***** Super Bowl 50---Carolina vs Denver *****

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As of Thursday morning, an estimated 80 percent of money wagered on Super Bowl 50 was on the Panthers, who grew to a 5.5-point favorite on Wednesday. Westgate told ESPN several "five-figure" wagers came in on Carolina.
 

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The American Gaming Association said Wednesday that Americans will bet $4.2 billion on Super Bowl 50, and 80 percent of the "public money" will be wagered in the three days before the game. Las Vegas sportsbooks and casinos partner to throw extravagant bashes during the most-watched game on the sports calendar.

The line for the Feb. 7 game at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, Calif., opened Sunday night with the Panthers as four-point favorites.

One bettor wagered $623,142.25 at William Hill US on the Panthers to win straight up at -190 odds. The bet would pay $327,969.60 if Carolina prevails.
 

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I absolutely love Carolina to win SU......& will probably lay -210 or less on the ML......I hate the spread on this game.
 

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Since 1983, SUPER BOWLS with an Over / Under line of less than (<) 47 points have gone a PERFECT 10-0 O/U (average of 54.4 combined points per game)...
 

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Since 1983, SUPER BOWLS with an Over / Under line of less than (<) 47 points have gone a PERFECT 10-0 O/U (average of 54.4 combined points per game)...



Great stat man.......I like the Over 45........I'm guessing the line hasn't moved up because people think both defenses will show up, even tho some sites are showing over 70% of the bets are on the Over.
 
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Why the Carolina Panthers can win Super Bowl 50 by David Newton ESPN Staff Writer[ I did also add this article on my Superbowl thread The Computer Group and its worth reading
Here are five reasons why the Carolina Panthers can beat the Denver Broncos in Super Bowl 50 on Feb. 7 at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, California:
Cam Newton : His dual-threat ability has made him arguably the most dangerous quarterback in the NFL. The Broncos' defense has to be wary of him running on every play out of the read-option that he and offensive coordinator Mike Shula have taken to another level. The Broncos, as good as they are defensively, really didn't have to respect the run against New England. They haven't faced a quarterback like Newton all season. His accuracy and decision-making now rival that of most of the top pocket passers. The stage is not too big for him. As he said this past week, "I used to dream of being in this type of position."
Luke Kuechly and Thomas Davis : They're the best linebacker tandem in the NFL, Kuechly in the middle and Davis outside. (Davis injured his arm in the NFC title game; his status will be a key storyline over the next two weeks.) Besides being 1-2 on the team in tackles, they excel at coverage of tight ends and slot receivers. Each had four interceptions during the regular season to lead all linebackers, and Kuechly had two interception returns for touchdowns in the playoffs. They don't let short plays turn into big ones that beat you. Denver's offense is limited enough, and these two will make it tough for the Broncos to have the balance necessary to put up enough points to win.
Thieves Ave.: The Panthers' secondary sometimes gets overlooked because of the front seven, but it has done exactly what it set out to do in training camp, even with the loss of two players to season-ending injuries. The Panthers no longer are winning in spite of them. They're winning because of them. This group -- along with Kuechly and Davis -- led the NFL in interceptions during the regular season. It is led by cornerback Josh Norman , who consistently has shown the ability to shut down the opponent's top receiver. Safety Kurt Coleman -- with a team-best seven interceptions during the regular season and two against the Cardinals on Sunday night -- has given this group a toughness that was sorely missing last season. That Peyton Manning has thrown more interceptions than touchdowns this season will have Norman, as he said before the NFC title game, "licking my chops."
Five unsung heroes: The offensive line of center Ryan Kalil , left tackle Michael Oher , left guard Andrew Norwell , right guard Trai Turner and right tackle Mike Remmers doesn't get the credit it deserves. The Panthers ranked sixth in the NFL in pass-blocking efficiency during the regular season, according to Pro Football Focus. They allow Newton to be comfortable in the pocket, even against the blitz. They're a big reason the Panthers ranked second in the NFL in rushing during the regular season and have 31 consecutive games (including playoffs) with at least 100 yards rushing. That has created a balance that has been fundamental in many past Super Bowl championship teams.
Ron Rivera: He might be a first-time head coach in the Super Bowl, but he's no stranger to the title game. He was a linebacker for the 1985 Chicago Bears team that won the championship. He was the defensive coordinator in Chicago in 2006 when the Bears reached the title game. He has a unique ability to keep players focused on the moment. In part because of what he experienced with the "Super Bowl Shuffle" Bears in '85, he understands the importance of letting players be who they are. That in turn helps the Panthers play loose. That'll be particularly crucial during the media circus that is the Super Bowl. Rivera is not afraid to take a chance on fourth down, which is why he earned the nickname "Riverboat Ron" in 2013. This game won't be too big for him.
 

