Midwest Handicapping
Seattle +2 ***
Carolina +3.5
Green Bay -3
Baltimore +4.5
New Orleans -6
NYG +10
Minnesota -6
Teasers
SEA +8/MINN PK
PITT +12/NYG +16
CHI +2/HOU +8
SEA +8/HOU +8
DAL -1/NO PK
CAR +9/SEA +8
Over/Under
MINN/DET UNDER 43.5
CHI/SF UNDER 44.5
NO/PITT OVER 53
GB/NYJ OVER 47
160-85-7 on the year
12-7 last week
Winning Week #3 In A Row!!!
Seattle +2 ***
Carolina +3.5
Green Bay -3
Baltimore +4.5
New Orleans -6
NYG +10
Minnesota -6
Teasers
SEA +8/MINN PK
PITT +12/NYG +16
CHI +2/HOU +8
SEA +8/HOU +8
DAL -1/NO PK
CAR +9/SEA +8
Over/Under
MINN/DET UNDER 43.5
CHI/SF UNDER 44.5
NO/PITT OVER 53
GB/NYJ OVER 47
160-85-7 on the year
12-7 last week
Winning Week #3 In A Row!!!
NFL Football(Bob Balfe)
1:00 PM EST
Rotation #119-120
Browns -10 over Bengals
The Cleveland Browns were eliminated from the playoffs last night so you would think that would kill their energy, but what this team has done this year is greater than making the playoffs.* This is an actual football city again.* The Browns are not going to lay and egg now with this young team.* Veteran teams do the tanking when they just miss the playoffs.* As long as Hue Jackson is on that opposing sideline this team is looking to win by 40 points.* The Bengals have no healthy receivers and a backup QB.* The run game is a bright spot for the Bengals, but this is a Cleveland team that is fast in the trenches and should put pressure on the QB and make tackles at the line of scrimmage.* Cleveland playing in their last home game of the year are going to give their fans a show.* This is the first time the Browns have been double digit favorites since 1999.* The Bengals are the worst defense in the league.* This is a statement game for the Browns.**Take Cleveland.*
1:00 PM EST
Rotation #119-120
Browns -10 over Bengals
The Cleveland Browns were eliminated from the playoffs last night so you would think that would kill their energy, but what this team has done this year is greater than making the playoffs.* This is an actual football city again.* The Browns are not going to lay and egg now with this young team.* Veteran teams do the tanking when they just miss the playoffs.* As long as Hue Jackson is on that opposing sideline this team is looking to win by 40 points.* The Bengals have no healthy receivers and a backup QB.* The run game is a bright spot for the Bengals, but this is a Cleveland team that is fast in the trenches and should put pressure on the QB and make tackles at the line of scrimmage.* Cleveland playing in their last home game of the year are going to give their fans a show.* This is the first time the Browns have been double digit favorites since 1999.* The Bengals are the worst defense in the league.* This is a statement game for the Browns.**Take Cleveland.*
Marco D/ Sports Unlimited
PLAY: (109) JACKSONVILLE +3.5
RATING: 3% PLAY
Miami is 7-7 but they are the most counterfeit 7-7 team that I have seen in a long time. Their defense sucks as they are the 31st ranked defense allowing 6.4 YPP facing the #4 defense allowing 5.4 YPP. With last weeks loss to Minnesota and yesterday’s win by Baltimore Miami’s season is over. Don’t want to sound like a broken record but give me the better defensive team getting points and I’m there everyday. Jacksonville wins 17-14.
TAKE JACKSONVILLE as MARCO’S 3% NFL PLAY
PLAY: (109) JACKSONVILLE +3.5
RATING: 3% PLAY
Miami is 7-7 but they are the most counterfeit 7-7 team that I have seen in a long time. Their defense sucks as they are the 31st ranked defense allowing 6.4 YPP facing the #4 defense allowing 5.4 YPP. With last weeks loss to Minnesota and yesterday’s win by Baltimore Miami’s season is over. Don’t want to sound like a broken record but give me the better defensive team getting points and I’m there everyday. Jacksonville wins 17-14.
