Sunday 12/25/16 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

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Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Sunday, December 25, 2016

NBA (507) MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES VS (508) OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER

Take: (508) OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER

Reason: Your Bonus Play for Sunday, December 25, 2016 is in the NBA scheduled contest between the Minnesota Timberwolves and Oklahoma City Thunder. The Timberwolves have struggled this season, posting just a 9-20 record and losing six of their last 10. They have done a bit better for the bettors though, covering five of their last six games. Oklahoma City has done better than expected after losing star Kevin Durant in the offseason. The 18-12 Thunder have seen Michael Westbrook step up and fill the voice. Westbrook is averaging 31.8 ppg and 10.8 assists per game. OKC is 9-4-1 ATS in the last 14 games and has a 15-7-1 ATS record in their last 23 meetings at home vs the Wolves. I like the Thunder here against a very poor Wolves club. Take OKC.
 
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BRAD WILTON

Bonus Play winner for Christmas is the Under in Baltimore and Pittsburgh.

The Under is 3-0-1 the last 4 times these teams have faced one another, including their 21-14 final back on November 6th in Ben Roethlisberger's first game back after missing the 3 prior due to a knee injury.

Overall, the Under stands at 6-3-1 the past 10 series meetings, and with Pittsburgh having played 10 Unders in their 14 games played this year, and Baltimore trending a tick Under at 6-7-1 for the season, I think the total posted today is a little bit high.

Have to stick with the trends that say to look Under the total in the Ravens-Steelers contest.

2* BALTIMORE-PITTSBURGH UNDER
 
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BRETT ATKINS

I know Pittsburgh has won and covered 5 in a row, but I just don't see how they are laying what I feel is too many points to this Baltimore team?!!?

Baltimore has won 5 of their last 7 games, with their losses in that span against the best of the AFC - New England, and the best of the NFC - Dallas, so very interested in grabbing the points this Christmas Day.

The Ravens are on a 4 game series win streak, and they have won outright in 6 of the last 7, so why wouldn't I wish to grab the points!?!?!?

Both teams need this one, but only one can get it. Maybe, just maybe the Steelers extend their winning ways to 6 in a row, but if they do, I don't see it being by more than a field goal. That means take the points and the Ravens.

2* BALTIMORE
 
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Mike Lundin

Warriors vs Cavs

5* Christmas Day #NBA Free Pick Under

This will be the first meeting since the NBA finals last season. We all remember how the Cavs came back from a 3-1 deficit in the series to clinch the title, and I think it's noteworthy that none of the games in the finals went over the total posted for this contest. These are obviously two of the better offensive teams in the NBA, but they also know how to step it up defensively when needed. We can also note that Cleveland will be forced to take on the Pistons at Detroit tomorrow, so the Cavs won't be interested in making this a high-tempo game that would play into the hands of the Warriors anyway.

The Warriors defeated the Cavs 89-83 home at Oracle on Christmas Day last year. Under is 11-5-2 in the last 18 meetings overall and I don't see this game going over the total.
 
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Dave Cokin

Bonus Play Sunday

Nice job by the Packers as the Saturday Bonus Play. Here’s today’s comp.

127 RAVENS at 128 STEELERS 4:30 PM

Take: STEELERS -6 (some -5.5 available as of now)

I like the spot for Pittsburgh, but so do the bettors and the line is higher than it really ought to be. One of those games where the math says the dog is the right side, but my eyes tell me they’re not. I’m just not seeing the Ravens as anything close to a good team right now as the defense seems to be wearing down and the offense isn’t very good. All about turnovers probably. If Big Ben doesn’t try and force the issue and turn into Santa with the giveaways, I think the Steelers could win this easily. The betting line offers what amounts to negative value, but I’ve still got to side with the Steelers.
 
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Jamie Tursini

Clippers vs Lakers

Bonus Play The Algorithm Power Ratings have generated a 56% chance that this match up goes under the total.

Note: The "APR"s must generate a minimum 60% chance to win/cover to become a Premium Release.

I have an "APR" 200* WINNER on the Warriors/Cavs!

The realistic goal is to win 55% of ALL WAGERS made! (That's combining the winning % in all sports, leagues etc. in which you bet on). 70, 80% win rates are simply unrealistic!

% Chance to Win/Cover Algorithm Power Rating Suggested Bet Format

60-64% 100* Normal Wager

65-69% 200* 1.5 X Normal Wager

70-74% 300* 2 X Normal Wager

75-79% 400* 2.5 X Normal Wager

80% UP 500* 3 X Normal Wager

Jamie Tursini
 

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