Sunday 5/14/17 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Trends - Cincinnati at San Francisco


W/L Trends


Cincinnati
•Reds are 7-3 in their last 10 overall.
• Reds are 7-3 in their last 10 games on grass.
• Reds are 63-30 in their last 93 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
• Reds are 18-39 in their last 57 Sunday games.
• Reds are 20-46 in their last 66 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Reds are 7-19 in their last 26 during game 4 of a series.
• Reds are 16-44 in their last 60 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Reds are 2-6 in their last 8 road games.
• Reds are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Reds are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.



San Francisco
•Giants are 4-9 in their last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.
• Giants are 15-36 in their last 51 games following a win.
• Giants are 3-9 in their last 12 vs. National League Central.
• Giants are 2-6 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Giants are 2-7 in their last 9 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Giants are 0-8 in their last 8 during game 4 of a series.
• Giants are 0-4 in their last 4 Sunday games.
• Giants are 2-5 in Samardzijas last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
• Giants are 2-7 in Samardzijas last 9 starts.
• Giants are 2-7 in Samardzijas last 9 starts on grass.
• Giants are 3-13 in Samardzijas last 16 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
• Giants are 1-5 in Samardzijas last 6 home starts.
• Giants are 0-5 in Samardzijas last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
• Giants are 0-4 in Samardzijas last 4 starts during game 4 of a series.
• Giants are 0-4 in Samardzijas last 4 starts vs. National League Central.
• Giants are 0-4 in Samardzijas last 4 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Giants are 0-6 in Samardzijas last 6 Sunday starts.


OU Trends


Cincinnati
•Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 overall.
• Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 on grass.
• Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 vs. National League West.
• Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
• Over is 6-1-1 in Reds last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Over is 8-2 in Reds last 10 games following a loss.
• Under is 4-1 in Reds last 5 during game 4 of a series.
• Over is 6-2 in Reds last 8 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Over is 11-4 in Reds last 15 games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Under is 4-0 in Adlemans last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
• Under is 5-2 in Adlemans last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.



San Francisco
•Under is 4-0 in Giants last 4 Sunday games.
• Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
• Under is 4-0 in Giants last 4 vs. National League Central.
• Under is 4-0-2 in Giants last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Under is 4-0 in Giants last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
• Under is 9-1 in Giants last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Under is 14-3 in Giants last 17 home games.
• Under is 4-1-2 in Giants last 7 overall.
• Under is 8-2-1 in Giants last 11 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Under is 4-1-2 in Giants last 7 on grass.
• Under is 11-3 in Giants last 14 during game 4 of a series.
• Under is 9-3 in Giants last 12 games following a win.
• Under is 6-0 in Samardzijas last 6 Sunday starts.
• Under is 11-0 in Samardzijas last 11 starts with 4 days of rest.
• Under is 4-0-1 in Samardzijas last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
• Under is 7-0-1 in Samardzijas last 8 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Under is 4-0 in Samardzijas last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
• Under is 9-1-3 in Samardzijas last 13 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
• Under is 9-1-1 in Samardzijas last 11 home starts.
• Under is 16-2-3 in Samardzijas last 21 starts on grass.
• Under is 16-2-3 in Samardzijas last 21 starts overall.
• Under is 6-1-1 in Samardzijas last 8 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Over is 3-1-2 in Samardzijas last 6 starts vs. National League Central.


Head to Head


•Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in San Francisco.
• Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
• Reds are 13-5 in the last 18 meetings in San Francisco.
• Reds are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.



Umpire Trends - Clint Fagan


•Over is 5-0 in Fagans last 5 games behind home plate vs. Cincinnati.
• Home team is 4-0 in Fagans last 4 games behind home plate vs. Cincinnati.
• Home team is 7-1 in Fagans last 8 games behind home plate vs. San Francisco.
• Under is 6-1 in Fagans last 7 Sunday games behind home plate.
• Home team is 11-3 in Fagans last 14 Sunday games behind home plate.
• Home team is 48-21 in Fagans last 69 games behind home plate.
• Giants are 2-5 in their last 7 games with Fagan behind home plate.
• Giants are 0-4 in their last 4 Sunday games with Fagan behind home plate.
• Reds are 0-4 in their last 4 games with Fagan behind home plate.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Trends - Pittsburgh at Arizona