TAKE JACKSONVILLE as MARCO’S 3% NFL PLAY
Miller locks
1:00 pm est nfl
jacksonville jaguars vs. Miami dolphins
pick: Miami dolphins -3 (-128)
risk: 11 units
1:00 pm est nfl
houston texans vs. Philadelphia eagles
pick: Houston texans +2 (-105)
risk: 11 units
1:00 pm est nfl
new york giants vs. Indianapolis colts
pick: Indianapolis colts -10 (+101)
risk: 11 units
4:05 pm est nfl
chicago bears vs. San francisco 49ers
pick: San francisco 49ers +4 (-110)
risk: 11 units
1:00 pm est nfl
jacksonville jaguars vs. Miami dolphins
pick: Miami dolphins -3 (-128)
risk: 11 units
1:00 pm est nfl
houston texans vs. Philadelphia eagles
pick: Houston texans +2 (-105)
risk: 11 units
1:00 pm est nfl
new york giants vs. Indianapolis colts
pick: Indianapolis colts -10 (+101)
risk: 11 units
4:05 pm est nfl
chicago bears vs. San francisco 49ers
pick: San francisco 49ers +4 (-110)
risk: 11 units
Nelly's Sports
Sunday
1* #102 Dallas Cowboys -7 over Tampa Bay Buccaneers 12:00 PM CTThe five-game winning streak for Dallas featured five single-score wins as Dallas will now play as a heavy favorite despite coming off a shutout loss. Dallas had plenty of opportunities in Indianapolis last week as they had nearly 300 yards despite no points while coming up empty in a pair of red zone trips ultimately going just 4-12 on 3rd downs and 1-5 on 4th downs. Tampa Bay isn’t close to the same caliber defensively as the Cowboys even with the Buccaneers showing improved defensive scoring numbers down the stretch. The Buccaneers have fallen apart late in the second halves of losses the past two weeks to lose by 14 and 8 vs. similar caliber teams and this will now be a second straight road game for the Buccaneers with a losing season clinched. Tampa Bay won in Week 1 on the road but has lost the past six road games and with a significant changes likely looming this offseason this is likely a team to fade in the final two weeks. The once league-leading offense has averaged just 19 points per game the past six weeks and in his audition to play here or elsewhere next year Jameis Winston has completed just 49 percent of his passes for 5.8 yards per attempt with two touchdowns and two interceptions the last two weeks. Dallas has just one home loss this season and the Cowboys could get guard Zack Martin back this week to boost the potential of the offensive line. Against a formidable defense Dallas rushed for 5.1 yards per carry last week but falling behind forced a shift in the game plan. Dallas put up 576 yards of offense in the previous game despite needing overtime to beat the Eagles as this team has better offensive potential than the recent scoring suggests and despite taking some criticism, Dak Prescott has played well in the past month against much better defenses than he’ll face this week. In that span Prescott has twice as many touchdown passes as interceptions while averaging 7.9 yards per attempt on 73 percent completions. Tampa Bay has surrendered 30 touchdown passes to opposing quarterbacks this season, second most in the NFL after Dallas has had to face top 10 teams in that regard the past two weeks. Dallas has some pressure back on with Philadelphia and Washington winning last week as they don’t have the division clinched just yet and should respond to last week’s humiliating defeat.
