Jimmy Adams
Utah State vs. Tennessee
Bonus Play Utah State
Utah St. comes into 2014 off of a stellar year in which they won the MWC and beat Northern Illinois in a bowl game. They did this despite losing star QB Chuckie Keeton midway through the season. Matt Wells came in and in his 1st season took home “COY” honors. Now Keeton is back and Wells has his first swarm of recruits.
With Keeton at the helm, this team will be able to flat out score, especially against a Tennessee team laden with freshman. They have explosive weapons at WR and won’t have any trouble putting up points in bunches. The one concern for this offense is the O-line, which has to replace almost everyone. But if you delve into USU’s O-line stats the past few seasons, they’ve never been particularly good.
USU ranked in the top 10 in defense last season. They lost a lot of talent on that side of the ball, but still have some big playmakers intact, including linebackers Kyler Fackrell, Nick Vigil, and DE B.J. Larsen. They also redshirted a handful of players in 2013 in anticipation this year. Some might call this a “reloading” year for USU, but they’ve done this before and had a great deal of success at it. The Aggies are also 4-1 ATS in their last 5 against SEC opponents.
As I mentioned before, Tennessee comes into this one with a ton of inexperience. QB Justin Worley is average at best, and certainly no Keeton. There are major questions on both the offensive and defensive lines, at TE, kicker, in the secondary, among other positions. This is Butch Jones’ first big recruiting class, so naturally expectation are too high. The guys coming in may be talented, but it’s going to take a while before they have a major impact on the field. We’re looking at a 6-6 team this year, 7-5 at best. They’re just not as good as Utah. St. Getting 5+ points makes this one look like a bargain. Take USU.