Platinum Sports Investing
Bet to WIN .5%
Denver +3.5 - Why, I know some of you are going to be like...what the hell Tod, they stink. Yes they are not great but there is a big mismatch here with the Denver Rush attach vs a soft LA Rush defense. Denver doesn't win but before last week, they had covered 3 straight. As it turns out the Bills are pretty damn good on defense as the cowboys found out on Thanksgiving. The line is ideal and Denver fits a model with a consistent 62% covers so I'm not backing down despite our recent awful results. I know in my heart that 5 years of 60% + in the NFL is worth believing in so we are playing this.
Giants +6.5 - Even more of an UGH than the Denver play I'm sure. However, Green bay can't stop the run. At all. This should set up for a nice game for Barkley which will also open up play action for Jones. Now, the bad news is that the Giants can't stop the pass. They're bad at it. 29th in the league. However, the amount of sharp hits on the Giants, combined with their likely ability to eat clock means I'm sitcking to my guns in another historical 60% cover situation.