2* #114 Philadelphia Eagles -1.5 over Houston Texans 12:00 PM CTSince being destroyed 48-7 in New Orleans the Eagles are 3-1 and only an overtime loss stands in the way of Philadelphia being tied on top of the NFC East. Philadelphia still has a realistic playoff shot though they will need help on several fronts. There is no question that the team will play like they still have a shot as well after last week’s rejuvenated effort in Los Angeles. Seattle is an underdog this week while Minnesota has a division road game as they could inch closer in the wild card race this week provided they are able to beat Houston. The Texans haven’t officially clinched the AFC South but they have a two-game cushion with two games to go. They also draw Jacksonville at home next week if they need it knowing that either Tennessee or Indianapolis will lose next week even if they both win this week. Houston has sights on holding a top two seed in the AFC picture as well as New England losing last week opened the door for the Texans. The Texans have won five road games in a row but four of those wins were single-score results and only the comeback overtime win over the Colts in Week 4 came against a winning team. This game is a second straight road game for the Texans and the Eagles appear to have new life behind Nick Foles. Last week’s win over the Rams wasn’t a fluke with nearly even yardage and Philadelphia won without Foles even throwing a touchdown. The Eagles held the Rams to just 5.5 yards per play and a challenged Texans offense with very poor red zone results this season is likely to fare even worse in this matchup, particularly in Philadelphia with cooler wet conditions possible Sunday. Philadelphia has allowed fewer than 23 points per game this season as there isn’t a big gap between these defenses and the Eagles have had to face the far more difficult overall schedule with Houston’s slate ranked 30th in the league and the Texans without a single top 10 win all season.
2* #116 Detroit Lions +6 over Minnesota Vikings 12:00 PM CTIn the past six home games Detroit is 3-3 with notable wins over New England, Green Bay, and Carolina. The home losses came against Seattle, Chicago, and the Rams and Detroit easily could have won the past two of those games with tight contests late. In the home finale the Lions aren’t likely to just go through the motions, especially with a division rival in town. Minnesota won 24-9 in the Minneapolis meeting between these teams but the Vikings were held to just 283 yards and a late defensive touchdown boosted the final margin of victory. After making a change at offensive coordinator the VIkings responded with 41 points last week to beat the Dolphins with the season on the line but Miami is one of the worst statistical teams in the NFL and the Dolphins were coming off one of the most improbable wins in NFL history. Even with a 21-0 first quarter Minnesota found itself in a tight game in the second half before adding 17 points in the fourth quarter. Kirk Cousins had adequate numbers but he has not played well on the road including throwing four interceptions in his past three road games, all Minnesota losses. The Vikings have just two road wins all season and the only win by more than two points came against the Jets with a 4-0 turnover edge. Detroit has a capable run defense allowing just 115 yards per game as Minnesota isn’t likely to repeat last week’s breakout performance on the ground. Despite the contrasting perceptions of these teams, in 14 games this season Detroit has allowed just 25 more points than Minnesota and the Vikings have allowed 25 points per game on the road this season. If Minnesota allows that average they’d need to score more than 31 points to cover this number, something they have done only twice all season.
Sunday
1* #102 Dallas Cowboys -7 over Tampa Bay Buccaneers 12:00 PM CTThe five-game winning streak for Dallas featured five single-score wins as Dallas will now play as a heavy favorite despite coming off a shutout loss. Dallas had plenty of opportunities in Indianapolis last week as they had nearly 300 yards despite no points while coming up empty in a pair of red zone trips ultimately going just 4-12 on 3rd downs and 1-5 on 4th downs. Tampa Bay isn’t close to the same caliber defensively as the Cowboys even with the Buccaneers showing improved defensive scoring numbers down the stretch. The Buccaneers have fallen apart late in the second halves of losses the past two weeks to lose by 14 and 8 vs. similar caliber teams and this will now be a second straight road game for the Buccaneers with a losing season clinched. Tampa Bay won in Week 1 on the road but has lost the past six road games and with a significant changes likely looming this offseason this is likely a team to fade in the final two weeks. The once league-leading offense has averaged just 19 points per game the past six weeks and in his audition to play here or elsewhere next year Jameis Winston has completed just 49 percent of his passes for 5.8 yards per attempt with two touchdowns and two interceptions the last two weeks. Dallas has just one home loss this season and the Cowboys could get guard Zack Martin back this week to boost the potential of the offensive line. Against a formidable defense Dallas rushed for 5.1 yards per carry last week but falling behind forced a shift in the game plan. Dallas put up 576 yards of offense in the previous game despite needing overtime to beat the Eagles as this team has better offensive potential than the recent scoring suggests and despite taking some criticism, Dak Prescott has played well in the past month against much better defenses than he’ll face this week. In that span Prescott has twice as many touchdown passes as interceptions while averaging 7.9 yards per attempt on 73 percent completions. Tampa Bay has surrendered 30 touchdown passes to opposing quarterbacks this season, second most in the NFL after Dallas has had to face top 10 teams in that regard the past two weeks. Dallas has some pressure back on with Philadelphia and Washington winning last week as they don’t have the division clinched just yet and should respond to last week’s humiliating defeat.
