Wunderdog
Game: Portland at Atlanta (1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 187 -110
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Game: Portland at Atlanta (1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 187 -110
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The Blazers are tied with the Nuggets at the top of the Northwest. This team doesn't lose at the Rose Garden but on the road they struggle. Atlanta is very similar - not so hot on the road but extremely tough at home. As we get closer to the playoffs, games like this become statement games of sorts. They often take on a playoff atmosphere and that means defense. Atlanta games have averaged just 181.6 total points in their last five. They are 18-12 UNDER at home this season and Portland has seen more UNDERs than OVERs on the road this season. The Hawks are also 16-6 UNDER in non-conference games this season. When facing a winning team, the Blazers are 65-45 UNDER the past three seasons. Over the past two seasons, Portland is 42-29 UNDER as an underdog. The last time these teams met, Portland embarrassed the Hawks, winning by double-digits. I expect a fired-up Hawks team to dictate the tone here and that will be defense. Take the UNDER.
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Kanesline
NCAAB
CBS
Mississippi State Bulldogs at Tennessee Volunteers
Projected Spread: Tennessee Volunteers by 1
Projected Total:149
Projected Score:
Mississippi State Volunteers 74
Tennessee Volunteers 75
System Pick: Take Mississippi State Bulldogs +4.50
Trend to Watch:
None
ESPN
Florida State Seminoles at Duke Blue Devils
Projected Spread: EVEN
Projected Total:138
Projected Score:
Florida State Seminoles 69
Duke Blue Devils 69
System Pick: Take Florida State Seminoles +6
Trends to watch:
None
CBS
Ohio State Buckeyes at Purdue Boilermakers
Projected Spread: Purdue Boilermakers by 8
Projected Total: 128
Projected Score:
Ohio State Buckeyes 60
Purdue Boilermakers 68
System Pick: Take Purdue Boilermakers -6
Trend to Watch:
None
We like our system picks for college basketball. Please take the Miss State Bulldogs +4.50, Florida State Seminoles +6, and the Purdue Boilermakers -6. Also, we will have some bonus NBA system picks for the evenings.
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NCAAB
CBS
Mississippi State Bulldogs at Tennessee Volunteers
Projected Spread: Tennessee Volunteers by 1
Projected Total:149
Projected Score:
Mississippi State Volunteers 74
Tennessee Volunteers 75
System Pick: Take Mississippi State Bulldogs +4.50
Trend to Watch:
None
ESPN
Florida State Seminoles at Duke Blue Devils
Projected Spread: EVEN
Projected Total:138
Projected Score:
Florida State Seminoles 69
Duke Blue Devils 69
System Pick: Take Florida State Seminoles +6
Trends to watch:
None
CBS
Ohio State Buckeyes at Purdue Boilermakers
Projected Spread: Purdue Boilermakers by 8
Projected Total: 128
Projected Score:
Ohio State Buckeyes 60
Purdue Boilermakers 68
System Pick: Take Purdue Boilermakers -6
Trend to Watch:
None
We like our system picks for college basketball. Please take the Miss State Bulldogs +4.50, Florida State Seminoles +6, and the Purdue Boilermakers -6. Also, we will have some bonus NBA system picks for the evenings.
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NBA Daily Premium-March 15th
Thank You for Your Purchase!
Capper: Deano
*Must figure in juice*
SESSION 42: Roller System_*New Session Bet*
**********************************
Today's Premium Pick: Jazz +6.5
Projected System Results: Magic by (2-4)
Play Strength (1-10*): 8*
Unit: 1
**********************************
Breakdown:
Congrats on another great win with the Hornets on Friday. Today we are looking to keep this streak going by taking the Jazz at 6:05 EST. Right now I'm on a 56-25 run and am making it a personal goal to get that 70% to near 80% where we've been for most of the year. It will be tough and it will be near impossible but so was going 80% for 50+ games! I like the spot the Jazz are in here posting as a high dog on the last game of their road trip. You guys know how much I love the playing the under valued road team. A win here would give them a winning road trip but they're going to have to do it against a solid Magic squad. Orlando traveled to Boston and Detroit to do a back-to-back then back at home to play Chicago, then back on the road to face Washington, then came back home today to face the Jazz. After this match up they travel to Cleveland where they start another back to back. I think the Jazz are going to be more focused here and I LOVE the number they're given as I think Utah has a good chance for the upset here. Note: Jazz are 6-2 ATS L8 after a loss by 10 or more; 7-4 off upset loss; 5-2 L7 vs. the East; and 4-1 L5 following 125+ points in their previous game. Magic are 3-7 ATS L10 as a fav. in this range; 3-9 L12 after an S.U. win. The Jazz coming out strong in the 2nd half of the season posting a 12-6 ATS record. Play the Utah Jazz today as they need this game more than you think for our 1 unit play.
System Record: 41-0
Profit: 41 Units
Thank You for Your Purchase!
