Dwayne Bryant
STRONGEST NFL PLAY OF THE SEASON
Game: (459) Philadelphia Eagles at (460) Miami Dolphins
Date/Time: Dec 1 2019 1:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Philadelphia Eagles -10.0 (-110)
View Analysis
1 PM ET -- NFL
459 Philadelphia Eagles
460 Miami Dolphins
PLAY = #459 PHILADELPHIA EAGLES -10 (-110)
BET SIZE = 5%
5% play at -11 or less
4% play at -11.5 to -12.5
3% play at -13 to -13.5
No play at worse than -13.5
PSA: 5% MAX BET does NOT mean bet all the money you have. It also does NOT mean bet money you don't have. It simply means 5% of your bankroll is the most we will ever bet on any single play, and that is what we are betting on this one. BE SMART! BET SMART!
Very uncharacteristic for me to lay more than a TD in the NFL, especially on the road. But, it's the obvious plays that have been winning in the NFL over the last few years.
Philly has been decimated by injuries. Early in the season it was the defense (particularly the secondary) that was ravaged with injuries. Lately, it's been the offensive side of the ball. But, the Birds will get back receivers Alshon Jeffery and Nelson Agholor & tackle Lane Johnson for this game.
The Eagles have lost two straight. Both were at home, to the Patriots and Seahawks. The aforementioned injuries played a factor. But with the Eagles getting healthier & coming off back-to-back losses, Miami is the perfect opponent to take their frustrations out on.
The Eagles are 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS under head coach Doug Pederson when coming off exactly two losses, including 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS since the start of last season. The Eagles averaged 31 points and a 12.25-point victory margin in those four games. They won and covered all three on the road in that role, winning by scores of 34-13, 34-27 (as a dog at Green Bay in Week 4), and 31-13 at Buffalo in Week 8 (a 5% Winner for us).
Miami has been a punching bag for good teams all season. In fact, Miami is 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS versus teams whose regular season win line was greater than 8 (like the Eagles). The average score in those six games was Opponent 38.5, Miami 10.7. The only cover was a 27-14 loss as a 14-point dog at Pittsburgh and their backup QB.
According to Football Outsiders, Miami owns the NFL's worst offensive line, while the Eagles own the league's #3 defensive line. That insane mismatch is going to be the difference in this game. When the Eagles get a decent lead and Miami has to throw (and the Eagles know they're going to throw), this should get U-G-L-Y.
The Eagles, despite all the injuries and struggles, can tie Dallas for first place in the NFC East (or is it "Least"?) with a win here. And they know they have an easier remaining schedule than the Cowboys. Expect the Eagles to once again get up off the mat and deliver a knockout punch in this one. I'm calling it Eagles 34, Dolphins 10.
PLAY PHILADELPHIA.
STRONGEST NFL PLAY OF THE SEASON
Game: (459) Philadelphia Eagles at (460) Miami Dolphins
Date/Time: Dec 1 2019 1:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Philadelphia Eagles -10.0 (-110)
View Analysis
1 PM ET -- NFL
459 Philadelphia Eagles
460 Miami Dolphins
PLAY = #459 PHILADELPHIA EAGLES -10 (-110)
BET SIZE = 5%
5% play at -11 or less
4% play at -11.5 to -12.5
3% play at -13 to -13.5
No play at worse than -13.5
PSA: 5% MAX BET does NOT mean bet all the money you have. It also does NOT mean bet money you don't have. It simply means 5% of your bankroll is the most we will ever bet on any single play, and that is what we are betting on this one. BE SMART! BET SMART!
Very uncharacteristic for me to lay more than a TD in the NFL, especially on the road. But, it's the obvious plays that have been winning in the NFL over the last few years.
Philly has been decimated by injuries. Early in the season it was the defense (particularly the secondary) that was ravaged with injuries. Lately, it's been the offensive side of the ball. But, the Birds will get back receivers Alshon Jeffery and Nelson Agholor & tackle Lane Johnson for this game.
The Eagles have lost two straight. Both were at home, to the Patriots and Seahawks. The aforementioned injuries played a factor. But with the Eagles getting healthier & coming off back-to-back losses, Miami is the perfect opponent to take their frustrations out on.
The Eagles are 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS under head coach Doug Pederson when coming off exactly two losses, including 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS since the start of last season. The Eagles averaged 31 points and a 12.25-point victory margin in those four games. They won and covered all three on the road in that role, winning by scores of 34-13, 34-27 (as a dog at Green Bay in Week 4), and 31-13 at Buffalo in Week 8 (a 5% Winner for us).
Miami has been a punching bag for good teams all season. In fact, Miami is 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS versus teams whose regular season win line was greater than 8 (like the Eagles). The average score in those six games was Opponent 38.5, Miami 10.7. The only cover was a 27-14 loss as a 14-point dog at Pittsburgh and their backup QB.
According to Football Outsiders, Miami owns the NFL's worst offensive line, while the Eagles own the league's #3 defensive line. That insane mismatch is going to be the difference in this game. When the Eagles get a decent lead and Miami has to throw (and the Eagles know they're going to throw), this should get U-G-L-Y.
The Eagles, despite all the injuries and struggles, can tie Dallas for first place in the NFC East (or is it "Least"?) with a win here. And they know they have an easier remaining schedule than the Cowboys. Expect the Eagles to once again get up off the mat and deliver a knockout punch in this one. I'm calling it Eagles 34, Dolphins 10.
PLAY PHILADELPHIA.