2* #114 Philadelphia Eagles -1.5 over Houston Texans 12:00 PM CTSince being destroyed 48-7 in New Orleans the Eagles are 3-1 and only an overtime loss stands in the way of Philadelphia being tied on top of the NFC East. Philadelphia still has a realistic playoff shot though they will need help on several fronts. There is no question that the team will play like they still have a shot as well after last week’s rejuvenated effort in Los Angeles. Seattle is an underdog this week while Minnesota has a division road game as they could inch closer in the wild card race this week provided they are able to beat Houston. The Texans haven’t officially clinched the AFC South but they have a two-game cushion with two games to go. They also draw Jacksonville at home next week if they need it knowing that either Tennessee or Indianapolis will lose next week even if they both win this week. Houston has sights on holding a top two seed in the AFC picture as well as New England losing last week opened the door for the Texans. The Texans have won five road games in a row but four of those wins were single-score results and only the comeback overtime win over the Colts in Week 4 came against a winning team. This game is a second straight road game for the Texans and the Eagles appear to have new life behind Nick Foles. Last week’s win over the Rams wasn’t a fluke with nearly even yardage and Philadelphia won without Foles even throwing a touchdown. The Eagles held the Rams to just 5.5 yards per play and a challenged Texans offense with very poor red zone results this season is likely to fare even worse in this matchup, particularly in Philadelphia with cooler wet conditions possible Sunday. Philadelphia has allowed fewer than 23 points per game this season as there isn’t a big gap between these defenses and the Eagles have had to face the far more difficult overall schedule with Houston’s slate ranked 30th in the league and the Texans without a single top 10 win all season.
2* #116 Detroit Lions +6 over Minnesota Vikings 12:00 PM CTIn the past six home games Detroit is 3-3 with notable wins over New England, Green Bay, and Carolina. The home losses came against Seattle, Chicago, and the Rams and Detroit easily could have won the past two of those games with tight contests late. In the home finale the Lions aren’t likely to just go through the motions, especially with a division rival in town. Minnesota won 24-9 in the Minneapolis meeting between these teams but the Vikings were held to just 283 yards and a late defensive touchdown boosted the final margin of victory. After making a change at offensive coordinator the VIkings responded with 41 points last week to beat the Dolphins with the season on the line but Miami is one of the worst statistical teams in the NFL and the Dolphins were coming off one of the most improbable wins in NFL history. Even with a 21-0 first quarter Minnesota found itself in a tight game in the second half before adding 17 points in the fourth quarter. Kirk Cousins had adequate numbers but he has not played well on the road including throwing four interceptions in his past three road games, all Minnesota losses. The Vikings have just two road wins all season and the only win by more than two points came against the Jets with a 4-0 turnover edge. Detroit has a capable run defense allowing just 115 yards per game as Minnesota isn’t likely to repeat last week’s breakout performance on the ground. Despite the contrasting perceptions of these teams, in 14 games this season Detroit has allowed just 25 more points than Minnesota and the Vikings have allowed 25 points per game on the road this season. If Minnesota allows that average they’d need to score more than 31 points to cover this number, something they have done only twice all season.