W/L Trends


Pittsburgh
•Pirates are 50-22 in their last 72 vs. National League West.
• Pirates are 3-7 in their last 10 Sunday games.
• Pirates are 7-19 in their last 26 road games.
• Pirates are 8-22 in their last 30 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
• Pirates are 2-7 in their last 10 during game 4 of a series.
• Pirates are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
• Pirates are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
• Pirates are 1-6 in their last 7 overall.
• Pirates are 1-6 in their last 7 games on grass.
• Pirates are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
• Pirates are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
• Pirates are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
• Pirates are 1-3 in Novas last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
• Pirates are 1-4 in Novas last 5 road starts.
• Pirates are 0-5 in Novas last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.



Arizona
•Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 4 of a series.
• Diamondbacks are 14-4 in their last 18 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
• Diamondbacks are 12-4 in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
• Diamondbacks are 19-7 in their last 26 home games.
• Diamondbacks are 13-5 in their last 18 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Diamondbacks are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. National League Central.
• Diamondbacks are 5-2 in their last 7 Sunday games.
• Diamondbacks are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
• Diamondbacks are 4-0 in Rays last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
• Diamondbacks are 9-23 in Rays last 32 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
• Diamondbacks are 0-4 in Rays last 4 starts vs. National League Central.


OU Trends


Pittsburgh
•Under is 3-0-1 in Pirates last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
• Under is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 overall.
• Under is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
• Under is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 road games.
• Under is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 on grass.
• Under is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
• Under is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 vs. National League West.
• Under is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
• Over is 5-2-1 in Pirates last 8 Sunday games.
• Over is 5-2-1 in Pirates last 8 games following a win.
• Over is 5-2 in Pirates last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.
• Under is 5-2 in Pirates last 7 during game 4 of a series.
• Under is 4-0 in Novas last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
• Under is 5-0 in Novas last 5 starts on grass.
• Under is 4-0 in Novas last 4 road starts.
• Under is 5-0 in Novas last 5 starts overall.
• Under is 4-1 in Novas last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
• Under is 4-1-1 in Novas last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.



Arizona
•Under is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 Sunday games.
• Under is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 games following a loss.
• Under is 8-2 in Diamondbacks last 10 overall.
• Under is 8-2 in Diamondbacks last 10 on grass.
• Over is 16-6-2 in Diamondbacks last 24 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
• Under is 5-2 in Diamondbacks last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Over is 43-18-2 in Diamondbacks last 63 home games.
• Over is 20-9-1 in Diamondbacks last 30 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
• Over is 39-18-2 in Diamondbacks last 59 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
• Over is 38-18-1 in Diamondbacks last 57 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Over is 5-1 in Rays last 6 home starts.
• Over is 4-1 in Rays last 5 Sunday starts.
• Over is 4-1 in Rays last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
• Over is 7-2 in Rays last 9 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.


Head to Head


•Pirates are 11-4 in the last 15 meetings.
• Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.



Umpire Trends - Jerry Meals


•Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 Sunday games with Meals behind home plate.
• Home team is 4-1 in Meals' last 5 Sunday games behind home plate vs. Arizona.
• Over is 4-1 in Meals' last 5 games behind home plate vs. Pittsburgh.
• Road team is 4-1 in Meals' last 5 games behind home plate vs. Pittsburgh.
• Home team is 7-2 in Meals' last 9 Sunday games behind home plate.
• Under is 15-5-1 in Meals' last 21 games behind home plate.
• Over is 3-1-1 in Meals' last 5 Sunday games behind home plate vs. Arizona.
• Over is 37-16-1 in Meals' last 54 Sunday games behind home plate.
• Diamondbacks are 1-5 in their last 6 games with Meals behind home plate.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Trends - Philadelphia at Washington

Red - Hot trends are trends 80% or higher. Blue - Cold trends are trends 20% or lower.