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Nice read Harry......I agree, Cam is special. My first big bet on Cam & the Panthers was in 2011 season his rookie year in week 2 vs Gbay......they were +10.5 as a home dog, & lost 23-30......Cam made a few critical mistakes that cost them the SU win, but they covered.

He's come a long way in 5 season in the NFL, & Ron Rivera was also there from Cam's rookie season, they've been through a lot together & have matured & become a solid Qb & coach tandem......& they both have a nice team surrounding both of them......this team didn't go 17-1 to lose to Denver in the SB

The spread is another story......I think its a tight game, Carolina should win 27-24......most if the trends ,etc. point to Denver, so they may cover, but I don't see Carolina losing SU.

I know the percentages show the public is on Carolina, & they may not cover, but I see entirely too many people on Denver in the forums I've checked out......& there's a ton of people on Denver future bets......if Carolina wins but doesn't cover, Vegas will win a lit of money, including those Denver futures.

I do think its a high scoring game......its the 50th anniversary, we won't see a defensive battle, it will be nothing but offense from both sides......& even tho Manning hasn't looked good, & he gas more it's than TDs this season, he will put everything he has into this game........Manning should throw for 3 TDs, & Cam will throw for 3........27-24 Carolina win........

I would like to see Carolina blowout Denver, but I see a tight game.
 
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Just some more information on Superbowl , You just can't get enough information betting in this match-up The Computer Group .... Ron Wolf and Charley Armey, a pair of former Super Bowl-winning general managers, both like Newton's Carolina Panthers over Manning's Denver Broncos. "You've got to give the edge to Carolina, maybe 28-17," "The difference will be the front seven for Carolina and Cam Newton's ability to create and make plays."
The Computer Group here some great information from "Andy" Benoit and check out web site listed below [ Copy and Paste to your browser]. Passing the ball plays a pivotal role in determining winners in the NFL, and the Super Bowl is no different, as the yards per attempt directly relate to the number of big plays a QB will make (or not), which in turn affects the final score. Teams that have more yards per pass attempt are 41-8 SU and 36-11-3 ATS in the Super Bowl. Newton has been at his best in this department. Against the Cardinals for instance, he meticulously threw for a franchise-best 335 yards and two scores (on 19 of 26 passes), and also rushed for 47 yards and two more scores—making him the first player in the Super Bowl era to pass for 300 yards and rush for multiple touchdowns in a postseason game. The expectation, therefore, is that he will continue to shine. Stats taken from Vegas sports inquirer and read a break down of team & players comparisons just outstanding !!!!!!!! from Andrew "Andy" Benoit specializes in the National Football League and is a founder of NFLTouchdown.com. He writes for Sports Illustrated's NFL webpage, The MMQB with Peter King. He has had featured articles in Sports Illustrated Magazine.>>>>>>>> http://mmqb.si.com/writer/andy-benoit ~Good luck on Super Sunday my friend~

Hårr¥THëHÄT& Crew
 

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I like Panthers. Got them at book -4. Will play alternates 7.5 up through 14.5 during the next week. They made me money throughout the season. They have been the best team in league by far since midway point. People knock their SoS...but they won 16 of 17 and put up points on everyone. Trouble closing several times but I don't see Denver getting enough big plays to come back if they get down early.

Newton's confidence is through the roof. He along with the rest of the team is playing at another level. Ware and Miller are scary but Panthers can run which will force the 2 to play both pass and run. Denver's safeties being banged up will have Olsen primed for big day. Phillips should let Talib cover him a lot to compensate the safeties. On other side Davis will do his best to play and contribute. Coming back from everything he has been through up to this point shows what great mind and body strength he has.

Denver has played a handful of strong teams this season. They beat NE twice in close games. Pats were cruising in 1st game before shitting bed in 4th. They lost to Pitt. They got outplayed both times vs KC, with the D winning the first game for them. Denver did slap GB around and sent Pack's season in wrong direction. A nice 4-2 result regardless of me watching and believing they were outplayed in 4 of the 6 games. Manning's likely last game is just that. He hasn't shown that he can make those 20 yard throws downfield.

