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Handicapped by Rick Needham at Saratoga

RACE #10 - SARATOGA RACE COURSE - 6:14 PM EASTERN POST


The Spinaway Stakes

7.0 FURLONGS DIRT GRADE I TWO YEAR OLD FILLIES STAKES $350,000.00 PURSE

#2 ANGELA RENEE
#5 DARLING SKY
#6 WINTER DAWN
#7 CURALINA

From Rick's F.Y.I. Department: This race this afternoon folks is one of the oldest and most prestigious events for 2-year-olds fillies in the country, The Spinaway had its inaugural running in 1881. The race was named after a chestnut filly who won seven of her nine starts. A daughter of Leamington out of the Eclipse mare Megara, Spinaway's career ended at age 3 in 1881 and she went on to be a successful broodmare. Among her progeny was a granddaughter, Tanya, who won the 1905 Belmont Stakes. The Spinaway has been run through the years at five furlongs, 5½ furlongs and six furlongs; in 1994, its distance was changed to seven furlongs. Here in the 123rd running of this graded stakes test, #2 ANGELA RENEE takes a slight class drop (-1), broke her maiden in her "first asking," and comes off a "POWER RUN PLACE" finish in her last start, which was just the 2nd race of her young career to date. She's a daughter of Bernardini=, whose progeny have hit the board in 41% of more than 2,300 combined lifetime starts. #5 DARLING SKY is 8-1 in the morning line, and comes off a "POWER RUN WIN" to break her maiden in her respective, "first asking."
 
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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Harrah's Philadelphia

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 14 - Post: 5:00 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 67 - Purse:$13000 - 2 YR. OLD FILLIES NW 2 EXT. PM RACES LIFETIME


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 3 GLOBAL ICE 8/5


# 6 SHAFINA HANOVER 4/1


# 8 SOME KINDA SPECIAL 7/1


GLOBAL ICE appears to be our best wagering option in this gathering. Many selectors know speed is is key. This race horse has credentials with a 68 average ranking. The brain trust noted a substantial effort out of this interesting entrant last time. Looking for a repeat of that to score. This contender will be greatly helped with Tetrick piloting. 20 percent winners the last 30 days. SHAFINA HANOVER - This filly getting the triumph wouldn't be impossible, a chance. May be the most favorable in the group of animals here, showing really strong figures of late. Average speed is a solid 67. SOME KINDA SPECIAL - The 64 avg class rating may give this filly a distinct edge in the group of animals. The group noted a strong contest out of this contender last time. Looking for a duplicate of that to score.
 
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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Windsor

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 1 - Post: 1:00 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 73 - Purse:$2200 - FILLIES AND MARES CLAIMING PRICE $2500 NO. 8 STARTS FROM 2ND TIER LEON & PATRICIA COTE MEMORIAL REDRAWN


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 5 WHEN IN DOUBT 4/1


# 6 STIRLING BEAUTY 3/1


# 4 MEMEME 5/2


All signs point to WHEN IN DOUBT for the selection. This race could be controlled by this mare. One look at the avgerage TrackMaster Speed Rating will confirm that. That 80 TrackMaster Speed Rating clocked in the last race puts this horse in the mix in this contest. This trainer, and the driver Campbell, go together like The Smothers Brothers. Their results together are outstanding. STIRLING BEAUTY - With a 73 average class number, this harness racer has one of the most respectable class edges in the group of animals. Loved this mare's last race. Ran a big 69 TrackMaster Speed Rating. Major player. MEMEME - With one of the most competitive drivers in terms of crossing the wire first, don't count this mare out of the race. This horse looks tough. Look at the 74 avg TrackMaster speed fig.
 
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Dave Cokin

Bonus Play Sunday 1:35 PM MLB

(953) CINCINNATI REDS at (954) PITTSBURGH PIRATES

Take: (954) PITTSBURGH PIRATES -128

Here’s a good example of a game in which I’m basically ignoring some strong starting pitcher data and relying completely on the team data. There’s no question that those who focus on the pitchers are going to likely lean more to Reds righty Johnny Cueto than Pittsburgh lefty Francisco Liriano. That part of the equation is clear cut Cueto, although it’s fairly close in what I consider to be the key metric categories. But Cueto is the better guy right down the line, and it should also be noted that Cueto is a day game stud, while Liriano has drawn a season blank when it comes to winning under the sun.

But there’s way more to this than just the pitchers and that’s where things begin to tell a different story. There’s basically nothing positive on the Cincinnati side of the ledger here. The Reds haven’t been much of an offensive threat for some time now, and they’re the second or third worst producing team in the majors over the past month plus. Contrast that with the Bucs, who’ve been putting together some really solid stats with the sticks over that same time frame. As for lefty/righty, the Reds are actually better for the season against southpaws than they’ve been vs. righties, but neither figure is admirable. The Pirates, on the other hand, have been far more productive against righties.

Other factors point to the host team as well. If this is close late, even though there’s nothing wrong with the Reds primary bullpen aces, the Bucs still have an edge. But most importantly to me, this boils down to a contender playing very solid ball right now against a team that has faded out of the race and just isn’t sharp right now in any aspect of the game.

I made the Pirates -140 in this game, and that’s after giving Cincy the edge on the starting pitching. I think the opener on this game was absolutely too low. Even with what I consider sharp early cash pushing the price up a bit, there’s still some value to be had with the home chalk, so that makes the Pirates my choice today.
 
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Jim Feist

Comp MLB Pick for Sunday, August 31, 2014: 1:05 PM ET

(965) NEW YORK YANKEES VS (966) TORONTO BLUE JAYS

Take: (965) NEW YORK YANKEES

Reason: Your Bonus Play for Sunday, August 31, 2014 between the New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays. The Yankees have been playing very good of late, winning seven of their last 10 games. However, they still trail Baltimore by seven games in the AL East. New York has closed the gap in the Wild Card race though, now trailing both Oakland and Detroit by just three games. Toronto sits 6 1/2 games back of the Wild card race. Toronto lost to the Yankees on Friday, 6-3 making that four losses in the last five games for the Jays. The Yankees have also dominated this series of late, winning 39 of the last 58 meetings between the clubs. JA Happ starts for the Jays with a 8-8 mark and 4.40 ERA. The Jays have lost Happ's last five starts and seven of his last nine. Happ has also allowed four home runs in his last three starts. Brandon McCarthy starts for the Yankees. While McCarthy isn't one of the marquee pitchers traded this summer, he has quietly been a fine acquisition for the Yanks. McCarthy came over from Arizona in early July and proceeded to win four straight for his new club. He has since struggled a bit, dropping three of his last four games, but still has a remarkable 56 KO's compared to just 9 BB's with the Yankees. McCarthy also has a nice ERA for the Yankees with a 2.47 mark in his nine starts. Yankees have a shot at the postseason and it's pitchers like McCarthy that will get them there. I'm taking the hotter team here on Sunday with a quality pitcher. Take the Yankees.
 

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