W/L Trends


Philadelphia
•Phillies are 7-3 in their last 10 vs. National League East.
• Phillies are 27-58 in their last 85 vs. a team with a winning record.
• Phillies are 14-37 in their last 51 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
• Phillies are 5-17 in their last 22 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Phillies are 6-21 in their last 27 road games.
• Phillies are 1-8 in their last 9 overall.
• Phillies are 1-8 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Phillies are 1-8 in their last 9 games on grass.
• Phillies are 3-9 in Velasquezs last 12 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
• Phillies are 1-4 in Velasquezs last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
• Phillies are 1-4 in Velasquezs last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
• Phillies are 3-12 in Velasquezs last 15 starts.
• Phillies are 3-12 in Velasquezs last 15 starts on grass.
• Phillies are 1-5 in Velasquezs last 6 starts vs. National League East.



Washington
•Nationals are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
• Nationals are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series.
• Nationals are 6-2 in their last 8 Sunday games.
• Nationals are 8-3 in their last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
• Nationals are 48-19 in their last 67 vs. National League East.
• Nationals are 15-6 in their last 21 games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Nationals are 17-7 in their last 24 overall.
• Nationals are 17-7 in their last 24 games on grass.
• Nationals are 1-4 in their last 5 second games of a double-header.
• Nationals are 12-2 in Scherzers last 14 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
• Nationals are 5-1 in Scherzers last 6 Sunday starts.
• Nationals are 11-3 in Scherzers last 14 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
• Nationals are 21-6 in Scherzers last 27 starts vs. National League East.
• Nationals are 6-2 in Scherzers last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
• Nationals are 20-7 in Scherzers last 27 starts during game 3 of a series.
• Nationals are 17-6 in Scherzers last 23 starts.
• Nationals are 17-6 in Scherzers last 23 starts on grass.
• Nationals are 5-2 in Scherzers last 7 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
• Nationals are 1-4 in Scherzers last 5 home starts.
• Nationals are 1-4 in Scherzers last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.


OU Trends


Philadelphia
•Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 overall.
• Over is 8-0 in Phillies last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 on grass.
• Over is 7-2 in Phillies last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Over is 18-6 in Phillies last 24 road games.
• Over is 6-2 in Phillies last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
• Over is 5-2 in Phillies last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
• Over is 5-2 in Phillies last 7 during game 3 of a series.
• Under is 7-3-1 in Phillies last 11 Sunday games.
• Over is 6-1 in Velasquezs last 7 starts on grass.
• Over is 6-1 in Velasquezs last 7 starts overall.
• Over is 5-1 in Velasquezs last 6 starts vs. National League East.
• Over is 4-1 in Velasquezs last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
• Over is 4-1 in Velasquezs last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
• Over is 5-2 in Velasquezs last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.



Washington
•Over is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 overall.
• Over is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 on grass.
• Over is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 Sunday games.
• Over is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
• Over is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Over is 5-1-1 in Nationals last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Over is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 during game 3 of a series.
• Over is 3-1-1 in Nationals last 5 second games of a double-header.
• Over is 6-2-1 in Nationals last 9 home games.
• Over is 5-2-1 in Nationals last 8 vs. National League East.
• Over is 43-20-2 in Nationals last 65 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
• Over is 6-1 in Scherzers last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
• Over is 6-1 in Scherzers last 7 starts vs. National League East.
• Over is 4-1 in Scherzers last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
• Over is 4-1-1 in Scherzers last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
• Over is 3-1-1 in Scherzers last 5 Sunday starts.
• Under is 11-4-1 in Scherzers last 16 home starts.
• Over is 5-2 in Scherzers last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.


Head to Head


•Nationals are 4-0 in Scherzers last 4 starts vs. Phillies.
• Under is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings in Washington.
• Under is 11-5-1 in the last 17 meetings.
• Phillies are 5-18 in the last 23 meetings.
• Phillies are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings in Washington.



Umpire Trends - Andy Fletcher


•Road team is 6-0 in Fletchers last 6 games behind home plate.
• Home team is 5-0 in Fletchers last 5 Sunday games behind home plate vs. Washington.
• Home team is 6-1 in Fletchers last 7 games behind home plate vs. Washington.
• Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 Sunday games with Fletcher behind home plate.
• Under is 4-1-3 in Fletchers last 8 Sunday games behind home plate.
• Over is 6-2 in Fletchers last 8 games behind home plate vs. Washington.
• Home team is 5-2 in Fletchers last 7 Sunday games behind home plate vs. Philadelphia.
• Home team is 7-3 in Fletchers last 10 games behind home plate vs. Philadelphia.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Trends - Houston at NY Yankees