Capper: Deano
*Must figure in juice*
SESSION 42: Roller System_*New Session Bet*
**********************************
Today's Premium Pick: Jazz +6.5
Projected System Results: Magic by (2-4)
Play Strength (1-10*): 8*
Unit: 1
**********************************
Breakdown:
Congrats on another great win with the Hornets on Friday. Today we are looking to keep this streak going by taking the Jazz at 6:05 EST. Right now I'm on a 56-25 run and am making it a personal goal to get that 70% to near 80% where we've been for most of the year. It will be tough and it will be near impossible but so was going 80% for 50+ games! I like the spot the Jazz are in here posting as a high dog on the last game of their road trip. You guys know how much I love the playing the under valued road team. A win here would give them a winning road trip but they're going to have to do it against a solid Magic squad. Orlando traveled to Boston and Detroit to do a back-to-back then back at home to play Chicago, then back on the road to face Washington, then came back home today to face the Jazz. After this match up they travel to Cleveland where they start another back to back. I think the Jazz are going to be more focused here and I LOVE the number they're given as I think Utah has a good chance for the upset here. Note: Jazz are 6-2 ATS L8 after a loss by 10 or more; 7-4 off upset loss; 5-2 L7 vs. the East; and 4-1 L5 following 125+ points in their previous game. Magic are 3-7 ATS L10 as a fav. in this range; 3-9 L12 after an S.U. win. The Jazz coming out strong in the 2nd half of the season posting a 12-6 ATS record. Play the Utah Jazz today as they need this game more than you think for our 1 unit play.
System Record: 41-0
Profit: 41 Units
Dave Malinsky
GAME: Dallas Mavericks @ Los Angeles Lakers Mar 15, 2009 3:30PM
SPORT: National Basketball Assoc.
PICK: under
Offered at: 211
REASON FOR PICK: 4* #882 L.A. LAKERS/DALLAS Under
The very best Totals in the NBA come in games in which both teams are working for our purposes. And we can also thank Alvin Gentry and the mindless Phoenix defense for helping to keep this value where it is, despite the fact that the Suns will not be on the court.
Rick Carlisle does not want to play fast here. It is not just a case of his team being over-matched in terms of the top-level talent, but that depth is a major issue for his Mavericks. Without Josh Howard, Devean George and Jerry Stackhouse there are precious few options off the bench, and by keeping Jason Terry in that role, and inserting Jose Barea in the starting lineup alongside Jason Kidd, it gets games off to a stodgy start – opponents can key on Dirk Nowtizki early, and dare the other Mavs to score. But having two point guards on the floor also helps Carlisle to manage tempo, and that is his goal in these games – Dallas is on a 7-1 run to the Under in the last eight as road underdogs. The only variance? A win at Phoenix this week when they knew that they could best perform by running through the sieve-like Sun defense, which means that the true read on the recent form is 7-0.
So Carlisle wants to play it slow early. What helps us late is that Phil Jackson will gear down the same way with a lead. It is “season management” time for the Lakers, who have a primary goal of keeping their legs as fresh as possible for games they plan to be playing in June, which means no rush to push any pace. And after holding both Houston and San Antonio in the mid-90’s in key road wins earlier this week, they have two full days to get those legs fresh to play defense here, and an ample amount of time to put a game plan together. So how is Jackson doing at managing the pace in these settings? It has been a 4-1 run to the Under as a home favorite since the All Star break (remember that we track the New Orleans result as an Under, since we only measure regulation play). The only variance? A 132-106 destruction of the hapless Sun defense, when the Lakers could not help but score at will. And longer-term the Lakers are 9-2 to the Under in their last 11 as home chalk.
The two break-out games that these teams had in their current roles vs. Phoenix help to hide what is really going on, and it leaves us with the value that we need to cash this one.
GAME: Dallas Mavericks @ Los Angeles Lakers Mar 15, 2009 3:30PM
SPORT: National Basketball Assoc.
PICK: under
Offered at: 211
REASON FOR PICK: 4* #882 L.A. LAKERS/DALLAS Under
The very best Totals in the NBA come in games in which both teams are working for our purposes. And we can also thank Alvin Gentry and the mindless Phoenix defense for helping to keep this value where it is, despite the fact that the Suns will not be on the court.
Rick Carlisle does not want to play fast here. It is not just a case of his team being over-matched in terms of the top-level talent, but that depth is a major issue for his Mavericks. Without Josh Howard, Devean George and Jerry Stackhouse there are precious few options off the bench, and by keeping Jason Terry in that role, and inserting Jose Barea in the starting lineup alongside Jason Kidd, it gets games off to a stodgy start – opponents can key on Dirk Nowtizki early, and dare the other Mavs to score. But having two point guards on the floor also helps Carlisle to manage tempo, and that is his goal in these games – Dallas is on a 7-1 run to the Under in the last eight as road underdogs. The only variance? A win at Phoenix this week when they knew that they could best perform by running through the sieve-like Sun defense, which means that the true read on the recent form is 7-0.
So Carlisle wants to play it slow early. What helps us late is that Phil Jackson will gear down the same way with a lead. It is “season management” time for the Lakers, who have a primary goal of keeping their legs as fresh as possible for games they plan to be playing in June, which means no rush to push any pace. And after holding both Houston and San Antonio in the mid-90’s in key road wins earlier this week, they have two full days to get those legs fresh to play defense here, and an ample amount of time to put a game plan together. So how is Jackson doing at managing the pace in these settings? It has been a 4-1 run to the Under as a home favorite since the All Star break (remember that we track the New Orleans result as an Under, since we only measure regulation play). The only variance? A 132-106 destruction of the hapless Sun defense, when the Lakers could not help but score at will. And longer-term the Lakers are 9-2 to the Under in their last 11 as home chalk.
The two break-out games that these teams had in their current roles vs. Phoenix help to hide what is really going on, and it leaves us with the value that we need to cash this one.
