right">R. Federer</td> <td width="20"> </td> <td width="22" align="middle">6</td> <td width="22" align="middle">6</td> <td width="22" align="middle">6</td></tr></tbody></table>
<table width="468" bgcolor="#666666" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody> <tr bgcolor="#cfcfcf"> <td width="45" height="18">Fin.</td> <td width="293" align="right">D. Safina</td> <td width="20"> </td> <td width="22" align="middle">6</td> <td width="22" align="middle">4</td> <td width="22" align="middle">6</td> <td width="22" align="middle"> </td> <td width="22" align="middle"> </td></tr> <tr bgcolor="#bbbbbb"> <td colspan="8" height="1">
</td></tr> <tr bgcolor="#cfcfcf"> <td width="45" height="18"> </td> <td width="293" align="right">J. Dokic</td> <td width="20"> </td> <td width="22" align="middle">4</td> <td width="22" align="middle">6</td> <td width="22" align="middle">4</td></tr></tbody></table>

Yesterday : 2-0 + 7.16 units
-----------------------------------
ATP Doubles : 15-4 + 18.85 units

WTA Doubles : 3-3 - 5.5 units

ATP fav ML : 9-5 - 12.92 units

WTA fav ML : 10-4 + 11.58 units

ATP Handicap 8-3 +6.95 units

WTA Handicap : 5-0 + 24.16 units

ATP Total Games : 0-3 -10.65 units

WTA Total Games : 1-0 + 2.5 units

ATP Set Betting : 2-0 + 6.7 units
----------------------------------------
YTD : 53-23 + 41.67 units


27 January

Wager Type : Doubles

Australian Open Mix Doubles QF

Start time : 04:10 PM PST

A. Wozniak/D. Nestor vs S. Mirza/M. Bhupathi

My pick is S. Mirza/M. Bhupathi to win

Odds : -186

Where : pinnaclesports

4.65 units to win 2.5 units




27 January

Wager Type : Doubles

Australian Open Mix Doubles QF

Start time : 05:30 PM PST

A. Medina Garrigues/T. Robredo vs P. Schnyder/W. Moodie

My pick is P. Schnyder/W. Moodie to win

Odds : +128

Where : pinnaclesports

2.5 units to win 3.2 units



27 January

Wager Type : Doubles

Australian Open Mix Doubles QF

Start time : 07:00 PM PST

D. Cibulkova/J. Melzer vs N. Dechy/A. Ram

My pick is N. Dechy/A. Ram to win

Odds : - 132

Where : pinnaclesports

3.3 units to win 2.5 units

 

[TheBrainiac]

Last play for tonight


27 January

Wager Type : ATP Doubles

ATP Australian Open Doubles QF

Start time : 08:30 PM PST

S. Bolelli/A. Seppi vs L. Dlouhy/L. Paes

My pick is L. Dlouhy/L. Paes to win

Odds : -267

Where : pinnaclesports

5.34 units to win 2 units



Line looks like value to me , both Seppi and Bolelli should have trouble with real doubles team like Dlouhy and Paes who have been playing together for a while . With a win here Dlouhy and Paes could get a chance for revenge against Bryan brothers in the semifinals as they lost to them last year in the finals of US Open .