W/L Trends


Houston
•Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 Sunday games.
• Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
• Astros are 9-2 in their last 11 vs. American League East.
• Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
• Astros are 21-7 in their last 28 overall.
• Astros are 20-7 in their last 27 games on grass.
• Astros are 19-7 in their last 26 games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Astros are 8-3 in their last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Astros are 5-2 in their last 7 second games of a double-header.
• Astros are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
• Astros are 60-29 in their last 89 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
• Astros are 6-13 in their last 19 during game 4 of a series.
• Astros are 4-0 in Mortons last 4 starts on grass.
• Astros are 4-1 in Mortons last 5 starts.



NY Yankees
•Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games after losing the first 3 games of a series.
• Yankees are 10-3 in their last 13 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Yankees are 20-8 in their last 28 overall.
• Yankees are 20-8 in their last 28 games on grass.
• Yankees are 20-8 in their last 28 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
• Yankees are 14-6 in their last 20 games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Yankees are 37-16 in their last 53 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
• Yankees are 16-7 in their last 23 vs. American League West.
• Yankees are 42-20 in their last 62 during game 4 of a series.
• Yankees are 37-18 in their last 55 home games.
• Yankees are 4-10 in their last 14 Sunday games.
• Yankees are 0-4 in their last 4 second games of a double-header.
• Yankees are 5-0 in Tanakas last 5 starts during game 4 of a series.
• Yankees are 7-1 in Tanakas last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.
• Yankees are 6-1 in Tanakas last 7 starts vs. American League West.
• Yankees are 6-1 in Tanakas last 7 Sunday starts.
• Yankees are 14-3 in Tanakas last 17 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
• Yankees are 7-2 in Tanakas last 9 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
• Yankees are 22-7 in Tanakas last 29 home starts.
• Yankees are 38-16 in Tanakas last 54 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
• Yankees are 43-19 in Tanakas last 62 starts.
• Yankees are 38-17 in Tanakas last 55 starts on grass.


OU Trends


Houston
•Under is 3-0-1 in Astros last 4 road games.
• Over is 7-0 in Astros last 7 second games of a double-header.
• Under is 3-0-1 in Astros last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
• Over is 12-2-2 in Astros last 16 Sunday games.
• Under is 4-1-1 in Astros last 6 overall.
• Under is 4-1-1 in Astros last 6 on grass.
• Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
• Over is 10-3 in Astros last 13 vs. American League East.
• Under is 3-1-1 in Astros last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Over is 6-2-1 in Astros last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
• Under is 8-3 in Astros last 11 during game 4 of a series.
• Over is 4-0 in Mortons last 4 starts overall.



NY Yankees
•Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 vs. American League West.
• Under is 8-1 in Yankees last 9 second games of a double-header.
• Over is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Over is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
• Over is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 Sunday games.
• Over is 8-2 in Yankees last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
• Over is 7-2 in Yankees last 9 home games.
• Under is 3-1-1 in Yankees last 5 during game 4 of a series.
• Over is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
• Over is 9-4 in Yankees last 13 overall.
• Over is 9-4 in Yankees last 13 on grass.
• Under is 14-3 in Tanakas last 17 starts vs. American League West.
• Over is 4-1 in Tanakas last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
• Under is 4-1 in Tanakas last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
• Over is 4-1 in Tanakas last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
• Over is 7-2 in Tanakas last 9 starts overall.
• Over is 8-3 in Tanakas last 11 starts with 5 days of rest.
• Over is 5-2 in Tanakas last 7 starts on grass.


Head to Head


•Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
• Astros are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in New York.