Looking at the props a little now. I'm sure I will be playing a bunch. Not hitting some early before numbers went away from me will suck for sure. Will discuss them closer to game.

Good luck to all of you.
 

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don't forget TCG you got many sharps on the rx an other forums on Denver-plus against patriots last week there were many also on Denver. so we cant go by that don think.

, Peyton Manning is listed at +1,200 to score a rushing touchdown in the Super Bowl. Manning has just 10 rushing scores in his storied career but has scored four of those TDs in his short time with the Broncos.
 

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don't forget TCG you got many sharps on the rx an other forums on Denver-plus against patriots last week there were many also on Denver. so we cant go by that don think.

, Peyton Manning is listed at +1,200 to score a rushing touchdown in the Super Bowl. Manning has just 10 rushing scores in his storied career but has scored four of those TDs in his short time with the Broncos.





Manning scoring a rushing TD may be a decent prop bet.........
 

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the more an more I think about this game the more I say how can Denver win or cover this game. manning is a great signal caller but this is the super bowl, an the moe I look Carolina is tops in many categories. #1 record #1 in turnovers, got a super qb who can run an throw. great recievers,etc . Denver has to shut the run down to have any chance of winning like they did pats an brady-but that's asking a bunch with a two pronged cam qb. I mean brady has no mobility and cam has it ALL. my heart and head is with manning the best all around QB ever ab best signal caller in the game but its his 19Th season and its showing some. I'm still not commited though to either side.
 

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the more an more I think about this game the more I say how can Denver win or cover this game. manning is a great signal caller but this is the super bowl, an the moe I look Carolina is tops in many categories. #1 record #1 in turnovers, got a super qb who can run an throw. great recievers,etc . Denver has to shut the run down to have any chance of winning like they did pats an brady-but that's asking a bunch with a two pronged cam qb. I mean brady has no mobility and cam has it ALL. my heart and head is with manning the best all around QB ever ab best signal caller in the game but its his 19Th season and its showing some. I'm still not commited though to either side.




Yeah, Carolina just looks strong on mostly every position........will the refs play a hand in this SB? After seeing them manipulate the Steelers vs Seattle SB, anything is possible!
 

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Prop bets I'm looking at as of now:



Overtime (YES)

Teaser Carolina Pk & Denver +12 (there's a prop where u can bet this at YES or NO)
 

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the more an more I think about this game the more I say how can Denver win or cover this game. manning is a great signal caller but this is the super bowl, an the moe I look Carolina is tops in many categories. #1 record #1 in turnovers, got a super qb who can run an throw. great receivers,etc . Denver has to shut the run down to have any chance of winning like they did pats an brady-but that's asking a bunch with a two pronged cam qb. I mean brady has no mobility and cam has it ALL. my heart and head is with manning the best all around QB ever ab best signal caller in the game but its his 19Th season and its showing some. I'm still not commited though to either side.


I'd consider the Panthers WR's Avg or perhaps just a smidgen above Avg.
Certainly , not great.
 

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Adding super bowl props:



Will either team score 3 unanswered times? (NO:+155)........$200 to win 310



Will there be overtime? (YES +700)........$200 to win $1,400



Will Carolina score in both halves? (YES -1000)........$500 to win $50

Will Denver score in both halves? (YES -424)..........$424 to win $100



Carolina margin of victory, 1-6 pts (+320).......$200 to win $640


Will either team convert a 4th down? (YES -180).......$360 to win $200
 

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Anyone see a prop bet that would give me lower odds than (-265) on Carolina ML?

A prop that would give me Carolina ML but less odds
 

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both these teams biggest weakness seem to be defensive penalties and defensive penalty yardage......Carolina #28 in defensive penalties with 6.1 per game and #26 in yards @ 49.6 per game.........Denver is #25 in defensive penalties with 6.4 per game and 49.6 yards per game........other than that Carolina is weak in both pass completions #29 and pass attempts #28 offense and pass completions #27 and pass attempts # 32 defense.........it looks like Carolina is going to be running a lot and if Denver can stop the run which they are very good at they should be in this game.......one more thing is margin of victory........if you use both teams ROAD margins of victory Carolina is only 3.75 points better.......I like Denver +6
 

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