Umpire Trends - Eric Cooper


•Under is 4-0 in Coopers last 4 Sunday games behind home plate.
• Home team is 7-0 in Coopers last 7 games behind home plate.
• Road team is 5-1 in Coopers last 6 games behind home plate vs. New York.
• Under is 5-1 in Coopers last 6 Sunday games behind home plate vs. New York.
• Road team is 5-1 in Coopers last 6 Sunday games behind home plate vs. Houston.
• Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 Sunday games with Cooper behind home plate.
• Home team is 4-1 in Coopers last 5 Sunday games behind home plate vs. New York.
• Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 games with Cooper behind home plate.
• Over is 4-1 in Coopers last 5 Sunday games behind home plate vs. Houston.
• Under is 9-3 in Coopers last 12 games behind home plate vs. New York.
• Under is 6-2-1 in Coopers last 9 games behind home plate vs. Houston.
• Under is 24-9-1 in Coopers last 34 games behind home plate.
• Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 games with Cooper behind home plate.
• Astros are 1-4 in their last 5 Sunday games with Cooper behind home plate.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ray Monohan
May 14 '17, 1:10 PM
MLB | Twins vs Indians
Play on: Twins +158 at 5Dimes

Twins +142

This play just missed out on our premium card. I am shocked to see the Twins this big of underdogs after taking the first two games of the series from the Indians, and I think they have a ton of value in this one. Hector Santiago has always pitched well early in the season and that is the case again this year. He comes into this game with a 4-1 record and a 2.76 ERA this season. He has total control over all of his pitches this year and it shows in the record.

For the Indians it's Trevor Bauer on the mound and he hasn't gotten off to the greatest start. He comes into this game with a 2-4 record and an ERA of 7.36. He has given up four or more runs in five of his six games this year. The Twins come into this game with a ton of confidence and feel like they can play with anyone and I don't see that changing in this game. Some trends to note. Twins are 5-0 in their last 5 road games. Indians are 0-5 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.

Back the Twins. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Brandon Lee
May 14 '17, 4:10 PM
MLB | Pirates vs Diamondbacks
Play on: Pirates +130 at GTBets

10* Free MLB Pick (Pirates +130)

Pittsburgh is worth a look at this price. The Pirates will have a big edge on the mound here with Ivan Nova going up against Robbie Ray. Nova comes in with a 2.23 ERA and 0.952 WHIP in 7 starts and has been equally effective on the road, where he sports a solid 2.45 ERA. Ray on the other hand has a 4.14 ERA and 1.355 WHIP in 7 starts. He's got a 6.35 ERA in 4 home starts and is 0-3 with a 5.09 ERA in his last 3 starts. Give me the Pirates +130!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Brad Diamond
May 14 '17, 1:35 PM
MLB | Philadelphia Phillies - Game #1 vs Washington Nationals - Game #1
Play on: Washington Nationals - Game #1 -167 at BMaker

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jimmy Boyd
May 14 '17, 3:10 PM
MLB | Dodgers vs Rockies
Play on: Rockies +118 at BMaker

Free Pick on Rockies +

I like the value here with Colorado as a home dog against the Dodgers. The Rockies are going to be motivated here to salvage a split in the finale of this 4-game series against LA and I like their chances of doing just that. Colorado will send out Antonio Senzatela, who has been a big surprise early on. Senzatela is 5-1 with a 2.86 ERA and 1.068 WHIP in 7 starts (6-1 team record) and has pitched well at Coors Field, which is no easy task. The Dodgers will counter with Julio Urias, who has a sensational 1.06 ERA in 3 starts, but will be making his first ever start at Coors Field and I look for him to struggle in this one. LA is just 1-4 dating back to last season in Urias' last 5 road starts against a team with a winning record and the Rockies are 9-3 in their last 12 home games against a left-handed starter and 10-2 in their last 12 after being held to 2 runs or less in their previous game. Take Colorado!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Eric Schroeder

I nailed my Bonus Play last night on the Minnesota Twins, against the Cleveland Indians, and today I like the Milwaukee Brewers as the home pup against the New York Mets. I'm not bothering listing pitchers, either.

Don't be surprised if this game stays low, as the Mets are hoping to avoid a sweep, and the only way to do so is neutralize the suddenly hot Brewers lineup.

Personally, I like Milwaukee because of its offense, which now leads the National League with 59 home runs while ranking third in runs scored (181), and second in slugging percentage (.466).

They've put up 18 runs against the Mets so far, and will be aiming for the knockout punch.

But enough about offense, because sweeps on Sundays are tougher than usual. Instead, I'm going on resiliency and the fact the Mets have lost three in a row.

Take the Brew Crew here, as the game will be tight, but Milwaukee will prevail.

2* BREWERS

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Brad Wilton

Nothing much to think about today at Miller Park, as the Mets and the Brewers conclude their weekend set with another Over.

11 runs on Friday - Over the total.

15 runs on Saturday - Over the total.

Series has seen the last 4 meetings play Over the total.

The Mets are now 23-7-5 Over the total for the season, while the Brewers are 23-13-1 Over the total for the year.

The Mets are 2-0-1 the last 3 times Jacob de Grom has started, while the Brewers have seen 2 of Wily Peralta's last 3 starts land Over the total.

No other choice.

Mets-Brewers Over.

5* N.Y METS-MILWAUKEE OVER

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Chris Jordan

Today I'm rolling with the Toronto Blue Jays over the Seattle Mariners.

If there is one team I've always looked for around this time of the season, when it is playing at home, it is the Blue Jays. They can get dangerous in their own ballpark, especially when it comes to the long ball.

With yesterday's win, Toronto assured itself a series victory in its four-game series with Seattle. Plus, the Blue Jays have won four straight and seven of 10 and are quickly closing in on .500 after a 2-11 start.

They have also won 10 of their past 14 games, and appear to be in a nice groove.

Play the Jays, who are laying a cheap price to Seattle.

1* BLUE JAYS

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jack Brayman

My free winner for Sunday is exactly the same play as I delivered on Saturday with my premium selection, as I like the Texas Rangers.

I really like what I've seen from the Rangers of late, as they are playing their best baseball right now. They've won five straight after scoring their second straight victory over these Oakland A's, a 6-5 win.

This is a team that has shown plenty of resiliency, even dating back to last season, making its way into the latter innings with plenty of vigor. The other night they scored five unanswered to win 5-2 over the San Diego Padres. Last night, trailing 4-2, the Rangers posted four in the bottom of the seventh and then held on for a 6-5 win.

Oakland arrived in Arlington to start a six-game trek, and the A's just aren't a team to look at while they're traveling. Oakland just went 2-7 on their last road trip, going 0-3 against the Angels in Anaheim, 1-2 against the Astros in Houston and 1-2 against the Twins in Minnesota.

Oakland is now 5-12 on the road this season.

My money is on Texas here, as the price is cheap and the situation is right for the Rangers.

1* RANGERS

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jeff Benton

For Sunday, let's go with the well-rested Golden State Warriors to come out and make a home court statement against the banged-up and weary San Antonio Spurs.

San Antonio "rested" Kawhi Leonard in a gamble of a move on Thursday, and it paid off handsomely as the Spurs torched the Rockets on their home floor by 29-points to close out their semifinal series.

Their reward? Taking on a Warriors team that has won all 8 of their postseason games, and has been idle since Monday when they won and covered at Utah to complete their latest postseason sweep.

The Warriors have covered their last pair this postseason, and have covered in 5 of their 8 wins. They did drop 2 of the 3 regular season series meetings, but their one win was in the most recent meeting at the end of March.

With Parker out, and Leonard likely not at 100%, side with the Dubs for the drub!

4* GOLDEN STATE

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPORTS WAGERS

Oakland +114 over TEXAS

Texas has been contenders for a few years while Oakland has been irrelevant for just as long. The Rangers are known for scoring runs in bunches with several front-line players over the years while the casual fan that does not live in the Bay area probably couldn’t name two players that are on the current A’s roster. Furthermore, the Rangers are heating up with five wins in a row, including the first two games of this series while the A’s have five wins in 17 road games. Finally, A.J. Griffin is 4-0 with a 2.67 ERA and is 3-0 over his past three starts with a 0.45 ERA while Kendall Gravemen is 0-2 over his last three starts with an ERA of 5.45. One would be hard-pressed to make a case for the A’s today, yet they are the smallest dog on the board. Why? Every favorite today is priced higher than Texas so chalk bettors will likely be pounding the Rangers today and that’s precisely what this line is begging you to do. Be very cautious if you were thinking Texas today.

Linesmakers are gambling today that A.J. Griffin’s strong start comes to a halt. Griffin has a nifty BB/K split of 6/27 in 29 innings. That outstanding control has the support of his 73% first-pitch strike rate but his 27 K’s in 29 innings does not have the support of his 9% swing and miss rate. Griffin has only thrown 400 MLB innings over the past five years. He needed a Rust-Oleum break last May for shoulder stiffness and then pitched creakily in the rotation the rest of the year. Recent repairs (2104 TJS, 2015 shoulder) and poor results kept his run times short (5 IP/start). He also had 2nd half struggles last year with a line-drive jump to 38%. The 29 innings this year are nice but the bigger picture says this warm recovery is still in progress and some blowups are forthcoming. Again, oddsmakers are betting on Kendall Gravemen having a much better game than A. J. Griffin and/or the A’s offense doing the same. That’s good enough for us.

CHICAGO -1½ +104 over San Diego

Jose Quintana is the South Side's proficient, easily-projected lefty. He continues to throw strikes with just enough swing-and-miss stuff and with little regard to batters' handedness or batted ball outcomes. Quintana has a BB/K split of 19/41 in 42 frames to go along with an identical ERA/xERA split of 4.46. It’s not great but he’s had four starts out of seven in which he’s allowed three runs or less in six innings or more. While this may be as good as it gets for him, we don’t need him to be great here. All we need is for Quintana to be his usual reliable and boring self, as this one is all about fading Jered Weaver.

Weaver’s ERA is 6.81 after seven starts. Over his past two starts covering seven innings, Weaver has been tagged for 16 hits and 17 runs. He’s surrendered two jacks or more in all of his starts this year but one and the Padres are 0-7 in his seven starts. Since 2010, as his fastball velocity slid from 90 to its current 82 MPH, his xERA rose from 3.46 to the nightmare he posted last year and continues to post this year. When you throw that slowly with so many fly balls, giving up the 15 bombs in 35 innings that Weaver has given up this year seems inevitable. It's never good when your ERA could be a Boeing aircraft model. Of course, it'd be helpful if he would miss a bat now and again but he doesn’t. Weaver is batting practice out there. His home park is irrelevant and so is he. Weaver will get hit in the mountains, to the prairies, to the oceans, white... well, you get the idea. Fade until he fades away.

COLORADO +230 over Los Angeles

We’re not going to go into a lot of details here regarding the pitchers because it matters not when playing at Coors Field. We are going to commit to playing the underdog all season long at Coors Field on the ALTERNATIVE run line. What that means is that we are playing the remainder of Colorado’s home games this season and we’ll be playing the underdog in each game, whether it’s the Rocks or the opposition and we’ll be playing it regardless of who’s pitching. We’re suggesting that this wager has nothing but big profits in store. With totals being in the 10 to 12½ range daily at this venue, far more games are decided by two runs or more than one run and the underdog wins just as much as the favorite. The pitching matchups rarely matter because even the best get rocked at this park. We’ll keep a running record on this angle all season long.

Note that there are no early lines yet on this one at Pinnacle but as soon as they're posted, we'll update.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cal Sports

Detroit at Los Angeles
Play: Detroit -123

Very reasonable price to back Verlander who is back in form as his YTD ERA is 4.25 but his ERA for his last 3 starts is 2.25. Alex Meyer is making his 4th start for the Angels and his 7.62 ERA is because in his three starts he’s lasted only 3 1/3, 4 qnd 5 1/3 innings.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bob Balfe

Rangers -125

The A’s are having a tough time generating runs this season and their bullpen has been very weak on that road. Griffin has pitched great for the Rangers in his last few outings and I believe that continues this afternoon.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Harry Bondi

PITTSBURGH (+125) over Arizona

A lone bright spot for the Pirates this season has been Ivan Nova. The starting pitcher has a 2.23 ERA in seven starts but a lack of run production by the offense has him at just 3-3, which gives us some value here today, especially against an Arizona team that starts Robbie Ray, who has a 6.35 ERA at home this season. Pittsburgh is 11-4 against the Dbacks the last three seasons and continue their success in the series today.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Essler

Tigers / Angels Over 8

Almost went a bit bigger here - JV isn't right and I leaned Detroit - the money does not so I'll back off the road team here. Meyer just hasn't been good, and there's no trusting either bullpen. Tough park for overs. But, if they think that the Angels are the right side, I personally don't think that they can win a pitcher's duel with Meyer on the mound.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Monster Sports Picks

MLB PHILADELPHIA/WASHINGTON o7.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tommy King Wins

MLB TEXAS ‑125